Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Lamar County, TX

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
48277
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-10-18. Plan: Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060), approved 2023-10-19.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-10-19: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4781-TX (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding).

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 69 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Tornado ($10,259,946 a year), Inland Flooding ($7,546,099) and Cold Wave ($5,105,438).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 2, SRL 4 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 17.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-10-18
Plan:
Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060)
Approved:
2023-10-19
Days to expiry:
749

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-10-19)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4781-TX (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
69 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 2, SRL 4 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 17
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Lamar CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-10-18Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060)2023-10-192028-10-18749
Blossom cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060)2023-10-192028-10-18749this jurisdiction approved 2023-11-22
Deport cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060)2023-10-192028-10-18749this jurisdiction approved 2023-11-22
Paris cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060)2023-10-192028-10-18749this jurisdiction approved 2023-11-22
Reno cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060)2023-10-192028-10-18749this jurisdiction approved 2023-11-22
Roxton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18Lamar County (FEMA plan 109060)2023-10-192028-10-18749this jurisdiction approved 2024-03-25
Fannindel Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-10-26Fannin County (FEMA plan 107110)2022-10-272027-10-26391
Honey Grove Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-10-26Fannin County (FEMA plan 107110)2022-10-272027-10-26391

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1TornadoRelatively HighRelatively High$3,674,724$1,288$6,583,935$10,259,94616
2Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$7,139,521$247,236$159,342$7,546,09954
3Cold WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$123,377$78$4,981,984$5,105,4387
4Ice StormVery HighVery High$2,138,149n/a$24,067$2,162,2166
5HailRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$1,886,198$33$66,615$1,952,846186
6Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$358$395$1,931,770$1,932,52352
7DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$823,108n/a$823,10879
8WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$551,625$717$52,840$605,1822
9Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$441,701$1,604$160,467$603,772136Includes 5 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
10EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$411,911n/a$87,153$499,064Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$33,154n/a$187,964$221,1183
12Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$111,117$469$830$112,41629
13HurricaneVery LowVery Low$81,862$18,122$2,420$102,4040Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$145n/a$5$1500No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 5 (Relatively Low, 70.9); tract 1.02 (Relatively Low, 70.7); tract 8 (Relatively Low, 68.5)
Hurricanetract 1.02 (Relatively Low, 57.6); tract 2 (Relatively Low, 55.7); tract 9 (Relatively Low, 53.3)
Landslidetract 1.02 (Relatively Low, 82.5); tract 1.01 (Very Low, 75.1); tract 2 (Very Low, 65.6)
Tornadotract 1.02 (Very High, 99.9); tract 9 (Very High, 99.8); tract 5 (Very High, 99.6)
Wildfiretract 1.02 (Relatively High, 96.6); tract 1.01 (Relatively Moderate, 95.4); tract 3.02 (Relatively Moderate, 94.0)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 5 is Census Tract 5). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill7 records, 2019 to 2026 (7 zone-level)1 day to 6 days (median 3 days); 7 with a recorded value6 consecutive days, 2021-02-14 to 2021-02-19, 1 direct death, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)79 records, 1996 to 2026 (79 zone-level)8 days to 342 days (median 80 days); 24 with a recorded value342 days (about 11.2 months), 2005-06-01 to 2006-05-08, a run of 12 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 2006-10-01, $500,000 property; $500,000 crops, reported for the zone (2006 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)269 records, 1962 to 20260.75 in to 2.75 in (median 1 in); 268 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 2020-04-24; same size also recorded on 1994-04-26, 1996-04-19, 1997-06-13, 2006-05-10, 2011-04-19, 2016-05-09, 2019-05-29Hail, 1996-04-19, $800,000 property; crops not reported (1996 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Paris city (57 records), Blossom city (14 records), Deport city (13 records), Roxton city (13 records), Reno city (5 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)52 records, 1998 to 2026 (52 zone-level)1 day to 85 days (median 4 days); 36 with a recorded valueJuly 2000 to September 2000 (3 monthly summary records), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)6 records, 1998 to 2023 (6 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2013-12-05, $20,000,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars); NWS zone TXZ095Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)54 records, 1996 to 2026 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2026-06-23, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2026 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Paris city (16 records), Deport city (2 records), Blossom city (1 record). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)3 records, 2002 to 2008Lightning, 2007-07-30, $500,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Paris city (2 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)8 records, 2005 to 2026 (8 zone-level)31 kt (36 mph) to 56 kt (64 mph) (median 43 kt (49 mph)); 8 with a recorded value56 kt (64 mph) estimated sustained, High Wind, 2006-03-09; NWS zone TXZ095High Wind, 2008-01-29, $250,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)198 records, 1957 to 202635 kt (40 mph) to 78 kt (90 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 120 with a recorded value78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2025-03-04Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Paris city (55 records), Roxton city (9 records), Deport city (6 records), Blossom city (5 records), Reno city (2 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)47 records, 1957 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF1); 44 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 1982-04-02, 17 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 250 yd wide, $25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1982 dollars), 10 direct deaths, 170 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Paris city (4 records), Deport city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)2 records, 2014 (2 zone-level)Wildfire, 2014-06-03, $10,000 property; $100,000 crops (2014 dollars); NWS zone TXZ095Countywide (zone-level records).Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)29 records, 1996 to 2026 (29 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 2011-01-09, $75,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars); NWS zone TXZ095Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 24 declarations covering 17 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-05-172024-04-26DR-4781-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Tornado$120,921.24new since last plan; within last 5 years
2021-02-192021-02-11DR-4586-TXMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Storm$17,354.71
2021-02-142021-02-11EM-3554-TXEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4586
2020-03-252020-01-20DR-4485-TXMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3458-TXEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4485
2016-03-192016-03-07DR-4266-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado$486,483.94
2015-05-292015-05-04DR-4223-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$2,197,545.04
2011-07-012011-04-06DR-1999-TXMajor disasterWildfiresWildfire$42,359.25
2008-09-102008-09-07EM-3294-TXEmergencyHurricane IkeHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2008-03-142008-03-14EM-3284-TXEmergencyWildfiresWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2007-06-292007-06-16DR-1709-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$452,857.47
2006-01-112005-11-27DR-1624-TXMajor disasterExtreme Wildfire ThreatWildfire$50,568.72
2005-09-242005-09-23DR-1606-TXMajor disasterHurricane RitaHurricane: evacuation support (county designated for sheltering evacuees, no Individual Assistance), not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-212005-09-20EM-3261-TXEmergencyHurricane RitaHurricane: evacuation support (county designated for sheltering evacuees, no Individual Assistance), not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1606
2005-09-022005-08-29EM-3216-TXEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2001-01-082000-12-12DR-1356-TXMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice StormIce Storm$3,210,834.96
1999-09-011999-08-01EM-3142-TXEmergencyExtreme Fire HazardsWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1998-08-261998-08-22DR-1239-TXMajor disasterTropical Storm CharleyHurricane; Inland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
1994-04-291994-04-25DR-1026-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornadoPA not declared for this county
1990-05-021990-04-15DR-863-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1989-05-191989-05-04DR-828-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1982-04-081982-04-08DR-655-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms & TornadoesTornadono Public Assistance recorded
1972-01-271972-01-27DR-320-TXMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1966-05-121966-05-12DR-218-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1998-06-231998-06-04EM-3127-TXEmergencyFireWildfire
1963-09-241963-09-24DR-159-TXMajor disasterHurricane CindyHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1961-09-161961-09-16DR-118-TXMajor disasterHurricane CarlaHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1960-07-151960-07-15DR-103-TXMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Hail, Floods & TornadoesHail; Inland Flooding; Tornado
1959-07-081959-07-08DR-93-TXMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1958-06-061958-06-06DR-85-TXMajor disasterTornadoes, Rain, Hail & FloodsTornado (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding
1957-04-291957-04-29DR-72-TXMajor disasterHurricane, Rain, Wind, Hail & FloodsHurricane (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding
1954-07-011954-07-01DR-18-TXMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1953-06-191953-06-19DR-9-TXMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1953-05-151953-05-15DR-2-TXMajor disasterTornado & Heavy RainfallTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

91 Fire Management declarations (1988-03-12 to 2009-04-10) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance not placed in any Texas county: 1 row, $902,084.65; listed on the Texas state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave7505001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought7910120001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail26910313001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave52151032001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Ice Storm6011201996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding5410010811996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning3000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind20612317211955 to 2026-06-30Includes 5 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records.
Tornado47527811950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire2000401996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather29214001996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-06-23Flash Flood$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2026 dollars)0, 0BLOSSOM to SYLVANnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2025-03-04Thunderstorm Wind78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust$500,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)0, 0MINTERnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2021-02-14Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$1,650,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)1, 0NWS zone TXZ095 (LAMAR), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2020-04-24Hail2.75 in$100,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)0, 0PARKSB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2014-06-03Wildfire$10,000 property; $100,000 crops, reported for the zone (2014 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ095 (LAMAR), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2013-12-05Ice Storm$20,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2013 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ095 (LAMAR), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2007-07-30Lightning$500,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)0, 0AMHERST to PARISB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2006-03-09High Wind56 kt (64 mph) estimated sustained$50,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2006 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ095 (LAMAR), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2005-06-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TXZ095 (LAMAR), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2000-07-01Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TXZ095 (LAMAR), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1982-04-02TornadoF4, 17 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 250 yd wide$25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1982 dollars)10, 170location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1957-04-02TornadoF2, 6.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1957 dollars)1, 2location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (754 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave0.842event-days per yearabout 0.842 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 4 of 30 years)event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)162005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought38event-days per yearabout 38 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 18 of 30 years)event-days in 18 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (60%)1,2882000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00147annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.147%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail5.24events per yearabout 5.24 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)199.2 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave15.3event-days per yearabout 15.3 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 12 of 30 years)event-days in 12 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (40%)2502005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0142events per yearabout 1 in 70 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.25event-days per yearabout 1.25 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 6 of 30 years)event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)841946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.07event-days per yearabout 1.07 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 16 of 30 years)event-days in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)301996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.153events per year (modeled)about 1 in 7 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning58.3days per year with a strikeabout 58.3 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind3.37events per yearabout 3.37 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1281986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.649events per yearabout 0.65 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0019annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.19%Possible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)Storm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI.
Winter Weather4.16event-days per yearabout 4.16 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 19 of 30 years)event-days in 19 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (63.3%)792005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 2025104303.47
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 202518300.6
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202592303.07
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20258300.267
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202526300.867
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202512300.4
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20251300.0333
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave13 of 1390.193.698.0Very High 5, Relatively High 8
Drought8 of 1384.192.098.4Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 4, No Rating 5
Earthquake13 of 1337.258.270.9Relatively Low 12, Very Low 1
Hail13 of 1390.195.198.8Very High 1, Relatively High 12
Heat Wave13 of 1382.388.194.4Relatively High 11, Relatively Moderate 2
Hurricane13 of 1344.851.257.6Relatively Low 5, Very Low 8
Ice Storm13 of 1397.399.099.9Very High 12, Relatively High 1
Inland Flooding13 of 1332.651.085.2Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 6
Landslide13 of 139.737.382.5Relatively Low 1, Very Low 12
Lightning13 of 1355.664.083.8Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 11
Strong Wind13 of 1366.780.092.1Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 7
Tornado13 of 1397.199.099.9Very High 13
Wildfire13 of 1325.690.896.6Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 2, Very Low 2
Winter Weather13 of 1367.381.294.5Relatively High 9, Relatively Moderate 4

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Lamar CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-10-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$4,721,412.840 total; 0 since its plan
Blossom cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$104,439.1820 total; 2 since its plan
Deport cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$25,031.6322 total; 1 since its plan
Paris cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18FMA RL 2, SRL 4; any 16$1,515,687.79134 total; 1 since its plan
Reno cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$91,984.087 total; 0 since its plan
Roxton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$25,312.2122 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets
  • Texas A&M Forest Service TxWRAP for wildfire risk; Texas State Hazard Mitigation Plan hazard list for B1-a exclusions.

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-10-19county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$16,377,270,978$94,603,85750,073$123,377$78$4,981,9840.000753%$0
Droughtn/a$22,711,528n/an/a$823,108n/a3.62% (agriculture)$100,000NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$30,302,176,215n/a50,088$411,911n/a$87,1530.00136%
Hail$16,377,302,225$94,603,85750,073$1,886,198$33$66,6150.0115%$28,000
Heat Wave$16,377,270,978$94,603,85750,073$358$395$1,931,770under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$16,269,897,217$91,278,31349,926$81,862$18,122$2,4200.000503%
Ice Storm$16,377,270,978n/a50,073$2,138,149n/a$24,0670.0131%
Inland Flooding$16,373,819,637$16,597,6162,233$7,139,521$247,236$159,342n/a (see note)$1,301,000$120,921.24NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$17,356,502n/a46$145n/a$50.000836%
Lightning$16,377,302,225n/a50,073$33,154n/a$187,9640.000202%
Strong Wind$16,377,302,225$94,603,85750,073$441,701$1,604$160,4670.0027%$884,000$0$120,921.24
Tornado$16,377,302,225$94,603,85750,073$3,674,724$1,288$6,583,9350.0224%$3,000$120,921.24
Wildfire$3,953,381,599$53,520,28819,096$551,625$717$52,8400.014%
Winter Weather$16,377,270,978$94,603,85750,073$111,117$469$8300.000678%$10,000

Totals since 2023-10-19 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 36 county-coded records, 36 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $2,216,000; 33 zone-level records, 33 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $110,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $120,921.24 on 1 counted declaration.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population50,073
Building value (total, not at risk)$16,377,302,225
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$94,603,857
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$17,686,891
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$14,239,393
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively High
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)4
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition16Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition3

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total241631719
of which: Paris city241531618
of which: Blossom town0010101
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file381271319

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Lamar County4808910000000
Blossom city4808920010101
Deport city4804260000000
Paris city480427241531618
Reno city4812540000000
Roxton city4804280000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential241531618
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0010101
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 14 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Lamar County, TX: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 48277). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/tx/48277/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.