Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Kalkaska County, MI

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
26079
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2029-01-22. Plan: Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333), approved 2024-01-23.

Since the plan was approved on 2024-01-23: 2 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): DR-4880-MI (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4925-MI (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding).

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 13 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($3,123,672 a year), Cold Wave ($2,104,542) and Tornado ($376,537).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2029-01-22
Plan:
Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)
Approved:
2024-01-23
Days to expiry:
845

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-01-23)

New federal declarations:
2 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): DR-4880-MI (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4925-MI (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
13 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 14 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Kalkaska CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845
Kalkaska villageVillageApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Bear Lake townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Blue Lake townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Boardman townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Clearwater townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Coldsprings townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Excelsior townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Garfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Kalkaska townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Oliver townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Orange townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Rapid River townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04
Springfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22Kalkaska County HMP Update (FEMA plan 109333)2024-01-232029-01-22845this jurisdiction approved 2024-06-04

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$3,123,661$2$10$3,123,6722
2Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$32$4,897$2,099,613$2,104,5425
3TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$159,529$89$216,920$376,5374
4Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$4,404$115$315,800$320,319144
5Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$129,659$376$87,146$217,18142Includes 4 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$119,964$7,756$16,222$143,94216
7LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$2,343n/a$92,691$95,0342
8WildfireVery LowVery Low$49,894$6$3,883$53,7841
9Heat WaveVery LowVery Low$302under $1$37,911$38,2132
10EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$5,481n/a$1,710$7,191Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11Ice StormVery LowVery Low$3,129n/a$1,136$4,2654
12LandslideVery LowVery Low$136n/a$2,117$2,2530No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13HurricaneVery LowVery Low$1,612$189$1$1,8010No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$01

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9503 (Very Low, 11.4); tract 9504 (Very Low, 10.6); tract 9506.02 (Very Low, 7.8)
Hurricanetract 9504 (Very Low, 29.6); tract 9503 (Very Low, 29.4); tract 9506.02 (Very Low, 28.4)
Landslidetract 9504 (Relatively Low, 91.0); tract 9502.01 (Relatively Low, 89.8); tract 9503 (Relatively Low, 89.3)
Tornadotract 9504 (Relatively Moderate, 61.8); tract 9503 (Relatively Moderate, 59.8); tract 9506.01 (Relatively Low, 49.2)
Wildfiretract 9504 (Relatively Low, 88.1); tract 9506.02 (Relatively Low, 87.6); tract 9503 (Relatively Low, 83.4)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9503 is Census Tract 9503). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill5 records, 2007 to 2026 (5 zone-level)1 day to 3 days (median 2 days); 5 with a recorded value3 consecutive days, 2026-01-22 to 2026-01-24, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)1 record, 2001 (1 zone-level)9 days; 1 with a recorded value9 days, 2001-08-01 to 2001-08-09, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)19 records, 1963 to 20240.75 in to 1.75 in (median 1 in); 19 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2016-07-08; same size also recorded on 1963-10-28, 1996-07-08, 2008-06-15, 2013-05-20Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Kalkaska township (3 records), Kalkaska village (3 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)2 records, 2001 to 2018 (2 zone-level)1 day to 9 days (median 5 days); 2 with a recorded value9 consecutive days, 2001-08-01 to 2001-08-09, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)4 records, 2001 to 2008 (4 zone-level)No damage reported in 4 records.Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)2 records, 2001 to 2006Flash Flood, 2006-06-07, $20,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Kalkaska township (1 record), Kalkaska village (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)2 records, 2000 to 2005Lightning, 2005-06-27, damage not reported, 1 direct injuryEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Kalkaska township (1 record), Kalkaska village (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)4 records, 1998 to 2021 (4 zone-level)50 kt (58 mph) to 55 kt (63 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 4 with a recorded value55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2010-10-27; NWS zone MIZ027High Wind, 2021-12-16, $10,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)46 records, 1981 to 202150 kt (58 mph) to 78 kt (90 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 42 with a recorded value78 kt (90 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1998-05-31Thunderstorm Wind, 2015-08-02, $540,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Kalkaska township (20 records), Kalkaska village (20 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)8 records, 1974 to 2014F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median F/EF1); 8 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 1976-07-23, 3.3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 83 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1976 dollars), 5 direct injuriesTornado, 2007-10-18, $1,100,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Kalkaska township (3 records), Kalkaska village (3 records).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)1 record, 2010 (1 zone-level)Wildfire, 2010-05-18, $125,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars); NWS zone MIZ027Countywide (zone-level records).Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)144 records, 1996 to 2026 (144 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 2012-03-02, $250,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars); NWS zone MIZ027Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 7 declarations covering 4 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-06-302026-04-10DR-4925-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado$37,694.47new since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-07-222025-03-28DR-4880-MIMajor disasterSevere Winter StormIce Storm (primary); also designated: Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-03-272020-01-20DR-4494-MIMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3455-MIEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4494
2005-09-072005-08-29EM-3225-MIEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
1978-01-271978-01-27EM-3057-MIEmergencyBlizzards & SnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1977-03-021977-03-02EM-3035-MIEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1956-04-051956-04-05DR-53-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado
1953-06-091953-06-09DR-6-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado
1953-06-021953-06-02DR-4-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave5202001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought1000101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail19303001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm4000111996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding2000111996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind50001001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 4 High Wind records.
Tornado8000111950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather1448316211996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-01-22Extreme Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MIZ027 (KALKASKA), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2016-07-08Hail1.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)0, 0DARRAGHB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2012-03-02Heavy Snow$250,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ027 (KALKASKA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2010-10-27High Wind55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust$5,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ027 (KALKASKA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2010-05-18Wildfire$125,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ027 (KALKASKA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2007-10-18TornadoEF2, 4.45 mi within this county, 430 yd wide$1,100,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)1, 1CROFTON to KALKASKAdeaths or injuries recorded
2006-06-07Flash Flood$20,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)0, 0KALKASKAB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2005-06-27Lightningdamage not reported0, 1KALKASKAdeaths or injuries recorded
2001-08-01Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MIZ027 (KALKASKA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2001-08-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MIZ027 (KALKASKA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
1998-05-31Thunderstorm Wind78 kt (90 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not reported0, 0KALKASKAB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1976-07-23TornadoF2, 3.3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 83 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1976 dollars)0, 5location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (238 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave1.37event-days per yearabout 1.37 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 3 of 30 years)event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)262005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledPossible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI models no drought event-days here (2000 to 2025, 25.25 years; D3 and D4 only); Storm Events has a record in 1 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which counts D2 drought that NRI leaves out.
Earthquake0.000335annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0335%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1event per yearabout 1 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)38.1 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave0.737event-days per yearabout 0.737 days per yearPossible (from Storm Events: 2 of 30 years)event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)122005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.103event-days per yearabout 0.103 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 4 of 30 years)event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)71946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.0714event-days per yearabout 0.0714 days per yearPossible (from Storm Events: 2 of 30 years)event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)21996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.146events per year (modeled)about 1 in 7 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning26.2days per year with a strikeabout 26.2 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.02events per yearabout 1.02 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)391986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.0939events per yearabout 1 in 11 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000339annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0339%Possible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)Storm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI.
Winter Weather32.6event-days per yearabout 32.6 days per yearHighly likely (from Storm Events: 29 of 30 years)event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%)6192005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202510300.333
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202536301.2
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20252300.0667
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20253300.1
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave6 of 690.391.296.8Very High 2, Relatively High 4
Drought0 of 6No Rating 6
Earthquake6 of 64.46.611.4Very Low 6
Hail6 of 667.972.781.9Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 2
Heat Wave6 of 66.97.414.8Very Low 6
Hurricane6 of 624.927.229.6Very Low 6
Ice Storm6 of 65.57.026.1Very Low 6
Inland Flooding6 of 627.051.977.9Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 2
Landslide6 of 686.789.291.0Relatively Low 6
Lightning6 of 656.657.578.1Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 5
Strong Wind6 of 666.370.086.1Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 5
Tornado6 of 647.349.061.8Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 4
Wildfire6 of 676.583.088.1Relatively Low 6
Winter Weather6 of 698.198.499.6Very High 6

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Kalkaska CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-01-22$22,786.470 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Kalkaska villageVillageApproved, expires 2029-01-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded28 total; 0 since its plan
Bear Lake townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Blue Lake townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Boardman townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$14,9080 total; 0 since its plan
Clearwater townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Coldsprings townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Excelsior townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Garfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Kalkaska townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded28 total; 0 since its plan
Oliver townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Orange townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Rapid River townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Springfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2029-01-22no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2024-01-23county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$5,302,115,266$10,721,13017,909$32$4,897$2,099,613under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$8,953,596,251n/a17,939$5,481n/a$1,710under 0.0001%
Hail$5,302,115,266$10,721,13017,909$119,964$7,756$16,2220.00226%$0
Heat Wave$5,302,115,266$10,721,13017,909$302under $1$37,911under 0.0001%
Hurricane$5,302,115,266$10,721,13017,909$1,612$189$1under 0.0001%
Ice Storm$5,277,378,710n/a17,790$3,129n/a$1,136under 0.0001%no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Inland Flooding$5,288,340,509$1,68481$3,123,661$2$10n/a (see note)$37,694.47NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$58,963,405n/a221$136n/a$2,1170.00023%
Lightning$5,302,115,266n/a17,909$2,343n/a$92,691under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$5,302,115,266$10,721,13017,909$129,659$376$87,1460.00245%
Tornado$5,302,115,266$10,721,13017,909$159,529$89$216,9200.00301%$37,694.47
Wildfire$1,475,199,610$2,696,1246,832$49,894$6$3,8830.00338%
Winter Weather$5,302,115,266$10,721,13017,909$4,404$115$315,800under 0.0001%no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)

Totals since 2024-01-23 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 3 county-coded records, 1 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 10 zone-level records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $37,694.47 on 2 counted declarations, 1 of them with Public Assistance.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population17,909
Building value (total, not at risk)$5,302,115,266
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$10,721,130
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$3,613,574
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$2,875,160
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0040400

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Kalkaska village2615390000000shared NFIP community; count covers the joint community
Boardman township2604300000000
Kalkaska township2615390000000shared NFIP community; count covers the joint community

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Kalkaska County, MI: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 26079). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mi/26079/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.