Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Escambia County, FL

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
12033
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2030-10-21. Plan: Escambia County (FEMA plan 111255), approved 2025-10-21.

Since the plan was approved on 2025-10-21: no new hazard declaration and 5 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Hurricane ($120,936,676 a year), Inland Flooding ($32,994,181) and Heat Wave ($4,844,358).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2030-10-21
Plan:
Escambia County (FEMA plan 111255)
Approved:
2025-10-21
Days to expiry:
1,482

What changed since your last plan (approved 2025-10-21)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
5 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 481, SRL 514 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 2,144
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Escambia County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2030-10-21Escambia County (FEMA plan 111255)2025-10-212030-10-211,482
Century townTownApproved, expires 2030-10-21Escambia County (FEMA plan 111255)2025-10-212030-10-211,482this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-16
Pensacola cityCityApproved, expires 2030-10-21Escambia County (FEMA plan 111255)2025-10-212030-10-211,482this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-14
Escambia County School DistrictSchool/School DistrictPlan 111255 approved 2025-10-21, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleEscambia County (FEMA plan 111255), pending adoption here2025-10-21 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-10-21 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Emerald Coast Utilities AuthorityElectric/Power AuthorityApproved, expires 2030-10-21Escambia County (FEMA plan 111255)2025-10-212030-10-211,482this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-14
Santa Rosa Island AuthoritySpecial DistrictApproved, expires 2030-10-21Escambia County (FEMA plan 111255)2025-10-212030-10-211,482this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-16

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1HurricaneVery HighVery High$111,092,758$379,050$9,464,868$120,936,6765
2Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$32,251,849$1,869$740,462$32,994,18176
3Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$349$266$4,843,744$4,844,3580No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
4LightningVery HighVery High$51,098n/a$4,208,199$4,259,29842
5Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively High$15,259$19,760$3,955,227$3,990,2470No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
6TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$2,312,744$213$238,493$2,551,45030
7Coastal FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,546,423n/a$213,011$1,759,4337
8EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$491,398n/a$219,284$710,682Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
9WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$443,108$90$89,848$533,0471
10Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$194,849$2,154$279,190$476,193182Includes 1 High Wind record (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
11HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$185,475$387$179,610$365,47258
12DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$167,496n/a$167,4960No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$13,576$42$80,792$94,4104
14Ice StormVery LowVery Low$22,342n/a$2,477$24,8190No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
15LandslideVery LowVery Low$1,002n/a$7$1,0090No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide and tsunami records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 17 (Relatively Low, 52.9); tract 18 (Relatively Low, 51.0); tract 39 (Relatively Low, 48.9)
Hurricanetract 36.07 (Very High, 99.5); tract 39 (Very High, 99.5); tract 36.03 (Very High, 99.4)
Landslidetract 39 (Relatively Low, 90.7); tract 38 (Relatively Low, 85.7); tract 40 (Very Low, 77.4)
Tornadotract 39 (Relatively Moderate, 63.2); tract 38 (Relatively Moderate, 61.0); tract 36.03 (Relatively Moderate, 55.2)
Tsunamino tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Wildfiretract 38 (Relatively Moderate, 94.2); tract 39 (Relatively Moderate, 93.1); tract 36.03 (Relatively Moderate, 93.1)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 17 is Census Tract 17). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)7 records, 1999 to 2020 (5 zone-level)Coastal Flood, 1999-03-13, $2,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (5) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)80 records, 1971 to 20260.5 in to 2 in (median 1 in); 80 with a recorded value2 in hail, 2017-01-21Hail, 2003-05-02, $15,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Pensacola city (10 records), Century town (4 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson5 records, 2017 to 2021 (5 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Hurricane record (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)'), 2020-09-15 to 2020-09-16, category 2, property not reported; $30,000,000 crops (2020 dollars); NWS zone FLZ202Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)0
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)76 records, 1996 to 2025Flash Flood, 2014-04-29, $150,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars), 1 direct deathEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Pensacola city (20 records), Century town (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)42 records, 1996 to 2025Lightning, 2001-09-08, damage not reported, 2 direct deathsLightning, 2006-06-17, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Pensacola city (10 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)1 record, 2024 (1 zone-level)61 kt (70 mph); 1 with a recorded value61 kt (70 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2024-01-09; NWS zone FLZ202Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)295 records, 1957 to 202648 kt (55 mph) to 80 kt (92 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 242 with a recorded value80 kt (92 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2022-05-25Thunderstorm Wind, 2000-03-29, $350,000 property; crops not reported (2000 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Pensacola city (39 records), Century town (8 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)99 records, 1953 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 95 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1971-02-07, 1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1971 dollars), 112 direct injuriesTornado, 2016-02-23, $22,000,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Pensacola city (2 records), Century town (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)1 record, 2000Wildfire, 2000-07-30, $20,000 property; crops not reported (2000 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)4 records, 2017 to 2025 (4 zone-level)No damage reported in 4 records.Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow, lightning and tsunami.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 40 declarations covering 31 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-09-282024-09-23DR-4828-FLMajor disasterHurricane HeleneHurricane$12,284.73within last 5 years
2024-09-242024-09-23EM-3615-FLEmergencyTropical Storm HeleneHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Windno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4828
2024-08-102024-08-01DR-4806-FLMajor disasterHurricane DebbyHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2024-08-032024-08-01EM-3605-FLEmergencyTropical Storm DebbyHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, Tornadono Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4806
2022-09-292022-09-23DR-4673-FLMajor disasterHurricane IanHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2022-09-242022-09-23EM-3584-FLEmergencyTropical Storm IanHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4673
2021-08-162021-08-13EM-3562-FLEmergencyTropical Storm FredHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-09-232020-09-14DR-4564-FLMajor disasterHurricane SallyHurricane$135,422,873.62
2020-09-152020-09-14EM-3546-FLEmergencyHurricane SallyHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4564
2020-03-252020-01-20DR-4486-FLMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$52,655,452.28
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3432-FLEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4486
2019-08-302019-08-28EM-3419-FLEmergencyHurricane DorianHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2018-10-092018-10-07EM-3405-FLEmergencyHurricane MichaelHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2017-10-082017-10-07EM-3395-FLEmergencyHurricane NateHurricane$64,053.26
2017-09-102017-09-04DR-4337-FLMajor disasterHurricane IrmaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2017-09-052017-09-04EM-3385-FLEmergencyHurricane IrmaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4337
2014-05-062014-04-28DR-4177-FLMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$74,147,087.78
2012-10-182012-08-27DR-4084-FLMajor disasterHurricane IsaacHurricane$2,873,335.63
2009-04-212009-03-26DR-1831-FLMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line WindsInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$1,375,979.36
2008-10-272008-08-31DR-1806-FLMajor disasterHurricane GustavHurricane$11,186.91
2008-08-212008-08-18EM-3288-FLEmergencyTropical Storm FayHurricane; Inland Flooding$37,116.21
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3220-FLEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1602
2005-08-282005-08-24DR-1602-FLMajor disasterHurricane KatrinaHurricane$3,868,308.62
2005-07-102005-07-07DR-1595-FLMajor disasterHurricane DennisHurricane$44,888,985.94
2004-09-162004-09-13DR-1551-FLMajor disasterHurricane IvanHurricane$437,175,499.38
2004-09-042004-09-03DR-1545-FLMajor disasterHurricane FrancesHurricane$3,390.21
2004-08-132004-08-11DR-1539-FLMajor disasterTropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2001-05-162001-05-15FM-2361-FLFire managementFl - Escambia Fire Complex - 05/16/01Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2000-10-032000-09-21DR-1344-FLMajor disasterTropical Storm HeleneHurricane; Inland Flooding$78,301.87
1998-09-281998-09-25DR-1249-FLMajor disasterHurricane GeorgesHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1998-09-251998-09-25EM-3131-FLEmergencyHurricane GrorgesHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1249
1998-06-181998-05-25DR-1223-FLMajor disasterExtreme Fire HazardWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1998-01-061997-12-25DR-1195-FLMajor disasterSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1995-10-041995-10-04DR-1069-FLMajor disasterHurricane OpalHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1995-08-101995-08-02DR-1062-FLMajor disasterHurricane ErinHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1994-07-081994-07-02EM-3114-FLEmergencyTropical Storm AlbertoInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Hurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1990-04-031990-03-16DR-862-FLMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1979-09-131979-09-13DR-600-FLMajor disasterHurricane FredericHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1979-03-241979-03-24EM-3075-FLEmergencySevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1970-07-031970-07-03DR-289-FLMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $186,959,568.15 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1995-08-031995-08-02EM-3116-FLEmergencyHurricane ErinHurricane
1964-09-101964-09-10DR-176-FLMajor disasterHurricane DoraHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1964-09-081964-09-08DR-175-FLMajor disasterHurricane CleoHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1962-12-171962-12-17DR-141-FLMajor disasterAbnormally High TidesInland Flooding
1960-09-121960-09-12DR-106-FLMajor disasterHurricane DonnaHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1960-03-231960-03-23DR-97-FLMajor disasterSevere Weather ConditionsOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1953-10-221953-10-22DR-12-FLMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

17 Fire Management declarations (1985-05-17 to 1998-06-28) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 1 row, $964,544.53

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4399-FL2018-10-11Hurricane MichaelSacred Heart Health System, Inc$964,544.53

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any Florida county: 4 rows, $9,327,951.42; listed on the Florida state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Coastal Flooding7000001996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Drought0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail803212001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane50002301996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding7601151101996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning42013001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind2962436501955 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 High Wind record.
Tornado99048401950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire1000201996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather4011001996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2024-01-09High Wind61 kt (70 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ202 (ESCAMBIA COASTAL), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2022-05-25Thunderstorm Wind80 kt (92 mph) estimated gustproperty not reported; $0 crops (2022 dollars)0, 0(PNS)PENSACOLA REGIOwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2020-09-15Storm Surge/Tide$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2020 dollars)2, 0NWS zone FLZ202 (ESCAMBIA COASTAL), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2020-09-15Hurricane (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)')category 2property not reported; $30,000,000 crops (zone total, 2020 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ202 (ESCAMBIA COASTAL), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2017-01-21Hail2 inproperty not reported; $0 crops (2017 dollars)0, 0WALNUT HILLB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2014-04-29Flash Flood$150,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)1, 0GULF BEACH to PENSACOLA BEACHB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2006-06-17Lightning$50,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)0, 0BARRINEAU PARKB1-c most damaging: Lightning
2001-09-08Lightningdamage not reported2, 0PENSACOLA BEACHdeaths or injuries recorded
2000-07-30Wildfire$20,000 property; crops not reported (2000 dollars)0, 0WEST PENSACOLAB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
1999-03-13Coastal Flood$2,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)0, 0PENSACOLA BEACHB1-c worst recorded: Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tide
1996-08-06Lightningdamage not reported1, 2PERDIDO KEYdeaths or injuries recorded
1971-02-07TornadoF3, 1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1971 dollars)0, 112location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (610 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Coastal Flooding3.64events per year at a location (modeled)about 3.6 per year at a given location in the countyHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from NRI: the rate at a location is 1 or more a year, so the county rate is at least that.
Cold Wave0.686event-days per yearabout 0.686 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)7.832005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought14.7event-days per yearabout 14.7 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)4552000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.00109annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.109%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1.42events per yearabout 1.42 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)57.1 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave8.9event-days per yearabout 8.9 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)85.62005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.246events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1061851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.0159event-days per yearabout 0.0159 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)11946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNo Storm Events ice storm record, 1996 to 2025
Inland Flooding1.79event-days per yearabout 1.79 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 24 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (80%)501996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.101events per year (modeled)about 1 in 10 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning85days per year with a strikeabout 85 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.92events per yearabout 1.92 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)481986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.714events per yearabout 0.71 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Wildfire0.00264annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.264%PossibleStorm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather0.561event-days per yearabout 0.561 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)6.472005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202539301.3
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20251300.0333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025157305.23
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202520300.667
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202527300.9
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20253300.1
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Coastal Flooding45 of 7870.185.399.1Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 14, Relatively Low 17, Very Low 11, No Rating 33
Cold Wave78 of 7826.849.473.3Relatively Moderate 42, Relatively Low 36
Drought16 of 7866.869.395.8Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1, Very Low 13, No Rating 62
Earthquake78 of 785.524.352.9Relatively Low 9, Very Low 69
Hail78 of 7824.541.364.8Relatively Low 55, Very Low 23
Heat Wave78 of 7824.465.487.8Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 53, Relatively Low 22
Hurricane78 of 7888.596.799.5Very High 29, Relatively High 48, Relatively Moderate 1
Ice Storm78 of 781.73.510.3Very Low 78
Inland Flooding78 of 783.528.481.7Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 17, Relatively Low 40, Very Low 19
Landslide77 of 7810.842.590.7Relatively Low 2, Very Low 75, No Rating 1
Lightning78 of 7857.893.299.1Very High 28, Relatively High 44, Relatively Moderate 6
Strong Wind78 of 7812.724.753.7Relatively Low 63, Very Low 15
Tornado78 of 7820.237.563.2Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 60, Very Low 14
Tsunami0 of 78Insufficient Data 78
Wildfire64 of 7818.873.294.2Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 29, Very Low 26, No Rating 14
Winter Weather78 of 7821.633.754.6Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 72

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Escambia County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2030-10-21FMA RL 257, SRL 185; any 1,097$391,990,798.030 total; 0 since its planIncludes $436,707.86 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4486-FL).
Century townTownApproved, expires 2030-10-21FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$220,375.1314 total; 0 since its plan
Pensacola cityCityApproved, expires 2030-10-21FMA RL 30, SRL 29; any 141$90,536,616.1481 total; 0 since its planIncludes $211,326.44 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4486-FL).

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2025-10-21county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Coastal Flooding$4,980,439,085n/a21,620$1,546,423n/a$213,0110.031%
Cold Wave$57,378,858,563$34,689,745321,367$15,259$19,760$3,955,227under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$24,343,102n/an/a$167,496n/a0.688% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$100,668,605,923n/a321,905$491,398n/a$219,2840.000488%
Hail$57,378,858,563$34,689,745321,367$185,475$387$179,6100.000323%$0
Heat Wave$57,378,858,563$34,689,745321,367$349$266$4,843,744under 0.0001%
Hurricane$57,378,112,650$34,689,745321,362$111,092,758$379,050$9,464,8680.194%
Ice Storm$57,378,858,563n/a321,367$22,342n/a$2,477under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$57,327,722,393$95,72619,259$32,251,849$1,869$740,462n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$188,284,125n/a897$1,002n/a$70.000532%
Lightning$57,378,858,563n/a321,367$51,098n/a$4,208,199under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$57,378,858,563$34,689,745321,367$194,849$2,154$279,1900.00034%$0
Tornado$57,378,858,563$34,689,745321,367$2,312,744$213$238,4930.00403%
Tsunamin/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Wildfire$1,999,084,041$4,640,31524,633$443,108$90$89,8480.0222%
Winter Weather$57,378,426,231$34,689,745321,365$13,576$42$80,792under 0.0001%

Totals since 2025-10-21 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 5 county-coded records, 5 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 0 zone-level records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population321,367
Building value (total, not at risk)$57,378,858,563
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$34,689,745
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively High
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$149,193,558
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$24,515,212
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)481Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)514
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition1,860Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition303

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total4815141,8603032,1442401,085
of which: Escambia County (unincorporated area)2571859861131,09766450
of which: Pensacola city3029127201411273
of which: Pensacola Beach-Santa Rosa Island Authority (community ID not in plan data)194300747170906162562
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file01901001

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Escambia County (unincorporated area)1200802571859861131,09766450
Century town1200840000000
Pensacola city1200823029127201411273

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential4394151,5612321,816219930
2 to 4 unit residential101554862421
other residential144912532142972
non-residential183512031124862
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 170 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 1,549 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Escambia County, FL: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 12033). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/fl/12033/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org