Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Carter County, KY

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 21043
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
Approved, expires 2028-01-26
Plan
FIVCO ADD Regional (FEMA plan 108798)
Approved
2023-01-27
Expires
2028-01-26
As of
2026-09-28
Days
485 days to expiry

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-01-27)

New federal declarations
DR-4711-KY, DR-4782-KY, DR-4848-KY, EM-3624-KY, EM-3626-KY, DR-4864-KY, EM-3633-KY (7 declaration rows; 6 counted incidents)
Storm Events records since approval
62 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 11, SRL 7 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 55
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Carter County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2028-01-26FIVCO ADD Regional (FEMA plan 108798)2023-01-272028-01-26485member approved 2023-08-01
Grayson cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-26FIVCO ADD Regional (FEMA plan 108798)2023-01-272028-01-26485member approved 2023-08-01
Olive Hill cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-26FIVCO ADD Regional (FEMA plan 108798)2023-01-272028-01-26485member approved 2023-10-10

Plan 108798 lists 17 other participants not on this page, 1 of them not covered by it yet (named in the XLSX file).

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$8,960,904$36,072$1,502,221$10,499,197101
2Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$14$10$1,864,308$1,864,33220
3TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$234,160$157$480,708$715,0251
4Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$96,614$5,931$216,815$319,35992Includes 6 High Wind records and 16 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
5Cold WaveVery LowRelatively Low$15,756$2,203$160,589$178,54830Includes 3 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
6EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$107,832$34,605$142,437Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
7LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$4,998$133,858$138,8561
8HailVery LowVery Low$77,305$2,788$26,599$106,69246
9Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$66,151$40,303$106,4542
10WildfireVery LowVery Low$47,941$31$13,962$61,9330No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
11Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$8,420under $1$39,811$48,23158
12LandslideRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$3,164$43,122$46,2860Declared 16 times; no Storm Events record of this type. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
13HurricaneVery LowVery Low$17,927$1,482$573$19,9820Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
14DroughtVery LowVery Low$775$77519
AvalancheNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates avalanche Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Coastal FloodingNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates coastal flooding Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates tsunami Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
Volcanic ActivityNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates volcanic activity Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 8
Coastal FloodingCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 8
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.8 of 8
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.7 of 8
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.8 of 8
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.8 of 8
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.8 of 8
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.8 of 8
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.8 of 8
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.8 of 8
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.8 of 8
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.8 of 8
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.8 of 8
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.8 of 8
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 8
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 8
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.8 of 8
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.8 of 8

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill27, 1996 to 2026 (27 zone-level)1 day to 31 days (median 3.5 days); 24 with a recorded value31 days, 2001-03-01 to 2001-03-31, from 1 monthly summary record (a monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions), zone-levelExtreme Cold/Wind Chill, 2014-01-06, $75,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2014 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required. Cold/Wind Chill records from May to September (a frost night, not a cold wave) are counted but not used for the longest run.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage3, 2003 to 2004 (3 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 3 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale19, 1999 to 2026 (19 zone-level)25 days to 184 days (median 31 days); 7 with a recorded value184 days (6 months), 1999-05-01 to 1999-10-31, a run of 6 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)51, 1983 to 20240.75 in to 1.75 in (median 1 in); 50 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2017-05-27; same size also recorded on 2010-04-05, 2010-06-15, 2016-05-01Hail, 1993-11-17, $500,000 property; crops not recorded (1993 dollars)Event records naming member places: Grayson city (20 records), Olive Hill city (10 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)20, 1997 to 2011 (20 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 1.5 days); 6 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2011-07-20 to 2011-07-23, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required. Heat records from November to March (unseasonable warmth, not a heat wave) are counted but not used for the longest run.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)2, 1999 to 2003 (2 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2003-02-16, $1,500,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2003 dollars); NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)101, 1996 to 2026 (13 zone-level)Flood, 2010-05-02, $10,000,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)Event records naming member places: Olive Hill city (10 records), Grayson city (9 records). Zone-level records (13) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)1, 1997 to 1997Lightning, 1997-08-17, $30,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)Event records naming member places: Grayson city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)22, 1999 to 2026 (22 zone-level)30 kt (35 mph) to 50 kt (58 mph) (median 40 kt (46 mph)); 17 with a recorded value50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2023-04-01; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2023-03-03; NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesStrong Wind, 2014-03-14, $85,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2014 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)84, 1961 to 202640 kt (46 mph) to 74 kt (85 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 55 with a recorded value74 kt (85 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2016-05-01Thunderstorm Wind, 1995-05-18, $1,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)Event records naming member places: Grayson city (20 records), Olive Hill city (12 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)2, 1986 to 2008F/EF1; 2 with a recorded valueEF1 tornado, 2008-05-11, 1.31 mi within this county, 100 yd wide, $300,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars)No event record names a member place.From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)58, 1996 to 2026 (58 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 1998-02-03, $250,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1998 dollars); NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
37
Counted incidents
32

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-01-242026-01-23EM-3633-KYEmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-04-242025-04-02DR-4864-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind; Tornado$191,736.52new since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-04-032025-04-02EM-3626-KYEmergencySEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadonone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4864
2025-02-162025-02-14EM-3624-KYEmergencySEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Windnone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2024-11-262024-09-27DR-4848-KYMajor disasterREMNANTS OF HURRICANE HELENEHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Landslide, Strong Windnone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2024-05-222024-04-02DR-4782-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESLandslide; Strong Wind; TornadoPA not declared for this countynew since last plan; within last 5 years
2023-05-092023-02-15DR-4711-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Strong Wind$75,376.33new since last plan; within last 5 years
2022-02-272021-12-31DR-4643-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind; Tornado$260,705.02during plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 years
2021-04-232021-02-27DR-4595-KYMajor disasterSEVERE, STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide$3,315,142.16
2021-03-312021-02-08DR-4592-KYMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESIce Storm$6,248,344.45
2020-03-282020-01-20DR-4497-KYMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$147,129.97
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3469-KYEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundsame incident as DR-4497
2019-04-172019-02-06DR-4428-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind$659,685.21
2018-04-262018-02-21DR-4361-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Tornado$410,816.94
2015-08-122015-07-11DR-4239-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDEInland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind; Tornado$202,169.96
2015-05-122015-03-03DR-4218-KYMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weather$31,088.45
2015-05-012015-04-02DR-4217-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Tornado$155,910.44
2011-05-042011-04-12DR-1976-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$450,960.66
2010-07-232010-07-17DR-1925-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide$173,830.15
2010-05-112010-05-01DR-1912-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND TORNADOESInland Flooding; Landslide; Tornado$698,550.34
2009-02-052009-01-26DR-1818-KYMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODINGIce Storm$237,750.78
2009-01-282009-01-27EM-3302-KYEmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMIce Stormnone foundsame incident as DR-1818
2007-05-252007-04-14DR-1703-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND ROCKSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide$96,640.65
2005-09-102005-08-29EM-3231-KYEmergencyHURRICANE KATRINAHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countednone found
2004-06-102004-05-26DR-1523-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Tornado$551,591.31
2003-07-022003-06-14DR-1475-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND ROCK SLIDES, AND TORNADOESInland Flooding; Tornado$262,593.64
2003-06-032003-05-04DR-1471-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND ROCK SLIDES, AND TORNADOESInland Flooding; Tornado$311,697.78
2003-03-142003-02-15DR-1454-KYMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER ICE AND SNOW STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND MUD ANDInland Flooding; Tornado; Winter Weather$1,462,548.94
2002-04-042002-03-17DR-1407-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding$459,449.09
2000-02-282000-02-18DR-1320-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding$34,199.06
1998-03-031998-02-04DR-1207-KYMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone found
1997-03-041997-03-01DR-1163-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOESInland Flooding; Tornadonone found
1996-01-131996-01-05DR-1089-KYMajor disasterBLIZZARD OF 96Winter Weathernone found
1995-06-131995-05-13DR-1055-KYMajor disasterTORNADOES, SEVERE WINDS, HAILTornado (primary); also designated: Hailnone found
1993-03-161993-03-13EM-3104-KYEmergencySEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone found
1989-02-241989-01-13DR-821-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1978-12-121978-12-12DR-568-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Statewide declarations

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardFlagsNotes
1964-03-171964-03-17DR-163-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1963-03-131963-03-13DR-148-KYMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1962-03-121962-03-12DR-128-KYMajor disasterFLOODSInland Flooding
1957-01-311957-01-31DR-66-KYMajor disasterFLOODInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county. Listed on every county page in the state; not counted with county rows.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave30101001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 3 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Drought19303001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail51101101955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave20000001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000111996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Ice Storm2000201996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding101256322441996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide00001651996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 16 federal declared incidents (see declarations table)
Lightning1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind10620222851955 to 2026-06-30Includes 6 High Wind records and 16 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado20001421950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather5812317611996 to 2026-06-30

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2023-04-01High Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2023 dollars)0, 0NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2017-05-27Hail1.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars)0, 0OLIVE HILLB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2016-05-01Thunderstorm Wind74 kt (85 mph) estimated gust$25,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)0, 0GRAYSONB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2011-07-20Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2010-07-20Flash Flood$5,000,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)1, 0SOLDIER to ROSE HILLdeaths or injuries recorded
2010-05-02Flood$10,000,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)0, 0SOLDIER to WILLARDB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2008-05-11TornadoEF1, 1.31 mi within this county, 100 yd wide$300,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars)0, 0CORY to COUNTS XRDSB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
2004-03-05Flood$5,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2004 dollars)1, 0NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesdeaths or injuries recorded
2003-06-16Flash Flood$15,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)1, 0COUNTYWIDEdeaths or injuries recorded
2003-02-16Ice Storm$1,500,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2003 dollars)0, 0NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2001-03-01Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone KYZ102 (CARTER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1997-08-17Lightning$30,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)0, 0GRAYSONB1-c worst recorded: Lightning

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (390 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalancheevents per year1994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Coastal Floodingevents per year at a location (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Cold Wave0.895event-days per yearabout 0.895 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)172005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideFrost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought2.67event-days per yearabout 2.67 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)842000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI gives about 2.67 drought event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 25.25 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 6 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Earthquake0.00145annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.145%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail3.04events per yearabout 3.04 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)115.3 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave4.11event-days per yearabout 4.11 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)722005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 4.11 heat wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 8 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Hurricane0.023events per yearabout 1 in 43 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)81851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are counted separately in B1-d and need not match.
Ice Storm0.549event-days per yearabout 0.549 days per yearPossibleevent-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)371946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding2.39event-days per yearabout 2.39 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 25 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (83.3%)671996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide1.13events per year (modeled)about 1.13 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning49.5days per year with a strikeabout 49.5 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind2.81events per yearabout 2.81 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1071986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.122events per yearabout 1 in 8 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Volcanic Activityannual probabilitynot shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Wildfire0.000975annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0975%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo Storm Events record of this hazard, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned (the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county)
Winter Weather8.68event-days per yearabout 8.68 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 24 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (80%)1652005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202529300.967
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 202547301.57
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 20252300.0667
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202518300.6
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche0 of 8Not Applicable 8
Coastal Flooding0 of 8Not Applicable 8
Cold Wave8 of 827.035.547.0Relatively Low 8National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought7 of 870.373.076.4Very Low 7, No Rating 1National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range above mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is, not where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake8 of 829.235.760.5Relatively Low 2, Very Low 6
Hail8 of 856.063.372.0Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 5National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave8 of 886.394.296.7Very High 1, Relatively High 7National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane8 of 839.742.245.9Very Low 8
Ice Storm8 of 867.977.886.4Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 2National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding8 of 867.484.598.5Very High 2, Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 3
Landslide8 of 894.096.798.9Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 2
Lightning8 of 847.168.985.0Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 1National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind8 of 855.879.484.6Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 6National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado8 of 841.561.269.2Relatively Moderate 7, Relatively Low 1
Tsunami0 of 8Not Applicable 8
Volcanic Activity0 of 8Not Applicable 8
Wildfire8 of 878.882.688.4Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 7
Winter Weather8 of 859.174.485.1Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 5National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Carter County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2028-01-26FMA RL 2, SRL 4; any 29$620,735.760; 0
Grayson cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-26FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 6$272,713.3250; 4
Olive Hill cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-26FMA RL 9, SRL 2; any 20$800,247.6932; 5

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-01-27county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
AvalancheNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Coastal FloodingNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Cold Wave$4,318,216,587$8,867,65826,602$15,756$2,203$160,5890.000365%$0
Drought$2,232,137$7750.0347% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$7,470,207,39926,627$107,832$34,6050.00144%
Hail$4,318,216,587$8,867,65826,602$77,305$2,788$26,5990.00179%$0
Heat Wave$4,318,216,587$8,867,65826,602$14$10$1,864,308under 0.0001%
Hurricane$4,317,082,336$8,862,60026,598$17,927$1,482$5730.000415%none found (1 declaration)
Ice Storm$4,318,216,58726,602$66,151$40,3030.00153%
Inland Flooding$4,313,319,932$3,077,3692,239$8,960,904$36,072$1,502,221n/a (see note)$3,750$267,112.85NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$923,328,6097,355$3,164$43,1220.000343%$267,112.85
Lightning$4,318,216,58726,602$4,998$133,8580.000116%
Strong Wind$4,318,216,587$8,867,65826,602$96,614$5,931$216,8150.00224%$12,750$11,000$267,112.85Storm Events damage since the plan includes 7 zone-level Strong Wind records ($11,000), an event type the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado$4,318,216,587$8,867,65826,602$234,160$157$480,7080.00542%$191,736.52
TsunamiNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Volcanic ActivityNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Wildfire$534,014,209$3,814,7249,577$47,941$31$13,9620.00898%
Winter Weather$4,318,216,587$8,867,65826,602$8,420under $1$39,8110.000195%$0none found (1 declaration)

Totals since 2023-01-27 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 37 county-coded records, 37 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $16,500; 25 zone-level records, 25 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $11,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance on counted declarations $267,112.85 (7 declarations, 2 with PA).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population26,602
Building value (total, not at risk)$4,318,216,587
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$8,867,658
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$9,690,632
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$4,557,474
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)11Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)7
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition49Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition7

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total11749755611
CARTER COUNTY *242942903
GRAYSON, CITY OF0161601
OLIVE HILL, CITY OF921422067

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Carter County (unincorporated area)210050242942903
Grayson city2100510161601
Olive Hill city210052921422067

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential453653607
2 to 4 unit residential5000550
other residential1020310
non-residential121121104
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 6 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 44 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Carter County, KY: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 21043). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_KY_21043. Preview: automated baseline.