Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Pushmataha County, OK

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
40127
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-06-27. Plan: Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102), approved 2022-06-28.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-06-28: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident) and 61 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($2,551,914 a year), Tornado ($876,991) and Wildfire ($670,718).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2027-06-27
Plan:
Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)
Approved:
2022-06-28
Days to expiry:
270
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-06-28)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4721-OK (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes)
Storm Events records since approval:
61 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 14 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Pushmataha CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Albion townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Antlers cityCityApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Clayton townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Rattan townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Albion Public SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Antlers Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Battiest Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictPlan 105037 approved 2023-03-22, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleMcCurtain County (FEMA plan 105037), pending adoption here2023-03-22 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-03-21 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Clayton Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Moyers Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Nashoba Public SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Rattan Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270
Smithville Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictPlan 105037 approved 2023-03-22, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleMcCurtain County (FEMA plan 105037), pending adoption here2023-03-22 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-03-21 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Tuskahoma Public SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-06-27Pushmataha County (FEMA plan 107102)2022-06-282027-06-27270

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowVery Low$2,076,353$38$475,522$2,551,91459
2TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$202,688$404$673,900$876,99128
3WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$503,933$1,742$165,043$670,71828
4Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$153$134$565,731$566,01834
5DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$517,783n/a$517,78371
6Ice StormRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$457,068n/a$979$458,0477
7HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$192,091$287$22,433$214,811207
8Cold WaveVery LowRelatively Low$2,441$26$177,015$179,4812
9Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$53,698$21$78,666$132,386129Includes 3 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
10EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$54,141n/a$24,364$78,506Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11LightningRelatively LowVery Low$5,203n/a$53,752$58,9542
12Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$18,728$136$9,236$28,10030
13HurricaneVery LowVery Low$7,706$1,837$253$9,7950No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$529n/a$209$7380No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 977.01 (Relatively Low, 68.3); tract 977.02 (Very Low, 40.9); tract 976 (Very Low, 36.9)
Hurricanetract 976 (Very Low, 48.2); tract 978 (Very Low, 43.5); tract 977.01 (Very Low, 42.8)
Landslidetract 976 (Relatively Low, 91.7); tract 978 (Relatively Low, 85.0); tract 977.02 (Very Low, 79.7)
Tornadotract 977.02 (Relatively High, 90.9); tract 977.01 (Relatively High, 90.5); tract 976 (Relatively High, 87.3)
Wildfiretract 976 (Relatively High, 98.1); tract 977.02 (Relatively High, 96.9); tract 978 (Relatively High, 96.3)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 977.01 is Census Tract 977.01). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill2 records, 1996 (2 zone-level)3 days to 5 days (median 4 days); 2 with a recorded value5 consecutive days, 1996-02-01 to 1996-02-05, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)71 records, 1998 to 2026 (71 zone-level)26 days to 294 days (median 140 days); 15 with a recorded value294 days (about 9.7 months), 2012-06-19 to 2013-04-08, a run of 11 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)299 records, 1957 to 2026 (1 zone-level)0.75 in to 4.25 in (median 0.88 in); 299 with a recorded value4.25 in hail, 2011-04-14; same size also recorded on 2011-04-14Hail, 2008-04-09, $150,000 property; crops not reported (2008 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Clayton town (41 records), Antlers city (33 records), Rattan town (17 records), Albion town (11 records). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)34 records, 1998 to 2024 (34 zone-level)1 day to 28 days (median 2 days); 31 with a recorded value28 consecutive days, 2011-07-14 to 2011-08-10, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)7 records, 1996 to 2023 (7 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2013-12-05, $1,400,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars); NWS zone OKZ049Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)59 records, 1996 to 2026 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2012-01-25, $25,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Antlers city (13 records), Clayton town (8 records), Rattan town (3 records), Albion town (1 record). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)2 records, 1998Lightning, 1998-05-05, $40,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Antlers city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)3 records, 1996 to 2008 (3 zone-level)45 kt (52 mph) to 52 kt (60 mph) (median 48.5 kt (56 mph)); 2 with a recorded value52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2008-01-29; NWS zone OKZ049Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)156 records, 1957 to 2025 (1 zone-level)50 kt (58 mph) to 88 kt (101 mph) (median 61 kt (70 mph)); 105 with a recorded value88 kt (101 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1957-04-30Thunderstorm Wind, 2023-06-17, $56,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Antlers city (27 records), Clayton town (18 records), Rattan town (12 records), Albion town (4 records). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Speeds under 20 kt (likely entry errors) are left out of the observed range.
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)48 records, 1953 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF1); 48 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 1960-05-04, 19.8 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 150 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1960 dollars)Tornado, 1983-11-22, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1983 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Clayton town (3 records), Albion town (2 records), Antlers city (2 records), Rattan town (2 records).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)28 records, 2011 to 2026 (28 zone-level)Wildfire, 2022-02-14, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2022 dollars); NWS zone OKZ049Countywide (zone-level records).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)30 records, 1996 to 2026 (30 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2023-01-24, $20,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars); NWS zone OKZ049Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 29 declarations covering 23 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2023-07-192023-06-14DR-4721-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesStrong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2021-02-242021-02-08DR-4587-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Stormno Public Assistance recorded
2021-02-172021-02-08EM-3555-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4587
2020-04-052020-01-20DR-4530-OKMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3462-OKEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4530
2019-07-122019-04-30DR-4453-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$146,800.57
2019-06-012019-05-07DR-4438-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$57,216.14
2016-02-102015-12-26DR-4256-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$637,239.85
2015-05-262015-05-05DR-4222-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$449,822.95
2014-01-302013-12-05DR-4164-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$1,095,233.95
2013-05-202013-05-18DR-4117-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$92,404.37
2011-04-222011-04-14DR-1970-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line WindsStrong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
2011-02-022011-01-31EM-3316-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
2010-01-302010-01-28EM-3308-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
2008-05-092008-04-09DR-1754-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado$209,432.50
2008-05-052008-03-17DR-1752-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$50,742.54
2007-12-102007-12-08EM-3280-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormsIce Stormno Public Assistance recorded
2007-07-072007-06-10DR-1712-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornado$42,044.48
2007-02-012007-01-12DR-1678-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsWinter Weather$88,704.40
2007-01-142007-01-12EM-3272-OKEmergencySevere Winter Storms and FloodingIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1678
2006-01-102005-11-27DR-1623-OKMajor disasterExtreme Wildfire ThreatWildfire$10,676.46
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3219-OKEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2001-06-292001-05-27DR-1384-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornado$6,112.31
2001-01-052000-12-25DR-1355-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice StormIce Storm$232,393.12
2000-12-282000-12-25EM-3158-OKEmergencySevere Winter and Ice StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1355
1993-05-121993-05-08DR-991-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1990-05-181990-04-14DR-866-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1972-01-141972-01-14DR-317-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1968-05-291968-05-29DR-241-OKMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $11,298.89 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1995-04-191995-04-19EM-3115-OKEmergencyExplosion at Federal Courthouse in Oklahoma CityNon-natural, not counted
1960-07-151960-07-15DR-104-OKMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Hail, Floods & TornadoesHail; Inland Flooding; Tornado
1959-11-091959-11-09DR-95-OKMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodsInland Flooding
1959-07-081959-07-08DR-92-OKMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1957-05-181957-05-18DR-74-OKMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1956-04-071956-04-07DR-54-OKMajor disasterTornadoesTornado
1955-06-011955-06-01DR-35-OKMajor disasterFlood & TornadoInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

13 Fire Management declarations (1971-04-08 to 2012-07-30) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought7122527001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail299639001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave3414115001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm7101401996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding592121301996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind159314511955 to 2026-06-30Includes 3 High Wind records.
Tornado481011211950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire288210101996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather30437501996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2022-02-14Wildfire$100,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2022 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ049 (PUSHMATAHA), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2013-12-05Ice Storm$1,400,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2013 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ049 (PUSHMATAHA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2012-06-19Drought$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ049 (PUSHMATAHA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2012-01-25Flash Flood$25,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)0, 0ANTLERSB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2011-07-14Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ049 (PUSHMATAHA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2011-04-14Hail4.25 in$0 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)0, 0DUNBARB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2008-01-29High Wind52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ049 (PUSHMATAHA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
1997-03-12Flooddamage not reported1, 0NWS zone OKZ049 (PUSHMATAHA), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
1996-11-07Flash Flooddamage not reported1, 0ANTLERSdeaths or injuries recorded
1996-02-01Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone OKZ049 (PUSHMATAHA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1983-11-22TornadoF3, 3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1983 dollars)0, 3location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1960-05-04TornadoF4, 19.8 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 150 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1960 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (739 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave0.789event-days per yearabout 0.789 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)152005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought42.5event-days per yearabout 42.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)1,2602000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00154annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.154%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail5.3events per yearabout 5.3 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)201.8 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave23.4event-days per yearabout 23.4 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)3522005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.00965events per yearabout 1 in 104 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.32event-days per yearabout 1.32 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)891946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.57event-days per yearabout 1.57 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 17 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (56.7%)441996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide1.08events per year (modeled)about 1.08 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning61.9days per year with a strikeabout 61.9 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind3.07events per yearabout 3.07 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1171986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.971events per yearabout 0.97 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0148annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 1.48%LikelyStorm Events records in 11 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (36.7%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather5.42event-days per yearabout 5.42 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 17 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (56.7%)1032005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202572302.4
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 202511300.367
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202578302.6
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202520300.667
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202527300.9
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202523300.767
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20254300.133
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave4 of 448.958.361.0Relatively Moderate 4
Drought1 of 499.299.299.2Relatively High 1, No Rating 3
Earthquake4 of 428.938.968.3Relatively Low 1, Very Low 3
Hail4 of 481.789.391.3Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 2
Heat Wave4 of 487.692.393.3Relatively High 4
Hurricane4 of 442.643.248.2Very Low 4
Ice Storm4 of 497.498.999.4Very High 3, Relatively High 1
Inland Flooding4 of 449.571.387.2Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 2
Landslide4 of 425.282.391.7Relatively Low 2, Very Low 2
Lightning4 of 460.472.675.0Relatively Moderate 4
Strong Wind4 of 467.879.683.6Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 3
Tornado4 of 475.588.990.9Relatively High 4
Wildfire4 of 492.696.698.1Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 1
Winter Weather4 of 473.983.686.5Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 1

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Pushmataha CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-06-27FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,467,352.020 total; 0 since its plan
Albion townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-27no Public Assistance recorded18 total; 1 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Antlers cityCityApproved, expires 2027-06-27FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$144,302.1876 total; 5 since its plan
Clayton townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-27FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$10,754.0670 total; 2 since its plan
Rattan townTownApproved, expires 2027-06-27$2,886.6134 total; 1 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2022-06-28county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$1,718,833,008$21,065,21310,767$2,441$26$177,0150.000142%
Droughtn/a$734,781n/an/a$517,783n/a70.5% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$2,926,786,566n/a10,812$54,141n/a$24,3640.00185%
Hail$1,718,833,008$21,065,21310,767$192,091$287$22,4330.0112%$90,000
Heat Wave$1,718,833,008$21,065,21310,767$153$134$565,731under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$1,715,121,750$20,729,60810,730$7,706$1,837$2530.000449%
Ice Storm$1,718,833,008n/a10,767$457,068n/a$9790.0266%$0
Inland Flooding$1,718,432,953$3,689246$2,076,353$38$475,522n/a (see note)$0NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$23,759,817n/a147$529n/a$2090.00223%
Lightning$1,718,833,008n/a10,767$5,203n/a$53,7520.000303%
Strong Wind$1,718,833,008$21,065,21310,767$53,698$21$78,6660.00312%$78,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Tornado$1,718,833,008$21,065,21310,767$202,688$404$673,9000.0118%$50,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Wildfire$433,523,692$15,522,1785,509$503,933$1,742$165,0430.116%$0
Winter Weather$1,718,833,008$21,065,21310,767$18,728$136$9,2360.00109%$20,000

Totals since 2022-06-28 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 12 county-coded records, 12 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $218,000; 49 zone-level records, 49 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $20,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: none recorded on the 1 counted declaration.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population10,767
Building value (total, not at risk)$1,718,833,008
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$21,065,213
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$4,097,140
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$2,247,103
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Pushmataha County4001810000000
Antlers city4001820000000
Clayton town4003580000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Pushmataha County, OK: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 40127). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ok/40127/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org