Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Columbiana County, OH

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
39029
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2031-01-19. Plan: Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232), approved 2026-01-20.

Since the plan was approved on 2026-01-20: no new hazard declaration and 13 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($19,374,665 a year), Tornado ($2,258,314) and Hail ($1,017,625).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2031-01-19
Plan:
Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)
Approved:
2026-01-20
Days to expiry:
1,572

What changed since your last plan (approved 2026-01-20)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
13 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 10
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 15 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Columbiana CountyCountyApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572
Columbiana cityCityApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-11
East Liverpool cityCityApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-11
East Palestine villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-04
Hanoverton villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-11
Leetonia villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-04
Lisbon villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572
Minerva villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
New Waterford villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572
Rogers villageVillagePlan 111232 approved 2026-01-20, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleColumbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232), pending adoption here2026-01-20 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-01-19 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Salem cityCityApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-04
Salineville villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-11
Summitville villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19Columbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232)2026-01-202031-01-191,572
Washingtonville villageVillagePlan 111232 approved 2026-01-20, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleColumbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232), pending adoption here2026-01-20 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-01-19 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Wellsville villageVillagePlan 111232 approved 2026-01-20, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleColumbiana County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111232), pending adoption here2026-01-20 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-01-19 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$19,320,240$42$54,383$19,374,66577
2TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,133,392$2,493$1,122,429$2,258,3147
3HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$972,790$17,328$27,507$1,017,625117
4Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$270,460$9,213$278,240$557,913339Includes 14 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
5LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$9,859n/a$518,432$528,2911
6Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$346$1$526,956$527,3030No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7HurricaneRelatively LowRelatively Low$143,691$25,333$6,011$175,0350No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
8Ice StormRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$103,268n/a$66,071$169,3395
9Cold WaveVery LowRelatively Low$2,445$17,415$148,128$167,98714
10EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$126,989n/a$30,035$157,023Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$80,396$474$23,695$104,56563
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$29,164$44$5,225$34,4330No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$1,677n/a$6,934$8,6110Declared 3 times; no Storm Events record of this type.
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$02

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9505 (Very Low, 36.8); tract 9511 (Very Low, 32.9); tract 9509 (Very Low, 31.6)
Hurricanetract 9501 (Relatively Low, 56.7); tract 9516 (Relatively Low, 54.7); tract 9502 (Relatively Low, 53.2)
Landslidetract 9516 (Relatively Low, 94.4); tract 9512 (Relatively Low, 94.2); tract 9513 (Relatively Low, 93.9)
Tornadotract 9505 (Relatively Moderate, 71.1); tract 9501 (Relatively Moderate, 70.9); tract 9502 (Relatively Moderate, 66.0)
Wildfiretract 9501 (Relatively Low, 79.5); tract 9504 (Relatively Low, 79.0); tract 9514.02 (Relatively Low, 76.3)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9505 is Census Tract 9505). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill14 records, 2009 to 2026 (14 zone-level)1 day to 3 days (median 2 days); 14 with a recorded value3 consecutive days, 2025-01-20 to 2025-01-22, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)2 records, 1999 (2 zone-level)61 days; 1 with a recorded value61 days (2 months), 1999-08-01 to 1999-09-30, a run of 2 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)138 records, 1983 to 20260.75 in to 3 in (median 0.88 in); 138 with a recorded value3 in hail, 2014-05-14; same size also recorded on 1998-06-02Hail, 1994-09-25, $500,000 property; $500,000 crops (1994 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Lisbon village (20 records), Salem city (16 records), Hanoverton village (9 records), East Liverpool city (8 records), Salineville village (8 records), East Palestine village (7 records), Leetonia village (7 records), Wellsville village (6 records), Summitville village (5 records), Columbiana city (4 records); and 1 more jurisdiction (see the Excel file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)5 records, 2004 to 2011 (5 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2005-01-22, $2,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars); NWS zone OHZ041Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)77 records, 1996 to 2023 (10 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2004-08-27, $3,200,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Salem city (10 records), East Liverpool city (8 records), Lisbon village (6 records), Salineville village (4 records), Wellsville village (3 records), Columbiana city (2 records), East Palestine village (2 records), Leetonia village (2 records), Rogers village (2 records), Summitville village (2 records); and 2 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file). Zone-level records (10) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)1 record, 1998Lightning, 1998-07-21, $10,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)18 records, 2000 to 2024 (18 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 55 kt (63 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 17 with a recorded value55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2006-12-01; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2003-02-12; NWS zone OHZ041High Wind, 2008-09-14, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)392 records, 1969 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 75 kt (86 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 277 with a recorded value75 kt (86 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2007-08-09Thunderstorm Wind, 2024-10-06, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Salem city (42 records), Lisbon village (37 records), East Liverpool city (34 records), Hanoverton village (27 records), East Palestine village (13 records), Columbiana city (11 records), Leetonia village (10 records), Wellsville village (9 records), Rogers village (8 records), Salineville village (8 records); and 3 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)22 records, 1955 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 21 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1978-10-12, 7.3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 250 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1978 dollars), 4 direct injuriesTornado, 1985-05-31, $25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1985 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Hanoverton village (1 record), Lisbon village (1 record), Summitville village (1 record), Washingtonville village (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)63 records, 1999 to 2026 (63 zone-level)Winter Storm, 1999-01-13, $5,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars); NWS zone OHZ041Countywide (zone-level records).

Where a hazard names more than 10 jurisdictions, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every one is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 18 declarations covering 14 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-03-312020-01-20DR-4507-OHMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$19,756.60
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3457-OHEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4507
2019-06-182019-05-27DR-4447-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslideTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Landslide, Strong Wind$42,661.18
2018-04-172018-02-14DR-4360-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide$541,908.47
2012-06-302012-06-29EM-3346-OHEmergencySevere StormsHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3250-OHEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-02-152004-12-22DR-1580-OHMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$109,855.58
2004-09-192004-08-27DR-1556-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$2,367,210.95
2004-06-032004-05-18DR-1519-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$1,535,677.64
2003-08-012003-07-21DR-1484-OHMajor disasterTornadoes, Flooding, Severe Storms, and High WindsTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Wind$518,634.50
2003-07-152003-07-04DR-1478-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1996-01-271996-01-20DR-1097-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1992-08-041992-07-12DR-951-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1990-06-061990-05-28DR-870-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1985-06-031985-05-31DR-738-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & TornadoesTornadoPA not declared for this county
1980-08-231980-08-23DR-630-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1978-01-261978-01-26EM-3055-OHEmergencyBlizzards & SnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1977-02-021977-02-02EM-3029-OHEmergencySnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-03-241964-03-24DR-167-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1959-01-231959-01-23DR-90-OHMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1956-05-171956-05-17DR-57-OHMajor disasterWind StormOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any Ohio county: 1 row, $3,080,910.74; listed on the Ohio state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave14113001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail138117001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm5000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding770021101996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000301996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 3 federal declared incidents (see declarations table)
Lightning1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind41081560201955 to 2026-06-30Includes 14 High Wind and 4 Strong Wind records.
Tornado22101501950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather632216301996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-01-20Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ041 (COLUMBIANA), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2014-05-14Hail3 in$0 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0EAST LIVERPOOLB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2007-08-09Thunderstorm Wind75 kt (86 mph) estimated gust$500,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)0, 0SALEMB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2006-12-01High Wind55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust$30,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2006 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ041 (COLUMBIANA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2005-01-22Ice Storm$2,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ041 (COLUMBIANA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2004-08-27Flash Flood$3,200,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)0, 0WINONAB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
1999-08-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone OHZ041 (COLUMBIANA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
1999-01-13Winter Storm$5,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1999 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ041 (COLUMBIANA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1998-07-21Lightning$10,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)0, 0HOMEWORTHB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1985-05-31TornadoF2, 15 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 220 yd wide$25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1985 dollars)0, 20location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1978-10-12TornadoF3, 7.3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 250 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1978 dollars)0, 4location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1967-07-24TornadoF2, 6.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 277 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1967 dollars)0, 2location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (732 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave3.05event-days per yearabout 3.05 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)582005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI models no drought event-days here (2000 to 2025, 25.25 years; D3 and D4 only); Storm Events has a record in 1 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which counts D2 drought that NRI leaves out.
Earthquake0.000644annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0644%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail4.46events per yearabout 4.46 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)169.5 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave1.79event-days per yearabout 1.79 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)322005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.0161events per yearabout 1 in 62 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.5event-days per yearabout 0.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)341946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.93event-days per yearabout 1.93 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 19 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (63.3%)541996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.521events per year (modeled)about 0.52 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning40.5days per year with a strikeabout 40.5 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind2.6events per yearabout 2.6 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)991986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.244events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0000668annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00668%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather10.5event-days per yearabout 10.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 22 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (73.3%)1992005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202549301.63
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20254300.133
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025248308.27
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202510300.333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202555301.83
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20256300.2
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave25 of 2518.522.626.6Relatively Low 23, Very Low 2
Drought0 of 25No Rating 25
Earthquake25 of 259.320.936.8Very Low 25
Hail25 of 2563.380.089.4Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 22, Relatively Low 2
Heat Wave25 of 259.533.852.3Relatively Low 22, Very Low 3
Hurricane25 of 2545.450.656.7Relatively Low 6, Very Low 19
Ice Storm25 of 2533.663.075.7Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 20, Very Low 1
Inland Flooding25 of 2528.363.399.3Very High 1, Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 11, Relatively Low 8
Landslide25 of 2533.275.294.4Relatively Low 9, Very Low 16
Lightning25 of 2538.073.487.9Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 15, Relatively Low 2
Strong Wind25 of 2531.363.075.7Relatively Moderate 19, Relatively Low 6
Tornado25 of 2538.760.171.1Relatively Moderate 19, Relatively Low 6
Wildfire25 of 2525.466.279.5Relatively Low 11, Very Low 14
Winter Weather25 of 2539.663.377.9Relatively Moderate 23, Relatively Low 2

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Columbiana CountyCountyApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$24,563.110 total; 0 since its plan
Columbiana cityCityApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$24,028.5317 total; 0 since its plan
East Liverpool cityCityApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$343,682.6850 total; 0 since its plan
East Palestine villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$1,231,249.8522 total; 1 since its plan
Hanoverton villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$2,663.6838 total; 1 since its plan
Leetonia villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$114,536.7819 total; 1 since its plan
Lisbon villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$138,531.1564 total; 1 since its plan
Minerva villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Stark County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
New Waterford villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$79,732.714 total; 0 since its plan
Rogers villageVillagePlan 111232 approved 2026-01-20, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded10 total; no approved plan
Salem cityCityApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$22,811.5868 total; 1 since its plan
Salineville villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded20 total; 0 since its plan
Summitville villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-01-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$013 total; 0 since its plan
Washingtonville villageVillagePlan 111232 approved 2026-01-20, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$9,180.944 total; no approved plan
Wellsville villageVillagePlan 111232 approved 2026-01-20, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$54,861.4118 total; no approved plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2026-01-20county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$23,790,759,586$137,350,909101,872$2,445$17,415$148,128under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$42,881,185,388n/a101,877$126,989n/a$30,0350.000296%
Hail$23,790,759,586$137,350,909101,872$972,790$17,328$27,5070.00409%$0
Heat Wave$23,790,759,586$137,350,909101,872$346$1$526,956under 0.0001%
Hurricane$23,684,407,560$136,971,463101,502$143,691$25,333$6,0110.000607%
Ice Storm$23,648,202,667n/a101,247$103,268n/a$66,0710.000437%
Inland Flooding$23,773,763,326$3,413,6771,737$19,320,240$42$54,383n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$1,063,094,357n/a5,367$1,677n/a$6,9340.000158%
Lightning$23,790,759,586n/a101,872$9,859n/a$518,432under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$23,790,759,586$137,350,909101,872$270,460$9,213$278,2400.00114%$42,500
Tornado$23,790,759,586$137,350,909101,872$1,133,392$2,493$1,122,4290.00476%$31,500
Wildfire$11,196,530,029$80,786,29050,832$29,164$44$5,2250.00026%
Winter Weather$23,790,759,586$137,350,909101,872$80,396$474$23,6950.000338%$0

Totals since 2026-01-20 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 10 county-coded records, 10 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $74,000; 3 zone-level records, 3 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population101,872
Building value (total, not at risk)$23,790,759,586
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$137,350,909
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$22,267,059
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$2,814,045
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition10Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total001001000
of which: Columbiana County (unincorporated area)0040400
of which: East Palestine city0010100
of which: Hanoverton village0020200
of which: Lisbon village0010100
of which: Wellsville city0020200
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Columbiana County3900760040400
Columbiana city3900770000000
East Liverpool city3900780000000
East Palestine village3900790010100
Hanoverton village3900820020200
Leetonia village3900840000000
Lisbon village3900850010100
Minerva village3905180010100Whole community, including the part in Stark County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
New Waterford village3906630000000
Rogers village3906450000000
Salem city3900860000000
Salineville village3906280000000
Summitville village3909190000000
Washingtonville village3900870000000
Wellsville village3900880020200

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0080800
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0010100
non-residential0010100
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 10 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Columbiana County, OH: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 39029). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/oh/39029/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org