Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Middlesex County, MA

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
25017
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: No county-level plan row in FEMA data.

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($224,395,539 a year), Hurricane ($30,095,131) and Earthquake ($24,253,681).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

No county-level plan row in FEMA data

What changed since your last plan

Not available. No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 58 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Cambridge cityCityApproved, expires 2030-04-15City of Cambridge Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan 2023 Update (FEMA plan 109827)2025-04-162030-04-151,293
Devens CDPUnincorporatedExpired on 2021-05-23Montachusett Region Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan 2015 Update (FEMA plan 101692)2016-05-242021-05-23-1,956FEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions
Everett cityCityApproved, expires 2027-04-03Everett Hazard Mitigation Plan 2021 Update (FEMA plan 107723)2022-04-042027-04-03185
Framingham cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-26City of Framingham, MA Hazard Mitigation Plan Update (FEMA plan 108884)2023-03-272028-03-26543
Lowell cityCityExpired on 2026-06-20City of Lowell 2020 Hazard Mitigation Plan - Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness Plan (FEMA plan 106877)2021-06-212026-06-20-102
Malden cityCityApproved, expires 2027-12-08City of Malden Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 Update (FEMA plan 108512)2022-12-092027-12-08434
Marlborough cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-13City of Marlborough Draft Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 Update (FEMA plan 109404)2024-06-142029-06-13987
Medford cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-11City of Medford Hazard Mitigation Plan 2025 Update (FEMA plan 111530)2026-06-122031-06-111,715
Melrose cityCityExpired on 2024-06-27Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan City of Melrose, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 105767)2019-06-282024-06-27-825
Newton cityCityExpired on 2024-09-04City of Newton Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2019 (FEMA plan 105899)2019-09-052024-09-04-756
Somerville cityCityApproved, expires 2027-01-30City of Somerville Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 Update (FEMA plan 107982)2022-01-312027-01-30122
Waltham cityCityExpired on 2024-10-01City of Waltham Hazard Mitigaiton Plan and Muncipal Vulnerability Preparedness Plan 2019 (FEMA plan 105816)2019-10-022024-10-01-729
Watertown Town cityCityExpired on 2024-05-07Town of Watertown Hazard Mitigation Plan 2019 Update (FEMA plan 105624)2019-05-082024-05-07-876
Woburn cityCityApproved, expires 2026-12-15City of Woburn Hazard Mitigation Plan 2021 Update (FEMA plan 107772)2021-12-162026-12-1576FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Acton townTownApproved, expires 2030-01-09Town of Acton Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2024 (FEMA plan 110092)2025-01-102030-01-091,197
Arlington townTownExpired on 2025-06-08Town of Arlington MA Hazard Mitigation Plan 2020 Update (FEMA plan 106513)2020-06-092025-06-08-479
Ashby townTownApproved, expires 2027-08-23Town of Ashby 2021 Hazard Mitigation-Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness (HM-MVP) Plan (FEMA plan 107758)2022-08-242027-08-23327
Ashland townTownApproved, expires 2031-05-27Town of Ashland Hazard Mitigation Plan 2025 Update (FEMA plan 111529)2026-05-282031-05-271,700
Ayer townTownExpired on 2021-05-23Montachusett Region Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan 2015 Update (FEMA plan 101692)2016-05-242021-05-23-1,956
Bedford townTownApproved, expires 2027-11-012022 Bedford, MA Hazard Mitigation Plan Update and Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness Summary of Findings (FEMA plan 107995)2022-11-022027-11-01397
Belmont townTownExpired on 2026-05-31Town of Belmont 2020 Hazard Mitigation - Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness Plan (FEMA plan 106674)2021-06-012026-05-31-122
Billerica townTownApproved, expires 2027-03-20Billerica Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 107564)2022-03-212027-03-20171
Boxborough townTownApproved, expires 2029-10-15Town of Boxborough, MA Hazard Mitigation Plan Update April 2024 (FEMA plan 109890)2024-10-162029-10-151,111
Burlington townTownApproved, expires 2031-06-25Burlington Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111425)2026-06-262031-06-251,729
Carlisle townTownApproved, expires 2026-12-07Town of Carlisle Hazard Mitigation Plan 2021 Update (FEMA plan 107767)2021-12-082026-12-0768
Chelmsford townTownExpired on 2025-12-29Hazard Mitigation Plan 2020 Update Chelmsford, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 106710)2020-12-302025-12-29-275
Concord townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-04Town of Concord Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 Update (FEMA plan 108785)2023-04-052028-04-04552
Dracut townTownExpired on 2026-09-09Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Town of Dracut, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 107188)2021-09-102026-09-09-21
Dunstable townTownApproved, expires 2030-01-21Town of Dunstable Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) 2024 Update and Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness (MVP) Summary of Findings Report (FEMA plan 110197)2025-01-222030-01-211,209
Groton townTownExpired on 2025-12-29Town of Groton 2020 Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) - Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness (MVP) Plan (FEMA plan 106885)2020-12-302025-12-29-275
Holliston townTownApproved, expires 2031-01-05Town of Holliston All-Hazards Mitigation Plan 2025 Update (FEMA plan 111184)2026-01-062031-01-051,558
Hopkinton townTownExpired on 2025-12-07Town of Hopkinton 2020 Hazard Mitigation - Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness Plan (FEMA plan 106675)2020-12-082025-12-07-297
Hudson townTownApproved, expires 2029-06-03Town of Hudson, MA Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2023 (FEMA plan 109301)2024-06-042029-06-03977
Lexington townTownExpired on 2025-04-28Town of Lexington Hazard Mitigation Plan Update (FEMA plan 106101)2020-04-292025-04-28-520FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Lincoln townTownExpired on 2023-05-24Town of Lincoln Draft Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 11147)2018-05-252023-05-24-1,225
Littleton townTownApproved, expires 2030-07-20Town of Littleton Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 Update (FEMA plan 110511)2025-07-212030-07-201,389
Maynard townTownApproved, expires 2029-08-272024 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update, Town of Maynard, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 109745)2024-08-282029-08-271,062
Natick townTownApproved, expires 2030-05-05Town of Natick 2024 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110450)2025-05-062030-05-051,313
North Reading townTownApproved, expires 2027-03-03Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Town of North Reading, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 108018)2022-03-042027-03-03154
Pepperell townTownExpired on 2026-09-19Town of Pepperell 2020 HMP Update (FEMA plan 107603)2021-09-202026-09-19-11
Reading townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-11Town of Reading, MA Hazard Mitigation Plan Update July 2023 (FEMA plan 109326)2024-04-122029-04-11924
Sherborn townTownExpired on 2024-03-18Sherborn, MA Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 105570)2019-03-192024-03-18-926
Shirley townTownExpired on 2021-05-23Montachusett Region Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan 2015 Update (FEMA plan 101692)2016-05-242021-05-23-1,956
Stoneham townTownApproved, expires 2027-01-26Town of Stoneham Hazard Mitigation and Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness Plan (HMP/MVP) (FEMA plan 107666)2022-01-272027-01-26118
Stow townTownExpired on 2016-02-03Stow, MA Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 12099)2011-02-042016-02-03-3,892
Sudbury townTownExpired on 2025-10-06Town of Sudbury 2020 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106711)2020-10-072025-10-06-359
Tewksbury townTownExpired on 2026-01-05Town of Tewksbury Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) and Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness (MVP) Plan (FEMA plan 106687)2021-01-062026-01-05-268
Townsend townTownExpired on 2026-02-23Town of Townsend 2020 Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) - Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness (MVP) Plan (FEMA plan 107089)2021-02-242026-02-23-219
Tyngsborough townTownExpired on 2025-12-22Town of Tyngsborough 2020 Hazard Mitigation - Municipal Vulnerability Preparedness Plan (FEMA plan 106736)2020-12-232025-12-22-282
Wakefield townTownExpired on 2026-05-11Wakefield, Massachusetts 2019 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update (FEMA plan 107017)2021-05-122026-05-11-142
Wayland townTownExpired on 2026-03-08Town of Wayland Draft Hazard Mitigation Plan 2020 Update (FEMA plan 107044)2021-03-092026-03-08-206
Westford townTownApproved, expires 2027-02-06Westford Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 107716)2022-02-072027-02-06129
Weston townTownExpired on 2026-06-232020 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Town of Weston, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 106814)2021-06-242026-06-23-99
Wilmington townTownApproved, expires 2027-01-04Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Town of Wilmington, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 107766)2022-01-052027-01-0496
Winchester townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-30All Hazards Mitigation Plan Town of Winchester, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 108542)2023-08-312028-08-30700
Name not given in FEMA data (ID NM01_12385)College/UniversityExpired on 2021-05-12University of Massachusetts Multi-Campus Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 12383)2016-05-122021-05-12-1,967
Chelmsford Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2025-12-29Hazard Mitigation Plan 2020 Update Chelmsford, Massachusetts (FEMA plan 106710)2020-12-302025-12-29-275this jurisdiction approved 2025-06-24
Tufts UniversityCollege/UniversityApproved, expires 2029-11-12Tufts University Hazard Mitigation Plan Update (FEMA plan 109906)2024-11-132029-11-121,139

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$222,851,007$300,453$1,244,080$224,395,539247
2HurricaneRelatively HighRelatively High$28,587,279$566,257$941,595$30,095,1313
3EarthquakeRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$19,326,479n/a$4,927,202$24,253,681Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
4Cold WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$5,971$13,491$9,048,894$9,068,3563
5TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively High$7,749,719$986$1,221,397$8,972,1034
6Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$10$11,116$8,521,973$8,533,0995
7Ice StormVery HighVery High$7,233,070n/a$621,140$7,854,2103
8Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$770,066$607$2,617,152$3,387,825791Includes 80 High Wind and 143 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
9LightningRelatively HighVery High$335,408n/a$2,427,073$2,762,48163
10DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$1,683,077n/a$1,683,07713
11Coastal FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$416,286n/a$1,710$417,9960Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
12WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$238,759$45$29,359$268,1630No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$50,258$16$96,565$146,838194
14HailVery LowVery Low$82,553$483$23,959$106,995160
15LandslideVery LowVery Low$202n/a$2,116$2,3190No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire, landslide and tsunami records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 3311.02 (Relatively Moderate, 84.1); tract 3682 (Relatively Moderate, 83.8); tract 3165 (Relatively Moderate, 83.2)
Hurricanetract 3537 (Relatively Moderate, 87.4); tract 3591 (Relatively Moderate, 84.9); tract 3311.02 (Relatively Moderate, 84.1)
Landslidetract 3261.02 (Relatively Low, 83.0); tract 3001 (Relatively Low, 82.9); tract 3882 (Very Low, 75.1)
Tornadotract 3591 (Relatively Moderate, 54.7); tract 3311.02 (Relatively Low, 52.7); tract 3165 (Relatively Low, 51.2)
Tsunamino tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Wildfiretract 3261.01 (Relatively Low, 86.0); tract 3621 (Relatively Low, 84.8); tract 3281 (Relatively Low, 84.7)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 3311.02 is Census Tract 3311.02). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill3 records, 2015 to 2016 (3 zone-level)1 day to 2 days (median 1.5 days); 2 with a recorded value2 consecutive days, 2015-02-15 to 2015-02-16, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)13 records, 2012 to 2017 (13 zone-level)34 days to 274 days (median 154 days); 2 with a recorded value274 days (about 9.0 months), 2016-07-05 to 2017-04-04, a run of 11 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)183 records, 1955 to 20250.75 in to 2.25 in (median 0.88 in); 183 with a recorded value2.25 in hail, 1988-06-22Hail, 2004-08-20, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Townsend town (11 records), Stow town (7 records), Billerica town (6 records), Framingham city (6 records), Hudson town (6 records), Lexington town (6 records), Tewksbury town (6 records), Dracut town (5 records), Marlborough city (5 records), Newton city (5 records); and 28 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)5 records, 2010 to 2025 (5 zone-level)2 days to 4 days (median 2 days); 3 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2025-06-22 to 2025-06-25, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson3 records, 2011 to 2020 (3 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Tropical Storm record, 2011-08-28, $3,200,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars); NWS zone MAZ005Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)3 records, 1998 to 2008 (3 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2008-12-11, $3,000,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars); NWS zone MAZ026Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)247 records, 1996 to 2025 (22 zone-level)Flood, 2010-03-14, $26,430,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Framingham city (13 records), Waltham city (9 records), Cambridge city (7 records), Natick town (7 records), Wilmington town (5 records), Concord town (4 records), Lowell city (4 records), Winchester town (4 records), Ashland town (3 records), Billerica town (3 records); and 29 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file). Zone-level records (22) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)63 records, 1996 to 2025Lightning, 2000-06-27, damage not reported, 1 direct death, 3 direct injuriesLightning, 2001-06-17, $400,000 property; crops not reported (2001 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Marlborough city (6 records), Wilmington town (4 records), Burlington town (3 records), Concord town (3 records), Lowell city (3 records), Tewksbury town (3 records), Bedford town (2 records), Cambridge city (2 records), Framingham city (2 records), Natick town (2 records); and 12 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)223 records, 1996 to 2025 (223 zone-level)27 kt (31 mph) to 69 kt (79 mph) (median 45 kt (52 mph)); 177 with a recorded value69 kt (79 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2019-02-25; NWS zone MAZ014High Wind, 2006-02-17, $700,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2006 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)632 records, 1957 to 202640 kt (46 mph) to 87 kt (100 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 593 with a recorded value87 kt (100 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2020-05-15; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2014-07-07Thunderstorm Wind, 2012-07-18, $350,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Concord town (23 records), Natick town (15 records), Groton town (14 records), Acton town (13 records), Marlborough city (13 records), Medford city (13 records), Hopkinton town (12 records), Billerica town (11 records), Dracut town (11 records), Westford town (11 records); and 40 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)21 records, 1955 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 21 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1974-09-29, 33 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1974 dollars), 1 direct injury; same rating, casualties and property damage also recorded on 1970-10-03Tornado, 1972-07-21, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1972 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Stow town (2 records), Concord town (1 record), Hudson town (1 record), Marlborough city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)194 records, 1996 to 2026 (194 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 1996-01-07, $1,500,000 property; crops not reported (1996 dollars); NWS zone MAZ005Countywide (zone-level records).

Where a hazard names more than 10 jurisdictions, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every one is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow, lightning and tsunami.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 35 declarations covering 27 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2023-09-152023-09-15EM-3599-MAEmergencyHurricane LeeHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2020-03-272020-01-20DR-4496-MAMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$601,534,674.43
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3438-MAEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4496
2018-07-192018-03-13DR-4379-MAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$10,779,440.29
2015-04-132015-01-26DR-4214-MAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$14,653,904.90
2013-04-192013-02-08DR-4110-MAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$9,611,906.27
2013-04-172013-04-15EM-3362-MAEmergencyExplosionsNon-natural, not counted$958,027.47
2012-10-282012-10-27EM-3350-MAEmergencyHurricane SandyHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2012-01-062011-10-29DR-4051-MAMajor disasterSevere Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$4,428,613.50
2011-11-012011-10-29EM-3343-MAEmergencySevere StormHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4051
2011-08-262011-08-26EM-3330-MAEmergencyHurricane IreneHurricane$1,591,158.25
2011-03-072011-01-11DR-1959-MAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$6,425,978.61
2010-09-022010-09-01EM-3315-MAEmergencyHurricane EarlHurricane$20,187.74
2010-05-032010-05-01EM-3312-MAEmergencyWater Main BreakNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2010-03-292010-03-12DR-1895-MAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$6,041,985.83
2009-01-052008-12-11DR-1813-MAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and FloodingIce Storm$4,250,711.21
2008-12-132008-12-11EM-3296-MAEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1813
2006-05-252006-05-12DR-1642-MAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$2,876,595.32
2005-11-102005-10-07DR-1614-MAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3252-MAEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-02-172005-01-22EM-3201-MAEmergencyRecord and/or Near Record SnowWinter Weather$7,829,566.19
2004-04-212004-04-01DR-1512-MAMajor disasterFloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2004-01-152003-12-06EM-3191-MAEmergencySnowWinter Weather$6,259,910.99
2003-03-112003-02-17EM-3175-MAEmergencySnowWinter Weather$4,532,737.03
2001-04-102001-03-05DR-1364-MAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2001-03-282001-03-05EM-3165-MAEmergencySnowWinter Weather$4,850,071.83
1998-06-231998-06-13DR-1224-MAMajor disasterHeavy Rains and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1996-10-251996-10-20DR-1142-MAMajor disasterExtreme Weather Conditons and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1996-10-231996-10-20EM-3119-MAEmergencyExtreme Weather Conditions and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1142
1996-01-241996-01-07DR-1090-MAMajor disasterBlizzard of 96Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1993-03-161993-03-13EM-3103-MAEmergencyBlizzards, High Winds & Record SnowfallWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1992-12-211992-12-11DR-975-MAMajor disasterWinter Coastal StormCoastal Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1991-08-261991-08-19DR-914-MAMajor disasterHurricane BobHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1987-04-181987-03-30DR-790-MAMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1985-10-281985-09-27DR-751-MAMajor disasterHurricane GloriaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $25,882,541.13 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1955-08-201955-08-20DR-43-MAMajor disasterHurricane & FloodsHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1954-09-021954-09-02DR-22-MAMajor disasterHurricanesHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1953-06-111953-06-11DR-7-MAMajor disasterTornadoTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

1 Fire Management declaration (1995-09-12 to 1995-09-12) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 6 rows, $339,828.91

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4651-MA2022-04-18Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormTufts University$29,181.22
DR-4097-MA2012-12-19Hurricane SandyMassachusetts National Guard$175,254.87
EM-3264-MA2005-10-19Severe Storms and FloodingMassachusetts National Guard$9,871.71
EM-3264-MA2005-10-19Severe Storms and FloodingDepartment of Fire Services$10,195.10
EM-3153-MA1999-12-06Warehouse Fire.Massachusetts National Guard$9,154.55
EM-3153-MA1999-12-06Warehouse Fire.Department of Fire Services$106,171.46

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Coastal Flooding0011996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Cold Wave3001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought13001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail183301955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave5101996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane3061996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm3011996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding24748101996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning63501996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind85511701955 to 2026-06-30Includes 80 High Wind and 143 Strong Wind records.
Tornado21101950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather19420121996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-06-22Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 3NWS zone MAZ005 (WESTERN MIDDLESEX), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2021-03-26Strong Wind43 kt (49 mph) estimated gust$500 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2021 dollars)1, 2NWS zone MAZ026 (NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2020-05-15Thunderstorm Wind87 kt (100 mph) estimated gust$250,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)0, 0HOVEY CORNERB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2019-02-25High Wind69 kt (79 mph) estimated gust$20,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2019 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MAZ014 (SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2016-07-05Drought$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2016 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MAZ005 (WESTERN MIDDLESEX), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2015-02-15Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2015 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MAZ005 (WESTERN MIDDLESEX), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2011-08-28Tropical Storm$3,200,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MAZ005 (WESTERN MIDDLESEX), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2010-03-14Flood$26,430,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)0, 0HOLLISTON to HOVEY CORNERB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2008-12-11Ice Storm$3,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MAZ026 (NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2000-06-27Lightningdamage not reported1, 3WESTFORDdeaths or injuries recorded
1998-03-12Winter Weatherdamage not reported2, 0NWS zone MAZ005 (WESTERN MIDDLESEX), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
1974-09-29TornadoF3, 33 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1974 dollars)0, 1location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,590 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Coastal Flooding6.16events per year at a location (modeled)about 6.2 per year at a given location in the countyHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from NRI: the rate at a location is 1 or more a year, so the county rate is at least that.
Cold Wave1.85event-days per yearabout 1.85 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)35.12005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought7.12event-days per yearabout 7.12 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)2662000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00197annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.197%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail2.3events per yearabout 2.3 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)87.2 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave5.7event-days per yearabout 5.7 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)95.62005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.161events per yearabout 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)601851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm2.7event-days per yearabout 2.7 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)1821946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding4.25event-days per yearabout 4.25 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 28 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (93.3%)1191996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.555events per year (modeled)about 0.55 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning21.6days per year with a strikeabout 21.6 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.971events per yearabout 0.97 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)371986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.176events per yearabout 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Wildfire0.000168annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0168%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather17.2event-days per yearabout 17.2 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 30 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (100%)3262005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202570302.33
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20254300.133
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 20255363017.9
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20257300.233
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202520300.667
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20254300.133
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Coastal Flooding58 of 35769.877.496.0Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 29, Very Low 24, No Rating 299
Cold Wave357 of 35715.431.356.6Relatively Moderate 12, Relatively Low 342, Very Low 3
Drought33 of 35773.391.496.9Relatively Moderate 15, Relatively Low 14, Very Low 4, No Rating 324
Earthquake356 of 3570.259.484.1Relatively Moderate 14, Relatively Low 302, Very Low 40, No Rating 1
Hail357 of 3570.15.920.6Very Low 357
Heat Wave357 of 3571.327.562.3Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 292, Very Low 59
Hurricane357 of 35714.172.187.4Relatively Moderate 50, Relatively Low 304, Very Low 3
Ice Storm356 of 3570.179.796.2Relatively High 50, Relatively Moderate 183, Relatively Low 105, Very Low 18, No Rating 1
Inland Flooding356 of 3570.138.994.8Relatively High 26, Relatively Moderate 107, Relatively Low 153, Very Low 70, No Rating 1
Landslide351 of 3578.639.183.0Relatively Low 2, Very Low 349, No Rating 6
Lightning356 of 3570.133.163.4Relatively Moderate 26, Relatively Low 293, Very Low 37, No Rating 1
Strong Wind357 of 3570.230.257.9Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 311, Very Low 44
Tornado357 of 3570.230.854.7Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 197, Very Low 159
Tsunami0 of 357Insufficient Data 357
Wildfire225 of 35718.742.086.0Relatively Low 35, Very Low 190, No Rating 132
Winter Weather357 of 35710.621.331.5Relatively Low 302, Very Low 55

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Cambridge cityCityApproved, expires 2030-04-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$13,670,132.4018 total; 0 since its planIncludes $10,035,008.19 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA, EM-3362-MA).
Devens CDPUnincorporatedExpired on 2021-05-23no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Everett cityCityApproved, expires 2027-04-03FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$5,052,296.142 total; 0 since its planIncludes $3,784,644.66 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Framingham cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-26FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 17$6,771,412.4931 total; 2 since its planIncludes $3,918,930.42 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Lowell cityCityExpired on 2026-06-20FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 26$7,390,744.6015 total; 3 since its planIncludes $3,736,179 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Malden cityCityApproved, expires 2027-12-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 5$1,478,868.967 total; 0 since its planIncludes $227,862.82 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Marlborough cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-13FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$2,077,427.7127 total; 1 since its planIncludes $150,590.69 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Medford cityCityApproved, expires 2031-06-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$1,997,095.7418 total; 0 since its planIncludes $507,816.71 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Melrose cityCityExpired on 2024-06-27FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 11$2,861,763.814 total; 2 since its planIncludes $761,351.13 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Newton cityCityExpired on 2024-09-04FMA RL 0, SRL 3; any 47$6,422,611.8014 total; 4 since its planIncludes $1,008,253.64 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Somerville cityCityApproved, expires 2027-01-30FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 5$6,095,205.2510 total; 1 since its planIncludes $4,611,755.68 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Waltham cityCityExpired on 2024-10-01FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 14$4,080,320.5513 total; 0 since its planIncludes $206,457.40 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA, EM-3362-MA).
Watertown Town cityCityExpired on 2024-05-07FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 1no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Woburn cityCityApproved, expires 2026-12-15FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 5$2,125,569.653 total; 0 since its planIncludes $430,882.09 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA, EM-3362-MA).
Acton townTownApproved, expires 2030-01-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 5$718,110.5618 total; 0 since its planIncludes $160,257.29 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Arlington townTownExpired on 2025-06-08FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 39$1,723,155.9313 total; 1 since its planIncludes $92,843.36 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA, EM-3362-MA).
Ashby townTownApproved, expires 2027-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$965,987.229 total; 2 since its planIncludes $153,267.38 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Ashland townTownApproved, expires 2031-05-27FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$748,970.5313 total; 0 since its plan
Ayer townTownExpired on 2021-05-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$512,904.8210 total; 3 since its planIncludes $68,053.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Bedford townTownApproved, expires 2027-11-01FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 13$1,648,363.545 total; 0 since its planIncludes $641,091.31 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Belmont townTownExpired on 2026-05-31FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$2,428,089.829 total; 1 since its planIncludes $823,537.20 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA, EM-3362-MA).
Billerica townTownApproved, expires 2027-03-20FMA RL 2, SRL 3; any 48$2,205,810.1620 total; 1 since its planIncludes $461,519.36 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Boxborough townTownApproved, expires 2029-10-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$276,652.085 total; 0 since its plan
Burlington townTownApproved, expires 2031-06-25FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 8$1,385,601.4410 total; 0 since its planIncludes $71,413.28 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Carlisle townTownApproved, expires 2026-12-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$828,270.563 total; 1 since its planIncludes $488,207.99 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Chelmsford townTownExpired on 2025-12-29FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 7$1,956,156.780 total; 0 since its planIncludes $35,445.23 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Concord townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-04FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 5$1,723,543.4032 total; 1 since its planIncludes $633,907.29 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Dracut townTownExpired on 2026-09-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$1,161,652.2318 total; 3 since its planIncludes $19,920.09 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Dunstable townTownApproved, expires 2030-01-21FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$392,503.072 total; 1 since its planIncludes $57,026.62 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Groton townTownExpired on 2025-12-29FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$1,233,641.9517 total; 1 since its planIncludes $245,848.96 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA, EM-3362-MA).
Holliston townTownApproved, expires 2031-01-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$1,024,125.6213 total; 0 since its planIncludes $386,560.47 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Hopkinton townTownExpired on 2025-12-07FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$1,175,455.4117 total; 2 since its planIncludes $160,253.16 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA, EM-3362-MA).
Hudson townTownApproved, expires 2029-06-03FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$1,732,485.0915 total; 3 since its planIncludes $559,901.39 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Lexington townTownExpired on 2025-04-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 5$2,527,982.3613 total; 1 since its planIncludes $632,368.41 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Lincoln townTownExpired on 2023-05-24FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$743,975.964 total; 1 since its planIncludes $281,588.37 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Littleton townTownApproved, expires 2030-07-20FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$740,605.4711 total; 0 since its planIncludes $158,667.75 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Maynard townTownApproved, expires 2029-08-27FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$596,850.336 total; 0 since its planIncludes $46,528.83 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Natick townTownApproved, expires 2030-05-05FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 5$3,260,187.5427 total; 0 since its planIncludes $1,982,596.47 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
North Reading townTownApproved, expires 2027-03-03FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 24$1,298,098.1910 total; 0 since its planIncludes $1,008.18 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3362-MA).
Pepperell townTownExpired on 2026-09-19FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$595,184.095 total; 0 since its planIncludes $154,671.69 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Reading townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$1,978,374.4510 total; 1 since its planIncludes $501,771.65 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Sherborn townTownExpired on 2024-03-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$435,054.959 total; 1 since its plan
Shirley townTownExpired on 2021-05-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$507,676.8411 total; 2 since its plan
Stoneham townTownApproved, expires 2027-01-26FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$1,258,283.353 total; 0 since its planIncludes $406,210.30 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Stow townTownExpired on 2016-02-03FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$321,649.1718 total; 9 since its planIncludes $82,635.58 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Sudbury townTownExpired on 2025-10-06FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$1,662,854.346 total; 0 since its planIncludes $347,956.88 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Tewksbury townTownExpired on 2026-01-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 7$1,608,052.8313 total; 1 since its planIncludes $202,999.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Townsend townTownExpired on 2026-02-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$603,920.0723 total; 1 since its planIncludes $58,811.18 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Tyngsborough townTownExpired on 2025-12-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 8$803,125.420 total; 0 since its planIncludes $141,921.55 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Wakefield townTownExpired on 2026-05-11FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 13$3,256,390.4917 total; 0 since its planIncludes $1,047,513.69 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Wayland townTownExpired on 2026-03-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 5$1,140,743.3710 total; 1 since its planIncludes $52,753.59 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Westford townTownApproved, expires 2027-02-06FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,085,509.3216 total; 1 since its planIncludes $553,394.35 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Weston townTownExpired on 2026-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$1,534,503.0116 total; 2 since its planIncludes $220,347.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Wilmington townTownApproved, expires 2027-01-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$1,080,513.5518 total; 0 since its planIncludes $112,699.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).
Winchester townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 0, SRL 4; any 29$1,167,345.135 total; 0 since its planIncludes $508,518.79 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4496-MA).

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since plancounty-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Coastal Flooding$15,164,862,040n/a63,356$416,286n/a$1,7100.00275%
Cold Wave$342,960,947,223$81,565,2101,629,857$5,971$13,491$9,048,894under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$69,816,267n/an/a$1,683,077n/a2.41% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$594,877,100,862n/a1,632,002$19,326,479n/a$4,927,2020.00325%
Hail$342,960,949,790$81,565,2101,629,857$82,553$483$23,959under 0.0001%
Heat Wave$342,960,947,223$81,565,2101,629,857$10$11,116$8,521,973under 0.0001%
Hurricane$342,906,485,166$81,565,2101,629,392$28,587,279$566,257$941,5950.00834%
Ice Storm$341,837,032,018n/a1,622,899$7,233,070n/a$621,1400.00212%
Inland Flooding$342,595,990,113$18,607,32829,492$222,851,007$300,453$1,244,080n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$8,195,139,296n/a37,124$202n/a$2,116under 0.0001%
Lightning$342,960,949,790n/a1,629,857$335,408n/a$2,427,073under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$342,960,949,790$81,565,2101,629,857$770,066$607$2,617,1520.000225%
Tornado$342,960,949,790$81,565,2101,629,857$7,749,719$986$1,221,3970.00226%
Tsunamin/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Wildfire$18,561,503,452$25,497,889115,084$238,759$45$29,3590.00129%
Winter Weather$342,960,947,223$81,565,2101,629,857$50,258$16$96,565under 0.0001%

Totals since the plan: not available. No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population1,629,857
Building value (total, not at risk)$342,960,949,790
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$81,565,210
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively High
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$290,223,598
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$31,724,216
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)3Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)27
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition389Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition26

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total327389263911134
of which: Acton town0050500
of which: Arlington town0139139010
of which: Ashland town0010100
of which: Belmont town0020201
of which: Billerica town2348348015
of which: Burlington town0080806
of which: Cambridge city0030300
of which: Chelmsford town0272704
of which: Concord town0252501
of which: Dracut town0020200
of which: Everett city0020200
of which: Framingham city011711703
of which: Holliston town0040401
of which: Lexington town0050500
of which: Lincoln town0010100
of which: Littleton town0010100
of which: Lowell city1025026016
of which: Malden city0050500
of which: Marlborough city0010101
of which: Medford city0040401
of which: Melrose city021121103
of which: Natick town0151504
of which: Newton city0347347011
of which: North Reading town012302419
of which: Pepperell town0020201
of which: Reading town0010100
of which: Sherborn town0010100
of which: Shirley town0010100
of which: Somerville city0151501
of which: Sudbury town0030302
of which: Tewksbury town0070701
of which: Townsend town0030301
of which: Tyngsborough town0080802
of which: Wakefield town021321303
of which: Waltham city001401405
of which: Watertown town0111101
of which: Wayland town0050503
of which: Weston town0020200
of which: Wilmington town0030302
of which: Winchester town0429429016
of which: Woburn city0151503
of which: Bedford town021321307
of which: Unknown (community ID Unknown in FEMA data)0020200

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Cambridge city2501860030300
Everett city2501920020200
Framingham city250193011711703
Lowell city2502011025026016
Malden city2502020050500
Marlborough city2502030010101
Medford city2502050040401
Melrose city250206021121103
Newton city2502080347347011
Somerville city2502140151501
Waltham city250222001401405
Watertown Town city2502230111101
Woburn city2502290151503
Acton town2501760050500
Arlington town2501770139139010
Ashby town2501780000000
Ashland town2501790010100
Ayer town2501800000000
Bedford town255209021321307
Belmont town2501820020201
Billerica town2501832348348015
Boxborough town2501840000000
Burlington town2501850080806
Carlisle town2501870000000
Chelmsford town2501880272704
Concord town2501890252501
Dracut town2501900020200
Dunstable town2501910000000
Groton town2501940000000
Holliston town2501950040401
Hopkinton town2501960000000
Hudson town2501970000000
Lexington town2501980050500
Lincoln town2501990010100
Littleton town2502000010100
Maynard town2502040000000
Natick town2502070151504
North Reading town250209012302419
Pepperell town2502100020201
Reading town2502110010100
Sherborn town2502120010100
Shirley town2502130010100
Stoneham town2502150000000
Stow town2502160000000
Sudbury town2502170030302
Tewksbury town2502180070701
Townsend town2502190030301
Tyngsborough town2502200080802
Wakefield town250221021321303
Wayland town2502240050503
Westford town2502250000000
Weston town2502260020200
Wilmington town2502270030302
Winchester town2502280429429016

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential216285152871107
2 to 4 unit residential0228228010
other residential023523503
non-residential1741741014
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 1 property is FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 387 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Middlesex County, MA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 25017). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ma/25017/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org