Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Richland County, OH

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
39139
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2031-08-04. Plan: Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163), approved 2026-08-05.

Since the plan was approved on 2026-08-05: no new hazard declaration; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($14,024,290 a year), Tornado ($1,934,307) and Hail ($1,604,939).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2031-08-04
Plan:
Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)
Approved:
2026-08-05
Days to expiry:
1,769

What changed since your last plan (approved 2026-08-05)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
not yet covered: Storm Events data run through 2026-06-30, before the approval date, so there is no period to count yet
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 2, SRL 5 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 36
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Richland CountyCountyApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769
Bellville villageVillagePlan 112163 approved 2026-08-05, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleRichland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163), pending adoption here2026-08-05 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-08-04 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Butler villageVillagePlan 112163 approved 2026-08-05, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleRichland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163), pending adoption here2026-08-05 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-08-04 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Crestline villageVillagePlan 111640 approved 2026-02-18, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleCrawford County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111640), pending adoption here2026-02-18 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-02-17 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Lexington villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769
Lucas villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769this jurisdiction approved 2026-09-02
Mansfield cityCityApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769
Ontario cityCityApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769
Plymouth villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769this jurisdiction approved 2026-09-02
Shelby cityCityApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769
Shiloh villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04Richland County 2026 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 112163)2026-08-052031-08-041,769

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$13,349,219$188,979$486,092$14,024,29057
2TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$1,130,840$1,311$802,156$1,934,30711
3HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,566,376$9,128$29,435$1,604,939145
4Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$692,752$34,073$255,198$982,023284Includes 44 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
5Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$217$1$861,965$862,1832
6Ice StormRelatively HighRelatively High$811,449n/a$30,604$842,0543
7Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$7,556$10,753$747,973$766,28212
8LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$34,857n/a$434,944$469,8011
9EarthquakeVery LowRelatively Low$315,166n/a$69,930$385,096Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
10Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$265,630$570$75,401$341,60143
11HurricaneVery LowVery Low$33,481$10,301$804$44,5860No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$17,053$24$2,866$19,9430No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13LandslideVery LowVery Low$278n/a$1,911$2,1890Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$05

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 26 (Relatively Low, 63.4); tract 25 (Relatively Low, 53.5); tract 23 (Relatively Low, 50.1)
Hurricanetract 29 (Very Low, 47.5); tract 26 (Very Low, 44.6); tract 27 (Very Low, 44.5)
Landslidetract 30.02 (Relatively Low, 92.8); tract 20 (Relatively Low, 90.5); tract 30.01 (Relatively Low, 83.0)
Tornadotract 23 (Relatively Moderate, 65.5); tract 17 (Relatively Moderate, 61.4); tract 26 (Relatively Moderate, 60.6)
Wildfiretract 23 (Relatively Low, 75.2); tract 20 (Relatively Low, 71.8); tract 29 (Relatively Low, 71.8)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 26 is Census Tract 26). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill12 records, 1996 to 2022 (12 zone-level)1 day to 10 days (median 2 days); 12 with a recorded value10 consecutive days, 1997-01-10 to 1997-01-19, zone-levelCold/Wind Chill, 1996-02-02, $200,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1996 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)5 records, 1996 to 1999 (5 zone-level)31 days to 122 days (median 76.5 days); 2 with a recorded value122 days (4 months), 1999-06-01 to 1999-09-30, a run of 4 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 1999-09-01, property not reported; $7,000,000 crops (zone total, 1999 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)169 records, 1961 to 20260.25 in to 2 in (median 0.88 in); 169 with a recorded value2 in hail, 1961-08-16Hail, 2013-06-12, $25,000 property; $150,000 crops (2013 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Mansfield city (46 records), Shelby city (18 records), Lexington village (16 records), Ontario city (16 records), Bellville village (12 records), Shiloh village (11 records), Lucas village (7 records), Plymouth village (5 records), Butler village (4 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)2 records, 1999 (2 zone-level)7 days to 31 days (median 19 days); 2 with a recorded valueJuly 1999 (1 monthly summary record), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)3 records, 2005 to 2007 (3 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2005-01-05, $18,300,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars); NWS zone OHZ029Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)57 records, 1996 to 2026 (6 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2007-08-21, $70,000,000 property; $5,000,000 crops (2007 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Mansfield city (10 records), Shelby city (8 records), Lexington village (2 records), Lucas village (2 records), Bellville village (1 record), Crestline village (1 record), Ontario city (1 record), Plymouth village (1 record). Zone-level records (6) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)1 record, 1997Lightning, 1997-05-19, $25,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars), 1 direct injuryEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Shelby city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)48 records, 1996 to 2021 (48 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 57 kt (66 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 33 with a recorded value57 kt (66 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2019-12-30; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2008-09-14; NWS zone OHZ029High Wind, 2008-09-14, $8,000,000 property; $750,000 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)309 records, 1956 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 70 kt (81 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 220 with a recorded value70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1980-07-05; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 1977-05-22Thunderstorm Wind, 2012-06-29, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Mansfield city (53 records), Bellville village (22 records), Lexington village (22 records), Shelby city (22 records), Butler village (16 records), Lucas village (14 records), Ontario city (11 records), Shiloh village (10 records), Plymouth village (5 records), Crestline village (1 record).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)30 records, 1961 to 2024F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median F/EF1); 30 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 1973-05-10, 6.6 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 267 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1973 dollars), 14 direct injuriesTornado, 1990-06-22, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1990 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Butler village (1 record), Crestline village (1 record), Lucas village (1 record), Mansfield city (1 record), Ontario city (1 record), Shelby city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)43 records, 1996 to 2023 (43 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2004-12-22, $8,400,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars); NWS zone OHZ029Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 18 declarations covering 12 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Storm Events records since the plan: not yet covered: Storm Events data run through 2026-06-30, before the approval date, so there is no period to count yet.

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-05-022024-03-14DR-4777-OHMajor disasterTornadoesTornadoPA not declared for this countywithin last 5 years
2020-03-312020-01-20DR-4507-OHMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$6,007.27
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3457-OHEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4507
2012-06-302012-06-29EM-3346-OHEmergencySevere StormsHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2008-04-242008-03-07EM-3286-OHEmergencyRecord Snow and Near Record SnowWinter Weather$352,738.60
2007-08-272007-08-20DR-1720-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornado$1,342,057.31
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3250-OHEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-02-152004-12-22DR-1580-OHMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$1,298,802.94
2005-01-112004-12-22EM-3198-OHEmergencySnowWinter Weather$246,108.79same incident as DR-1580
2004-09-192004-08-27DR-1556-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
2004-06-032004-05-18DR-1519-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2003-08-012003-07-21DR-1484-OHMajor disasterTornadoes, Flooding, Severe Storms, and High WindsTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong WindPA not declared for this county
1998-06-301998-06-24DR-1227-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1990-06-061990-05-28DR-870-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1987-07-171987-07-01DR-796-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1978-01-261978-01-26EM-3055-OHEmergencyBlizzards & SnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1977-02-021977-02-02EM-3029-OHEmergencySnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1969-07-151969-07-15DR-266-OHMajor disasterTornadoes, Severe Storms & FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-03-241964-03-24DR-167-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1959-01-231959-01-23DR-90-OHMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1956-05-171956-05-17DR-57-OHMajor disasterWind StormOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any Ohio county: 1 row, $3,080,910.74; listed on the Ohio state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave1201001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought500001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake00000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail169818001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave200001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm300001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding5713801996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning100001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind357733101955 to 2026-06-30Includes 44 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records.
Tornado3002601950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather4303401996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2019-12-30High Wind57 kt (66 mph) measured gust$15,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2019 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ029 (RICHLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2019-04-14TornadoEF2, 17 mi within this county, 800 yd wide$500,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)0, 5VERNON JCT to ADARIOdeaths or injuries recorded
2007-08-21Flash Flood$70,000,000 property; $5,000,000 crops (2007 dollars)0, 0SHELBY to MANSFIELDB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2006-07-12Flash Flood$350,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)1, 1CENTRAL PORTIONdeaths or injuries recorded
2005-01-05Ice Storm$18,300,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ029 (RICHLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2004-12-22Winter Storm$8,400,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2004 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ029 (RICHLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1999-07-01Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone OHZ029 (RICHLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1997-05-19Lightning$25,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)0, 1SHELBYB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1997-01-10Cold/Wind Chill$5,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ029 (RICHLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1980-07-05Thunderstorm Wind70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1973-05-10TornadoF2, 6.6 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 267 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1973 dollars)0, 14location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1961-08-16Hail2 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Hail

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (679 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave4.26event-days per yearabout 4.26 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)812005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI models no drought event-days here (2000 to 2025, 25.25 years; D3 and D4 only); Storm Events has a record in 2 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which counts D2 drought that NRI leaves out.
Earthquake0.00106annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.106%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail3.85events per yearabout 3.85 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)146.3 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave2.37event-days per yearabout 2.37 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)402005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.00801events per yearabout 1 in 125 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)21851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.416event-days per yearabout 0.416 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)281946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.68event-days per yearabout 1.68 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 17 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (56.7%)471996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.201events per year (modeled)about 1 in 5 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning40.6days per year with a strikeabout 40.6 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind2.28events per yearabout 2.28 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)871986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.25events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0000446annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00446%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather9.95event-days per yearabout 9.95 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 22 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (73.3%)1892005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202549301.63
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025187306.23
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20251300.0333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202541301.37
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20258300.267
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20253300.1
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave30 of 3024.734.649.3Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 29
Drought0 of 30No Rating 30
Earthquake30 of 3010.325.663.4Relatively Low 5, Very Low 25
Hail30 of 3062.084.292.1Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 25, Relatively Low 1
Heat Wave30 of 3017.039.861.9Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 29
Hurricane30 of 3025.435.647.5Very Low 30
Ice Storm30 of 3055.287.496.6Relatively High 9, Relatively Moderate 18, Relatively Low 3
Inland Flooding30 of 302.736.684.8Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 7, Relatively Low 14, Very Low 7
Landslide30 of 3017.644.092.8Relatively Low 3, Very Low 27
Lightning30 of 3034.359.680.8Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 23, Relatively Low 6
Strong Wind30 of 3035.370.285.5Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 26, Relatively Low 3
Tornado30 of 3032.550.565.5Relatively Moderate 11, Relatively Low 19
Wildfire30 of 3020.260.875.2Relatively Low 6, Very Low 24
Winter Weather30 of 3056.385.094.5Relatively High 23, Relatively Moderate 7

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Richland CountyCountyApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4no Public Assistance recorded0 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approval
Bellville villageVillagePlan 112163 approved 2026-08-05, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 2, SRL 2; any 9$16,088.7435 total; no approved plan
Butler villageVillagePlan 112163 approved 2026-08-05, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$12,341.6721 total; no approved plan
Crestline villageVillagePlan 111640 approved 2026-02-18, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3no Public Assistance recorded3 total; no approved planWhole community, including the part in Crawford County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Lexington villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$52,495.5440 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approval
Lucas villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$10,397.3724 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approval
Mansfield cityCityApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 11$1,025,115.62110 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approval
Ontario cityCityApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$125,929.7829 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approval
Plymouth villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$42,288.7711 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approval
Shelby cityCityApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 3; any 11$703,905.3650 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approvalIncludes $6,007.27 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4507-OH).
Shiloh villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-08-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$26,158.3621 total; Storm Events data end 2026-06-30, before this plan's approval

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2026-08-05county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$27,164,010,897$174,035,611124,906$7,556$10,753$747,973under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$49,429,036,087n/a124,936$315,166n/a$69,9300.000638%
Hail$27,164,010,897$174,035,611124,906$1,566,376$9,128$29,4350.00577%
Heat Wave$27,164,010,897$174,035,611124,906$217$1$861,965under 0.0001%
Hurricane$27,129,882,480$171,953,586124,714$33,481$10,301$8040.000123%
Ice Storm$27,094,043,676n/a124,724$811,449n/a$30,6040.00299%
Inland Flooding$27,157,945,011$8,255,7751,442$13,349,219$188,979$486,092n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$455,422,431n/a2,275$278n/a$1,911under 0.0001%
Lightning$27,164,010,897n/a124,906$34,857n/a$434,9440.000128%
Strong Wind$27,164,010,897$174,035,611124,906$692,752$34,073$255,1980.00255%
Tornado$27,164,010,897$174,035,611124,906$1,130,840$1,311$802,1560.00416%
Wildfire$8,291,668,323$59,712,67942,453$17,053$24$2,8660.000206%
Winter Weather$27,164,010,897$174,035,611124,906$265,630$570$75,4010.000978%

Totals since 2026-08-05: Storm Events not yet covered: Storm Events data run through 2026-06-30, before the approval date, so there is no period to count yet; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population124,906
Building value (total, not at risk)$27,164,010,897
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$174,035,611
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$18,480,018
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$3,799,277
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)5
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition33Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition2

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total2533236310
of which: Richland County (unincorporated area)0040401
of which: Mansfield city001101104
of which: Shelby city03801132
of which: Bellville village2292903
of which: Butler village0010100
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Richland County3904760040401
Bellville village3906042292903
Butler village3906050010100
Crestline village3900910030302Whole community, including the part in Crawford County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Lexington village3906180000000
Lucas village3906610000000
Mansfield city390477001101104
Ontario city3904780000000
Plymouth village3902870000000
Shelby city39047903801132
Shiloh village3955080000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential241712036
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential011611604
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 31 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Richland County, OH: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 39139). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/oh/39139/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org