Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Franklin County, TN

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 47051
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
Expired on 2025-01-07
Plan
Franklin County (FEMA plan 105693)
Approved
2020-01-08
Expires
2025-01-07
As of
2026-09-28
Days
629 days since expiry
Update underway
none in FEMA's plan tracker

Generally not eligible for FEMA mitigation project grants (HMGP, FMA) until a new plan is approved, barring a 44 CFR 201.6(a)(3) exception. Planning grants are not affected.

What changed since your last plan (approved 2020-01-08)

New federal declarations
EM-3473-TN (non-natural, not counted), DR-4514-TN (non-natural, not counted), EM-3625-TN, EM-3635-TN, DR-4898-TN (5 declaration rows; 2 counted incidents)
Storm Events records since approval
200 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 5
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Franklin CountyCountyExpired on 2025-01-07Franklin County (FEMA plan 105693)2020-01-082025-01-07-629
Cowan cityCityExpired on 2025-01-07Franklin County (FEMA plan 105693)2020-01-082025-01-07-629member approved 2021-10-19
Decherd cityCityExpired on 2025-01-07Franklin County (FEMA plan 105693)2020-01-082025-01-07-629member approved 2020-09-10
Estill Springs townTownExpired on 2025-01-07Franklin County (FEMA plan 105693)2020-01-082025-01-07-629
Huntland townTownExpired on 2025-01-07Franklin County (FEMA plan 105693)2020-01-082025-01-07-629member approved 2021-10-19
Winchester cityCityExpired on 2025-01-07Franklin County (FEMA plan 105693)2020-01-082025-01-07-629member approved 2021-10-19

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$8,458,058$29,318$56,745$8,544,12055
2Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$9,789$118,579$3,597,534$3,725,90392Includes 62 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
3TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,384,830$8,331$2,045,143$3,438,30528
4EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$1,190,012$581,576$1,771,588Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
5Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$160,364$10,737$610,174$781,276235Includes 5 High Wind records and 3 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
6DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$472,131$472,13149
7Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$37$705$228,040$228,78219
8LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$20,328$172,026$192,35310
9HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$156,032$2,279$12,612$170,92378
10Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$63,054$6$70,606$133,66587
11Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$85,086$28,219$113,3055
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$40,484$16,628$1,524$58,6362
13WildfireVery LowVery Low$4,438$24$1,664$6,1260No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$80$297$3770No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
AvalancheNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates avalanche Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Coastal FloodingNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates coastal flooding Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates tsunami Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
Volcanic ActivityNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates volcanic activity Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 10
Coastal FloodingCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 10
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.10 of 10
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.10 of 10
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.10 of 10
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.10 of 10
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.10 of 10
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 10
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 10
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.10 of 10
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.10 of 10

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill30, 2009 to 2026 (30 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 2 days); 17 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2025-01-19 to 2025-01-22, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage62, 2007 to 2025 (62 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 62 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale49, 2007 to 2026 (49 zone-level)8 days to 173 days (median 50 days); 15 with a recorded value173 days (about 5.7 months), 2007-03-13 to 2007-09-01, a run of 7 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)86, 1974 to 20250.75 in to 2.75 in (median 0.88 in); 86 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 2012-03-02Hail, 2005-06-20, $20,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars)Event records naming member places: Winchester city (26 records), Huntland town (8 records), Cowan city (7 records), Decherd city (6 records), Estill Springs town (5 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)19, 2007 to 2025 (19 zone-level)1 day to 31 days (median 2 days); 15 with a recorded value31 days, 2007-08-01 to 2007-08-31, from 1 monthly summary record (a monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions), zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson2, 2005 to 2005 (2 zone-level)Strongest recorded (records with damage, a wind speed or direct casualties first, then storm type, category and wind): Tropical Storm record, 2005-08-29 to 2005-08-30, damage not reported; NWS zone TNZ097 (FRANKLIN), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)5, 2006 to 2021 (5 zone-level)No damage reported in 5 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)55, 1998 to 2025 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2010-11-30, $2,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)Event records naming member places: Winchester city (14 records), Decherd city (4 records), Estill Springs town (4 records), Huntland town (4 records), Cowan city (1 record). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)10, 1996 to 2012Lightning, 2006-08-21, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)Event records naming member places: Winchester city (5 records), Estill Springs town (2 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)8, 2004 to 2023 (8 zone-level)39 kt (45 mph) to 52 kt (60 mph) (median 46.5 kt (54 mph)); 8 with a recorded value52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2009-12-24; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2009-02-11; NWS zone TNZ097 (FRANKLIN), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)262, 1958 to 202635 kt (40 mph) to 78 kt (90 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 218 with a recorded value78 kt (90 mph) estimated, Thunderstorm Wind, 2000-06-21Thunderstorm Wind, 1995-07-03, $100,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)Event records naming member places: Winchester city (50 records), Estill Springs town (25 records), Huntland town (22 records), Decherd city (20 records), Cowan city (15 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)36, 1952 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF1); 36 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 1952-02-13, 11.4 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 100 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1952 dollars), 3 direct deaths, 35 direct injuriesTornado, 1996-11-07, $500,000 property; $10,000 crops (1996 dollars)Event records naming member places: Huntland town (6 records), Decherd city (3 records), Cowan city (1 record), Estill Springs town (1 record).From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)87, 1996 to 2026 (87 zone-level)No damage reported in 87 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
15
Counted incidents
11

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-02-062026-01-22DR-4898-TNMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2026-01-242026-01-22EM-3635-TNEmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4898
2025-04-022025-04-02EM-3625-TNEmergencySEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadonone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-04-022020-01-20DR-4514-TNMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$2,739,721.11new since last plan
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3473-TNEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundnew since last plansame incident as DR-4514
2011-05-012011-04-25DR-1974-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$207,719.21
2011-03-312011-02-28DR-1965-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$33,399.50
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3217-TNEmergencyHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countednone found
1999-01-191999-01-17DR-1262-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND HIGH WINDSStrong Wind; Tornado$106,638.43
1999-01-151998-12-23DR-1260-TNMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weather$94,135.90
1994-02-281994-02-09DR-1010-TNMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODINGIce Storm; Inland Flooding; Winter Weathernone found
1993-03-141993-03-13EM-3095-TNEmergencySEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone found
1991-01-041990-12-19DR-889-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1974-04-041974-04-04DR-424-TNMajor disasterTORNADOESTornadonone found
1973-03-211973-03-21DR-366-TNMajor disasterHEAVY RAINS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Statewide declarations

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardFlagsNotes
1963-03-271963-03-27DR-151-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county. Listed on every county page in the state; not counted with county rows.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

Public Assistance not placed in a county in this state: 5 rows, $12,113,670.26

Disaster numberDeclaredApplicantCounty field in FEMA dataPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsWhy not placed
48322024-10-02SkyLine Telephone Membership CorporationAshe County$34,687.08county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
46372022-01-14West Kentucky Rural Telephone Cooperative CorporationGraves County$8,963.27county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
45142020-04-02Asbury, Inc.Frederick County$12,046,725.04county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
19092010-05-04TIPPAH ELECTRIC POWER ASSOCIATION(1)Tippah County$17,127.93county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
14642003-05-08West Kentucky Rural Telephone Cooperative CorporationGraves County$6,166.94county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under a county field that is not a county of this state (an Alaska school area, the former Valdez-Cordova Census Area, or another state's county), and the applicant name does not identify one place here. They are listed for the whole state and are not in any county total. Check whether any of them worked in your county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave9246637001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 62 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Drought4916116001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail86716001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave1911111001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm5100101996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding551501611996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning10000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind27073744311955 to 2026-06-30Includes 5 High Wind records and 3 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado36806511950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather8723314411996 to 2026-06-30

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-01-19Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ097 (FRANKLIN), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2012-03-02Hail2.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)0, 0DECHERDB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2011-02-28TornadoEF0, 3.1 mi within this county, 600 yd wide$40,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)1, 0AWALT to BEECH HILLdeaths or injuries recorded
2010-11-30Flash Flood$2,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)0, 0BEANS CREEK to MAXWELLB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2009-12-24High Wind52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust$30,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2009 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ097 (FRANKLIN), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2007-08-01Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2007 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ097 (FRANKLIN), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2007-03-13Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TNZ097 (FRANKLIN), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2006-08-21Lightning$50,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)0, 0ESTILL SPGSB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2005-08-29Tropical Stormdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TNZ097 (FRANKLIN), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2000-06-21Thunderstorm Wind78 kt (90 mph) estimateddamage not reported0, 0DECHERDB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1974-04-03TornadoF4, 14.4 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 800 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1974 dollars)5, 21location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1952-02-13TornadoF4, 11.4 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 100 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1952 dollars)3, 35location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (711 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalancheevents per year1994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Coastal Floodingevents per year at a location (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Cold Wave1.63event-days per yearabout 1.63 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)312005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 1.63 cold wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 8 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together. Frost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought27.4event-days per yearabout 27.4 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)9452000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI gives about 27.4 drought event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 25.25 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 8 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Earthquake0.00347annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.347%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail4.07events per yearabout 4.07 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)154.7 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave3.89event-days per yearabout 3.89 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)682005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 3.89 heat wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 8 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Hurricane0.0184events per yearabout 1 in 54 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)61851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are counted separately in B1-d and need not match.
Ice Storm0.899event-days per yearabout 0.899 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)611946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.29event-days per yearabout 1.29 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 18 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (60%)361996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.571events per year (modeled)about 0.57 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning61.3days per year with a strikeabout 61.3 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind5.94events per yearabout 5.94 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)2271986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.507events per yearabout 0.51 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Volcanic Activityannual probabilitynot shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Wildfire0.00032annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.032%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo Storm Events record of this hazard, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned (the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county)
Winter Weather5.32event-days per yearabout 5.32 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 24 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (80%)1012005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202531301.03
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20251300.0333
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 2025162305.4
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 20252300.0667
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202560302
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202524300.8
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20254300.133
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche0 of 10Not Applicable 10
Coastal Flooding0 of 10Not Applicable 10
Cold Wave10 of 1088.693.595.4Very High 1, Relatively High 9National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought10 of 1083.791.697.0Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 6National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range above mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is, not where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake10 of 1069.778.885.5Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 4
Hail10 of 1059.967.574.8Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 9National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave10 of 1023.136.642.7Relatively Low 10National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane10 of 1046.249.751.1Very Low 10
Ice Storm10 of 1062.074.382.4Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 1National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding10 of 1045.375.384.4Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 1
Landslide10 of 1020.864.585.9Relatively Low 1, Very Low 9
Lightning10 of 1054.970.475.5Relatively Moderate 10National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind10 of 1083.288.291.8Relatively High 10National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado10 of 1080.190.094.2Very High 1, Relatively High 9
Tsunami0 of 10Not Applicable 10
Volcanic Activity0 of 10Not Applicable 10
Wildfire10 of 1039.458.975.9Relatively Low 1, Very Low 9
Winter Weather10 of 1080.188.592.1Relatively High 10National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Franklin CountyCountyExpired on 2025-01-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$390,002.530; 0
Cowan cityCityExpired on 2025-01-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1none found24; 5
Decherd cityCityExpired on 2025-01-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,761.5033; 7
Estill Springs townTownExpired on 2025-01-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$7,419.9037; 5
Huntland townTownExpired on 2025-01-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0none found40; 5
Winchester cityCityExpired on 2025-01-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1none found95; 8

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2020-01-08county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
AvalancheNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Coastal FloodingNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Cold Wave$8,567,122,565$93,378,18542,763$9,789$118,579$3,597,5340.000114%$0
Drought$35,247,900$472,1311.34% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$14,893,027,12642,774$1,190,012$581,5760.00799%
Hail$8,567,122,565$93,378,18542,763$156,032$2,279$12,6120.00182%$0
Heat Wave$8,567,122,565$93,378,18542,763$37$705$228,040under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$8,567,122,565$91,114,47942,763$40,484$16,628$1,5240.000473%
Ice Storm$8,566,883,01142,757$85,086$28,2190.000993%$0
Inland Flooding$8,556,569,862$5,436,240865$8,458,058$29,318$56,745n/a (see note)$0none found (1 declaration)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$215,605,729980$80$297under 0.0001%
Lightning$8,567,122,56542,763$20,328$172,0260.000237%
Strong Wind$8,567,122,565$93,378,18542,763$160,364$10,737$610,1740.00187%$146,800$3,000none found (1 declaration)Storm Events damage since the plan includes 1 zone-level Strong Wind record ($3,000), an event type the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado$8,567,122,565$93,378,18542,763$1,384,830$8,331$2,045,1430.0162%$10,000none found (1 declaration)
TsunamiNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Volcanic ActivityNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Wildfire$575,527,238$9,984,8684,751$4,438$24$1,6640.000771%
Winter Weather$8,567,122,565$93,378,18542,763$63,054$6$70,6060.000736%$0none found (2 declarations)

Totals since 2020-01-08 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 101 county-coded records, 88 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $156,800; 99 zone-level records, 99 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $3,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance on counted declarations none found (3 declarations, 0 with PA).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population42,763
Building value (total, not at risk)$8,567,122,565
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$93,378,185
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$12,231,331
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$7,406,160
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition5Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0050501
TULLAHOMA, CITY OF (plan member listed on the Coffee County page)0010101
COWAN, CITY OF0010100
WINCHESTER, CITY OF0010100
FRANKLIN COUNTY *0020200

1 of the county's repeat-flood properties belong to NFIP communities whose plan member is not listed on this page (the community rows above name the page that lists it).

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Franklin County4703440020200
Cowan city4700530010100
Decherd city4700540000000
Estill Springs town4702720000000
Huntland town4700550000000
Winchester city4700560010100

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0040401
2 to 4 unit residential0010100
other residential0000000
non-residential0000000
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 5 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

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This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Franklin County, TN: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 47051). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_TN_47051. Preview: automated baseline.