Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Denton County, TX

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
48121
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-04-10. Plan: Denton County (FEMA plan 107449), approved 2023-04-11.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-04-11: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4781-TX (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding).

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 307 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Tornado ($145,336,305 a year), Inland Flooding ($119,257,207) and Hail ($42,989,563).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 9 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 42.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-04-10
Plan:
Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)
Approved:
2023-04-11
Days to expiry:
558

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-04-11)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4781-TX (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
307 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 9 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 42
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 44 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Denton CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Argyle cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Aubrey cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Bartonville townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Carrollton cityCityApproved, expires 2030-06-29Dallas County (FEMA plan 110535)2025-06-302030-06-291,368this jurisdiction approved 2025-09-18
Celina cityCityApproved, expires 2027-06-14Collin County (FEMA plan 108155)2022-06-152027-06-14257
Coppell cityCityApproved, expires 2030-06-29Dallas County (FEMA plan 110535)2025-06-302030-06-291,368this jurisdiction approved 2025-09-18
Copper Canyon townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Corinth cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Cross Roads townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Dallas cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-04Dallas (FEMA plan 109246)2024-09-052029-09-041,070
Denton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
DISH townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Double Oak townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-07-20
Flower Mound townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Fort Worth cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22Tarrant County (FEMA plan 110401)2025-12-232030-12-221,544this jurisdiction approved 2026-09-10
Frisco cityCityApproved, expires 2027-06-14Collin County (FEMA plan 108155)2022-06-152027-06-14257
Grapevine cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22Tarrant County (FEMA plan 110401)2025-12-232030-12-221,544this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-11
Hackberry townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Haslet cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22Tarrant County (FEMA plan 110401)2025-12-232030-12-221,544this jurisdiction approved 2026-06-16
Hebron townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Hickory Creek townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Highland Village cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Justin cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Krugerville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Krum cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Lake Dallas cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Lakewood Village cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Lewisville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Little Elm cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Northlake townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Oak Point cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Pilot Point cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Plano cityCityApproved, expires 2029-05-07Plano (FEMA plan 108705)2024-05-082029-05-07950
Ponder townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Prosper townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-14Collin County (FEMA plan 108155)2022-06-152027-06-14257
Providence Village townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Roanoke cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Sanger cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Shady Shores townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Southlake cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22Tarrant County (FEMA plan 110401)2025-12-232030-12-221,544this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-11
The Colony cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558
Trophy Club townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10Denton County (FEMA plan 107449)2023-04-112028-04-10558this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-08
Westlake townTownApproved, expires 2030-12-22Tarrant County (FEMA plan 110401)2025-12-232030-12-221,544this jurisdiction approved 2026-06-16

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1TornadoVery HighVery High$32,950,555$3,053$112,382,700$145,336,30530
2Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$113,117,008$45,651$6,094,548$119,257,207156
3HailVery HighVery High$41,418,209$958$1,570,396$42,989,563698
4Heat WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$3,825$785$20,229,047$20,233,65663
5Cold WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$921,815$129,977$12,956,529$14,008,3218
6Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$630,095$463$2,726,816$3,357,374387Includes 5 High Wind and 5 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
7Ice StormVery HighVery High$1,837,191n/a$1,468,277$3,305,4687
8WildfireRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$2,765,851$1,664$275,713$3,043,2284
9EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$1,247,008n/a$213,790$1,460,798Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
10LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively High$333,407n/a$685,000$1,018,40751
11Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$398,431$916$14,893$414,24042
12HurricaneVery LowRelatively Low$202,469$23,073$10,166$235,7071Includes 1 Tropical Depression record (outside NRI's Hurricane definition).
13DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$68,757n/a$68,75783
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$957n/a$657$1,6150No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 206.01 (Relatively Low, 72.8); tract 209 (Relatively Low, 70.3); tract 203.22 (Relatively Low, 49.3)
Hurricanetract 201.29 (Very Low, 48.2); tract 209 (Very Low, 45.8); tract 203.12 (Very Low, 44.6)
Landslidetract 215.12 (Relatively Low, 85.9); tract 202.04 (Relatively Low, 81.4); tract 203.13 (Very Low, 78.6)
Tornadotract 201.28 (Very High, 99.8); tract 203.20 (Very High, 99.8); tract 214.15 (Very High, 99.8)
Wildfiretract 202.04 (Relatively Moderate, 96.2); tract 202.07 (Relatively Moderate, 96.0); tract 203.14 (Relatively Moderate, 95.9)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 206.01 is Census Tract 206.01). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill8 records, 1997 to 2026 (8 zone-level)1 day to 6 days (median 3 days); 8 with a recorded value6 consecutive days, 2021-02-14 to 2021-02-19, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)83 records, 1996 to 2024 (83 zone-level)8 days to 373 days (median 43 days); 24 with a recorded value373 days (about 12.3 months), 2005-05-01 to 2006-05-08, a run of 13 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 2006-10-01, $500,000 property; $500,000 crops, reported for the zone (2006 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)819 records, 1955 to 20260.75 in to 5.9 in (median 1 in); 817 with a recorded value5.9 in hail, 2023-06-15Hail, 2014-04-03, $500,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Denton city (74 records), Lewisville city (72 records), Roanoke city (43 records), Little Elm city (42 records), Krum city (39 records), Sanger city (38 records), Argyle city (31 records), Justin city (31 records), Aubrey city (29 records), Bartonville town (24 records); and 6 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)63 records, 1996 to 2026 (63 zone-level)1 day to 85 days (median 4 days); 42 with a recorded valueJuly 2000 to September 2000 (3 monthly summary records), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson1 record, 2015 (1 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Tropical Depression record, 2015-06-17, $500,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars); NWS zone TXZ103Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)7 records, 1998 to 2023 (7 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2011-02-01, $150,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars); NWS zone TXZ103Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)156 records, 1996 to 2026 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2015-05-09, $6,500,000 property; $500,000 crops (2015 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Denton city (35 records), Justin city (19 records), Lewisville city (15 records), Krum city (14 records), Sanger city (10 records), Bartonville town (9 records), Little Elm city (8 records), Corinth city (7 records), Hebron town (7 records), Roanoke city (6 records); and 6 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)51 records, 1996 to 2025Lightning, 1996-06-12, damage not reported, 1 direct death, 2 direct injuriesLightning, 2023-05-30, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bartonville town (6 records), Denton city (5 records), Lewisville city (4 records), Little Elm city (3 records), Argyle city (2 records), Frisco city (2 records), Hebron town (2 records), Ponder town (2 records), Roanoke city (2 records), Sanger city (2 records); and 3 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)10 records, 2005 to 2026 (10 zone-level)31 kt (36 mph) to 61 kt (70 mph) (median 49 kt (56 mph)); 10 with a recorded value61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2017-05-18; NWS zone TXZ103High Wind, 2007-02-24, $225,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2007 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)516 records, 1955 to 202535 kt (40 mph) to 96 kt (110 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 378 with a recorded value96 kt (110 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1989-06-13Thunderstorm Wind, 2023-03-02, $2,000,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Denton city (64 records), Sanger city (40 records), Lewisville city (36 records), Krum city (30 records), Justin city (23 records), Corinth city (19 records), Roanoke city (18 records), Argyle city (15 records), Aubrey city (13 records), Little Elm city (12 records); and 7 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)58 records, 1950 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 56 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1966-06-12, 3.6 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 133 yd wide, damage not recorded (pre-1996 record)Tornado, 2024-05-25, $4,180,000 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Lewisville city (4 records), Denton city (3 records), Argyle city (2 records), Aubrey city (2 records), Krum city (2 records), Sanger city (2 records), Bartonville town (1 record), Corinth city (1 record), Hebron town (1 record), Justin city (1 record); and 2 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)4 records, 1996 to 2023 (3 zone-level)Wildfire, 2012-05-23, $40,000 property; $15,000 crops (2012 dollars); NWS zone TXZ103Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Justin city (1 record). Zone-level records (3) apply countywide.Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)42 records, 1996 to 2026 (42 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 2010-02-11, $2,000,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars); NWS zone TXZ103Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Where a hazard names more than 10 jurisdictions, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every one is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 24 declarations covering 16 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-05-172024-04-26DR-4781-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Tornadono Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2021-02-192021-02-11DR-4586-TXMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Storm$685,067.23
2021-02-142021-02-11EM-3554-TXEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4586
2020-03-252020-01-20DR-4485-TXMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$5,087,888.87
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3458-TXEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4485
2015-05-292015-05-04DR-4223-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$4,886,787.91
2008-09-102008-09-07EM-3294-TXEmergencyHurricane IkeHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2008-08-292008-08-27EM-3290-TXEmergencyHurricane GustavHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2008-03-142008-03-14EM-3284-TXEmergencyWildfiresWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2007-06-292007-06-16DR-1709-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$436,182.09
2007-05-012007-04-21DR-1697-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornadoPA not declared for this county
2006-06-272006-06-27FM-2651-TXFire managementNorth Trinity FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2006-01-112005-11-27DR-1624-TXMajor disasterExtreme Wildfire ThreatWildfire$84,007.05
2005-09-242005-09-23DR-1606-TXMajor disasterHurricane RitaHurricane: evacuation support (county designated for sheltering evacuees, no Individual Assistance), not a local hazard event; not counted$5,247.42
2005-09-212005-09-20EM-3261-TXEmergencyHurricane RitaHurricane: evacuation support (county designated for sheltering evacuees, no Individual Assistance), not a local hazard event; not counted$3,350same incident as DR-1606
2005-09-022005-08-29EM-3216-TXEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted$818,427.05
2003-02-012003-02-01EM-3171-TXEmergencyLoss of the Space Shuttle ColumbiaNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
1999-09-011999-08-01EM-3142-TXEmergencyExtreme Fire HazardsWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1998-08-261998-08-22DR-1239-TXMajor disasterTropical Storm CharleyHurricane; Inland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
1996-02-231996-02-23EM-3117-TXEmergencyExtreme Fire HazardWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1993-09-101993-08-30EM-3113-TXEmergencyExtreme Fire HazardDrought (primary); also designated: Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1990-05-021990-04-15DR-863-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1989-05-191989-05-04DR-828-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1974-11-301974-11-30DR-454-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1998-06-231998-06-04EM-3127-TXEmergencyFireWildfire
1963-09-241963-09-24DR-159-TXMajor disasterHurricane CindyHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1961-09-161961-09-16DR-118-TXMajor disasterHurricane CarlaHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1960-07-151960-07-15DR-103-TXMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Hail, Floods & TornadoesHail; Inland Flooding; Tornado
1959-07-081959-07-08DR-93-TXMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1958-06-061958-06-06DR-85-TXMajor disasterTornadoes, Rain, Hail & FloodsTornado (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding
1957-04-291957-04-29DR-72-TXMajor disasterHurricane, Rain, Wind, Hail & FloodsHurricane (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding
1954-07-011954-07-01DR-18-TXMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1953-06-191953-06-19DR-9-TXMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1953-05-151953-05-15DR-2-TXMajor disasterTornado & Heavy RainfallTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

91 Fire Management declarations (1988-03-12 to 2009-04-10) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance not placed in any Texas county: 1 row, $902,084.65; listed on the Texas state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave8505001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought836414101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail81916615210001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave6327734001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane1000201996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Tropical Depression record.
Ice Storm7011101996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding15618120611996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning5111011001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind526671691211955 to 2026-06-30Includes 5 High Wind and 5 Strong Wind records.
Tornado58405611950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire4101601996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather42214001996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2023-06-15Hail5.9 in$10,000,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)0, 0SANGERnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2021-02-14Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$16,700,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ103 (DENTON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2017-05-18High Wind61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ103 (DENTON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2015-05-09Flash Flood$6,500,000 property; $500,000 crops (2015 dollars)0, 0SANGER to KRUMB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2012-07-07Thunderstorm Wind43 kt (49 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)2, 0GARZA RESdeaths or injuries recorded
2012-05-23Wildfire$40,000 property; $15,000 crops, reported for the zone (2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ103 (DENTON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2011-02-01Ice Storm$150,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ103 (DENTON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2000-07-01Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TXZ103 (DENTON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1998-07-01Heatdamage not reported4, 0NWS zone TXZ103 (DENTON), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
1996-11-24Flash Flooddamage not reported3, 0DENTONdeaths or injuries recorded
1989-06-13Thunderstorm Wind96 kt (110 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1966-06-12TornadoF3, 3.6 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 133 yd widedamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,818 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave1.05event-days per yearabout 1.05 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 5 of 30 years)event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)202005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought30.4event-days per yearabout 30.4 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 17 of 30 years)event-days in 17 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (56.7%)1,2952000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00104annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.104%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail9.74events per yearabout 9.74 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)369.5 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave18.2event-days per yearabout 18.2 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 14 of 30 years)event-days in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)2962005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0115events per yearabout 1 in 87 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)21851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.19event-days per yearabout 1.19 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 7 of 30 years)event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)801946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding3.11event-days per yearabout 3.11 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 26 of 30 years)event-days in 26 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (86.7%)871996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.123events per year (modeled)about 1 in 8 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning54.6days per year with a strikeabout 54.6 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind4.39events per yearabout 4.39 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1681986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.947events per yearabout 0.95 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.00207annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.207%Likely (from Storm Events: 4 of 30 years)Storm Events records in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI.
Winter Weather4.84event-days per yearabout 4.84 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 25 of 30 years)event-days in 25 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (83.3%)922005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 20254083013.6
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 202588302.93
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025263308.77
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202545301.5
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202569302.3
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202528300.933
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20251300.0333

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave193 of 19328.554.176.3Relatively Moderate 140, Relatively Low 53
Drought71 of 19366.871.589.6Relatively Low 15, Very Low 56, No Rating 122
Earthquake193 of 1933.116.372.8Relatively Low 8, Very Low 185
Hail193 of 19375.094.999.7Very High 25, Relatively High 151, Relatively Moderate 17
Heat Wave193 of 19335.174.992.1Relatively High 29, Relatively Moderate 154, Relatively Low 10
Hurricane193 of 19322.033.048.2Very Low 193
Ice Storm193 of 19338.576.292.1Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 141, Relatively Low 48
Inland Flooding193 of 1932.637.995.0Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 61, Relatively Low 86, Very Low 36
Landslide182 of 19310.738.685.9Relatively Low 2, Very Low 180, No Rating 11
Lightning193 of 1936.624.848.3Relatively Low 134, Very Low 59
Strong Wind193 of 19319.445.769.5Relatively Moderate 43, Relatively Low 149, Very Low 1
Tornado193 of 19370.197.199.8Very High 146, Relatively High 46, Relatively Moderate 1
Wildfire179 of 19319.367.696.2Relatively Moderate 29, Relatively Low 60, Very Low 90, No Rating 14
Winter Weather193 of 19320.439.877.2Relatively Moderate 46, Relatively Low 147

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Denton CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 5$5,234,723.950 total; 0 since its planIncludes $4,488,148.49 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4485-TX, EM-3216-TX).
Argyle cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$10,398.2654 total; 9 since its plan
Aubrey cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded49 total; 4 since its plan
Bartonville townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$10,126.8243 total; 12 since its plan
Carrollton cityCityApproved, expires 2030-06-29FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2no Public Assistance recorded9 total; 1 since its planWhole community, including the part in Dallas County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Celina cityCityApproved, expires 2027-06-14FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Coppell cityCityApproved, expires 2030-06-29FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Dallas County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Copper Canyon townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$19,861.530 total; 0 since its plan
Corinth cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$61,121.6248 total; 5 since its plan
Cross Roads townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$22,451.590 total; 0 since its plan
Dallas cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-04FMA RL 9, SRL 20; any 97no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Collin County and Dallas County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Denton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 8$630,931.34181 total; 19 since its planIncludes $491,304.86 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-1606-TX, DR-4485-TX, EM-3216-TX, EM-3261-TX).
DISH townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Double Oak townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 2$15,071.480 total; 0 since its plan
Flower Mound townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 6$302,838.540 total; 0 since its planIncludes $24,562.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4485-TX).
Fort Worth cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22FMA RL 2, SRL 8; any 62no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Frisco cityCityApproved, expires 2027-06-14FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3no Public Assistance recorded2 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Collin County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 0, FMA SRL 0, NFIP RL 2, NFIP SRL 0, any category 2.
Grapevine cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 10no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Hackberry townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Haslet cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Hebron townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded31 total; 8 since its plan
Hickory Creek townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$23,920.761 total; 0 since its plan
Highland Village cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$211,719.470 total; 0 since its plan
Justin cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded76 total; 13 since its plan
Krugerville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Krum cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$43,382.6186 total; 8 since its plan
Lake Dallas cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$032 total; 8 since its plan
Lakewood Village cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$9,057.420 total; 0 since its plan
Lewisville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 7$539,546.96131 total; 17 since its planIncludes $361,855.07 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4485-TX, EM-3216-TX).
Little Elm cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$596,630.8966 total; 12 since its planIncludes $25,643.81 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4485-TX).
Northlake townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Oak Point cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Pilot Point cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$47,512.101 total; 0 since its plan
Plano cityCityApproved, expires 2029-05-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 8no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Collin County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Ponder townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded39 total; 5 since its plan
Prosper townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-14FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Providence Village townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Roanoke cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded70 total; 15 since its plan
Sanger cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 1$2,488.8092 total; 14 since its plan
Shady Shores townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$194,781.540 total; 0 since its plan
Southlake cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3no Public Assistance recorded1 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
The Colony cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$143,793.552 total; 0 since its plan
Trophy Club townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$74,389.620 total; 0 since its plan
Westlake townTownApproved, expires 2030-12-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets
  • Texas A&M Forest Service TxWRAP for wildfire risk; Texas State Hazard Mitigation Plan hazard list for B1-a exclusions.

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-04-11county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$177,416,071,590$158,649,334906,057$921,815$129,977$12,956,5290.00052%$0
Droughtn/a$25,713,643n/an/a$68,757n/a0.267% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$301,109,862,515n/a906,422$1,247,008n/a$213,7900.000414%
Hail$177,416,089,865$158,649,334906,057$41,418,209$958$1,570,3960.0233%$57,555,000
Heat Wave$177,416,071,590$158,649,334906,057$3,825$785$20,229,047under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$176,358,705,909$157,929,293902,148$202,469$23,073$10,1660.000115%
Ice Storm$177,399,629,388n/a905,931$1,837,191n/a$1,468,2770.00104%
Inland Flooding$177,280,784,065$19,955,64413,635$113,117,008$45,651$6,094,548n/a (see note)$845,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$493,402,945n/a2,347$957n/a$6570.000194%
Lightning$177,416,089,865n/a906,057$333,407n/a$685,0000.000188%$3,435,000
Strong Wind$177,416,089,865$158,649,334906,057$630,095$463$2,726,8160.000355%$2,345,500$4,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)Storm Events damage since the plan includes 1 zone-level High Wind record ($1,000) and 2 zone-level Strong Wind records ($3,000): NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition.
Tornado$177,416,089,865$158,649,334906,057$32,950,555$3,053$112,382,7000.0186%$5,180,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Wildfire$25,192,339,362$98,162,265158,708$2,765,851$1,664$275,7130.011%
Winter Weather$177,416,071,590$158,649,334906,057$398,431$916$14,8930.000225%$7,000

Totals since 2023-04-11 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 261 county-coded records, 261 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $69,360,500; 46 zone-level records, 45 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $11,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: none recorded on the 1 counted declaration.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population906,057
Building value (total, not at risk)$177,416,089,865
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$158,649,334
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively High
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$196,102,117
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$158,628,532
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)9
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition42Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition7

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0942742017
of which: Frisco city0020201
of which: Denton city0282802
of which: Lewisville city0270702
of which: Denton County (unincorporated area)0151504
of which: Argyle town0010101
of which: Flower Mound town0161602
of which: Pilot Point city0010100
of which: Sanger city0111101
of which: Highland Village city0020201
of which: Corinth city0020201
of which: Cross Roads town0010101
of which: Double Oak town0222200
of which: The Colony city0010100
of which: Trophy Club town0020201
of which: Oak Point city0010100
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file381271319

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Denton County4807740151504
Argyle city4807750010101
Aubrey city4807760000000
Bartonville town4815010000000
Carrollton city4801670020200Whole community, including the part in Dallas County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Celina city4801330000000
Coppell city4801700010101Whole community, including the part in Dallas County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Copper Canyon town4815080000000
Corinth city4811430020201
Cross Roads town4815130010101
Dallas city480171920931797245Whole community, including the part in Collin County and Dallas County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Denton city4801940282802
DISH town4802290000000
Double Oak town4815160222200
Flower Mound town4807770161602
Fort Worth city4805962861762111Whole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Frisco city4801340030302Whole community, including the part in Collin County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 0, FMA SRL 0, NFIP RL 2, NFIP SRL 0, any category 2.
Grapevine city480598001001000Whole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Hackberry town4816070000000
Haslet city4806000000000
Hebron town4814950000000
Hickory Creek town4811500000000
Highland Village city4811050020201
Justin city4807780000000
Krugerville city4816610000000
Krum city4807790000000
Lake Dallas city4807800000000
Lakewood Village city4816630000000
Lewisville city4801950270702
Little Elm city4811520000000
Northlake town4807820000000
Oak Point city4816390010100
Pilot Point city4807830010100
Plano city4801400080804Whole community, including the part in Collin County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Ponder town4807840000000
Prosper town4801410000000
Providence Village town4808030000000
Roanoke city4807850000000
Sanger city4807860111101
Shady Shores town4811350000000
Southlake city4806120030302Whole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
The Colony city4815810010100
Trophy Club town4816060020201
Westlake town4806140000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0736536014
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0010101
non-residential0252502
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 42 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Denton County, TX: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 48121). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/tx/48121/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.