Hazard Plain Automated baseline

York County, PA

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
42133
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2029-11-09. Plan: York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077), approved 2024-11-10.

Since the plan was approved on 2024-11-10: no new hazard declaration and 97 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($68,975,782 a year), Hurricane ($15,269,902) and Earthquake ($4,651,700).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2029-11-09
Plan:
York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)
Approved:
2024-11-10
Days to expiry:
1,136

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-11-10)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
97 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 13, SRL 26 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 170
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 73 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
York CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-20
Cross Roads boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-12
Dallastown boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-10
Delta boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-01-28
Dillsburg boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-12
Dover boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-05-05
East Prospect boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-04
Fawn Grove boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-02-04
Felton boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109077 approved 2024-11-10, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleYork County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077), pending adoption here2024-11-10 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2029-11-09 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Franklintown boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109077 approved 2024-11-10, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleYork County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077), pending adoption here2024-11-10 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2029-11-09 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Glen Rock boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-19
Goldsboro boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-07-14
Hallam boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-09
Hanover boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109077 approved 2024-11-10, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleYork County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077), pending adoption here2024-11-10 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2029-11-09 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Jacobus boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-06
Jefferson boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-05-05
Lewisberry boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-03
Loganville boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-01-06
Manchester boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-11
Mount Wolf boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-10
New Freedom boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-09
New Salem boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-03
North York boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-06-10
Railroad boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-17
Red Lion boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-01-10
Seven Valleys boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-02
Shrewsbury boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-13
Spring Grove boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-05-19
Stewartstown boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-02
Wellsville boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-09-02
West York boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-02
Windsor boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-18
Winterstown boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-12
Wrightsville boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-02
Yoe boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-04
York cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-01-21
York Haven boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136
Yorkana boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-10
Carroll townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-11
Chanceford townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-10
Codorus townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-05
Conewago townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-06-03
Dover townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-25
East Hopewell townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-05
East Manchester townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-12
Fairview townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-09
Fawn townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-09
Franklin townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-13
Heidelberg townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-04-02
Hellam townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-19
Hopewell townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-08
Jackson townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-03
Lower Chanceford townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-03
Lower Windsor townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-14
Manchester townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-12
Manheim townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-05-19
Monaghan townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-14
Newberry townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-17
North Codorus townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-03
North Hopewell townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-04
Paradise townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-10
Peach Bottom townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-06
Penn townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-16
Shrewsbury townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-04
Spring Garden townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-13
Springettsbury townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-01-09
Springfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-09
Warrington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-15
Washington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-16
West Manchester townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-19
West Manheim townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2025-03-12
Windsor townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-11-18
York townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09York County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109077)2024-11-102029-11-091,136this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-10

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$65,336,707$320,916$3,318,159$68,975,782140
2HurricaneRelatively ModerateRelatively High$13,597,540$1,195,793$476,569$15,269,9021
3EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Moderate$3,543,387n/a$1,108,312$4,651,700Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
4Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$2$5,604$4,301,471$4,307,07811
5Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,181$38,780$3,099,246$3,139,2075
6Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$815,464$49,414$2,160,965$3,025,843521Includes 23 High Wind and 5 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
7LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$76,776n/a$1,704,831$1,781,6076
8DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$1,656,506n/a$1,656,50616
9Winter WeatherVery HighVery High$63,594$58$1,376,427$1,440,07975
10TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$1,137,776$880$256,305$1,394,96015
11Ice StormRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$37,265n/a$152,836$190,1007
12HailVery LowVery Low$6,125$94,943$2,132$103,200141
13WildfireVery LowVery Low$30,709$11$3,759$34,4801
14LandslideRelatively LowRelatively Low$16,031n/a$1,408$17,4390No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
15AvalancheVery LowVery Lowunder $1n/a$69$690No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 237.21 (Very Low, 12.4); tract 234 (Very Low, 12.1); tract 237.22 (Very Low, 11.9)
Earthquaketract 105.10 (Relatively Moderate, 78.5); tract 215 (Relatively Moderate, 78.5); tract 223 (Relatively Low, 77.1)
Hurricanetract 105.10 (Relatively Moderate, 86.4); tract 215 (Relatively Moderate, 85.2); tract 102.20 (Relatively Moderate, 85.0)
Landslidetract 237.21 (Relatively Low, 94.6); tract 240.01 (Relatively Low, 93.9); tract 237.22 (Relatively Low, 93.3)
Tornadotract 105.10 (Relatively Low, 35.2); tract 102.20 (Relatively Low, 33.6); tract 215 (Relatively Low, 33.5)
Wildfiretract 204.10 (Relatively Low, 80.5); tract 204.22 (Relatively Low, 71.1); tract 202.22 (Very Low, 63.3)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 237.21 is Census Tract 237.21). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)0
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill5 records, 1997 to 2025 (5 zone-level)2 days to 3 days (median 2 days); 4 with a recorded value3 consecutive days, 1997-04-09 to 1997-04-11, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)16 records, 1997 to 2026 (16 zone-level)1 day to 183 days (median 56 days); 6 with a recorded value183 days (about 6.0 months), 2024-11-19 to 2025-05-20, a run of 7 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)164 records, 1955 to 20250.75 in to 4 in (median 1 in); 163 with a recorded value4 in hail, 1980-04-09Hail, 2009-06-10, $3,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: York city (13 records), York township (13 records), Hanover borough (12 records), Dover borough (9 records), Dover township (9 records), Dillsburg borough (6 records), Shrewsbury borough (6 records), Shrewsbury township (6 records), Wrightsville borough (6 records), Dallastown borough (4 records); and 19 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)11 records, 1999 to 2025 (11 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 2 days); 9 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2006-07-31 to 2006-08-03, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson1 record, 2003 (1 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Tropical Storm record, 2003-09-18 to 2003-09-19, damage not reported; NWS zone PAZ065Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)7 records, 1998 to 2008 (7 zone-level)No damage reported in 7 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)140 records, 1996 to 2026 (19 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2004-05-09, $5,500,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars), 2 direct deathsEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: York city (13 records), York township (13 records), Felton borough (6 records), Dover borough (5 records), Dover township (5 records), East Prospect borough (5 records), Spring Grove borough (5 records), Hallam borough (4 records), Hanover borough (3 records), West Manheim township (3 records); and 25 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file). Zone-level records (19) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)6 records, 1998 to 2025Lightning, 2007-06-19, $0 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars), 1 direct death, 1 direct injuryLightning, 2025-07-26, $40,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Lewisberry borough (1 record), York city (1 record), York township (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)28 records, 1996 to 2025 (28 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 60 kt (69 mph) (median 51 kt (59 mph)); 26 with a recorded value60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2003-11-13, 1 direct death (reported for the zone); same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2003-02-23; NWS zone PAZ065High Wind, 2009-02-12, $50,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2009 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)608 records, 1955 to 202635 kt (40 mph) to 87 kt (100 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 477 with a recorded value87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1995-04-09; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 1983-07-21Thunderstorm Wind, 2021-06-21, $4,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: York city (54 records), York township (54 records), Hanover borough (28 records), Dover borough (18 records), Dover township (18 records), Dillsburg borough (15 records), Stewartstown borough (14 records), Red Lion borough (12 records), West York borough (12 records), Spring Grove borough (11 records); and 31 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)32 records, 1952 to 2023F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 32 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1952-04-05, 17.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 33 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1952 dollars), 4 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Dover borough (2 records), Dover township (2 records), Felton borough (2 records), Windsor borough (2 records), Windsor township (2 records), Dillsburg borough (1 record), Hallam borough (1 record), Hanover borough (1 record), Loganville borough (1 record), Red Lion borough (1 record); and 1 more jurisdiction (see the Excel file).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)1 record, 2021 (1 zone-level)No damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)75 records, 1996 to 2026 (75 zone-level)Winter Weather, 2024-01-15, $30,000 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars); NWS zone PAZ065Countywide (zone-level records).

Where a hazard names more than 10 jurisdictions, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every one is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of avalanche, debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 21 declarations covering 16 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2021-09-102021-08-31DR-4618-PAMajor disasterRemnants of Hurricane IdaHurricane$2,728,546.70
2020-03-302020-01-20DR-4506-PAMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$73,602,388.75
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3441-PAEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4506
2016-03-232016-01-22DR-4267-PAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$2,137,976.07
2014-02-062014-02-04EM-3367-PAEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recorded
2012-10-292012-10-26EM-3356-PAEmergencyHurricane SandyHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2011-09-122011-09-03DR-4030-PAMajor disasterTropical Storm LeeInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Hurricane$4,644,084.15
2011-09-082011-09-03EM-3340-PAEmergencyRemnants of Tropical Storm LeeInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Hurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4030
2010-04-162010-02-05DR-1898-PAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsWinter Weather$1,468,917.96
2005-09-102005-08-29EM-3235-PAEmergencyHurricane KatrinaHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2004-09-192004-09-17DR-1557-PAMajor disasterTropical Depression IvanHurricane$250,389.99
2004-09-192004-09-08DR-1555-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms and Flooding Associated with Tropical Depression FrancesHurricane; Inland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
2003-03-142003-02-14EM-3180-PAEmergencySnowWinter Weather$566,281.16
1999-09-181999-09-16DR-1294-PAMajor disasterHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsHurricane$15,846.18
1996-01-211996-01-19DR-1093-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1996-01-131996-01-06DR-1085-PAMajor disasterBlizzard of 96Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1994-03-101994-01-04DR-1015-PAMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1993-03-161993-03-13EM-3105-PAEmergencySevere Snowfall & Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1976-10-201976-10-20DR-523-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1975-09-261975-09-26DR-485-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Heavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1972-06-231972-06-23DR-340-PAMajor disasterTropical Storm AgnesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Hurricaneno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
2003-08-232003-07-21DR-1485-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado
1959-01-231959-01-23DR-89-PAMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1956-08-091956-08-09DR-61-PAMajor disasterStormHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not counted
1956-05-211956-05-21DR-58-PAMajor disasterSevere StormHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not counted
1956-03-151956-03-15DR-51-PAMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1955-08-201955-08-20DR-40-PAMajor disasterFloods & RainsInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave5101001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought1612012001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail1642614001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave11202001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane1000601996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm7000101996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding14019019501996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning6101001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind6365416118001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 23 High Wind and 5 Strong Wind records.
Tornado32003001950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather756211601996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2024-11-19Drought$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone PAZ065 (YORK), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2024-01-15Winter Weather$30,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone PAZ065 (YORK), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2007-06-19Lightning$0 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)1, 1LEWISBERRYdeaths or injuries recorded
2006-07-31Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone PAZ065 (YORK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2004-05-09Flash Flood$5,500,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)2, 0FELTONdeaths or injuries recorded
2003-11-13High Wind60 kt (69 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported1, 0NWS zone PAZ065 (YORK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2003-09-18Tropical Stormdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone PAZ065 (YORK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
1997-04-09Cold/Wind Chillproperty not reported; $25,000,000 crops (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone PAZ065 (YORK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1995-04-09Thunderstorm Wind87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0York to Northeast andB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1986-07-18Thunderstorm Windspeed not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)1, 15location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1980-04-09Hail4 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Hail
1952-04-05TornadoF3, 17.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 33 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1952 dollars)0, 4location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,094 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Cold Wave1.16event-days per yearabout 1.16 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)222005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought4.44event-days per yearabout 4.44 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)1542000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00118annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.118%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail2.96events per yearabout 2.96 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)112.7 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave5.26event-days per yearabout 5.26 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)792005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0851events per yearabout 1 in 12 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)341851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.15event-days per yearabout 1.15 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)781946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding3.46event-days per yearabout 3.46 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)971996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.977events per year (modeled)about 0.98 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning37days per year with a strikeabout 37 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind6.84events per yearabout 6.84 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)2601986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.574events per yearabout 0.57 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0000168annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00168%PossibleStorm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather12.2event-days per yearabout 12.2 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 26 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (86.7%)2322005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202569302.3
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20254300.133
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 20254143013.8
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202519300.633
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202533301.1
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202513300.433
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche4 of 10811.112.012.4Very Low 4, Not Applicable 104
Cold Wave108 of 10821.935.451.6Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 107
Drought87 of 10867.284.596.5Relatively Moderate 15, Relatively Low 47, Very Low 25, No Rating 21
Earthquake108 of 10817.950.278.5Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 82, Very Low 24
Hail108 of 1081.28.544.7Relatively Low 5, Very Low 103
Heat Wave108 of 10812.047.771.5Relatively Moderate 21, Relatively Low 85, Very Low 2
Hurricane108 of 10858.079.886.4Relatively Moderate 64, Relatively Low 44
Ice Storm108 of 1084.921.244.0Relatively Low 6, Very Low 102
Inland Flooding108 of 1081.046.390.7Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 45, Relatively Low 49, Very Low 9
Landslide108 of 1089.466.794.6Relatively Low 28, Very Low 80
Lightning108 of 10822.258.181.3Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 82, Relatively Low 25
Strong Wind108 of 10826.260.080.8Relatively Moderate 80, Relatively Low 28
Tornado108 of 1085.124.335.2Relatively Low 11, Very Low 97
Wildfire105 of 10819.247.980.5Relatively Low 2, Very Low 103, No Rating 3
Winter Weather108 of 10853.885.394.7Relatively High 86, Relatively Moderate 22

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Hail: Agriculture is 92% of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
York CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-11-09$782,826.710 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row. Includes $149,201.80 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4506-PA).
Cross Roads boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$9,768.270 total; 0 since its plan
Dallastown boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$71,058.5915 total; 0 since its plan
Delta boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$15,735.277 total; 1 since its plan
Dillsburg boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$81,600.0523 total; 1 since its plan
Dover boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$19,696.3634 total; 3 since its plan
East Prospect boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded12 total; 2 since its plan
Fawn Grove boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$14,451.774 total; 0 since its plan
Felton boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109077 approved 2024-11-10, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 6$34,489.2413 total; no approved plan
Franklintown boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109077 approved 2024-11-10, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$12,368.815 total; no approved plan
Glen Rock boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$81,213.987 total; 0 since its plan
Goldsboro boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 2, SRL 2; any 12$269,533.740 total; 0 since its plan
Hallam boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 4$10,026.3417 total; 1 since its plan
Hanover boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109077 approved 2024-11-10, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$167,490.7744 total; no approved planIncludes $16,831.77 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4506-PA).
Jacobus boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$26,594.734 total; 1 since its plan
Jefferson boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,438.824 total; 0 since its plan
Lewisberry boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded11 total; 0 since its plan
Loganville boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$18,260.2511 total; 0 since its plan
Manchester boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$14,372.5711 total; 1 since its plan
Mount Wolf boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$12,993.884 total; 0 since its plan
New Freedom boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$63,090.945 total; 0 since its plan
New Salem boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$6,678.158 total; 0 since its plan
North York boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$32,098.206 total; 0 since its plan
Railroad boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded2 total; 1 since its plan
Red Lion boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$39,824.0417 total; 2 since its plan
Seven Valleys boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$4,030.391 total; 0 since its plan
Shrewsbury boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$44,507.1817 total; 0 since its plan
Spring Grove boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$65,608.5517 total; 0 since its plan
Stewartstown boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$20,768.7017 total; 0 since its plan
Wellsville boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$9,740.703 total; 0 since its plan
West York boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$20,005.1814 total; 2 since its plan
Windsor boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 8$32,274.9611 total; 1 since its plan
Winterstown boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded5 total; 1 since its plan
Wrightsville boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded15 total; 2 since its plan
Yoe boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$656,498.822 total; 1 since its plan
York cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 4$270,431.6981 total; 1 since its plan
York Haven boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 1$34,869.579 total; 0 since its plan
Yorkana boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded3 total; 1 since its plan
Carroll townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$36,816.730 total; 0 since its plan
Chanceford townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$268,967.180 total; 0 since its plan
Codorus townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 3$74,564.300 total; 0 since its plan
Conewago townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 1, SRL 1; any 11$282,503.520 total; 0 since its plan
Dover townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 3, SRL 5; any 17$623,383.7034 total; 3 since its plan
East Hopewell townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 1$82,928.530 total; 0 since its plan
East Manchester townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 3$246,925.490 total; 0 since its plan
Fairview townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 17$364,153.290 total; 0 since its plan
Fawn townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$37,587.940 total; 0 since its plan
Franklin townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$27,196.320 total; 0 since its plan
Heidelberg townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Hellam townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 1, SRL 1; any 14$454,534.280 total; 0 since its plan
Hopewell townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$206,245.820 total; 0 since its plan
Jackson townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$38,478.200 total; 0 since its plan
Lower Chanceford townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$33,596.800 total; 0 since its plan
Lower Windsor townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 8$112,870.310 total; 0 since its plan
Manchester townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 3$233,375.5411 total; 1 since its plan
Manheim townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$44,911.320 total; 0 since its plan
Monaghan townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$21,731.950 total; 0 since its plan
Newberry townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 2, SRL 5; any 11$303,877.450 total; 0 since its planIncludes $3,602.68 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4506-PA).
North Codorus townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$129,273.230 total; 0 since its plan
North Hopewell townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$84,674.870 total; 0 since its plan
Paradise townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 1, SRL 2; any 11$711,135.410 total; 0 since its plan
Peach Bottom townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$38,714.410 total; 0 since its plan
Penn townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$68,941.410 total; 0 since its plan
Shrewsbury townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$505,777.9617 total; 0 since its plan
Spring Garden townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$97,560.630 total; 0 since its plan
Springettsbury townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 3$183,752.990 total; 0 since its plan
Springfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$708,824.800 total; 0 since its plan
Warrington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 2$157,742.260 total; 0 since its plan
Washington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 1$39,403.600 total; 0 since its plan
West Manchester townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$115,911.840 total; 0 since its planIncludes $6,700.56 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4506-PA).
West Manheim townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$56,018.237 total; 1 since its plan
Windsor townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$238,660.8711 total; 1 since its plan
York townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$292,947.0681 total; 1 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2024-11-10county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$182,411n/aunder 1under $1n/a$69under 0.0001%
Cold Wave$94,400,053,906$335,956,552456,310$1,181$38,780$3,099,246under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$159,963,339n/an/a$1,656,506n/a1.04% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$165,383,143,555n/a456,438$3,543,387n/a$1,108,3120.00214%
Hail$94,400,053,906$335,956,552456,310$6,125$94,943$2,132under 0.0001%$0
Heat Wave$94,400,053,906$335,956,552456,310$2$5,604$4,301,471under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$94,368,359,485$335,953,522456,078$13,597,540$1,195,793$476,5690.0144%
Ice Storm$94,342,856,695n/a456,019$37,265n/a$152,836under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$94,368,165,047$9,342,9925,346$65,336,707$320,916$3,318,159n/a (see note)$0NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$3,251,119,497n/a17,322$16,031n/a$1,4080.000493%
Lightning$94,400,053,906n/a456,310$76,776n/a$1,704,831under 0.0001%$40,000
Strong Wind$94,400,053,906$335,956,552456,310$815,464$49,414$2,160,9650.000864%$287,000$28,000Storm Events damage since the plan includes 3 zone-level Strong Wind records ($28,000): a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition.
Tornado$94,400,053,906$335,956,552456,310$1,137,776$880$256,3050.00121%
Wildfire$22,482,958,845$90,683,052117,376$30,709$11$3,7590.000137%
Winter Weather$94,400,053,906$335,956,552456,310$63,594$58$1,376,427under 0.0001%$2,000

Totals since 2024-11-10 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 72 county-coded records, 72 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $327,000; 25 zone-level records, 25 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $30,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population456,310
Building value (total, not at risk)$94,400,053,906
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$335,956,552
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$88,025,462
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$17,962,490
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)13Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)26
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition165Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition20

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total132616520170447
of which: Conewago township111101103
of which: Dover township351541725
of which: East Manchester township1030302
of which: Felton borough0060601
of which: Fairview township011711704
of which: Glen Rock borough0040401
of which: Goldsboro borough221211206
of which: Hallam borough0141401
of which: Hellam township111301418
of which: Jacobus borough0010100
of which: Lower Chanceford township0040401
of which: Manchester township0131301
of which: Paradise township121011111
of which: Seven Valleys borough0020200
of which: West York borough0010101
of which: Windsor borough0080801
of which: Wrightsville borough0010100
of which: York city0130401
of which: York Haven borough1010100
of which: Mount Wolf borough0010100
of which: Springettsbury township0131302
of which: York township0040400
of which: Codorus township0232300
of which: Washington township0111101
of which: Lower Windsor township0181800
of which: Carroll township0010100
of which: Chanceford township0020200
of which: East Hopewell township1010100
of which: Fawn township0010100
of which: Franklin township0010100
of which: Monaghan township0020202
of which: Newberry township251151104
of which: North Codorus township0020200
of which: Warrington township0121200
of which: West Manchester township0030301
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Cross Roads borough4222090000000
Dallastown borough4227390000000
Delta borough4222110000000
Dillsburg borough4209190000000
Dover borough4225690000000
East Prospect borough4227400000000
Fawn Grove borough4225700000000
Felton borough4209220060601
Franklintown borough4227410000000
Glen Rock borough4209240040401
Goldsboro borough420925221211206
Hallam borough4209260141401
Hanover borough4222120000000
Jacobus borough4209280010100
Jefferson borough4227420000000
Lewisberry borough4209290000000
Loganville borough4222130000000
Manchester borough4227470000000
Mount Wolf borough4210210010100
New Freedom borough4209320000000
New Salem borough4227430000000
North York borough4209330000000
Railroad borough4209350000000
Red Lion borough4222140000000
Seven Valleys borough4209360020200
Shrewsbury borough4222300000000shared NFIP community; count covers the joint community
Spring Grove borough4209380000000
Stewartstown borough4227440000000
Wellsville borough4209400000000
West York borough4209410010101
Windsor borough4209420080801
Winterstown borough4227450000000
Wrightsville borough4209430010100
Yoe borough4209440000000
York city4209450130401
York Haven borough4209461010100
Yorkana borough4227460000000
Carroll township4222160010100
Chanceford township4222170020200
Codorus township4211420232300
Conewago township420918111101103
Dover township420920351541725
East Hopewell township4222181010100
East Manchester township4209211030302
Fairview township420923011711704
Fawn township4222190010100
Franklin township4222200010100
Heidelberg township4222210000000
Hellam township420927111301418
Hopewell township4222220000000
Jackson township4222230000000
Lower Chanceford township4209300040401
Lower Windsor township4211870181800
Manchester township4209310131301
Manheim township4222240000000
Monaghan township4222250020202
Newberry township422226251151104
North Codorus township4222270020200
North Hopewell township4222280000000
Paradise township420934121011111
Peach Bottom township4222290000000
Penn township4210250000000
Shrewsbury township4222300000000shared NFIP community; count covers the joint community
Spring Garden township4209370000000
Springettsbury township4210310131302
Springfield township4222310000000
Warrington township4222320121200
Washington township4211500111101
West Manchester township4222330030301
West Manheim township4222340000000
Windsor township4222350000000
York township4210320040400

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential122214217147444
2 to 4 unit residential0121200
other residential0151501
non-residential121611602
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 3 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 155 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). York County, PA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 42133). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/pa/42133/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org