Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Delaware County, OK

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
40041
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-12-10. Plan: Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488), approved 2023-12-11.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-12-11: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident) and 51 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($17,270,473 a year), Tornado ($3,540,504) and Heat Wave ($2,205,876).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-12-10
Plan:
Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)
Approved:
2023-12-11
Days to expiry:
802

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-12-11)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4791-OK (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
51 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 1 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 18
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 20 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Delaware CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802
Bernice townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Colcord townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802
Grove cityCityApproved, expires 2028-07-24Grove (FEMA plan 108489)2023-07-252028-07-24663
Jay cityCityApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2024-03-12
Kansas townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802
Oaks townTownPlan 108488 approved 2023-12-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleDelaware County (FEMA plan 108488), pending adoption here2023-12-11 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-12-10 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
West Siloam Springs townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Cleora Public SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802
Colcord Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Grove Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Jay Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictPlan 108488 approved 2023-12-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleDelaware County (FEMA plan 108488), pending adoption here2023-12-11 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-12-10 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Kansas Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Kenwood Public SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2024-07-30
Ketchum Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-01-16Craig County (FEMA plan 108201)2023-01-172028-01-16473
Leach Public SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Moseley Public SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-12-10Delaware County (FEMA plan 108488)2023-12-112028-12-10802this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Oaks-Mission Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictPlan 108488 approved 2023-12-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleDelaware County (FEMA plan 108488), pending adoption here2023-12-11 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-12-10 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Westville Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-03-29Adair County (FEMA plan 108076)2022-03-302027-03-29180
Name not given in FEMA data (ID NM06_56372)School/School DistrictExpired on 2016-05-30Jay Public Schools (FEMA plan 56372)2011-05-302016-05-30-3,775

FEMA plan data lists 1 school district row with no name (FEMA IDs only) and 11 named school districts. FEMA files some districts under two ID schemes on different plans, so a named district's 'No approved plan on record' can sit beside an unnamed row that has a plan.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$14,969,425$442,006$1,859,042$17,270,47344
2TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$818,396$11,850$2,710,258$3,540,50443
3Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,343$1,473$2,203,060$2,205,87626
4Ice StormVery HighVery High$1,772,338n/a$15,975$1,788,3136
5Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$214$542,937$1,020,601$1,563,7530No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
6Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$151,547$24,080$1,089,791$1,265,418213Includes 5 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
7WildfireRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$627,765$10,908$297,293$935,96614
8HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$362,223$9,159$10,507$381,889191
9LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$20,051n/a$299,924$319,9752
10EarthquakeRelatively LowVery Low$235,843n/a$46,251$282,095Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Lown/a$227,620n/a$227,62042
12Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$103,598$3,844$24,011$131,45246
13HurricaneVery LowVery Low$14,492$12,337$130$26,9600No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$5,118n/a$515$5,6330No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 3757.02 (Relatively Low, 72.2); tract 3760 (Relatively Low, 67.6); tract 3757.01 (Relatively Low, 63.9)
Hurricanetract 9762 (Very Low, 50.1); tract 3761 (Very Low, 48.8); tract 3760 (Very Low, 47.3)
Landslidetract 3759.01 (Relatively Low, 94.4); tract 9762 (Relatively Low, 94.1); tract 3761 (Relatively Low, 93.8)
Tornadotract 9762 (Very High, 98.2); tract 3760 (Very High, 97.8); tract 3761 (Very High, 97.1)
Wildfiretract 9762 (Relatively High, 97.7); tract 3761 (Relatively High, 96.8); tract 3760 (Relatively High, 96.8)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 3757.02 is Census Tract 3757.02). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)42 records, 2005 to 2026 (42 zone-level)56 days to 255 days (median 113 days); 9 with a recorded value255 days (about 8.4 months), 2012-07-01 to 2013-03-12, a run of 9 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)260 records, 1961 to 20260.75 in to 3 in (median 0.88 in); 260 with a recorded value3 in hail, 2020-03-27; same size also recorded on 1961-05-08Hail, 2020-03-27, $250,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Jay city (57 records), Grove city (42 records), Colcord town (22 records), Kansas town (19 records), Bernice town (16 records), West Siloam Springs town (9 records), Oaks town (7 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)26 records, 2006 to 2024 (26 zone-level)1 day to 26 days (median 2 days); 23 with a recorded value26 consecutive days, 2011-07-14 to 2011-08-08, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)6 records, 1996 to 2013 (6 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2007-12-09, $35,000,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars); NWS zone OKZ063Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)44 records, 1996 to 2026 (3 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2015-07-09, $75,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Jay city (12 records), Grove city (5 records), Colcord town (3 records), Kansas town (3 records), Bernice town (2 records). Zone-level records (3) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)2 records, 2001 to 2002Lightning, 2002-10-06, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Grove city (2 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)5 records, 1998 to 2007 (5 zone-level)52 kt (60 mph) to 61 kt (70 mph) (median 54 kt (62 mph)); 3 with a recorded value61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2005-06-04; NWS zone OKZ063High Wind, 1999-01-30, $6,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1999 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)269 records, 1983 to 202652 kt (60 mph) to 75 kt (86 mph) (median 61 kt (70 mph)); 186 with a recorded value75 kt (86 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2023-06-18Thunderstorm Wind, 1995-04-19, $500,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Grove city (54 records), Jay city (32 records), Bernice town (27 records), Colcord town (22 records), Kansas town (14 records), West Siloam Springs town (10 records), Oaks town (3 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)66 records, 1954 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 64 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 2006-03-12, 17 mi within this county, 440 yd wide, $3,000,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars), 8 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bernice town (5 records), Jay city (4 records), Colcord town (3 records), Grove city (3 records), Kansas town (1 record), West Siloam Springs town (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)14 records, 2012 to 2026 (14 zone-level)Wildfire, 2015-11-11, $50,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars); NWS zone OKZ063Countywide (zone-level records).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)46 records, 1996 to 2026 (46 zone-level)Blizzard, 2011-02-01, $30,000,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars); NWS zone OKZ063Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 33 declarations covering 26 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-06-142024-05-19DR-4791-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$251,084.58new since last plan; within last 5 years
2023-07-192023-06-14DR-4721-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesStrong Wind; Tornado$101,716.95in the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 years
2021-02-242021-02-08DR-4587-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Storm$0
2021-02-172021-02-08EM-3555-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4587
2020-04-052020-01-20DR-4530-OKMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$8,805.61
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3462-OKEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4530
2019-06-012019-05-07DR-4438-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$330,785.15
2017-07-252017-05-16DR-4324-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Windno Public Assistance recorded
2017-05-262017-04-28DR-4315-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$494,918.10
2016-02-102015-12-26DR-4256-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$109,306.37
2015-05-262015-05-05DR-4222-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$180,898.04
2011-06-062011-05-22DR-1989-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$86,664.30
2011-05-272011-04-21DR-1988-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$161,520.92
2011-02-022011-01-31EM-3316-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
2010-03-052010-01-28DR-1883-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormIce Storm$64,589.29
2010-02-252009-12-24DR-1876-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$181,932.33
2010-01-302010-01-28EM-3308-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1883
2009-02-172009-01-26DR-1823-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$81,307.23
2008-05-092008-04-09DR-1754-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado$456,345.22
2007-12-182007-12-08DR-1735-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Storm$95,998.23
2007-12-102007-12-08EM-3280-OKEmergencySevere Winter StormsIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1735
2007-07-072007-06-10DR-1712-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
2007-02-012007-01-12DR-1678-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsWinter Weather$1,178,873.73
2007-01-142007-01-12EM-3272-OKEmergencySevere Winter Storms and FloodingIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1678
2006-04-132006-03-12DR-1637-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornadoPA not declared for this county
2006-01-102005-11-27DR-1623-OKMajor disasterExtreme Wildfire ThreatWildfire$27,455.64
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3219-OKEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2003-05-102003-05-08DR-1465-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornado$39,595.09
2001-01-052000-12-25DR-1355-OKMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice StormIce Storm$548,489.20
1990-05-181990-04-14DR-866-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1986-10-141986-09-26DR-778-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1974-06-101974-06-10DR-441-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1973-06-131973-06-13DR-392-OKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, & TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $104,032.41 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1995-04-191995-04-19EM-3115-OKEmergencyExplosion at Federal Courthouse in Oklahoma CityNon-natural, not counted
1960-07-151960-07-15DR-104-OKMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Hail, Floods & TornadoesHail; Inland Flooding; Tornado
1959-11-091959-11-09DR-95-OKMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodsInland Flooding
1959-07-081959-07-08DR-92-OKMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1957-05-181957-05-18DR-74-OKMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1956-04-071956-04-07DR-54-OKMajor disasterTornadoesTornado
1955-06-011955-06-01DR-35-OKMajor disasterFlood & TornadoInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

13 Fire Management declarations (1971-04-08 to 2012-07-30) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Drought427215001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail26014017001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave262510001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm6000501996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding441011411996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind27481220611955 to 2026-06-30Includes 5 High Wind records.
Tornado668091311950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire14608101996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather46529601996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2023-06-18Thunderstorm Wind75 kt (86 mph) estimated gust$340,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)0, 0LEACH to JAYin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2020-03-27Hail3 in$50,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)0, 0ZENAB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2016-06-17Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2016 dollars)1, 0NWS zone OKZ063 (DELAWARE), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2015-11-11Wildfire$50,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2015 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ063 (DELAWARE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2015-07-09Flash Flood$75,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)0, 0JAYB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2011-07-14Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ063 (DELAWARE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2011-05-22TornadoEF2, 2.9 mi within this county, 350 yd wide$400,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)0, 12MOSELEYdeaths or injuries recorded
2008-02-16Flash Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars)1, 0JAYdeaths or injuries recorded
2007-12-09Ice Storm$35,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2007 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OKZ063 (DELAWARE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2006-03-12TornadoF3, 17 mi within this county, 440 yd wide$3,000,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)0, 8LEACHB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
2005-06-04High Wind61 kt (70 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone OKZ063 (DELAWARE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2002-10-06Lightning$50,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)0, 0GROVEB1-c worst recorded: Lightning

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (780 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave1.74event-days per yearabout 1.74 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)332005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought13.5event-days per yearabout 13.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)5182000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.0015annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.15%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail8.19events per yearabout 8.19 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)311.5 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave17.2event-days per yearabout 17.2 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 12 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (40%)2522005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.00735events per yearabout 1 in 136 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)21851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.62event-days per yearabout 1.62 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)1091946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.39event-days per yearabout 1.39 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 17 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (56.7%)391996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.59events per year (modeled)about 0.59 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning56.3days per year with a strikeabout 56.3 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind6.72events per yearabout 6.72 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)2561986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.801events per yearabout 0.8 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0073annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.73%LikelyStorm Events records in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather10.3event-days per yearabout 10.3 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 22 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (73.3%)1952005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202587302.9
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20258300.267
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025137304.57
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202528300.933
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202541301.37
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202532301.07
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20259300.3
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20251300.0333

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave13 of 1348.477.692.2Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 7
Drought4 of 1375.990.398.0Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 1, Very Low 1, No Rating 9
Earthquake13 of 1324.239.772.2Relatively Low 6, Very Low 7
Hail13 of 1368.281.287.2Relatively Moderate 12, Relatively Low 1
Heat Wave13 of 1371.693.896.5Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 3
Hurricane13 of 1331.942.050.1Very Low 13
Ice Storm13 of 1396.798.799.8Very High 10, Relatively High 3
Inland Flooding13 of 1380.293.797.9Very High 3, Relatively High 10
Landslide13 of 1347.880.194.4Relatively Low 6, Very Low 7
Lightning13 of 1350.386.595.3Relatively High 7, Relatively Moderate 6
Strong Wind13 of 1381.594.898.3Very High 4, Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 1
Tornado13 of 1371.390.598.2Very High 5, Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 3
Wildfire13 of 1386.193.297.7Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 1
Winter Weather13 of 1373.586.995.0Relatively High 11, Relatively Moderate 2

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Delaware CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-12-10FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 14$3,263,870.490 total; 0 since its plan
Bernice townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$12,005.7250 total; 1 since its plan
Colcord townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$54,462.6750 total; 1 since its plan
Grove cityCityApproved, expires 2028-07-24FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$353,091.92106 total; 8 since its planIncludes $8,805.61 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4530-OK).
Jay cityCityApproved, expires 2028-12-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$134,952105 total; 6 since its plan
Kansas townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$56,994.8537 total; 3 since its plan
Oaks townTownPlan 108488 approved 2023-12-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$27,959.6310 total; no approved plan
West Siloam Springs townTownApproved, expires 2028-12-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$200,710.2320 total; 3 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-12-11county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$8,473,523,917$314,138,47040,338$214$542,937$1,020,601under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$6,546,562n/an/a$227,620n/a3.48% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$14,240,737,728n/a40,397$235,843n/a$46,2510.00166%
Hail$8,473,523,917$314,138,47040,338$362,223$9,159$10,5070.00427%$175,000
Heat Wave$8,473,523,917$314,138,47040,338$1,343$1,473$2,203,060under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$8,459,111,049$314,067,13940,299$14,492$12,337$1300.000171%
Ice Storm$8,473,348,228n/a40,337$1,772,338n/a$15,9750.0209%
Inland Flooding$8,470,760,290$22,882,6691,751$14,969,425$442,006$1,859,042n/a (see note)$0$251,084.58NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$420,244,975n/a1,853$5,118n/a$5150.00122%
Lightning$8,473,523,917n/a40,338$20,051n/a$299,9240.000237%
Strong Wind$8,473,523,917$314,138,47040,338$151,547$24,080$1,089,7910.00179%$125,000$251,084.58
Tornado$8,473,523,917$314,138,47040,338$818,396$11,850$2,710,2580.00966%$420,000$251,084.58
Wildfire$1,080,650,479$208,816,40016,214$627,765$10,908$297,2930.0581%$0
Winter Weather$8,473,523,917$314,138,47040,338$103,598$3,844$24,0110.00122%$0

Totals since 2023-12-11 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 31 county-coded records, 31 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $720,000; 20 zone-level records, 20 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $251,084.58 on 1 counted declaration.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population40,338
Building value (total, not at risk)$8,473,523,917
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$314,138,470
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$20,368,568
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$9,577,360
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition18Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total011801800
of which: Grove city0040400
of which: Delaware County (unincorporated area)011401400

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Delaware County400502011401400
Bernice town4005590000000
Colcord town4002810000000
Grove city4003850040400
Jay city4000570000000
Kansas town4002900000000
Oaks town4003140000000
West Siloam Springs town4003390000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential011801800
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0000000
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 18 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Delaware County, OK: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 40041). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ok/40041/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org