Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Hancock County, MS

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
28045
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2029-02-21. Plan: MEMA District 9 Regional (FEMA plan 109240), approved 2024-02-22.

Since the plan was approved on 2024-02-22: 4 new hazard declarations (3 incidents) and 55 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Hurricane ($18,055,853 a year), Inland Flooding ($9,094,278) and Coastal Flooding ($3,252,082).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2029-02-21
Plan:
MEMA District 9 Regional (FEMA plan 109240)
Approved:
2024-02-22
Days to expiry:
875

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-02-22)

New federal declarations:
4 new hazard declarations (3 incidents): DR-4790-MS (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), EM-3640-MS (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4899-MS (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4930-MS (Tropical Storm Arthur)
Storm Events records since approval:
55 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 127, SRL 175 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 833
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Hancock County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2029-02-21MEMA District 9 Regional (FEMA plan 109240)2024-02-222029-02-21875this jurisdiction approved 2024-03-20
Bay St. Louis cityCityApproved, expires 2029-02-21MEMA District 9 Regional (FEMA plan 109240)2024-02-222029-02-21875this jurisdiction approved 2024-07-18
Diamondhead cityCityApproved, expires 2029-02-21MEMA District 9 Regional (FEMA plan 109240)2024-02-222029-02-21875this jurisdiction approved 2024-04-03
Waveland cityCityApproved, expires 2029-02-21MEMA District 9 Regional (FEMA plan 109240)2024-02-222029-02-21875this jurisdiction approved 2024-02-29

Plan 109240 covers 18 other participants, named in the Excel file.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1HurricaneRelatively HighRelatively High$16,765,269$52,995$1,237,589$18,055,85329Includes 2 Tropical Depression records (outside NRI's Hurricane definition).
2Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$8,986,314$52$107,911$9,094,27837
3Coastal FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$2,967,362n/a$284,721$3,252,08235
4TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$889,974$295$1,677,466$2,567,73444
5WildfireRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,020,535$145$121,460$1,142,1400No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
6Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Moderate$8,853$225$1,124,871$1,133,9494
7Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$168$22$1,062,514$1,062,70423
8LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$21,236n/a$978,571$999,8079
9Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$18,908$73$254,902$273,883101Includes 1 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
10HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$210,852$40$40,226$251,11747
11DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$168,295n/a$168,2957
12EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$114,398n/a$42,748$157,146Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
13Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$26,163n/a$9,411$35,5730No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$7,958$3$20,967$28,9288Includes 1 Sleet record (outside NRI's Winter Weather definition).
15LandslideVery LowVery Low$67n/a$2$690No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire, landslide and tsunami records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 306.06 (Very Low, 38.8); tract 301.02 (Very Low, 36.8); tract 306.05 (Very Low, 36.7)
Hurricanetract 301.02 (Very High, 97.9); tract 305.03 (Very High, 97.8); tract 306.05 (Relatively High, 96.9)
Landslidetract 306.06 (Very Low, 72.2); tract 306.04 (Very Low, 67.1); tract 306.03 (Very Low, 64.4)
Tornadotract 306.05 (Relatively High, 88.5); tract 306.04 (Relatively High, 86.9); tract 305.03 (Relatively High, 85.2)
Tsunamino tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Wildfiretract 304 (Relatively High, 97.3); tract 306.05 (Relatively High, 96.6); tract 306.04 (Relatively Moderate, 95.8)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 306.06 is Census Tract 306.06). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)35 records, 1998 to 2024 (33 zone-level)Storm Surge/Tide, 2005-08-29, $3,380,000,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars); NWS zone MSZ080No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (33) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill4 records, 1996 to 2026 (4 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 2.5 days); 4 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 1996-12-18 to 1996-12-21, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)7 records, 2023 to 2026 (7 zone-level)12 days to 78 days (median 31 days); 3 with a recorded value78 days (about 2.6 months), 2023-08-16 to 2023-11-01, a run of 4 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)61 records, 1971 to 20240.75 in to 1.75 in (median 1 in); 61 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2010-05-25; same size also recorded on 1971-06-26, 1974-11-19, 1976-05-24, 1980-07-07, 1988-05-24, 1995-07-09, 1997-01-24, 1997-06-19, 1998-03-06, 1998-03-07, 2004-06-21, 2005-03-26, 2008-06-25, 2009-07-02, 2009-07-26, 2010-05-25Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Waveland city (6 records), Bay St. Louis city (2 records), Diamondhead city (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)23 records, 2023 to 2025 (23 zone-level)1 day to 12 days (median 2 days); 8 with a recorded value12 consecutive days, 2023-08-04 to 2023-08-15, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson29 records, 1997 to 2024 (29 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Hurricane record (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)'), 2020-10-28, category 2, $40,000,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars); NWS zone MSZ080Most damaging recorded: Hurricane (Typhoon), 2005-08-28, $1,470,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)0
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)37 records, 1997 to 2026 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2003-06-30, $500,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Waveland city (7 records), Bay St. Louis city (5 records). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)9 records, 1996 to 2024Lightning, 2005-08-15, damage not reported, 1 direct deathLightning, 1996-09-16, $150,000 property; crops not reported (1996 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bay St. Louis city (2 records), Waveland city (2 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)3 records, 2007 to 2013 (3 zone-level)45 kt (52 mph) to 52 kt (60 mph) (median 45 kt (52 mph)); 3 with a recorded value52 kt (60 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2013-04-03; NWS zone MSZ080Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)126 records, 1968 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 65 kt (75 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 72 with a recorded value65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2020-04-19Thunderstorm Wind, 2003-04-07, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Waveland city (15 records), Bay St. Louis city (8 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)67 records, 1952 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 63 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1980-05-19, 13.1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 800 yd wide, $25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1980 dollars), 8 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Waveland city (5 records), Bay St. Louis city (4 records).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)8 records, 1996 to 2025 (8 zone-level)No damage reported in 8 records.Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow, lightning and tsunami.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 33 declarations covering 23 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-08-032026-06-18DR-4930-MSMajor disasterTropical Storm ArthurHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingnot yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)new since last plan; within last 5 years
2026-02-062026-01-23DR-4899-MSMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weathernone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $103,887.07 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)new since last plan; within last 5 years
2026-01-242026-01-23EM-3640-MSEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4899
2024-06-102024-04-08DR-4790-MSMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; TornadoPA not declared for this countynew since last plan; within last 5 years
2021-10-222021-08-28DR-4626-MSMajor disasterHurricane IdaHurricane$5,747,560within last 5 years
2021-08-282021-08-28EM-3569-MSEmergencyHurricane IdaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4626
2020-12-312020-10-28DR-4576-MSMajor disasterHurricane ZetaHurricane$17,778,725.48
2020-10-282020-10-27EM-3550-MSEmergencyHurricane ZetaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4576
2020-10-082020-10-07EM-3548-MSEmergencyHurricane DeltaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-09-142020-09-14EM-3544-MSEmergencyHurricane SallyHurricane$62,859.84
2020-08-232020-08-23EM-3539-MSEmergencyHurricane Marco and Tropical Storm LauraHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-04-052020-01-20DR-4528-MSMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$109,653.59
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3474-MSEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4528
2017-11-222017-10-06DR-4350-MSMajor disasterHurricane NateHurricane$696,749.23
2017-10-072017-10-06EM-3393-MSEmergencyHurricane NateHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4350
2012-08-292012-08-26DR-4081-MSMajor disasterHurricane IsaacHurricane$3,157,985.31
2012-08-282012-08-26EM-3348-MSEmergencyTropical Storm IsaacHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4081
2008-09-222008-08-28DR-1794-MSMajor disasterHurricane GustavHurricane$6,429,805.80
2008-08-302008-08-28EM-3291-MSEmergencyHurricane GustavHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1794
2005-08-292005-08-29DR-1604-MSMajor disasterHurricane KatrinaHurricane$523,620,890.14
2005-08-282005-08-27EM-3213-MSEmergencyHurricane KatrinaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1604
2005-07-102005-07-10DR-1594-MSMajor disasterHurricane DennisHurricane$47,920.78
2004-09-152004-09-13DR-1550-MSMajor disasterHurricane IvanHurricane$219,576.46
2002-10-012002-09-23DR-1436-MSMajor disasterTropical Storm IsidoreHurricane$1,803,741.80
2001-06-212001-06-06DR-1382-MSMajor disasterTropical Storm AllisonHurricane; Inland Flooding$174,335.94
1998-10-011998-09-25DR-1251-MSMajor disasterHurricane GeorgesHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1998-09-281998-09-28EM-3132-MSEmergencyHurricane GeorgesHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1251
1995-05-121995-05-08DR-1051-MSMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, FloodingInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1991-05-171991-04-26DR-906-MSMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1979-09-131979-09-13DR-599-MSMajor disasterHurricane FredericHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1979-04-161979-04-16DR-577-MSMajor disasterStorms, Tornadoes, FloodsInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1977-02-221977-02-22EM-3032-MSEmergencyDrought & FreezingWinter Weather (primary); also designated: Droughtno Public Assistance recorded
1974-04-181974-04-18DR-430-MSMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1962-10-101962-10-10DR-135-MSMajor disasterChlorine Barge AccidentNon-natural, not counted
1961-02-271961-02-27DR-108-MSMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1953-12-061953-12-06DR-14-MSMajor disasterTornadoTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any Mississippi county: 3 rows, $3,519,904.13; listed on the Mississippi state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Coastal Flooding35202001996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave4202001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought7167101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail61325001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave2332023001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane291011611996 to 2026-06-30Includes 2 Tropical Depression records.
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding3714014721996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning9101001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind12915218111955 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records.
Tornado6712012411950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather8112211996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Sleet record.

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2023-08-04Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2023 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MSZ083 (NORTHERN HANCOCK COUNTY), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2020-10-28Hurricane (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)')category 2$40,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2020 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MSZ080 (HANCOCK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2020-04-19Thunderstorm Wind65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)0, 0VIDALIAB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2013-04-03High Wind52 kt (60 mph) measured gust$10,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2013 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MSZ080 (HANCOCK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2010-05-25Hail1.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)0, 0WAVELANDB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2005-08-29Storm Surge/Tide$3,380,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MSZ080 (HANCOCK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tide
2005-08-28Hurricane (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)')$1,470,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)56, 0NWS zone MSZ080 (HANCOCK), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2005-08-15Lightningdamage not reported1, 0LAKESHOREdeaths or injuries recorded
2003-06-30Flash Flood$500,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)0, 0COUNTYWIDEB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
1998-08-08Lightningdamage not reported1, 0LAKESHOREdeaths or injuries recorded
1996-12-18Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MSZ080 (HANCOCK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1980-05-19TornadoF3, 13.1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 800 yd wide$25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1980 dollars)0, 8location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (409 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Coastal Flooding6.08events per year at a location (modeled)about 6.1 per year at a given location in the countyHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from NRI: the rate at a location is 1 or more a year, so the county rate is at least that.
Cold Wave0.998event-days per yearabout 0.998 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)18.52005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought20.7event-days per yearabout 20.7 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)6162000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000948annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0948%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1.77events per yearabout 1.77 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)68.8 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave13.9event-days per yearabout 13.9 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)2192005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.217events per yearabout 1 in 5 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)721851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.464event-days per yearabout 0.464 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)281946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNo Storm Events ice storm record, 1996 to 2025
Inland Flooding0.714event-days per yearabout 0.714 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)201996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.0697events per year (modeled)about 1 in 14 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning85.9days per year with a strikeabout 85.9 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.47events per yearabout 1.47 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)511986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.491events per yearabout 1 in 2 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Wildfire0.00752annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.752%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather0.842event-days per yearabout 0.842 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)15.92005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202533301.1
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202562302.07
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20251300.0333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202528300.933
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202538301.27
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20253300.1

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Coastal Flooding15 of 1778.089.099.8Very High 1, Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 7, No Rating 2
Cold Wave17 of 1740.555.875.1Relatively Moderate 16, Relatively Low 1
Drought3 of 1787.094.496.4Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1, No Rating 14
Earthquake17 of 1714.128.838.8Very Low 17
Hail17 of 1747.162.477.3Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 12
Heat Wave17 of 1743.564.784.7Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 14, Relatively Low 2
Hurricane17 of 1791.795.797.9Very High 2, Relatively High 15
Ice Storm17 of 172.122.555.9Relatively Low 7, Very Low 10
Inland Flooding17 of 1724.353.077.4Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 8
Landslide17 of 178.633.672.2Very Low 17
Lightning17 of 1779.893.498.9Very High 8, Relatively High 9
Strong Wind17 of 1726.950.674.3Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 12
Tornado17 of 1751.769.388.5Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 11, Relatively Low 1
Tsunami0 of 17Insufficient Data 17
Wildfire17 of 1747.791.997.3Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 5, Very Low 1
Winter Weather17 of 1730.541.355.8Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 13

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Hancock County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2029-02-21FMA RL 95, SRL 110; any 602$93,142,726.430 total; 0 since its planIncludes $76,847.88 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4528-MS).
Bay St. Louis cityCityApproved, expires 2029-02-21FMA RL 23, SRL 50; any 178$91,166,900.5421 total; 3 since its planIncludes $21,723.12 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4528-MS).
Diamondhead cityCityApproved, expires 2029-02-21FMA RL 0, SRL 3; any 10$2,247,288.541 total; 0 since its plan
Waveland cityCityApproved, expires 2029-02-21FMA RL 9, SRL 12; any 43$138,021,008.1235 total; 3 since its planIncludes $4,130.89 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4528-MS).

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2024-02-22county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Coastal Flooding$5,435,960,840n/a24,109$2,967,362n/a$284,7210.0546%$10,000
Cold Wave$9,409,088,730$5,767,40746,025$8,853$225$1,124,871under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$1,137,781n/an/a$168,295n/a14.8% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$15,621,061,141n/a46,053$114,398n/a$42,7480.000732%
Hail$9,409,088,730$5,767,40746,025$210,852$40$40,2260.00224%$0
Heat Wave$9,409,088,730$5,767,40746,025$168$22$1,062,514under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$9,409,088,730$5,767,40746,025$16,765,269$52,995$1,237,5890.178%$5,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Ice Storm$9,378,525,677n/a45,826$26,163n/a$9,4110.000279%
Inland Flooding$9,368,800,066$241,49016,997$8,986,314$52$107,911n/a (see note)$0no Public Assistance recorded (2 declarations)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$19,210,714n/a84$67n/a$20.00035%
Lightning$9,409,088,730n/a46,025$21,236n/a$978,5710.000226%$100,000
Strong Wind$9,409,088,730$5,767,40746,025$18,908$73$254,9020.000201%$23,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Tornado$9,409,088,730$5,767,40746,025$889,974$295$1,677,4660.00946%$130,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Tsunamin/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Wildfire$1,467,721,688$2,613,00911,311$1,020,535$145$121,4600.0695%
Winter Weather$9,409,088,730$5,767,40746,025$7,958$3$20,967under 0.0001%$0no Public Assistance recorded (2 declarations)

Totals since 2024-02-22 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 45 county-coded records, 45 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $253,000; 10 zone-level records, 10 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $15,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: none recorded on the 4 counted declarations.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population46,025
Building value (total, not at risk)$9,409,088,730
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$5,767,407
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$31,260,199
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$6,963,359
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively High
Community resilience ratingRelatively High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)127Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)175
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition722Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition93

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total1271757229383389401
of which: Diamondhead city039310010
of which: Bay St. Louis city23501492317831132
of which: Hancock County (unincorporated area)951105316260257236
of which: Waveland city91233543123
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file1141403

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Hancock County (unincorporated area)285254951105316260257236
Bay St. Louis city28525123501492317831132
Diamondhead city280244039310010
Waveland city28526291233543123

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential1241666668677487385
2 to 4 unit residential1161603
other residential001901901
non-residential2831634212
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 59 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 654 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Hancock County, MS: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 28045). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ms/28045/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org