Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Davidson County, TN

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 47037
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
Approved, expires 2031-06-03
Plan
Metropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902)
Approved
2026-06-04
Expires
2031-06-03
As of
2026-09-28
Days
1,709 days to expiry

Plan clock from the consolidated city-county government plan (Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government). FEMA plan data has no separate county-level row for this county.

What changed since your last plan (approved 2026-06-04)

New federal declarations
none (0 declaration rows; 0 counted incidents)
Storm Events records since approval
0 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 40, SRL 64 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 355
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan governmentConsolidated GovernmentApproved, expires 2031-06-03Metropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902)2026-06-042031-06-031,709
Belle Meade cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-03Metropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902)2026-06-042031-06-031,709member approved 2026-07-21
Berry Hill cityCityPlan 111902 approved 2026-06-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleMetropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902), pending adoption here2026-06-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-06-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Forest Hills cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-03Metropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902)2026-06-042031-06-031,709member approved 2026-07-21
Goodlettsville cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-03Metropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902)2026-06-042031-06-031,709Also approved under plan 109121 (Sumner County, expires 2028-12-19). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last. member approved 2026-07-27
Oak Hill cityCityPlan 111902 approved 2026-06-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleMetropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902), pending adoption here2026-06-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-06-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Trevecca Nazarene UniversityCollege/UniversityApproved, expires 2031-06-03Metropolitan Nashville-Davidson County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111902)2026-06-042031-06-031,709member approved 2026-07-21

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$152,139,481$1,109$8,187,586$160,328,176170
2EarthquakeRelatively HighRelatively High$33,071,091$24,812,721$57,883,811Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
3TornadoRelatively HighRelatively High$12,734,854$1,004$10,855,728$23,591,58542
4Cold WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$39,058$3,701$7,465,777$7,508,5362
5Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$5,439$19$6,489,015$6,494,4738
6Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$1,644,790$2,181$2,349,623$3,996,594888Includes 8 High Wind records and 30 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
7HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,424,445$290$30,147$1,454,883235
8Ice StormRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$323,823$93,466$417,2891
9LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$120,619$150,379$270,99747
10Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$68,485under $1$164,911$233,39770
11HurricaneVery LowVery Low$102,800$1,360$2,647$106,8080No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$65,163$2$6,427$71,5910No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
13DroughtVery LowVery Low$15,712$15,71229
14LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$3,670$1,814$5,4850No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
AvalancheNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates avalanche Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Coastal FloodingNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates coastal flooding Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates tsunami Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
Volcanic ActivityNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates volcanic activity Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 174
Coastal FloodingCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 174
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.174 of 174
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.19 of 174
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.174 of 174
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.174 of 174
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.174 of 174
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.174 of 174
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.174 of 174
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.174 of 174
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.174 of 174
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.174 of 174
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.174 of 174
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.174 of 174
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 174
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 174
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.170 of 174
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.174 of 174

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill2, 2018 to 2022 (2 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 2.5 days); 2 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2018-01-01 to 2018-01-04, 1 direct death, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale29, 2007 to 2026 (29 zone-level)7 days to 214 days (median 52 days); 12 with a recorded value214 days (7 months), 2007-05-01 to 2007-11-30, a run of 7 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)275, 1955 to 20250.75 in to 4.5 in (median 0.88 in); 275 with a recorded value4.5 in hail, 1985-06-04Hail, 2012-03-02, $25,000,000 property; crops not reported (2012 dollars)Event records naming member places: Goodlettsville city (18 records), Oak Hill city (8 records), Belle Meade city (7 records), Berry Hill city (6 records), Forest Hills city (2 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)8, 2010 to 2025 (8 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 1 day); 7 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2022-06-13 to 2022-06-16, zone-levelExcessive Heat, 2010-08-04, $100,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2010 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)1, 2013 to 2013 (1 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2013-01-15, $5,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2013 dollars); NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)170, 1996 to 2025 (1 zone-level)Flood, 2010-05-01, $1,500,000,000 property; $1,000 crops (2010 dollars), 10 direct deathsEvent records naming member places: Goodlettsville city (12 records), Berry Hill city (7 records), Belle Meade city (5 records), Oak Hill city (3 records), Forest Hills city (1 record). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)47, 1997 to 2025Lightning, 2014-10-08, $500,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)Event records naming member places: Belle Meade city (3 records), Forest Hills city (3 records), Oak Hill city (3 records), Berry Hill city (2 records), Goodlettsville city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)38, 2001 to 2025 (38 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 57 kt (66 mph) (median 43 kt (49 mph)); 38 with a recorded value57 kt (66 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2023-03-03; NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)971, 1957 to 202630 kt (35 mph) to 87 kt (100 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 872 with a recorded value87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1986-07-26Thunderstorm Wind, 2020-05-03, $7,580,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)Event records naming member places: Oak Hill city (43 records), Belle Meade city (24 records), Berry Hill city (24 records), Goodlettsville city (24 records), Forest Hills city (4 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)53, 1952 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 53 with a recorded valueEF3 tornado, 2020-03-03, 21.49 mi within this county, 1,150 yd wide, $1,090,000,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars), 2 direct deaths, 170 direct injuriesEvent records naming member places: Goodlettsville city (2 records).From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)70, 1996 to 2026 (70 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 2010-01-29, $250,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2010 dollars); NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesWinter Storm, 2015-02-16, $250,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2015 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
28
Counted incidents
22

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-02-062026-01-22DR-4898-TNMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weather$36,389,562.66during plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 years
2026-01-242026-01-22EM-3635-TNEmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone foundduring plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4898
2025-06-192025-04-02DR-4878-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$3,191,458.62during plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 years
2025-04-022025-04-02EM-3625-TNEmergencySEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadonone foundwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4878
2023-12-132023-12-09DR-4751-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOESTornado$7,621,738.53within last 5 years
2023-05-172023-03-01DR-4712-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOStrong Wind; Tornado$9,007,009.66within last 5 years
2023-03-082022-12-22DR-4691-TNMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weather (primary); also designated: Cold Wave, Ice Storm$2,778,050.12within last 5 years
2022-01-142021-12-10DR-4637-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOESTornado (primary); also designated: Strong Wind$3,427,092.58within last 5 years
2021-05-082021-03-25DR-4601-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$7,683,573.28
2021-01-052020-12-25EM-3552-TNEmergencyEXPLOSIONNon-natural, not countednone found
2020-07-092020-05-03DR-4550-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind$8,646,121.71
2020-04-022020-01-20DR-4514-TNMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$143,196,249.04
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3473-TNEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundsame incident as DR-4514
2020-03-052020-03-03DR-4476-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Wind$41,260,169.15
2015-04-022015-02-15DR-4211-TNMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODINGIce Storm$449,514.35
2011-05-092011-04-04DR-1978-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDSInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$1,631,589.48
2010-05-042010-04-30DR-1909-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOESInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$133,076,537.20
2006-04-052006-04-02DR-1634-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOESTornado$4,595,871.86
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3217-TNEmergencyHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted$117,076.66
2003-05-082003-05-04DR-1464-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$1,488,070.84FEMA's declaration record does not list Public Assistance, but FEMA's PA project summaries show obligations for this county
2000-06-122000-05-23DR-1331-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$1,216,527.67
1999-05-121999-05-05DR-1275-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$2,547,688.86
1998-04-201998-04-16DR-1215-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornadonone found
1997-03-071997-02-28DR-1167-TNMajor disasterHEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, HAIL, HIGH WINDSTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingnone found
1994-02-281994-02-09DR-1010-TNMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODINGIce Storm; Inland Flooding; Winter Weathernone found
1979-05-071979-05-07DR-585-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODINGInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1975-03-221975-03-22DR-459-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1974-04-041974-04-04DR-424-TNMajor disasterTORNADOESTornadonone found

School districts and special districts in this county: $449,175.90 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan members in this county. They are not shown as member blocks, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county); do not add this line to the county total.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Statewide declarations

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardFlagsNotes
1963-03-271963-03-27DR-151-TNMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county. Listed on every county page in the state; not counted with county rows.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 5 rows, $866,036.50

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4792-TN2024-06-17SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGGoodlettsville, City of$264,201.11
DR-4609-TN2021-08-23SEVERE STORM AND FLOODINGTennessee Board of Regents$359,014.68
DR-4594-TN2021-04-21SEVERE WINTER STORMSTennessee Board of Regents$92,887.15
DR-4320-TN2017-06-23SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGTennessee Board of Regents$3,341.09
DR-1482-TN2003-07-29SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, AND HEAVY RAINTennessee Board of Regents$146,592.47

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in a county in this state: 5 rows, $12,113,670.26

Disaster numberDeclaredApplicantCounty field in FEMA dataPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsWhy not placed
48322024-10-02SkyLine Telephone Membership CorporationAshe County$34,687.08county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
46372022-01-14West Kentucky Rural Telephone Cooperative CorporationGraves County$8,963.27county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
45142020-04-02Asbury, Inc.Frederick County$12,046,725.04county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
19092010-05-04TIPPAH ELECTRIC POWER ASSOCIATION(1)Tippah County$17,127.93county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
14642003-05-08West Kentucky Rural Telephone Cooperative CorporationGraves County$6,166.94county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under a county field that is not a county of this state (an Alaska school area, the former Valdez-Cordova Census Area, or another state's county), and the applicant name does not identify one place here. They are listed for the whole state and are not in any county total. Check whether any of them worked in your county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave2001101996 to 2026-06-30
Drought290414001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail2750232001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave8025001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm1000301996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding17001251401996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning470112001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind1,009019178701955 to 2026-06-30Includes 8 High Wind records and 30 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado530181601950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather700110301996 to 2026-06-30

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2023-12-09TornadoEF2, 7.76 mi within this county, 400 yd wide$10,000,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)3, 21MADISON to EDENWOLDwithin last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2023-03-03High Wind57 kt (66 mph) measured gust$20,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2023 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countieswithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2022-06-13Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2022 dollars)0, 15NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countieswithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2021-03-27Flash Flood$20,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars)5, 0STONE RIVER to UNAdeaths or injuries recorded
2020-03-03TornadoEF3, 21.49 mi within this county, 1,150 yd wide$1,090,000,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)2, 170SCOTTSBORO to STONE RIVERB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
2018-01-01Extreme Cold/Wind Chillproperty not reported; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2018 dollars)1, 0NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2014-10-08Lightning$500,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0INGLEWOODB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2013-01-15Ice Storm$5,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2013 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2010-05-01Flood$1,500,000,000 property; $1,000 crops (2010 dollars)10, 0RURAL HILL to HERMITAGEdeaths or injuries recorded
2010-01-29Heavy Snow$250,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ027 (DAVIDSON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1986-07-26Thunderstorm Wind87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1985-06-04Hail4.5 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Hail

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,664 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalancheevents per year1994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Coastal Floodingevents per year at a location (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Cold Wave1.21event-days per yearabout 1.21 days per yearPossibleevent-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)232005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 1.21 cold wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 2 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together. Frost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought5.07event-days per yearabout 5.07 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)2382000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI gives about 5.07 drought event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 25.25 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 10 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Earthquake0.00312annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.312%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail3.3events per yearabout 3.3 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)125.6 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave4.79event-days per yearabout 4.79 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)792005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 4.79 heat wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 6 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Hurricane0.0131events per yearabout 1 in 76 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are counted separately in B1-d and need not match.
Ice Storm0.686event-days per yearabout 0.686 days per yearPossibleevent-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)471946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding3.79event-days per yearabout 3.79 days per yearHighly likelyevent-days in 27 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (90%)1061996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.829events per year (modeled)about 0.83 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning58.6days per year with a strikeabout 58.6 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind5.97events per yearabout 5.97 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)2281986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.433events per yearabout 1 in 2 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Volcanic Activityannual probabilitynot shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Wildfire0.0000187annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00187%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo Storm Events record of this hazard, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned (the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county)
Winter Weather5.47event-days per yearabout 5.47 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)1042005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 2025113303.77
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20257300.233
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 20257153023.8
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 202524300.8
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202599303.3
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202533301.1
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20258300.267
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche0 of 174Not Applicable 174
Coastal Flooding0 of 174Not Applicable 174
Cold Wave174 of 17416.145.169.5Relatively Moderate 72, Relatively Low 99, Very Low 3National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought19 of 17467.976.384.8Relatively Low 5, Very Low 14, No Rating 155National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range above mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is, not where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake174 of 17440.781.895.7Relatively High 15, Relatively Moderate 120, Relatively Low 38, Very Low 1
Hail174 of 17411.550.277.0Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 159, Very Low 12National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave174 of 1741.847.877.6Relatively Moderate 50, Relatively Low 119, Very Low 5National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane174 of 17416.729.940.4Very Low 174
Ice Storm174 of 1743.128.663.6Relatively Low 58, Very Low 116National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding174 of 1740.459.398.4Very High 12, Relatively High 44, Relatively Moderate 53, Relatively Low 56, Very Low 9
Landslide174 of 1749.333.392.0Relatively Low 10, Very Low 164
Lightning174 of 1741.29.822.1Relatively Low 3, Very Low 171National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind174 of 17424.157.980.8Relatively Moderate 105, Relatively Low 69National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado174 of 17434.563.088.6Relatively High 22, Relatively Moderate 132, Relatively Low 20
Tsunami0 of 174Not Applicable 174
Volcanic Activity0 of 174Not Applicable 174
Wildfire170 of 17419.453.874.1Relatively Low 6, Very Low 164, No Rating 4
Winter Weather174 of 17422.136.555.5Relatively Moderate 13, Relatively Low 161National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan governmentConsolidated GovernmentApproved, expires 2031-06-03FMA RL 38, SRL 61; any 323none found0; 0
Belle Meade cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-03FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$1,168,846.4239; 0
Berry Hill cityCityPlan 111902 approved 2026-06-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 5none found39; no approved plan
Forest Hills cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-03FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 5$3,139,887.5310; 0
Goodlettsville cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-03FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 18$3,734,871.3057; 0Also approved under plan 109121 (Sumner County, expires 2028-12-19). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last. Whole community, including the part in Sumner County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 1, FMA SRL 0, NFIP RL 15, NFIP SRL 0, any category 15.
Oak Hill cityCityPlan 111902 approved 2026-06-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 1, SRL 1; any 4$2,285,386.1457; no approved plan

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2026-06-04county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
AvalancheNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Coastal FloodingNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Cold Wave$157,493,498,624$14,305,189715,485$39,058$3,701$7,465,777under 0.0001%
Drought$10,837,360$15,7120.145% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$273,490,298,490715,884$33,071,091$24,812,7210.0121%
Hail$157,493,498,624$14,305,189715,485$1,424,445$290$30,1470.000904%
Heat Wave$157,493,498,624$14,305,189715,485$5,439$19$6,489,015under 0.0001%
Hurricane$157,430,068,193$14,176,405715,145$102,800$1,360$2,647under 0.0001%
Ice Storm$157,471,327,811715,287$323,823$93,4660.000206%
Inland Flooding$157,390,762,516$4,501,42418,517$152,139,481$1,109$8,187,586n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$6,805,134,51731,579$3,670$1,814under 0.0001%
Lightning$157,493,498,624715,485$120,619$150,379under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$157,493,498,624$14,305,189715,485$1,644,790$2,181$2,349,6230.00104%
Tornado$157,493,498,624$14,305,189715,485$12,734,854$1,004$10,855,7280.00809%
TsunamiNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Volcanic ActivityNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Wildfire$57,726,601,012$10,026,688299,951$65,163$2$6,4270.000113%
Winter Weather$157,493,498,624$14,305,189715,485$68,485under $1$164,911under 0.0001%

Totals since 2026-06-04 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 0 county-coded records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 0 zone-level records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance on counted declarations none found (0 declarations, 0 with PA).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population715,485
Building value (total, not at risk)$157,493,498,624
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$14,305,189
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively High
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$201,769,095
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$60,610,243
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)40Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)64
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition321Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition44

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total40643214435520156
METRO GOVERNMENT OF NASHVILLE-DAVIDSON COUNTY38612904232320140
GOODLETTSVILLE, CITY OF101501505
OAK HILL, CITY OF1141401
BERRY HILL, CITY OF0151503
FOREST HILLS, CITY OF0140504
BELLE MEADE, CITY OF0030303

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government47004038612904232320140
Belle Meade city4704080030303
Berry Hill city4704060151503
Forest Hills city4704070140504
Goodlettsville city470287101801806Whole community, including the part in Sumner County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 1, FMA SRL 0, NFIP RL 15, NFIP SRL 0, any category 15.
Oak Hill city4703511141401

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential35542643629217123
2 to 4 unit residential31801235
other residential2010012011
non-residential0939839017
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 22 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 303 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Davidson County, TN: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 47037). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_TN_47037. Preview: automated baseline.