Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Pike County, IL

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
17149
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-09-15. Plan: Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119), approved 2023-09-16.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-09-16: no new hazard declaration and 13 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($3,812,524 a year), Cold Wave ($1,438,171) and Heat Wave ($1,272,929).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-09-15
Plan:
Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)
Approved:
2023-09-16
Days to expiry:
716

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-09-16)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
13 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 3, SRL 8 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 28
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 16 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Pike CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Barry cityCityApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Baylis villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Griggsville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
New Canton townTownApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Pearl villageVillagePlan 109119 approved 2023-09-16, pending adoption here; not yet eligiblePike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119), pending adoption here2023-09-16 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-09-15 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Pittsfield cityCityApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Fairmount townshipTownshipPlan 109119 approved 2023-09-16, pending adoption here; not yet eligiblePike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119), pending adoption here2023-09-16 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-09-15 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Pittsfield townshipTownshipPlan 109119 approved 2023-09-16, pending adoption here; not yet eligiblePike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119), pending adoption here2023-09-16 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2028-09-15 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Pikeland Community Unit School District 10School/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Baylis Fire DepartmentFire/EMS DistrictApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-14
Illini Community HospitalHospital/Medical FacilityApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
McGee Creek Drainage & Levee DistrictConservation DistrictApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Sny Island Levee Drainage DistrictConservation DistrictApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Spring Creek Fire Protection DistrictFire/EMS DistrictApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-09-19
Valley City Drainage & Levee DistrictFlood Control DistrictApproved, expires 2028-09-15Pike County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109119)2023-09-162028-09-15716this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$3,570,034$124,195$118,296$3,812,52429
2Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Moderate$66$134,778$1,303,327$1,438,1715Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
3Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$44$10$1,272,875$1,272,92944
4DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$1,007,212n/a$1,007,2126
5Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$98,734$321,674$299,374$719,782150Includes 6 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$130,701$6,447$459,680$596,82827
7HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$108,781$110,365$36,417$255,56276
8EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$118,345n/a$122,255$240,600Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
9LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$50,320n/a$187,201$237,5222
10Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$3,111$1,152$19,094$23,35745
11LandslideRelatively LowRelatively Low$362n/a$20,325$20,6870No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12Ice StormVery LowVery Low$8,350n/a$6,941$15,2904
13HurricaneVery LowVery Low$1,336$7,541$2$8,8790No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14WildfireVery LowVery Low$241$27$131$4000No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide and wildfire records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9527 (Relatively Low, 75.5); tract 9524 (Relatively Low, 58.7); tract 9526 (Relatively Low, 57.0)
Hurricanetract 9524 (Very Low, 43.0); tract 9526 (Very Low, 42.1); tract 9528 (Very Low, 40.8)
Landslidetract 9528 (Relatively Moderate, 97.8); tract 9526 (Relatively Moderate, 97.6); tract 9524 (Relatively Low, 94.8)
Tornadotract 9527 (Relatively High, 76.7); tract 9524 (Relatively Moderate, 66.4); tract 9528 (Relatively Moderate, 60.6)
Wildfiretract 9528 (Very Low, 44.0); tract 9526 (Very Low, 43.8); tract 9524 (Very Low, 41.6)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9527 is Census Tract 9527). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill4 records, 2000 to 2024 (4 zone-level)2 days to 12 days (median 2 days); 4 with a recorded value12 consecutive days, 2010-01-01 to 2010-01-12, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage1 record, 2007 (1 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)6 records, 2005 to 2012 (6 zone-level)90 days to 92 days (median 91 days); 2 with a recorded value92 days (3 months), 2005-08-01 to 2005-10-31, a run of 3 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)92 records, 1955 to 20250.75 in to 2.75 in (median 1 in); 92 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 2014-05-21; same size also recorded on 1955-10-06, 1996-04-19, 2002-04-14Hail, 2002-04-14, $25,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Pittsfield city (18 records), Pittsfield township (18 records), Barry city (11 records), Griggsville city (11 records), New Canton town (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)44 records, 1999 to 2025 (44 zone-level)1 day to 14 days (median 4 days); 40 with a recorded value14 consecutive days, 1999-07-18 to 1999-07-31, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)4 records, 2000 to 2008 (4 zone-level)No damage reported in 4 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)29 records, 1996 to 2026 (7 zone-level)Flood, 2008-06-03, $0 property; $18,000,000 crops (2008 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Baylis village (1 record), New Canton town (1 record), Pittsfield city (1 record), Pittsfield township (1 record). Zone-level records (7) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)2 records, 1998 to 2014Lightning, 2014-10-01, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Griggsville city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)9 records, 1997 to 2009 (9 zone-level)38 kt (44 mph) to 50 kt (58 mph) (median 40 kt (46 mph)); 9 with a recorded value50 kt (58 mph), measurement type not recorded, High Wind, 1997-04-05; NWS zone ILZ097Strong Wind, 2008-09-14, $5,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)172 records, 1956 to 202550 kt (58 mph) to 70 kt (81 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 149 with a recorded value70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1984-04-29Thunderstorm Wind, 2004-10-29, $30,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Pittsfield city (29 records), Pittsfield township (29 records), Barry city (21 records), Griggsville city (13 records), New Canton town (8 records), Pearl village (4 records), Baylis village (2 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)34 records, 1956 to 2021F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF0); 33 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1961-05-14, 89.6 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1961 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Baylis village (2 records), Pearl village (2 records), Pittsfield city (2 records), Pittsfield township (2 records), Barry city (1 record), Griggsville city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)45 records, 1996 to 2025 (45 zone-level)No damage reported in 45 records.Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 25 declarations covering 22 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2023-08-152023-06-29DR-4728-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$53,455.71in the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 years
2021-12-132021-12-10EM-3577-ILEmergencySevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesTornado (primary); also designated: Strong Windno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2020-03-262020-01-20DR-4489-ILMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countednone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $797,909.42 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3435-ILEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4489
2019-09-192019-02-24DR-4461-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$2,759,356.30
2013-05-102013-04-16DR-4116-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind$311,522
2011-03-172011-01-31DR-1960-ILMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$197,713.71
2010-08-192010-07-19DR-1935-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$1,055,343.02
2008-06-242008-06-01DR-1771-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$6,891,588.27
2006-12-292006-11-30EM-3269-ILEmergencySnowWinter Weather$75,092.23
2005-09-072005-08-29EM-3230-ILEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2003-05-152003-05-06DR-1469-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
2002-05-212002-04-21DR-1416-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$362,255.25
2001-05-092001-04-18DR-1368-ILMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$241,290.47
1999-01-081999-01-01EM-3134-ILEmergencyIl-Winter Storm 1/1/99Winter Weather$66,001.78
1995-05-301995-05-15DR-1053-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1993-07-091993-04-13DR-997-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1985-03-291985-02-23DR-735-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1982-12-131982-12-13DR-674-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1979-04-301979-04-30DR-583-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1974-06-101974-06-10DR-438-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1973-04-261973-04-26DR-373-ILMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1969-08-301969-08-30DR-276-ILMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1969-06-061969-06-06DR-262-ILMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1965-04-251965-04-25DR-194-ILMajor disasterTornadoes, Severe Storms & FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $6,855,135.47 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1961-05-271961-05-27DR-115-ILMajor disasterFloods & TornadoesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado
1957-06-221957-06-22DR-78-ILMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 1 row, $2,239.07

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
EM-3161-IL2001-01-17Illinois Winter Snow StormsGLADSTONE TWP. ROAD DIST.$2,239.07

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any Illinois county: 1 row, $797,909.42; listed on the Illinois state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave5101001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record.
Drought6000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail92438001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave44123001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm4000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding291011801996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind1814512201955 to 2026-06-30Includes 6 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records.
Tornado34000501950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather45215301996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2020-05-24Flash Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)1, 0HADLEYdeaths or injuries recorded
2015-07-19Flash Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)1, 0FISHHOOK to BAYLISdeaths or injuries recorded
2014-10-01Lightning$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0PERRYB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2014-05-21Hail2.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0PERRYB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2010-01-01Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ILZ097 (PIKE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2009-06-19Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2009 dollars)1, 0NWS zone ILZ097 (PIKE), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2008-06-03Flood$0 property; $18,000,000 crops (2008 dollars)0, 0EAST HANNIBALB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2005-08-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone ILZ097 (PIKE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
1999-07-18Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone ILZ097 (PIKE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1997-04-05High Wind50 kt (58 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not reported0, 0NWS zone ILZ097 (PIKE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
1984-04-29Thunderstorm Wind70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1961-05-14TornadoF3, 89.6 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1961 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (442 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave3.42event-days per yearabout 3.42 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)652005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought4.15event-days per yearabout 4.15 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)1542000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00256annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.256%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail4.02events per yearabout 4.02 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)152.6 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave9.21event-days per yearabout 9.21 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 18 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (60%)1312005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.32event-days per yearabout 1.32 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)891946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.821event-days per yearabout 0.821 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 13 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (43.3%)231996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.607events per year (modeled)about 0.61 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning48.4days per year with a strikeabout 48.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind4.9events per yearabout 4.9 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1871986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.629events per yearabout 0.63 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000163annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0163%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather9.74event-days per yearabout 9.74 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 21 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (70%)1852005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202547301.57
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20255300.167
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025135304.5
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20256300.2
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202524300.8
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20251300.0333

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave5 of 586.690.094.1Relatively High 5
Drought5 of 588.697.698.3Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1
Earthquake5 of 549.357.075.5Relatively Low 5
Hail5 of 579.085.286.1Relatively Moderate 5
Heat Wave5 of 591.693.796.3Relatively High 5
Hurricane5 of 530.740.843.0Very Low 5
Ice Storm5 of 528.539.649.2Relatively Low 4, Very Low 1
Inland Flooding5 of 536.760.989.6Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 1
Landslide5 of 566.594.897.8Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 2, Very Low 1
Lightning5 of 586.391.297.1Very High 1, Relatively High 4
Strong Wind5 of 591.496.297.1Very High 1, Relatively High 4
Tornado5 of 556.660.676.7Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 4
Wildfire5 of 524.841.644.0Very Low 5
Winter Weather5 of 559.765.375.6Relatively Moderate 5

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Pike CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-09-15FMA RL 2, SRL 7; any 24$40,941.440 total; 0 since its plan
Barry cityCityApproved, expires 2028-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$42,016.3133 total; 0 since its plan
Baylis villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$1,757.875 total; 0 since its plan
Griggsville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$40,993.0226 total; 0 since its plan
New Canton townTownApproved, expires 2028-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$9,296.2510 total; 0 since its plan
Pearl villageVillagePlan 109119 approved 2023-09-16, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$56,638.676 total; no approved plan
Pittsfield cityCityApproved, expires 2028-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$71,719.5250 total; 5 since its plan
Fairmount townshipTownshipPlan 109119 approved 2023-09-16, pending adoption here; not yet eligible$78,470.240 total; no approved planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Pittsfield townshipTownshipPlan 109119 approved 2023-09-16, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleno Public Assistance recorded50 total; no approved planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-09-16county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$1,800,863,185$359,103,99914,724$66$134,778$1,303,327under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$185,363,677n/an/a$1,007,212n/a0.543% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$2,796,973,933n/a14,739$118,345n/a$122,2550.00423%
Hail$1,800,863,185$359,103,99914,724$108,781$110,365$36,4170.00604%$0
Heat Wave$1,800,863,185$359,103,99914,724$44$10$1,272,875under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$1,800,863,185$359,103,99914,724$1,336$7,541$2under 0.0001%
Ice Storm$1,800,863,185n/a14,724$8,350n/a$6,9410.000464%
Inland Flooding$1,800,445,692$38,653,448202$3,570,034$124,195$118,296n/a (see note)$0NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$37,835,677n/a303$362n/a$20,3250.000957%
Lightning$1,800,863,185n/a14,724$50,320n/a$187,2010.00279%
Strong Wind$1,800,863,185$359,103,99914,724$98,734$321,674$299,3740.00548%$30,000
Tornado$1,800,863,185$359,103,99914,724$130,701$6,447$459,6800.00726%
Wildfire$36,119,280$21,396,110592$241$27$1310.000667%
Winter Weather$1,800,863,185$359,103,99914,724$3,111$1,152$19,0940.000173%$0

Totals since 2023-09-16 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 9 county-coded records, 9 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $30,000; 4 zone-level records, 4 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population14,724
Building value (total, not at risk)$1,800,863,185
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$359,103,999
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$5,803,826
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$3,845,917
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)3Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)8
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition21Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition2

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total382122862
of which: Pike County (unincorporated area)271712461
of which: Florence village (community ID not in plan data)0121201
of which: Pearl village0010100
of which: Valley City village (community ID not in plan data)1010100
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0050500

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Pike County170551271712461
Barry city1712960000000
Baylis village1712970000000
Griggsville city1713000000000
New Canton town1705550000000
Pearl village1705560010100
Pittsfield city1713040000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential361812451
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0231411
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 1 property is FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 19 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Pike County, IL: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 17149). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/il/17149/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org