Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Lawrence County, PA

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
42073
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Plan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligible. Plan: Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104), pending adoption here, approved 2025-10-23 by FEMA; not yet adopted here.

Update: FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption.

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($21,824,763 a year), Tornado ($744,913) and Lightning ($631,593).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Plan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligible
Plan:
Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104), pending adoption here
Approved:
2025-10-23 by FEMA; not yet adopted here
Expires:
2030-10-22 once adopted
Update underway:
FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

What changed since your last plan

Not available. Plan 109104 was approved by FEMA on 2025-10-23 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 28 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Lawrence CountyCountyPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104), pending adoption here2025-10-23 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-10-22 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Bessemer boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-01-12
Ellport boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-17
Ellwood City boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-17
Enon Valley boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-03-04
New Beaver boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-10
New Castle cityCityApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-19
New Wilmington boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-04-06
S.N.P.J. boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-21
South New Castle boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104), pending adoption here2025-10-23 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-10-22 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Volant boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104), pending adoption here2025-10-23 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-10-22 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Wampum boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-10
Hickory townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-03
Little Beaver townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-03
Mahoning townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-04-14
Neshannock townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-29
North Beaver townshipTownshipPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104), pending adoption here2025-10-23 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-10-22 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Perry townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-11
Plain Grove townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-03
Pulaski townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-03
Scott townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-02
Shenango townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2026-01-05
Slippery Rock townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-10
Taylor townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-02
Union townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-29
Washington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-08
Wayne townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483this jurisdiction approved 2025-11-06
Wilmington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22Lawrence County Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109104)2025-10-232030-10-221,483

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$21,760,814$471$63,478$21,824,763132
2TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$479,385$1,165$264,363$744,9133
3LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$3,802n/a$627,790$631,5931
4Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$234,090$1,016$297,832$532,938329Includes 16 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
5HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$226,505$3,048$20,203$249,75798
6Cold WaveVery LowRelatively Low$587$8,521$154,970$164,0789
7Heat WaveVery LowVery Lowunder $1$1,568$122,268$123,8360No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
8EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$89,657n/a$29,589$119,246Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
9Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$45,051$17$16,866$61,93365
10Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$19,309n/a$41,478$60,7876
11HurricaneVery LowVery Low$40,052$13,659$2,118$55,8290Declared 4 times; no Storm Events record of this type.
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$9,753$7$2,004$11,7640No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$373n/a$2,965$3,3380No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14AvalancheVery LowVery Low$0n/a$14$140No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
15DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$02

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 109 (Very Low, 6.2); tract 115 (Very Low, 4.8)
Earthquaketract 103 (Very Low, 40.5); tract 3 (Very Low, 22.4); tract 111 (Very Low, 22.2)
Hurricanetract 113 (Very Low, 47.2); tract 102.02 (Very Low, 46.6); tract 101 (Very Low, 45.6)
Landslidetract 115 (Relatively Low, 94.6); tract 111 (Relatively Low, 87.5); tract 113 (Relatively Low, 82.4)
Tornadotract 108 (Relatively Low, 45.7); tract 102.02 (Relatively Low, 44.0); tract 3 (Relatively Low, 43.7)
Wildfiretract 111 (Relatively Low, 75.4); tract 102.02 (Relatively Low, 69.5); tract 109 (Relatively Low, 68.9)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 109 is Census Tract 109). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)0
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill9 records, 2014 to 2026 (9 zone-level)1 day to 3 days (median 2 days); 9 with a recorded value3 consecutive days, 2025-01-20 to 2025-01-22, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)2 records, 1999 (2 zone-level)61 days; 1 with a recorded value61 days (2 months), 1999-08-01 to 1999-09-30, a run of 2 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)105 records, 1973 to 20260.75 in to 2 in (median 1 in); 105 with a recorded value2 in hail, 2024-04-14; same size also recorded on 1998-06-02, 2024-04-14Hail, 1995-04-18, $5,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: New Castle city (27 records), New Wilmington borough (11 records), Pulaski township (11 records), Bessemer borough (3 records), Volant borough (3 records), Plain Grove township (2 records), Ellwood City borough (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)6 records, 1997 to 2013 (6 zone-level)Ice Storm, 1997-11-13, $2,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars); NWS zone PAZ013Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)132 records, 1996 to 2026 (9 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2023-07-09, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: New Castle city (30 records), Ellwood City borough (9 records), Bessemer borough (3 records), Ellport borough (2 records), New Wilmington borough (1 record), Plain Grove township (1 record), Pulaski township (1 record), Volant borough (1 record), Wampum borough (1 record). Zone-level records (9) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)1 record, 1998Lightning, 1998-08-24, $1,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: New Castle city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)20 records, 1997 to 2024 (20 zone-level)42 kt (48 mph) to 55 kt (63 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 18 with a recorded value55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2008-09-14; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2003-03-08, 2006-12-01; NWS zone PAZ013Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)361 records, 1958 to 202635 kt (40 mph) to 90 kt (104 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 276 with a recorded value90 kt (104 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1999-07-28Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: New Castle city (70 records), Ellwood City borough (31 records), New Wilmington borough (18 records), Ellport borough (7 records), Plain Grove township (6 records), Pulaski township (6 records), Volant borough (5 records), Wampum borough (4 records), Bessemer borough (2 records), Washington township (1 record).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)12 records, 1954 to 2021F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median between F/EF0 and F/EF1); 12 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 1992-08-08, 1.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1992 dollars), 11 direct injuriesTornado, 1977-09-24, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1977 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)65 records, 1996 to 2026 (65 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2008-02-01, $10,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars); NWS zone PAZ013Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of avalanche, debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 12 declarations covering 9 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Plan 109104 was approved by FEMA on 2025-10-23 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-03-302020-01-20DR-4506-PAMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$213,861.30
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3441-PAEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4506
2013-10-012013-06-26DR-4149-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$421,330.92
2012-10-292012-10-26EM-3356-PAEmergencyHurricane SandyHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-102005-08-29EM-3235-PAEmergencyHurricane KatrinaHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2004-09-192004-09-17DR-1557-PAMajor disasterTropical Depression IvanHurricane$228,206.68
2004-09-192004-09-08DR-1555-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms and Flooding Associated with Tropical Depression FrancesHurricane; Inland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2003-08-232003-07-21DR-1485-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$643,749.39
1996-01-211996-01-19DR-1093-PAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1993-03-161993-03-13EM-3105-PAEmergencySevere Snowfall & Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1977-01-291977-01-29EM-3026-PAEmergencySnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1972-06-231972-06-23DR-340-PAMajor disasterTropical Storm AgnesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Hurricaneno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1959-01-231959-01-23DR-89-PAMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1956-08-091956-08-09DR-61-PAMajor disasterStormHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not counted
1956-05-211956-05-21DR-58-PAMajor disasterSevere StormHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not counted
1956-03-151956-03-15DR-51-PAMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1955-08-201955-08-20DR-40-PAMajor disasterFloods & RainsInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave9301996 to 2026-06-30
Drought2001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail1052501955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane0041996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 4 federal declared incidents (see declarations table)
Ice Storm6001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding1324751996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning1001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind3815801955 to 2026-06-30Includes 16 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records.
Tornado12021950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather652121996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-01-20Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone PAZ013 (LAWRENCE), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2024-04-14Hail2 in$0 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars)0, 0VALETwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2023-07-09Flash Flood$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)0, 0NEW CASTLE JCT to IRISH RIPPLEwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2020-03-29High Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 2NWS zone PAZ013 (LAWRENCE), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2008-09-14High Wind55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone PAZ013 (LAWRENCE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2008-02-01Winter Storm$10,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone PAZ013 (LAWRENCE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1999-08-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone PAZ013 (LAWRENCE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
1999-07-28Thunderstorm Wind90 kt (104 mph), measurement type not recorded$200,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)0, 0NEW WILMINGTONB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1998-08-24Lightning$1,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)0, 0NEW CASTLEB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1997-11-13Ice Storm$2,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone PAZ013 (LAWRENCE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
1992-08-08TornadoF2, 1.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1992 dollars)0, 11location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1954-06-10TornadoF2, 33 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1954 dollars)0, 2location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (713 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Cold Wave3.32event-days per yearabout 3.32 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)632005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI models no drought event-days here (2000 to 2025, 25.25 years; D3 and D4 only); Storm Events has a record in 1 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which counts D2 drought that NRI leaves out.
Earthquake0.000598annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0598%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail4.08events per yearabout 4.08 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)155.2 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave1.53event-days per yearabout 1.53 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)302005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.023events per yearabout 1 in 43 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)61851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.425event-days per yearabout 0.425 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)291946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding2.29event-days per yearabout 2.29 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 25 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (83.3%)641996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.248events per year (modeled)about 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning40.4days per year with a strikeabout 40.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind2.44events per yearabout 2.44 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)931986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.158events per yearabout 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0000566annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00566%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather12.4event-days per yearabout 12.4 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 24 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (80%)2352005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202549301.63
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20254300.133
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025256308.53
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20252300.0667
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202537301.23
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20253300.1
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche2 of 284.85.56.2Very Low 2, Not Applicable 26
Cold Wave28 of 2817.521.124.4Relatively Low 26, Very Low 2
Drought0 of 28No Rating 28
Earthquake28 of 286.216.540.5Very Low 28
Hail28 of 2831.255.464.9Relatively Low 27, Very Low 1
Heat Wave28 of 282.65.310.2Very Low 28
Hurricane28 of 2827.639.547.2Very Low 28
Ice Storm28 of 288.729.846.1Relatively Low 7, Very Low 21
Inland Flooding28 of 2813.562.996.2Very High 1, Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 16, Relatively Low 6, Very Low 1
Landslide28 of 2820.557.194.6Relatively Low 4, Very Low 24
Lightning28 of 2835.372.188.6Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 19, Relatively Low 1
Strong Wind28 of 2823.854.969.5Relatively Moderate 15, Relatively Low 13
Tornado28 of 2816.936.245.7Relatively Low 23, Very Low 5
Wildfire28 of 2819.248.175.4Relatively Low 3, Very Low 25
Winter Weather28 of 2825.548.060.6Relatively Moderate 14, Relatively Low 14

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Lawrence CountyCountyPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligible$87,504.740 total; no approved planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row. Includes $78,664.20 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4506-PA).
Bessemer boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded8 total; 0 since its plan
Ellport boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded9 total; 1 since its plan
Ellwood City boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 4$4,833.5341 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Beaver County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 0, FMA SRL 0, NFIP RL 1, NFIP SRL 0, any category 1.
Enon Valley boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
New Beaver boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
New Castle cityCityApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 6$310,322.99128 total; 4 since its planIncludes $32,449.20 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4506-PA).
New Wilmington boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$13,141.3730 total; 0 since its plan
S.N.P.J. boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
South New Castle boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$28,339.310 total; no approved plan
Volant boroughOrganized BoroughPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded9 total; no approved plan
Wampum boroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,511.775 total; 0 since its plan
Hickory townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$22,518.330 total; 0 since its plan
Little Beaver townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Mahoning townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$123,263.120 total; 0 since its plan
Neshannock townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$61,618.250 total; 0 since its plan
North Beaver townshipTownshipPlan 109104 approved 2025-10-23, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Perry townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$75,472.380 total; 0 since its plan
Plain Grove townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$7,003.369 total; 0 since its plan
Pulaski townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$102,097.4218 total; 0 since its plan
Scott townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 2no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Shenango townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$252,730.120 total; 0 since its plan
Slippery Rock townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$26,748.230 total; 0 since its plan
Taylor townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Union townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$20,162.270 total; 0 since its plan
Washington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded1 total; 0 since its plan
Wayne townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Wilmington townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2030-10-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$125,803.560 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Plan 109104 was approved by FEMA on 2025-10-23 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since plancounty-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$0n/aunder 1$0n/a$14building exposure is 0 in NRI
Cold Wave$16,451,446,684$44,770,55486,035$587$8,521$154,970under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$28,308,765,382n/a86,070$89,657n/a$29,5890.000317%
Hail$16,451,446,684$44,770,55486,035$226,505$3,048$20,2030.00138%
Heat Wave$16,451,446,684$44,770,55486,035under $1$1,568$122,268under 0.0001%
Hurricane$16,451,428,717$44,641,11686,035$40,052$13,659$2,1180.000243%
Ice Storm$16,442,846,774n/a85,948$19,309n/a$41,4780.000117%
Inland Flooding$16,445,297,838$1,190,3061,744$21,760,814$471$63,478n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$495,729,989n/a3,119$373n/a$2,965under 0.0001%
Lightning$16,451,446,684n/a86,035$3,802n/a$627,790under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$16,451,446,684$44,770,55486,035$234,090$1,016$297,8320.00142%
Tornado$16,451,446,684$44,770,55486,035$479,385$1,165$264,3630.00291%
Wildfire$4,409,836,334$14,595,34324,855$9,753$7$2,0040.000221%
Winter Weather$16,451,446,684$44,770,55486,035$45,051$17$16,8660.000274%

Totals since the plan: not available. Plan 109104 was approved by FEMA on 2025-10-23 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population86,035
Building value (total, not at risk)$16,451,446,684
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$44,770,554
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$22,938,849
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$1,645,938
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition19Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition1

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total011911904
of which: Ellwood City borough0010100
of which: New Castle city0060601
of which: Shenango township0010100
of which: Hickory township0020200
of which: Mahoning township0020200
of which: Neshannock township0010101
of which: Scott township0121201
of which: Wilmington township0030301
of which: New Beaver borough0010100
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Bessemer borough4226270000000
Ellport borough4224620000000
Ellwood City borough4205671030410Whole community, including the part in Beaver County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 0, FMA SRL 0, NFIP RL 1, NFIP SRL 0, any category 1.
Enon Valley borough4224630000000
New Beaver borough4224650010100
New Castle city4205680060601
New Wilmington borough4205690000000
S.N.P.J. borough4227110000000
South New Castle borough4224670000000
Volant borough4217900000000
Wampum borough4217910000000
Hickory township4217920020200
Little Beaver township4224640000000
Mahoning township4217930020200
Neshannock township4217940010101
North Beaver township4217950000000
Perry township4217960000000
Plain Grove township4217970000000
Pulaski township4217980000000
Scott township4217990121201
Shenango township4210290010100
Slippery Rock township4224660000000
Taylor township4218000000000
Union township4218010000000
Washington township4224680000000
Wayne township4224690000000
Wilmington township4218020030301

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential011511504
2 to 4 unit residential0020200
other residential0000000
non-residential0020200
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 19 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Lawrence County, PA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 42073). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/pa/42073/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org