Summary
Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Expired on 2026-04-08. Plan: Kern County (FEMA plan 107005), approved 2021-04-09.
Since the plan was approved on 2021-04-09: 5 new hazard declarations (4 incidents): FM-5416-CA (French Fire), EM-3592-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4699-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4750-CA (Tropical Storm Hilary), FM-5522-CA (Borel Fire).
NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 566 records (data through 2026-06-30).
Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Earthquake ($184,018,733 a year), Inland Flooding ($147,215,281) and Heat Wave ($42,545,674).
Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 3.
The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.
Plan clock
- Status:
- Expired on 2026-04-08
- Plan:
- Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)
- Approved:
- 2021-04-09
- Days since expiry:
- 175
- Update underway:
- none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker
Until a new plan is approved, FEMA mitigation project grants (HMGP, FMA) need a FEMA exception (44 CFR 201.6(a)(3)).
What changed since your last plan (approved 2021-04-09)
- New federal declarations:
- 5 new hazard declarations (4 incidents): FM-5416-CA (French Fire), EM-3592-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4699-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4750-CA (Tropical Storm Hilary), FM-5522-CA (Borel Fire)
- Storm Events records since approval:
- 566 records (data through 2026-06-30)
- Repetitive loss now:
- FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 3
- Repeat-flood change:
- this release sets the baseline count.
Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)
Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 51 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.
State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.
Plan clock
Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county
Source: 1
| Jurisdiction | Type | Status | Plan | Approved | Expires | Days to expirynegative = days since expiry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kern County | County | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Arvin city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Bakersfield city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| California City city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Delano city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Maricopa city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| McFarland city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Ridgecrest city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Shafter city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Taft city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Tehachapi city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Wasco city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Bakersfield City School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Buttonwillow Union Elementary School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Kern High School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Lost Hills Union Elementary School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Mojave Unified School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Richland Union School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Sierra Sands Unified School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Taft City School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Tehachapi Unified School District | School/School District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Antelope Valley - East Kern Water Agency | Water/Sewer Authority | Approved, expires 2027-07-14 | Antelope Valley East Kern Water Agency (FEMA plan 108212) | 2022-07-15 | 2027-07-14 | 287 |
| Arvin Community Services District | Community Services District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Arvin-Edison Water Storage District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Bear Valley Community Services District | Community Services District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Berrenda Mesa Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Buttonwillow County Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Cawelo Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| East Niles Community Services District | Community Services District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Ford City-Taft Heights Sanitation District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Golden Hills Community Services District | Community Services District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Greenfield County Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Henry Miller Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2023-05-30 | Central California Irrigation District (FEMA plan 104939) | 2018-05-31 | 2023-05-30 | -1,219 |
| Kern Community College District | College/University | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Kern County Water Agency | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Kern Delta Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Kern Sanitation Authority | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Kern-Tulare Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Lost Hills Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Mojave Air and Space Port | Transit/Airport | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| North of the River Municipal Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| North of the River Recreation and Parks District | Special District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| North of the River Sanitary District No. 1 | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Rosamond Community Services District | Community Services District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Semitropic Water Storage District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Shafter Recreation and Parks District | Special District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Stallion Springs Community Services District | Community Services District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Tehachapi Valley Recreation and Parks District | Special District | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Tehachapi-Cummings County Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| West Kern Water District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
| Wheeler Ridge-Maricopa Water Storage District | Water/Sewer Authority | Expired on 2026-04-08 | Kern County (FEMA plan 107005) | 2021-04-09 | 2026-04-08 | -175 |
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification
Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)
- dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
- levee failure
- flash flood as its own subtype
- ice jams
- debris flows
- erosion (riverine and coastal)
- land subsidence and sinkholes
- expansive soils
The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)
Sources: 5, 6
| Rank by EAL | Hazard | NRI risk rating | EAL rating | EAL buildingsmodeled dollars per year | EAL agriculturemodeled dollars per year | Cost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damage | EAL total (see note)modeled dollars per year | Storm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30count | Storm Events coverage note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Earthquake | Relatively High | Relatively High | $139,491,856 | n/a | $44,526,877 | $184,018,733 | Storm Events does not record earthquakes. | |
| 2 | Inland Flooding | Relatively High | Relatively High | $142,035,075 | $4,945,716 | $234,491 | $147,215,281 | 459 | |
| 3 | Heat Wave | Relatively High | Relatively High | $26,877 | $7,626,194 | $34,892,603 | $42,545,674 | 70 | |
| 4 | Wildfire | Relatively High | Relatively High | $36,748,316 | $22,662 | $1,712,060 | $38,483,037 | 34 | |
| 5 | Drought | Relatively High | Relatively High | n/a | $1,992,269 | n/a | $1,992,269 | 29 | |
| 6 | Lightning | Relatively High | Relatively Moderate | $26,605 | n/a | $733,929 | $760,534 | 41 | |
| 7 | Landslide | Relatively High | Relatively Moderate | $8,714 | n/a | $748,921 | $757,635 | 51 | |
| 8 | Hail | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | $5,145 | $285,456 | $123,636 | $414,237 | 37 | |
| 9 | Strong Wind | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | $141,825 | $12,528 | $244,723 | $399,076 | 376 | Includes 297 High Wind and 26 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition). |
| 10 | Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | Relatively Moderate | $1,750 | under $1 | $188,448 | $190,199 | 73 | |
| 11 | Tornado | Very Low | Very Low | $132,791 | $2,218 | $50,543 | $185,553 | 10 | |
| 12 | Cold Wave | Very Low | Very Low | $20 | $0 | $4,835 | $4,855 | 40 | Includes 40 Frost/Freeze records (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor). |
| 13 | Avalanche | Very Low | Very Low | $15 | n/a | $321 | $336 | 0 | No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). |
| 14 | Volcanic Activity | Very Low | Very Low | under $1 | n/a | $25 | $25 | 0 | No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | 0 | Declared 2 times; no Storm Events record of this type. | |||||
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | 0 | Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type. | |||||
| Ice Storm | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | 1 |
Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).
NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.
Local data needed: state and local volcanic activity records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).
Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: tsunami. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.
The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location
Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.
Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.
Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts
Source: 5
| Hazard | Highest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100 |
|---|---|
| Avalanche | tract 52.05 (Very Low, 35.9); tract 60.10 (Very Low, 35.2); tract 60.06 (Very Low, 35.1) |
| Coastal Flooding | no tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard |
| Earthquake | tract 16 (Very High, 99.9); tract 45 (Very High, 99.6); tract 66 (Very High, 99.3) |
| Hurricane | no tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard |
| Landslide | tract 52.08 (Relatively High, 99.8); tract 52.06 (Relatively High, 99.7); tract 33.07 (Relatively High, 99.6) |
| Tornado | tract 59 (Very Low, 20.1); tract 58.04 (Very Low, 18.7); tract 55.14 (Very Low, 18.5) |
| Volcanic Activity | tract 52.03 (Very Low, 77.6); tract 52.05 (Very Low, 77.4); tract 55.09 (Very Low, 76.4) |
| Wildfire | tract 52.08 (Very High, 99.9); tract 60.12 (Very High, 99.9); tract 60.10 (Very High, 99.8) |
Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 52.05 is Census Tract 52.05). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent
Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard
Sources: 6, 7
| Hazard | Scale | Recordscount and years | Observed range | Worst recorded event | Most damaging (when different) | How it applies to jurisdictions | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche | none (count and damage only) | 0 | Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed). | ||||
| Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tide | none in data (flood depth: FIRM) | 0 | Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. | ||||
| Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill | wind chill | 0 | Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed). | ||||
| Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition) | crop damage | 40 records, 2019 to 2026 (40 zone-level) | No crop damage reported in 40 records. | Countywide (zone-level records). | Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed). | ||
| Drought | U.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4) | 29 records, 2015 to 2025 (29 zone-level) | 68 days to 702 days (median 92 days); 3 with a recorded value | 702 days (23 months), 2021-03-01 to 2023-01-31, a run of 23 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-level | Countywide (zone-level records). | Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only. | |
| Earthquake | Modified Mercalli (local data) | 0 | Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source. | ||||
| Hail | hail size (inches) | 41 records, 1982 to 2023 | 0.5 in to 1.75 in (median 0.88 in); 38 with a recorded value | 1.75 in hail, 2023-06-05; same size also recorded on 2000-08-01, 2005-08-15 | Hail, 1999-07-11, $20,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (4 records), Ridgecrest city (2 records), Tehachapi city (2 records), Arvin city (1 record), Maricopa city (1 record). | |
| Excessive Heat, Heat | heat index (in event narratives) | 70 records, 2019 to 2026 (70 zone-level) | 1 day to 12 days (median 3 days); 42 with a recorded value | 12 consecutive days, 2024-07-02 to 2024-07-13, zone-level | Countywide (zone-level records). | Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed). Heat records from November to March (unseasonable warmth, not a heat wave) are counted but not used for the longest run. | |
| Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression | Saffir-Simpson | 0 | Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records. | ||||
| Ice Storm | Sperry-Piltz ice scale (local data) | 1 record, 2020 (1 zone-level) | No damage reported in 1 record. | Countywide (zone-level records). | Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed). | ||
| Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood | damage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM) | 459 records, 1997 to 2026 | Flood, 2011-01-02, $12,700,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (17 records), Tehachapi city (12 records), Ridgecrest city (6 records), Delano city (5 records), Maricopa city (5 records), Taft city (5 records), Arvin city (3 records), Wasco city (1 record). | Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most. | ||
| Debris Flow | none (count and damage only) | 51 records, 2016 to 2024 | Debris Flow, 2019-12-26, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Delano city (1 record), Maricopa city (1 record), Taft city (1 record). | Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed). | ||
| Lightning | annualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names) | 41 records, 1997 to 2022 | Lightning, 2015-07-18, $0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars), 1 direct death | Lightning, 1999-07-12, $110,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Ridgecrest city (5 records), Bakersfield city (4 records), Tehachapi city (3 records), Wasco city (2 records), Delano city (1 record), Taft city (1 record). | Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed). | |
| High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition) | wind speed (kt and mph) | 323 records, 2000 to 2026 (317 zone-level) | 29 kt (33 mph) to 96 kt (110 mph) (median 59 kt (68 mph)); 322 with a recorded value | 96 kt (110 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2022-04-11; NWS zone CAZ338 (MOJAVE DESERT SLOPE(S)) | High Wind, 2021-01-27, $250,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (1 record), Ridgecrest city (1 record), Tehachapi city (1 record). Zone-level records (317) apply countywide. | |
| Thunderstorm Wind | wind speed (kt and mph) | 57 records, 1960 to 2024 | 35 kt (40 mph) to 72 kt (83 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 48 with a recorded value | 72 kt (83 mph) measured gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2007-09-03 | Thunderstorm Wind, 2011-09-23, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Arvin city (2 records), Bakersfield city (2 records), Ridgecrest city (1 record), Tehachapi city (1 record). | |
| Tornado | Enhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007) | 16 records, 1988 to 2019 | F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF0); 16 with a recorded value | F1 tornado, 1991-03-17, 0.1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 40 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1991 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (3 records), McFarland city (1 record). | Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods). | |
| Volcanic Ash, Volcanic Ashfall | Volcanic Explosivity Index (local data) | 0 | Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed). | ||||
| Wildfire | acres burned (local data) | 34 records, 1997 to 2020 (7 zone-level) | Wildfire, 2002-07-21, $3,780,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars) | Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (4 records), Tehachapi city (3 records), Taft city (1 record). Zone-level records (7) apply countywide. | Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed). | ||
| Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet | none in data (snowfall: local data) | 73 records, 2019 to 2025 (73 zone-level) | No damage reported in 73 records. | Countywide (zone-level records). | Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed). |
Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).
Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences
Federal declarations for this county: 40 declarations covering 36 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).
Federal disaster declarations for this county
Sources: 1, 2, 3
| Declared | Incident began | FEMA number | Type | Title | Mapped hazard | County Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollars | Flags | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-27 | 2024-07-25 | FM-5522-CA | Fire management | Borel Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | new since last plan; within last 5 years | |
| 2023-11-21 | 2023-08-19 | DR-4750-CA | Major disaster | Tropical Storm Hilary | Hurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Landslide | $800,961.23 | new since last plan; within last 5 years | |
| 2023-04-03 | 2023-02-21 | DR-4699-CA | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides | Ice Storm; Inland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind; Winter Weather | $7,878,608.77 | new since last plan; within last 5 years | |
| 2023-03-10 | 2023-03-09 | EM-3592-CA | Emergency | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides | Inland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weather | no Public Assistance recorded | new since last plan; within last 5 years | same incident as DR-4699 |
| 2021-08-25 | 2021-08-24 | FM-5416-CA | Fire management | French Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | new since last plan | |
| 2020-03-22 | 2020-01-20 | DR-4482-CA | Major disaster | COVID-19 Pandemic | Non-natural, not counted | $136,526,631.20 | ||
| 2020-03-13 | 2020-01-20 | EM-3428-CA | Emergency | COVID-19 | Non-natural, not counted | no Public Assistance recorded | same incident as DR-4482 | |
| 2019-07-08 | 2019-07-04 | EM-3415-CA | Emergency | Earthquakes | Earthquake | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2017-03-16 | 2017-01-18 | DR-4305-CA | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides | Inland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weather | $4,007,510.62 | ||
| 2016-08-22 | 2016-08-16 | FM-5150-CA | Fire management | Cedar Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2016-06-24 | 2016-06-23 | FM-5131-CA | Fire management | Erskine Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2014-08-19 | 2014-08-18 | FM-5075-CA | Fire management | Way Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2011-09-11 | 2011-09-10 | FM-2971-CA | Fire management | Comanche Fire Complex | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2011-09-11 | 2011-09-10 | FM-2970-CA | Fire management | Keene Fire Complex | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2011-09-05 | 2011-09-04 | FM-2961-CA | Fire management | Canyon Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2011-01-26 | 2010-12-17 | DR-1952-CA | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Debris and Mud Flows | Inland Flooding (primary); also designated: Winter Weather | $4,094,309.60 | ||
| 2010-09-15 | 2010-09-14 | FM-2858-CA | Fire management | Canyon Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2010-08-24 | 2010-08-24 | FM-2852-CA | Fire management | Post Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2010-07-28 | 2010-07-27 | FM-2850-CA | Fire management | West Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2010-07-27 | 2010-07-26 | FM-2849-CA | Fire management | Bull Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2008-06-28 | 2008-06-20 | EM-3287-CA | Emergency | Wildfires | Wildfire | $49,957.12 | ||
| 2007-03-13 | 2007-01-11 | DR-1689-CA | Major disaster | Severe Freeze | Cold Wave | PA not declared for this county | ||
| 2005-09-13 | 2005-08-29 | EM-3248-CA | Emergency | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation | Hurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted | $12,468.27 | ||
| 2005-04-14 | 2005-02-16 | DR-1585-CA | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mud and Debris Flows | Inland Flooding; Landslide | $943,723.72 | ||
| 2005-02-04 | 2004-12-27 | DR-1577-CA | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Flooding, Debris Flows, and Mudslides | Inland Flooding; Landslide | PA not declared for this county | ||
| 2003-06-29 | 2003-06-29 | FM-2474-CA | Fire management | Ca - Tejon Fire - 06-30-2003 | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2003-06-28 | 2003-06-26 | FM-2473-CA | Fire management | Ca - Sawmill Fire - 06-27-2003 | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 2002-07-22 | 2002-07-21 | FM-2450-CA | Fire management | Deer Fire | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1999-02-09 | 1998-12-20 | DR-1267-CA | Major disaster | Ca-Citrus Crop Damage 2/2/99 | Cold Wave | PA not declared for this county | ||
| 1998-02-09 | 1998-02-02 | DR-1203-CA | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storms and Flooding | Inland Flooding; Winter Weather | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1995-03-12 | 1995-02-13 | DR-1046-CA | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding Landslides, Mud Flow | Inland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1995-01-10 | 1995-01-03 | DR-1044-CA | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, Mud Flows | Inland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1992-02-25 | 1992-02-10 | DR-935-CA | Major disaster | Rain/Snow/Wind Storms, Flooding, Mudslides | Inland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Strong Wind, Winter Weather | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1991-02-11 | 1990-12-19 | DR-894-CA | Major disaster | Severe Freeze | Cold Wave | PA not declared for this county | ||
| 1983-02-09 | 1983-01-21 | DR-677-CA | Major disaster | Coastal Storms, Floods, Slides & Tornadoes | Coastal Flooding; Inland Flooding; Landslide; Tornado | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1978-02-15 | 1978-02-15 | DR-547-CA | Major disaster | Coastal Storms, Mudslides & Flooding | Coastal Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1977-01-20 | 1977-01-20 | EM-3023-CA | Emergency | Drought | Drought | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1970-09-29 | 1970-09-29 | DR-295-CA | Major disaster | Forest & Brush Fires | Wildfire | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1969-01-26 | 1969-01-26 | DR-253-CA | Major disaster | Severe Storms & Flooding | Inland Flooding | no Public Assistance recorded | ||
| 1967-01-02 | 1967-01-02 | DR-223-CA | Major disaster | Severe Storms & Flooding | Inland Flooding | no Public Assistance recorded |
School districts and special districts in this county: $1,875,341.64 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.
County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.
Statewide declarations
Source: 2
| Declared | Incident began | FEMA number | Type | Title | Mapped hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1964-04-01 | 1964-04-01 | DR-169-CA | Major disaster | Seismic Sea Wave | Tsunami |
| 1963-12-21 | 1963-12-21 | DR-161-CA | Major disaster | Flood Due to Broken Dam | Other, not an NRI hazard; not counted |
| 1963-02-25 | 1963-02-25 | DR-145-CA | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Heavy Rains & Flooding | Inland Flooding |
| 1962-10-24 | 1962-10-24 | DR-138-CA | Major disaster | Severe Storms & Flooding | Inland Flooding |
| 1962-03-06 | 1962-03-06 | DR-122-CA | Major disaster | Floods | Inland Flooding |
| 1961-11-16 | 1961-11-16 | DR-119-CA | Major disaster | Fire (Los Angeles County) | Wildfire |
| 1958-04-04 | 1958-04-04 | DR-82-CA | Major disaster | Heavy Rainstorms & Flood | Inland Flooding |
| 1956-12-29 | 1956-12-29 | DR-65-CA | Major disaster | Forest Fire | Wildfire |
| 1955-12-23 | 1955-12-23 | DR-47-CA | Major disaster | Flood | Inland Flooding |
| 1954-02-05 | 1954-02-05 | DR-15-CA | Major disaster | Flood & Erosion | Inland Flooding |
FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.
5 Fire Management declarations (1977-08-07 to 1988-09-13) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.
Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows
Sources: 2, 6, 7
| Hazard | Storm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column) | Since plan approvalrecords | In the 12 months before plan approvalrecords | Last 5 yearsrecords | Declared incidents, all yearsseparate disasters | Declared since approvalseparate disasters | Period | Statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events |
| Coastal Flooding | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | No Storm Events records of this type; 2 federal declared incidents (see declarations table) |
| Cold Wave | 40 | 28 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | Includes 40 Frost/Freeze records. |
| Drought | 29 | 24 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Earthquake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source. | |
| Hail | 41 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1955 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Heat Wave | 70 | 54 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Hurricane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table) |
| Ice Storm | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Inland Flooding | 459 | 183 | 2 | 183 | 13 | 2 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Landslide | 51 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Lightning | 41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Strong Wind | 380 | 207 | 58 | 191 | 2 | 1 | 1955 to 2026-06-30 | Includes 297 High Wind and 26 Strong Wind records. |
| Tornado | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1950 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Volcanic Activity | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events |
| Wildfire | 34 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 | |
| Winter Weather | 73 | 55 | 5 | 55 | 7 | 1 | 1996 to 2026-06-30 |
Notable Storm Events records
Sources: 1, 6, 7
| Date | Event type | Magnitude or extent | Damagenominal dollars | Deaths, injuriesdirect only | Location | Flags | Why listed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-02 | Excessive Heat | $0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2024 dollars) | 0, 0 | NWS zone CAZ308 (WEST SIDE MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 198), zone-level | new since last plan; within last 5 years | B1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat | |
| 2023-06-05 | Hail | 1.75 in | $0 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars) | 0, 0 | CABLE | new since last plan; within last 5 years | B1-c worst recorded: Hail |
| 2022-04-11 | High Wind | 96 kt (110 mph) measured gust | $0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2022 dollars) | 0, 0 | NWS zone CAZ338 (MOJAVE DESERT SLOPE(S)), zone-level | new since last plan; within last 5 years | B1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind |
| 2021-03-01 | Drought | $0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars) | 0, 0 | NWS zone CAZ194 (SEQUOIA KINGS), zone-level | in the 12 months before plan approval | B1-c worst recorded: Drought | |
| 2020-09-01 | Wildfire | damage not reported | 0, 15 | NWS zone CAZ194 (SEQUOIA KINGS), zone-level | in the 12 months before plan approval | deaths or injuries recorded | |
| 2020-08-15 | Wildfire | property not reported; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2020 dollars) | 1, 0 | NWS zone CAZ179 (WEST SIDE HILLS), zone-level | in the 12 months before plan approval | deaths or injuries recorded | |
| 2019-12-26 | Debris Flow | $100,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars) | 0, 0 | REEFER CITY | B1-c worst recorded: Debris Flow | ||
| 2015-07-18 | Lightning | $0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars) | 1, 0 | GREENFIELD | deaths or injuries recorded | ||
| 2011-01-02 | Flood | $12,700,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars) | 0, 0 | BAKERSFIELD to WIBLE ORCHARD | B1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood | ||
| 2007-09-03 | Thunderstorm Wind | 72 kt (83 mph) measured gust | $0 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars) | 0, 0 | MOJAVE | B1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind | |
| 2002-07-21 | Wildfire | $3,780,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars) | 0, 0 | BODFISH | B1-c worst recorded: Wildfire | ||
| 1991-03-17 | Tornado | F1, 0.1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 40 yd wide | $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1991 dollars) | 0, 0 | location not recorded | B1-c worst recorded: Tornado |
The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,235 rows).
Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.
Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).
Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events
Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard
Sources: 5, 6
| Hazard | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per row | Unit | In plain terms | Descriptor | Descriptor basis | NRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional) | NRI period | Location | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche | 0.01 | events per year | about 1 in 100 years | Possible | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) | 0 | 1994 to 2023 (30 years) | see B1-f | 0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events. |
| Coastal Flooding | events per year at a location (modeled) | not shown | modeled | see B1-f | Not Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor. | ||||
| Cold Wave | 0.000137 | event-days per year | about 0.000137 days per year | event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%) | 0.00259 | 2005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years) | countywide | No Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025. | |
| Drought | 96.7 | event-days per year | about 96.7 days per year | Likely (from Storm Events: 5 of 30 years) | event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%) | 3,857 | 2000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only) | countywide | |
| Earthquake | 0.0816 | annual probability at a location | chance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 8.16% | not shown | modeled | see B1-f | No descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes). | ||
| Hail | 0.0953 | events per year | about 1 in 10 years | Possible | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) | 3.6 (modeled) | 1986 to 2023 (38 years) | countywide | |
| Heat Wave | 7.49 | event-days per year | about 7.49 days per year | Likely (from Storm Events: 7 of 30 years) | event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%) | 72.6 | 2005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years) | countywide | |
| Hurricane | events per year | 1851 to 2024 (Atlantic); 1949 to 2024 (Pacific) | see B1-f | Not Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor. | |||||
| Ice Storm | event-days per year | Possible | 1946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years) | countywide | Not Applicable in NRI for this county; the descriptor comes from Storm Events, not NRI: event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025. | ||||
| Inland Flooding | 5.64 | event-days per year | about 5.64 days per year | Highly likely (from Storm Events: 29 of 30 years) | event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%) | 158 | 1996 to 2023 (28 years) | see B1-f | |
| Landslide | 129 | events per year (modeled) | about 129 per year | Highly likely | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) | not shown | modeled | see B1-f | |
| Lightning | 8.04 | days per year with a strike | about 8.04 days per year | Highly likely | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) | not shown | 1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS) | countywide | |
| Strong Wind | 0.0593 | events per year | about 1 in 17 years | Possible | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) | 3 | 1986 to 2023 (38 years) | countywide | |
| Tornado | 0.37 | events per year | about 1 in 3 years | Likely | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) | not shown | 1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1) | see B1-f | |
| Volcanic Activity | 0.0002 | annual probability | about 1 in 5,000 years | Unlikely | FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) | not shown | modeled | see B1-f | |
| Wildfire | 0.00554 | annual probability at a location | chance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.554% | Likely (from Storm Events: 8 of 30 years) | Storm Events records in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%) | not shown | modeled | see B1-f | Descriptor from Storm Events, not NRI. |
| Winter Weather | 5.43 | event-days per year | about 5.43 days per year | Likely (from Storm Events: 7 of 30 years) | event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%) | 103 | 2005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years) | countywide |
FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.
Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.
Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)
Sources: 5, 6
| Unit | Descriptor | Definition |
|---|---|---|
| events per year | Highly likely | 1 or more per year |
| events per year | Likely | about once in 1 to 10 years |
| events per year | Possible | about once in 10 to 100 years |
| events per year | Unlikely | less than once in 100 years |
| annual probability | Likely | 10% to under 100% chance in a given year |
| annual probability | Possible | 1% to under 10% chance in a given year |
| annual probability | Unlikely | under 1% chance in a given year |
| event-days (share of years) | Highly likely | event-days recorded in 90% or more of years |
| event-days (share of years) | Likely | event-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years |
| event-days (share of years) | Possible | event-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years |
| lightning strike-days | Highly likely | cloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year |
Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)
Source: 6
| Hazard | Band | Years | Eventscounty-coded records | Years in period | Events per yearevents / years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 1.00-1.99 in | 1996 to 2025 | 16 | 30 | 0.533 |
| Hail | 2.00 in+ | 1996 to 2025 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind) | 50-64 kt | 1996 to 2025 | 29 | 30 | 0.967 |
| Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind) | 65 kt+ | 1996 to 2025 | 5 | 30 | 0.167 |
| Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind) | unmeasured or below 50 kt | 1996 to 2025 | 19 | 30 | 0.633 |
| Tornado | EF0-1 | 1996 to 2025 | 10 | 30 | 0.333 |
| Tornado | EF2-3 | 1996 to 2025 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Tornado | EF4-5 | 1996 to 2025 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Tornado | unrated (EFU) | 1996 to 2025 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).
Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.
Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions
Range of census tract risk within the county
Source: 5
| Hazard | Tractsrated of all | NRI risk score, 0 to 100 | Tracts by rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Min | Median | Max | |||
| Avalanche | 19 of 236 | 28.9 | 32.6 | 35.9 | Very Low 19, Not Applicable 217 |
| Coastal Flooding | 0 of 236 | Not Applicable 236 | |||
| Cold Wave | 3 of 236 | 15.5 | 16.3 | 20.3 | Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2, No Rating 233 |
| Drought | 128 of 236 | 66.8 | 74.9 | 99.1 | Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 7, Relatively Low 37, Very Low 80, No Rating 108 |
| Earthquake | 236 of 236 | 6.8 | 87.3 | 99.9 | Very High 12, Relatively High 84, Relatively Moderate 134, Relatively Low 5, Very Low 1 |
| Hail | 236 of 236 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 92.3 | Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 10, Very Low 222 |
| Heat Wave | 236 of 236 | 40.5 | 89.4 | 100.0 | Very High 5, Relatively High 172, Relatively Moderate 57, Relatively Low 2 |
| Hurricane | 0 of 236 | Not Applicable 236 | |||
| Ice Storm | 0 of 236 | Not Applicable 236 | |||
| Inland Flooding | 236 of 236 | 0.3 | 41.2 | 99.9 | Very High 12, Relatively High 27, Relatively Moderate 60, Relatively Low 92, Very Low 45 |
| Landslide | 73 of 236 | 8.9 | 40.8 | 99.8 | Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 7, Very Low 52, No Rating 163 |
| Lightning | 236 of 236 | 3.2 | 20.7 | 47.0 | Relatively Low 128, Very Low 108 |
| Strong Wind | 236 of 236 | 2.7 | 12.6 | 40.7 | Relatively Low 21, Very Low 215 |
| Tornado | 236 of 236 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 20.1 | Very Low 236 |
| Volcanic Activity | 20 of 236 | 40.8 | 70.5 | 77.6 | Very Low 20, No Rating 216 |
| Wildfire | 148 of 236 | 18.6 | 75.2 | 99.9 | Very High 13, Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 17, Relatively Low 51, Very Low 57, No Rating 88 |
| Winter Weather | 51 of 236 | 10.7 | 32.8 | 92.2 | Relatively High 14, Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 29, Very Low 3, No Rating 185 |
Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.
Hail: Agriculture is 69% of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.
Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.
The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.
Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).
Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)
Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6
| Jurisdiction | Type | Plan status | Repetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definition | Public Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollars | Event records naming this placeall years; since its plan | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kern County | County | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2 | $8,019,720.62 | 0 total; 0 since its plan | Includes $12,468.27 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3248-CA). |
| Arvin city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $66,659.73 | 6 total; 2 since its plan | |
| Bakersfield city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1 | $1,773,327.69 | 35 total; 1 since its plan | |
| California City city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $375,355.15 | 0 total; 0 since its plan | Includes $30,041.91 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4482-CA). |
| Delano city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $43,964.36 | 7 total; 3 since its plan | |
| Maricopa city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | no Public Assistance recorded | 7 total; 0 since its plan | |
| McFarland city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $129,084.39 | 1 total; 0 since its plan | |
| Ridgecrest city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $345,415.55 | 15 total; 2 since its plan | |
| Shafter city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $61,469.20 | 0 total; 0 since its plan | |
| Taft city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | no Public Assistance recorded | 8 total; 0 since its plan | |
| Tehachapi city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $77,018.71 | 22 total; 2 since its plan | |
| Wasco city | City | Expired on 2026-04-08 | FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0 | $97,774.41 | 3 total; 0 since its plan |
Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).
School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.
County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.
Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts
Local data needed
The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.
- Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
- A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
- Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
- Future assets
County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan
Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7
| Hazard | Building exposuremodeled dollars | Agriculture exposuremodeled dollars | Population exposedpeople | EAL buildingsmodeled dollars per year | EAL agriculturemodeled dollars per year | Cost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damage | EAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where noted | Storm Events damage since 2021-04-09county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollars | Zone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zone | Public Assistance since plannominal dollars; see note | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche | $14,034,672 | n/a | under 1 | $15 | n/a | $321 | 0.000105% | ||||
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable in NRI for this county | ||||||||||
| Cold Wave | $43,054,909 | $0 | 191 | $20 | $0 | $4,835 | under 0.0001% | $0 | |||
| Drought | n/a | $4,168,612,065 | n/a | n/a | $1,992,269 | n/a | 0.0478% (agriculture) | $0 | NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown | ||
| Earthquake | $291,461,956,143 | n/a | 909,235 | $139,491,856 | n/a | $44,526,877 | 0.0479% | ||||
| Hail | $164,722,667,864 | $5,249,207,546 | 908,530 | $5,145 | $285,456 | $123,636 | under 0.0001% | $0 | |||
| Heat Wave | $164,722,667,864 | $5,249,207,546 | 908,530 | $26,877 | $7,626,194 | $34,892,603 | under 0.0001% | $0 | |||
| Hurricane | $800,961.23 | Not Applicable in NRI for this county | |||||||||
| Ice Storm | $7,878,608.77 | Not Applicable in NRI for this county | |||||||||
| Inland Flooding | $164,716,228,241 | $1,428,327,511 | 47,084 | $142,035,075 | $4,945,716 | $234,491 | n/a (see note) | $6,000 | $8,679,570 | NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. | |
| Landslide | $2,083,446,177 | n/a | 7,455 | $8,714 | n/a | $748,921 | 0.000418% | $0 | $8,679,570 | ||
| Lightning | $164,722,667,864 | n/a | 908,530 | $26,605 | n/a | $733,929 | under 0.0001% | $0 | |||
| Strong Wind | $164,722,667,864 | $5,249,207,546 | 908,530 | $141,825 | $12,528 | $244,723 | under 0.0001% | $7,000 | $209,000 | $7,878,608.77 | Storm Events damage since the plan includes 3 zone-level High Wind records ($36,000) and 12 zone-level Strong Wind records ($173,000): NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition. |
| Tornado | $164,722,667,864 | $5,249,207,546 | 908,530 | $132,791 | $2,218 | $50,543 | under 0.0001% | ||||
| Volcanic Activity | $164,722,667,864 | n/a | 908,530 | under $1 | n/a | $25 | under 0.0001% | ||||
| Wildfire | $10,591,461,006 | $1,647,510,592 | 73,891 | $36,748,316 | $22,662 | $1,712,060 | 0.347% | no Public Assistance recorded (2 declarations) | |||
| Winter Weather | $37,374,519,672 | $2,293,624,688 | 167,970 | $1,750 | under $1 | $188,448 | under 0.0001% | $0 | $7,878,608.77 |
Totals since 2021-04-09 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 203 county-coded records, 203 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $13,000; 363 zone-level records, 357 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $209,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $8,679,570 on 5 counted declarations, 2 of them with Public Assistance.
FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.
NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.
Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)
County context
Source: 5
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 908,530 |
| Building value (total, not at risk) | $164,722,667,864 |
| Agriculture value (total, not at risk) | $5,249,207,546 |
| NRI risk rating (all hazards) | Relatively High |
| Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards | $333,506,032 |
| Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage) | $83,461,412 |
| Social vulnerability rating | Relatively High |
| Community resilience rating | Very Low |
| NRI version | December 2025 |
FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.
Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.
Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties
Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions
Sources: 1, 4
| Definition | Properties | Severe repetitive loss | Properties |
|---|---|---|---|
| Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2) | 0 | Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2) | 0 |
| Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition | 3 | Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition | 0 |
The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).
Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows
Sources: 1, 4
| Scope | RL, FMAproperties | SRL, FMAproperties | RL, NFIPproperties | SRL, NFIPproperties | Any categoryproperties | Mitigatedproperties | Currently insuredproperties |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County total | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| of which: Kern County (unincorporated area) | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| of which: Bakersfield city | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Statewide, no county in FEMA's file | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.
Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)
Sources: 1, 4
| Jurisdiction | NFIP community ID | RL, FMAproperties | SRL, FMAproperties | RL, NFIPproperties | SRL, NFIPproperties | Any categoryproperties | Mitigatedproperties | Currently insuredproperties |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kern County | 060075 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Arvin city | 060076 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bakersfield city | 060077 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| California City city | 060440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Delano city | 060078 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maricopa city | 060079 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| McFarland city | 060080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ridgecrest city | 060081 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shafter city | 060082 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taft city | 065063 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tehachapi city | 060084 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wasco city | 060085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".
Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.
County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group
Sources: 1, 4
| Occupancy group | RL, FMAproperties | SRL, FMAproperties | RL, NFIPproperties | SRL, NFIPproperties | Any categoryproperties | Mitigatedproperties | Currently insuredproperties |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| single-family residential | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 to 4 unit residential | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| other residential | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| non-residential | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| not reported | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.
FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.
Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.
In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 3 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.
Exact counts; no count suppression.
Sources
Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):
- FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
- FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
- FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
- FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
- FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
- NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
- NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
- U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)
What this packet is and what the plan adds
This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.
The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.
How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.
OpenFEMA disclaimer
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Reuse, citation and corrections
Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.
Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Kern County, CA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 06029). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ca/06029/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.
Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org
Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.