Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Washington County, UT

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
49053
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-07-12. Plan: Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340), approved 2022-07-13.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-07-13: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident) and 142 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Wildfire ($67,561,249 a year), Inland Flooding ($65,629,152) and Lightning ($5,670,318).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2027-07-12
Plan:
Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)
Approved:
2022-07-13
Days to expiry:
285
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-07-13)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): FM-5591-UT (Forsyth Fire)
Storm Events records since approval:
142 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 2
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 17 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Washington CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Apple Valley townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Enterprise cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Hildale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Hurricane cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Ivins cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
La Verkin cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Leeds townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
New Harmony townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Rockville townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Santa Clara cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Springdale townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
St. George cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Toquerville cityTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Virgin townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Washington cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285
Five County Association of GovernmentsRegional Planning AgencyApproved, expires 2027-07-12Five County AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108340)2022-07-132027-07-12285

Plan 108340 covers 28 other participants, named in the Excel file.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countWhy this hazard can be left outNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1WildfireRelatively HighRelatively High$64,191,487$654$3,369,108$67,561,24911
2Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$41,988,659$6,046$23,634,448$65,629,152296
3LightningVery HighVery High$19,667n/a$5,650,651$5,670,3184
4Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$119$1,932$3,735,111$3,737,1626
5EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$1,802,419n/a$290,725$2,093,144Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
6AvalancheRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$374n/a$1,370,000$1,370,3741
7LandslideRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$95,382n/a$1,076,429$1,171,8114
8Strong WindVery LowRelatively Low$66,691$2,040$58,316$127,047198Includes 131 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
9Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$267n/a$108,538$108,8050No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
10DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$68,737n/a$68,7370Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
11Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$11,348$48$56,280$67,676209
12TornadoVery LowVery Low$1,746$36$29,606$31,3892
13Cold WaveVery LowVery Low$98$491$17,638$18,2263
14HailVery LowVery Low$15,068$120$1,701$16,88914
15Volcanic ActivityVery LowVery Lowunder $1n/a$74$740No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates hurricane Not Applicable for this county, and no counted federal declaration for this county names it (EM-3223-UT names it but is not counted as a local occurrence; see B1-d).No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local volcanic activity records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: coastal flooding and tsunami. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 2703.02 (Relatively Moderate, 87.6); tract 2710 (Relatively Moderate, 86.9); tract 2701.02 (Relatively Moderate, 86.3)
Earthquaketract 2716 (Relatively Moderate, 80.0); tract 2717.02 (Relatively Moderate, 79.6); tract 2713 (Relatively Moderate, 79.2)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 2701.02 (Relatively High, 99.9); tract 2703.02 (Relatively High, 99.8); tract 2702 (Relatively High, 99.8)
Tornadotract 2717.02 (Very Low, 4.7); tract 2701.01 (Very Low, 3.7); tract 2710 (Very Low, 3.5)
Volcanic Activitytract 2717.02 (Very Low, 80.5); tract 2706.01 (Very Low, 78.5); tract 2708.03 (Very Low, 78.1)
Wildfiretract 2717.02 (Very High, 100.0); tract 2709.05 (Very High, 99.9); tract 2702 (Very High, 99.8)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 2703.02 is Census Tract 2703.02). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)1 record, 2019 (1 zone-level)No damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill3 records, 1998 to 2004 (3 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 3 days); 3 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 1998-12-21 to 1998-12-24, zone-levelCold/Wind Chill, 1999-04-01, $0 property; $100,000 crops (zone total, 1999 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)26 records, 1958 to 20230.75 in to 2 in (median 1 in); 26 with a recorded value2 in hail, 1971-08-30Hail, 2023-09-13, $7,500 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Santa Clara city (2 records), Enterprise city (1 record), Leeds town (1 record), Rockville town (1 record), Springdale town (1 record), Toquerville city (1 record), Virgin town (1 record), Washington city (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)6 records, 2013 to 2024 (6 zone-level)1 day to 7 days (median 2.5 days); 6 with a recorded value7 consecutive days, 2021-06-14 to 2021-06-20, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)0
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)296 records, 1996 to 2025 (4 zone-level)Flood, 2005-01-10, $300,000,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars), 1 direct death, 6 direct injuries (reported for the zone); NWS zone UTZ019Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Springdale town (58 records), Rockville town (33 records), New Harmony town (12 records), Virgin town (12 records), St. George city (11 records), Ivins city (9 records), Toquerville city (8 records), Hurricane city (6 records), Washington city (6 records), La Verkin city (5 records); and 3 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file). Zone-level records (4) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)4 records, 2005 to 2022 (2 zone-level)Debris Flow, 2011-10-08, $12,000,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars); NWS zone UTZ518Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Springdale town (1 record). Zone-level records (2) apply countywide.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)4 records, 1998 to 2021Lightning, 2018-04-07, $400,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Santa Clara city (3 records), St. George city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)135 records, 1996 to 2026 (135 zone-level)39 kt (45 mph) to 77 kt (89 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 129 with a recorded value77 kt (89 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2011-12-01; NWS zone UTZ019High Wind, 1998-06-16, $700,000 property; $200,000 crops (zone total, 1998 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)82 records, 1958 to 202543 kt (49 mph) to 84 kt (97 mph) (median 53 kt (61 mph)); 71 with a recorded value84 kt (97 mph) measured gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2005-12-31Thunderstorm Wind, 2021-07-24, $80,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Leeds town (8 records), St. George city (8 records), Santa Clara city (6 records), Enterprise city (2 records), La Verkin city (2 records), Toquerville city (2 records), Virgin town (2 records), Washington city (2 records), Hurricane city (1 record), Ivins city (1 record); and 1 more jurisdiction (see the Excel file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)4 records, 1986 to 2017F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF0); 3 with a recorded valueF1 tornado, 1986-05-30, 0.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 200 yd wide, $30 property; crops not recorded (1986 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)11 records, 2012 to 2026 (11 zone-level)Wildfire, 2025-06-19, $35,000,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars); NWS zone UTZ125Countywide (zone-level records).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)209 records, 1996 to 2026 (209 zone-level)Winter Weather, 2024-02-13, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars); NWS zone UTZ122Countywide (zone-level records).

Where a hazard names more than 10 jurisdictions, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every one is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of avalanche, debris flow, lightning and volcanic ash, volcanic ashfall.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 14 declarations covering 11 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2025-06-202025-06-19FM-5591-UTFire managementForsyth FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-07-132020-07-13FM-5321-UTFire managementVeyo West FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2020-04-042020-01-20DR-4525-UTMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3478-UTEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4525
2016-06-212016-06-21FM-5130-UTFire managementSaddle FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2012-11-032012-09-11DR-4088-UTMajor disasterSevere Storm and FloodingInland Flooding$1,604,776.55
2011-02-112010-12-20DR-1955-UTMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Winter Weather$7,272,516.75
2009-08-302009-07-25FM-2831-UTFire managementMill Flat FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3223-UTEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-06-272005-06-27FM-2564-UTFire managementBlue Springs FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2005-02-012005-01-08DR-1576-UTMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$6,418,807.77
2004-06-162004-06-16FM-2521-UTFire managementBrookside FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1989-01-311989-01-01DR-820-UTMajor disasterDike Failure & Flash FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1977-01-201977-01-20EM-3024-UTEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave3000001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail26222001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave6202001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding296681870401996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide4101001996 to 2026-06-30
Lightning4010001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind217291840001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 131 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records.
Tornado4000001950 to 2026-06-30
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire11303611996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather20937845101996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-06-19Wildfire$35,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone UTZ125 (SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2024-02-13Winter Weather$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone UTZ122 (SOUTHWEST UTAH), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2021-06-14Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone UTZ123 (LOWER WASHINGTON COUNTY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2018-04-07Lightning$400,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)0, 0SANTA CLARAB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2015-09-14Flash Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)7, 0ZION LODGE to SPRINGDALEdeaths or injuries recorded
2015-09-14Flash Flood$750,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)13, 3GRAFTON to ROCKVILLEdeaths or injuries recorded
2013-07-01Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2013 dollars)3, 0NWS zone UTZ020 (SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2011-12-01High Wind77 kt (89 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone UTZ019 (UTAHS DIXIE AND ZION NATIONAL PARK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2011-10-08Debris Flow$12,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone UTZ518 (SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Debris Flow
2005-12-31Thunderstorm Wind84 kt (97 mph) measured gust$10,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars)0, 0(SGU)ST GEORGE MUNIB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2005-01-10Flood$300,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)1, 6NWS zone UTZ019 (SC WASHINGTON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
1986-05-30TornadoF1, 0.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 200 yd wide$30 property; crops not recorded (1986 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (781 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

2 Fire Management declarations (1994-08-06 to 1994-08-06) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.333events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)101994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f
Cold Wave0.0331event-days per yearabout 0.0331 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)0.6282005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought57.6event-days per yearabout 57.6 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)1,6662000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.0101annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 1.01%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail0.0903events per yearabout 1 in 11 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)3.4 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave2.54event-days per yearabout 2.54 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)17.82005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Storm0.0149event-days per yearabout 0.0149 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)01946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNo Storm Events ice storm record, 1996 to 2025
Inland Flooding6.68event-days per yearabout 6.68 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%)1871996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide2.64events per year (modeled)about 2.64 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning41.4days per year with a strikeabout 41.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.178events per yearabout 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)71986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.0392events per yearabout 1 in 26 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Volcanic Activity0.0002annual probabilityabout 1 in 5,000 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.0173annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 1.73%LikelyStorm Events records in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather17event-days per yearabout 17 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%)3222005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202511300.367
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202552301.73
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20255300.167
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20256300.2
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20251300.0333

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche17 of 3580.283.687.6Relatively Moderate 17, Not Applicable 18
Cold Wave5 of 3515.419.126.3Relatively Low 2, Very Low 3, No Rating 30
Drought26 of 3567.678.288.9Relatively Low 12, Very Low 14, No Rating 9
Earthquake35 of 3529.059.080.0Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 29, Very Low 3
Hail35 of 354.513.023.2Very Low 35
Heat Wave35 of 3526.981.093.6Relatively High 9, Relatively Moderate 24, Relatively Low 2
Hurricane0 of 35Not Applicable 35
Ice Storm35 of 3516.637.960.8Relatively Low 26, Very Low 9
Inland Flooding35 of 3554.187.799.9Very High 9, Relatively High 15, Relatively Moderate 11
Landslide35 of 3540.389.699.9Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 13, Very Low 9
Lightning35 of 3594.699.499.9Very High 33, Relatively High 2
Strong Wind35 of 3511.919.232.7Relatively Low 11, Very Low 24
Tornado35 of 351.82.74.7Very Low 35
Volcanic Activity35 of 3541.876.180.5Very Low 35
Wildfire35 of 3567.099.2100.0Very High 19, Relatively High 11, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 1, Very Low 1
Winter Weather35 of 3525.437.283.2Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 29

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Washington CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$3,142,323.160 total; 0 since its plan
Apple Valley townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$6,367.050 total; 0 since its plan
Enterprise cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$27,533.697 total; 0 since its plan
Hildale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Hurricane cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$86,614.397 total; 1 since its plan
Ivins cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$81,118.2710 total; 3 since its plan
La Verkin cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,150.677 total; 0 since its plan
Leeds townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded14 total; 5 since its plan
New Harmony townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded12 total; 1 since its plan
Rockville townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded35 total; 12 since its plan
Santa Clara cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,219,822.9914 total; 0 since its plan
Springdale townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$29,418.9460 total; 10 since its plan
St. George cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$7,637,845.1220 total; 2 since its plan
Toquerville cityTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$45,968.2111 total; 3 since its plan
Virgin townTownApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,362.4015 total; 2 since its plan
Washington cityCityApproved, expires 2027-07-12FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded9 total; 2 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2022-07-13county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$15,645,972n/a10$374n/a$1,370,0000.00239%
Cold Wave$1,347,999,719$10,297,8445,926$98$491$17,638under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$8,002,300n/an/a$68,737n/a0.859% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$57,462,896,809n/a180,279$1,802,419n/a$290,7250.00314%
Hail$33,985,748,834$21,192,232180,117$15,068$120$1,701under 0.0001%$7,500
Heat Wave$33,347,568,032$17,811,255177,397$119$1,932$3,735,111under 0.0001%$0
HurricaneNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice Storm$33,985,748,834n/a180,117$267n/a$108,538under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$33,974,099,318$2,614,0812,119$41,988,659$6,046$23,634,448n/a (see note)$316,500NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$908,573,309n/a4,065$95,382n/a$1,076,4290.0105%$1,000
Lightning$33,985,748,834n/a180,117$19,667n/a$5,650,651under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$33,985,748,834$21,192,232180,117$66,691$2,040$58,3160.000196%$52,000$0
Tornado$33,985,748,834$21,192,232180,117$1,746$36$29,606under 0.0001%
Volcanic Activity$33,985,748,834n/a180,117under $1n/a$74under 0.0001%
Wildfire$12,088,132,409$12,915,46372,887$64,191,487$654$3,369,1080.531%$35,050,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Winter Weather$33,985,739,459$21,192,232180,117$11,348$48$56,280under 0.0001%$2,220,000

Totals since 2022-07-13 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 84 county-coded records, 84 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $377,000; 58 zone-level records, 57 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $37,270,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: none recorded on the 1 counted declaration.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population180,117
Building value (total, not at risk)$33,985,748,834
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$21,192,232
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$108,273,429
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$39,398,625
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition2Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0020201
of which: Washington County (unincorporated area)0020201

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Washington County4902240020201
Apple Valley town4900260000000
Enterprise city4901690000000
Hildale city4901710000000
Hurricane city4901720000000
Ivins city4901730000000
La Verkin city4901740000000
Leeds town4901750000000
New Harmony town4900040000000
Rockville town4901760000000
Santa Clara city4901780000000
Springdale town4901790000000
St. George city4901770000000
Toquerville city4901800000000
Virgin town4901810000000
Washington city4901820000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0020201
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0000000
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 2 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Washington County, UT: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 49053). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ut/49053/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org