Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Clare County, MI

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
26035
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-05-31. Plan: Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), approved 2023-06-01.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-06-01: no new federal declaration.

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 8 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($4,232,996 a year), Strong Wind ($1,906,249) and Cold Wave ($1,331,409).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-05-31
Plan:
Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)
Approved:
2023-06-01
Days to expiry:
609

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-06-01)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
8 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 20 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Clare CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-05-31Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)2023-06-012028-05-31609
Clare cityCityApproved, expires 2028-05-31Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)2023-06-012028-05-31609Also approved under plan 108796 (Isabella County HMP, expires 2028-01-25). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last. this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-09
Farwell villageVillagePlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Harrison cityCityPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Arthur townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)2023-06-012028-05-31609this jurisdiction approved 2024-05-02
Franklin townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Freeman townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)2023-06-012028-05-31609this jurisdiction approved 2023-07-05
Frost townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Garfield townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Grant townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Greenwood townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Hamilton townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)2023-06-012028-05-31609this jurisdiction approved 2023-07-19
Hatton townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Hayes townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)2023-06-012028-05-31609this jurisdiction approved 2023-07-05
Lincoln townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Redding townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Sheridan townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Summerfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31Clare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944)2023-06-012028-05-31609this jurisdiction approved 2023-06-09
Surrey townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Winterfield townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleClare County HMP Update (FEMA plan 108944), pending adoption here2023-06-01 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-05-31 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$4,232,100$170$725$4,232,9968
2Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$848,625$5,653$1,051,971$1,906,24958Includes 7 High Wind and 1 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
3Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$204$20,484$1,310,721$1,331,4090No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
4TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$569,308$504$459,318$1,029,1315
5Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$5,608$161$287,238$293,00760Includes 1 Sleet record (outside NRI's Winter Weather definition).
6LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$2,650n/a$289,035$291,6851
7HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$231,684$9,074$11,982$252,73932
8Heat WaveVery LowVery Low$936under $1$65,459$66,3950No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
9Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$26,298n/a$11,057$37,3554
10EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$18,686n/a$6,379$25,065Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11WildfireVery LowVery Low$17,514$6$1,807$19,3270No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$3,923$380$3$4,3060No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$220n/a$2,171$2,3910No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$00Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 8 (Very Low, 26.5); tract 6 (Very Low, 23.0); tract 4 (Very Low, 15.5)
Hurricanetract 8 (Very Low, 35.9); tract 3 (Very Low, 31.4); tract 6 (Very Low, 30.7)
Landslidetract 8 (Relatively Low, 93.2); tract 7 (Relatively Low, 91.9); tract 1 (Relatively Low, 86.7)
Tornadotract 8 (Relatively High, 81.8); tract 6 (Relatively Moderate, 72.3); tract 7 (Relatively Moderate, 65.4)
Wildfiretract 2 (Relatively Low, 82.9); tract 10 (Relatively Low, 81.9); tract 1 (Relatively Low, 77.9)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 8 is Census Tract 8). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)39 records, 1966 to 20220.75 in to 1.75 in (median 1 in); 39 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2020-04-07; same size also recorded on 1976-08-31, 1978-06-17, 1996-04-12, 1996-05-18, 1996-07-29, 2003-07-13, 2014-07-27Hail, 1998-09-26, $300,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Harrison city (12 records), Clare city (6 records), Farwell village (5 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)4 records, 2002 to 2006 (4 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2003-04-03, $200,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars); NWS zone MIZ040Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)8 records, 1996 to 2013 (2 zone-level)Flood, 2013-04-17, $3,000,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Clare city (2 records), Farwell village (1 record). Zone-level records (2) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)1 record, 1996Lightning, 1996-07-30, $5,000 property; crops not reported (1996 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)8 records, 1997 to 2017 (8 zone-level)45 kt (52 mph) to 61 kt (70 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 7 with a recorded value61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2013-11-17; NWS zone MIZ040High Wind, 2017-03-08, $5,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)70 records, 1960 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 65 kt (75 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 43 with a recorded value65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2011-06-08Thunderstorm Wind, 2018-08-28, $200,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Harrison city (18 records), Clare city (7 records), Farwell village (4 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)10 records, 1976 to 2024F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF0); 10 with a recorded valueEF1 tornado, 2024-07-05, 12.11 mi within this county, 75 yd wide, $2,000,000 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Clare city (1 record), Harrison city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)60 records, 1996 to 2025 (60 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2010-12-11, $250,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars); NWS zone MIZ040Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 9 declarations covering 6 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-03-272020-01-20DR-4494-MIMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3455-MIEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4494
2005-09-072005-08-29EM-3225-MIEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2001-01-102000-12-11EM-3160-MIEmergencySnowWinter Weather$15,585.75
1986-09-181986-09-10DR-774-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1978-01-271978-01-27EM-3057-MIEmergencyBlizzards & SnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1977-03-021977-03-02EM-3035-MIEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded
1976-03-191976-03-19DR-495-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Icing & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1975-09-301975-09-30DR-486-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms, High Winds & FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Windno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1956-04-051956-04-05DR-53-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado
1953-06-091953-06-09DR-6-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado
1953-06-021953-06-02DR-4-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Drought0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail39011001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm4000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding8000301996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind78505101955 to 2026-06-30Includes 7 High Wind and 1 Strong Wind records.
Tornado10101101950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather60213201996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Sleet record.

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2024-07-05TornadoEF1, 12.11 mi within this county, 75 yd wide$2,000,000 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars)0, 0LAKE GEORGE to BROWNS CORNERnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
2020-04-07Hail1.75 in$250,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)0, 0LAKEB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2018-08-28Thunderstorm Wind56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust$200,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)0, 0LEOTAB1-c most damaging: Thunderstorm Wind
2017-03-08High Wind52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust$5,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars)2, 0NWS zone MIZ040 (CLARE), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2013-11-17Thunderstorm Wind52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust$75,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)0, 1HARRISONdeaths or injuries recorded
2013-11-17High Wind61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust$75,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2013 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ040 (CLARE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2013-04-17Flood$3,000,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)0, 0LEOTA to TEMPLEB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2011-06-08Thunderstorm Wind65 kt (75 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 0TEMPLE to LAKE GEORGEB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2010-12-11Winter Storm$250,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ040 (CLARE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2003-04-03Ice Storm$200,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2003 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ040 (CLARE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
1996-07-30Lightning$5,000 property; crops not reported (1996 dollars)0, 0TEMPLEB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1994-06-17Thunderstorm Wind50 kt (58 mph), measurement type not recorded$50,000 property; crops not recorded (1994 dollars)0, 1Hamilton Townshipdeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (200 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave2.16event-days per yearabout 2.16 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)412005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.000456annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0456%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1.58events per yearabout 1.58 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)59.9 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave1.53event-days per yearabout 1.53 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)282005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.00693events per yearabout 1 in 144 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.468event-days per yearabout 0.468 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 4 of 30 years)event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)321946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.286event-days per yearabout 0.286 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 6 of 30 years)event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)81996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.153events per year (modeled)about 1 in 7 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning28.6days per year with a strikeabout 28.6 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind2.03events per yearabout 2.03 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)781986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.157events per yearabout 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000145annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0145%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather17.2event-days per yearabout 17.2 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 25 of 30 years)event-days in 25 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (83.3%)3272005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202519300.633
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202540301.33
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20251300.0333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20258300.267
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20255300.167
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave12 of 1255.077.590.4Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 6
Drought0 of 12No Rating 12
Earthquake12 of 122.28.926.5Very Low 12
Hail12 of 1258.573.987.3Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 3
Heat Wave12 of 124.09.721.3Relatively Low 1, Very Low 11
Hurricane12 of 1222.428.735.9Very Low 12
Ice Storm12 of 1218.145.469.9Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 8, Very Low 3
Inland Flooding12 of 129.536.282.2Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 7, Very Low 2
Landslide12 of 1267.583.493.2Relatively Low 8, Very Low 4
Lightning12 of 1255.483.995.5Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 4
Strong Wind12 of 1288.597.799.6Very High 8, Relatively High 4
Tornado12 of 1243.762.281.8Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 3
Wildfire12 of 1250.267.282.9Relatively Low 6, Very Low 6
Winter Weather12 of 1287.596.899.1Very High 7, Relatively High 5

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Clare CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-05-31no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Clare cityCityApproved, expires 2028-05-31FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$1,864.5016 total; 1 since its planAlso approved under plan 108796 (Isabella County HMP, expires 2028-01-25). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last.
Farwell villageVillagePlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded10 total; no approved plan
Harrison cityCityPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded31 total; no approved plan
Arthur townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Franklin townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Freeman townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Frost townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Garfield townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Grant townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Greenwood townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Hamilton townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Hatton townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Hayes townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Lincoln townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Redding townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Sheridan townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Summerfield townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-05-31FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Surrey townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan
Winterfield townshipTownshipPlan 108944 approved 2023-06-01, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-06-01county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$7,927,896,111$28,403,53730,835$204$20,484$1,310,721under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$13,034,680,254n/a30,856$18,686n/a$6,3790.000143%
Hail$7,927,896,111$28,403,53730,835$231,684$9,074$11,9820.00292%
Heat Wave$7,927,896,111$28,403,53730,835$936under $1$65,459under 0.0001%
Hurricane$7,927,896,111$28,403,53730,835$3,923$380$3under 0.0001%
Ice Storm$7,927,896,111n/a30,835$26,298n/a$11,0570.000332%
Inland Flooding$7,913,529,476$42,809518$4,232,100$170$725n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$90,964,325n/a352$220n/a$2,1710.000242%
Lightning$7,927,896,111n/a30,835$2,650n/a$289,035under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$7,927,896,111$28,403,53730,835$848,625$5,653$1,051,9710.0107%$160,000
Tornado$7,927,896,111$28,403,53730,835$569,308$504$459,3180.00718%$2,000,000
Wildfire$1,067,474,749$5,685,3326,041$17,514$6$1,8070.00164%
Winter Weather$7,927,896,111$28,403,53730,835$5,608$161$287,238under 0.0001%$0

Totals since 2023-06-01 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 6 county-coded records, 5 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $2,160,000; 2 zone-level records, 1 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population30,835
Building value (total, not at risk)$7,927,896,111
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$28,403,537
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$5,994,190
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$3,497,866
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0040400

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Clare city2606290000000
Farwell village2613330000000
Harrison city2612620000000
Arthur township2613320000000
Franklin township2612570000000
Freeman township2613340000000
Frost township2613350000000
Garfield township2612580000000
Grant township2612590000000
Greenwood township2612600000000
Hamilton township2612610000000
Hatton township2613360000000
Hayes township2612630000000
Lincoln township2612640000000
Redding township2603820000000
Sheridan township2612650000000
Summerfield township2603830000000
Surrey township2613370000000
Winterfield township2613380000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Clare County, MI: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 26035). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mi/26035/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.