Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Washington County, AR

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 05143
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
Approved, expires 2029-11-18
Plan
Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)
Approved
2024-11-19
Expires
2029-11-18
As of
2026-09-28
Days
1,147 days to expiry

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-11-19)

New federal declarations
EM-3627-AR, EM-3636-AR (2 declaration rows; 2 counted incidents)
Storm Events records since approval
70 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 15, SRL 4 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 66
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 24 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" after these cover pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Washington CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Elkins cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Elm Springs cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147Also approved under plan 107316 (Benton County, expires 2027-04-12). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last.
Farmington cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Fayetteville cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Goshen townTownApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Greenland cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Johnson cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Lincoln cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Prairie Grove cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Springdale cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147Also approved under plan 107316 (Benton County, expires 2027-04-12). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last.
Tontitown cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
West Fork cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Winslow cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Elkins School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Farmington School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Fayetteville School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Greenland Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Lincoln School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Prairie Grove School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
Siloam Springs SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-04-12Benton County (FEMA plan 107316)2022-04-132027-04-12196
Springdale School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
West Fork School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147
University of ArkansasCollege/UniversityApproved, expires 2029-11-18Washington County (FEMA plan 107097)2024-11-192029-11-181,147member approved 2024-12-06

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Heat WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$628$1,683$47,219,565$47,221,87612
2Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$34,878,766$2,217,309$5,100,806$42,196,882143
3TornadoRelatively HighRelatively High$1,663,324$10,701$11,940,599$13,614,62636
4Ice StormVery HighVery High$9,284,182$75,762$9,359,9447
5Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively High$1,042$462,937$4,392,238$4,856,2171Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
6WildfireRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$2,545,907$22,413$449,761$3,018,0812
7HailRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$2,714,607$23,676$18,987$2,757,269318
8EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$2,024,774$682,060$2,706,834Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
9LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$72,716$1,509,014$1,581,7318
10Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$113,142$348$1,017,758$1,131,249307Includes 10 High Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
11Winter WeatherVery HighVery High$778,345$8,311$230,934$1,017,59047
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$75,990$46,124$1,562$123,6760Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
13LandslideRelatively LowRelatively Low$25,989$1,346$27,3350Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$039
AvalancheNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates avalanche Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Coastal FloodingNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates coastal flooding Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates tsunami Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
Volcanic ActivityNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates volcanic activity Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 54
Coastal FloodingCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 54
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.54 of 54
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.0 of 54
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.54 of 54
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.54 of 54
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.54 of 54
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.54 of 54
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.54 of 54
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.54 of 54
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.53 of 54
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.54 of 54
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.54 of 54
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.54 of 54
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 54
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 54
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.47 of 54
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.54 of 54

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage1, 2007 to 2007 (1 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 1 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale39, 2005 to 2026 (39 zone-level)64 days to 267 days (median 105 days); 8 with a recorded value267 days (about 8.8 months), 2012-06-19 to 2013-03-12, a run of 10 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)433, 1957 to 20260.75 in to 5 in (median 1 in); 433 with a recorded value5 in hail, 2020-05-04Hail, 2003-07-13, $50,000,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming member places: Fayetteville city (70 records), Springdale city (35 records), Farmington city (24 records), Prairie Grove city (24 records), Lincoln city (20 records), West Fork city (18 records), Winslow city (18 records), Johnson city (17 records), Tontitown city (15 records), Elm Springs city (14 records); and 3 more member places (see the XLSX file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)12, 1998 to 2023 (12 zone-level)1 day to 12 days (median 4 days); 11 with a recorded value12 consecutive days, 1998-07-20 to 1998-07-31, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)7, 1996 to 2024 (7 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2009-01-26, $45,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2009 dollars), 1 direct injury (reported for the zone); NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)143, 1996 to 2026Flash Flood, 2004-04-22, $7,000,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)Event records naming member places: Fayetteville city (30 records), Johnson city (20 records), West Fork city (11 records), Farmington city (9 records), Prairie Grove city (8 records), Springdale city (6 records), Elm Springs city (5 records), Lincoln city (4 records), Tontitown city (4 records), Elkins city (3 records); and 2 more member places (see the XLSX file).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)8, 1998 to 2014Lightning, 2006-09-22, damage not reported, 1 direct death, 1 direct injuryLightning, 2012-08-16, $150,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)Event records naming member places: Fayetteville city (2 records), Prairie Grove city (2 records), Farmington city (1 record), Goshen town (1 record), Johnson city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)10, 1998 to 2025 (10 zone-level)43 kt (49 mph) to 56 kt (64 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 9 with a recorded value56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2020-05-15; NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesHigh Wind, 2003-04-16, $100,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2003 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)408, 1955 to 202643 kt (49 mph) to 75 kt (86 mph) (median 56 kt (64 mph)); 266 with a recorded value75 kt (86 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2025-04-19; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2013-05-20Thunderstorm Wind, 1994-06-07, $500,000 property; crops not recorded (1994 dollars)Event records naming member places: Fayetteville city (67 records), Springdale city (36 records), Prairie Grove city (18 records), Elkins city (17 records), Lincoln city (16 records), Winslow city (14 records), Tontitown city (13 records), Farmington city (11 records), Johnson city (10 records), West Fork city (9 records); and 3 more member places (see the XLSX file).Speeds under 20 kt (likely entry errors) are left out of the observed range.
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)53, 1954 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 53 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1970-06-11, 29.6 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 250 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1970 dollars), 1 direct death, 44 direct injuriesTornado, 2022-03-30, $20,000,000 property; $0 crops (2022 dollars)Event records naming member places: Lincoln city (4 records), Johnson city (2 records), Prairie Grove city (2 records), West Fork city (2 records), Elkins city (1 record), Elm Springs city (1 record), Farmington city (1 record), Fayetteville city (1 record), Goshen town (1 record).From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)2, 2014 to 2020 (2 zone-level)Wildfire, 2014-02-19, $50,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2014 dollars); NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)47, 1996 to 2026 (47 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2023-01-24, $50,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2023 dollars); NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Where a hazard names more than 10 member places, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every place is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
20
Counted incidents
15

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-01-242026-01-23EM-3636-AREmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-04-052025-04-02EM-3627-AREmergencySEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornadonone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-08-272020-08-26EM-3541-AREmergencyHURRICANE LAURAHurricanenone found
2020-04-032020-01-20DR-4518-ARMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$5,326,892.73
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3461-AREmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundsame incident as DR-4518
2019-09-132019-06-23DR-4460-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Tornado$1,884,264.45
2017-06-152017-04-26DR-4318-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$2,534,655.07
2016-02-052015-12-26DR-4254-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$1,800,709.81
2011-05-022011-04-14DR-1975-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$2,027,144.60
2009-02-062009-01-26DR-1819-ARMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weather$8,649,108.85
2009-01-282009-01-26EM-3301-AREmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMIce Stormnone foundsame incident as DR-1819
2008-03-262008-03-18DR-1751-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$599,193.40
2005-09-022005-08-29EM-3215-AREmergencyHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted$112,111.59
2004-05-072004-04-19DR-1516-ARMajor disasterSEVER STORMS, FLOODING AND LANDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide$1,391,188.76
2000-12-292000-12-12DR-1354-ARMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER ICE STORMIce Storm (primary); also designated: Cold Wave$517,060.32
2000-12-282000-12-12EM-3159-AREmergencySEVERE WINTER ICE STORMIce Stormnone foundsame incident as DR-1354
1996-04-231996-04-21DR-1111-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOESTornadoPA not declared for this county
1973-04-271973-04-27DR-375-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1972-01-271972-01-27DR-321-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1969-02-151969-02-15DR-254-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found

School districts and special districts in this county: $142,616.55 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan members in this county. They are not shown as member blocks, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county); do not add this line to the county total.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Statewide declarations

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardFlagsNotes
1964-03-201964-03-20DR-166-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1963-08-021963-08-02DR-157-ARMajor disasterHEAVY RAINS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1961-05-161961-05-16DR-112-ARMajor disasterFLOODS & TORNADOESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado
1960-05-281960-05-28DR-102-ARMajor disasterTORNADOES & FLOODSTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1958-05-151958-05-15DR-83-ARMajor disasterHEAVY RAINSTORMS & FLOODSInland Flooding
1957-05-291957-05-29DR-77-ARMajor disasterTORNADOES, RAIN, HAIL & FLOODSTornado (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county. Listed on every county page in the state; not counted with county rows.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 1 row, $17,007.20

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4143-AR2013-09-04SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGSPRINGDALE$17,007.20

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave1000101996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Drought393310001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail433281877001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave12001001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Ice Storm7011201996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding143100181011996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning8000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind41816952301955 to 2026-06-30Includes 10 High Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado5310518711950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather473111211996 to 2026-06-30

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-04-19Thunderstorm Wind75 kt (86 mph) estimated gust$25,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)0, 0TONTITOWNnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2023-01-24Winter Storm$50,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2023 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countieswithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2020-05-15High Wind56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust$10,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2020 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2020-05-04Hail5 in$200,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)0, 0JOHNSONB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2020-03-07Wildfire$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2020 dollars)1, 2NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesdeaths or injuries recorded
2014-02-19Wildfire$50,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2014 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2010-12-31TornadoEF3, 8.6 mi within this county, 500 yd wide$1,500,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)4, 7CINCINNATI to WEDINGTONdeaths or injuries recorded
2009-01-26Ice Storm$45,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2009 dollars)0, 1NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2006-09-22Lightningdamage not reported1, 1PRAIRIE GROVEB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2004-04-22Flash Flood$7,000,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)0, 0COUNTYWIDEB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
1998-07-20Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone ARZ010 (WASHINGTON), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1970-06-11TornadoF3, 29.6 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 250 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1970 dollars)1, 44location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,163 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalancheevents per year1994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Coastal Floodingevents per year at a location (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Cold Wave1.79event-days per yearabout 1.79 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)342005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo recorded event-days, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned. Frost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought13.2event-days per yearabout 13.2 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)4412000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI gives about 13.2 drought event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 25.25 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 10 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Earthquake0.00162annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.162%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail7.33events per yearabout 7.33 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)278.4 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave9.42event-days per yearabout 9.42 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 9 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (30%)1482005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 9.42 heat wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 9 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Hurricane0.0122events per yearabout 1 in 82 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are counted separately in B1-d and need not match.
Ice Storm1.91event-days per yearabout 1.91 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)1291946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNRI gives about 1.91 ice storm event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 67 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 7 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Inland Flooding2.71event-days per yearabout 2.71 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)761996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide1.01events per year (modeled)about 1.01 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning58.4days per year with a strikeabout 58.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind5.89events per yearabout 5.89 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)2241986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.806events per yearabout 0.81 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Volcanic Activityannual probabilitynot shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Wildfire0.00706annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.706%PossibleStorm Events records in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county.
Winter Weather10.6event-days per yearabout 10.6 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 21 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (70%)2022005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 2025149304.97
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 202520300.667
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 2025198306.6
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 202540301.33
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202553301.77
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202524300.8
TornadoEF2-31996 to 202510300.333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche0 of 54Not Applicable 54
Coastal Flooding0 of 54Not Applicable 54
Cold Wave54 of 5433.963.884.3Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 48, Relatively Low 3National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought0 of 54No Rating 54National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake54 of 5418.256.186.3Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 45, Very Low 8
Hail54 of 5458.682.895.3Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 46, Relatively Low 5National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave54 of 5493.798.699.9Very High 51, Relatively High 3National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane54 of 5427.038.352.5Relatively Low 2, Very Low 52
Ice Storm54 of 5491.798.899.9Very High 42, Relatively High 12National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding54 of 543.968.391.5Relatively High 14, Relatively Moderate 20, Relatively Low 15, Very Low 5
Landslide53 of 5413.754.498.0Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 11, Very Low 39, No Rating 1
Lightning54 of 5441.380.096.6Very High 1, Relatively High 32, Relatively Moderate 19, Relatively Low 2National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind54 of 5425.856.880.0Relatively Moderate 35, Relatively Low 19National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado54 of 5452.781.197.2Very High 2, Relatively High 37, Relatively Moderate 14, Relatively Low 1
Tsunami0 of 54Not Applicable 54
Volcanic Activity0 of 54Not Applicable 54
Wildfire47 of 5422.890.297.4Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 19, Relatively Low 21, Very Low 1, No Rating 7
Winter Weather54 of 5465.392.198.7Very High 4, Relatively High 45, Relatively Moderate 5National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Washington CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 2, SRL 1; any 7$5,874,493.370; 0Includes $380,230.22 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4518-AR, EM-3215-AR).
Elkins cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$62,488.8931; 0
Elm Springs cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$269,743.8726; 3Also approved under plan 107316 (Benton County, expires 2027-04-12). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last.
Farmington cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 5$254,082.3746; 5
Fayetteville cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 8, SRL 2; any 32$5,657,719.45170; 6Includes $52,278.12 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4518-AR).
Goshen townTownApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$48,919.4320; 1
Greenland cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$51,641.859; 0
Johnson cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 4, SRL 0; any 5$259,607.9650; 5
Lincoln cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$213,889.3344; 9
Prairie Grove cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$134,844.0454; 3
Springdale cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 7$3,285,550.7077; 3Also approved under plan 107316 (Benton County, expires 2027-04-12). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last.
Tontitown cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$151,074.9432; 6
West Fork cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$370,704.8340; 5
Winslow cityCityApproved, expires 2029-11-18FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$175,628.2835; 0

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2024-11-19county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
AvalancheNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Coastal FloodingNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Cold Wave$45,898,417,878$655,683,169245,782$1,042$462,937$4,392,238under 0.0001%
Drought$0$0$0agriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$81,899,705,173245,871$2,024,774$682,0600.00247%
Hail$45,898,417,878$655,683,169245,782$2,714,607$23,676$18,9870.00591%$600,000
Heat Wave$45,898,417,878$655,683,169245,782$628$1,683$47,219,565under 0.0001%
Hurricane$45,884,775,565$651,567,362245,695$75,990$46,124$1,5620.000166%
Ice Storm$45,890,830,381245,679$9,284,182$75,7620.0202%
Inland Flooding$45,881,292,036$60,854,5516,096$34,878,766$2,217,309$5,100,806n/a (see note)$0none found (1 declaration)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$1,244,901,5046,582$25,989$1,3460.00209%
Lightning$45,898,417,878245,782$72,716$1,509,0140.000158%
Strong Wind$45,898,417,878$655,683,169245,782$113,142$348$1,017,7580.000247%$61,000$15,000Storm Events damage since the plan includes 1 zone-level High Wind record ($15,000), an event type the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado$45,898,417,878$655,683,169245,782$1,663,324$10,701$11,940,5990.00362%$2,000,000none found (1 declaration)
TsunamiNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Volcanic ActivityNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Wildfire$4,500,345,489$434,447,21451,925$2,545,907$22,413$449,7610.0566%
Winter Weather$45,898,417,878$655,683,169245,782$778,345$8,311$230,9340.0017%$0none found (1 declaration)

Totals since 2024-11-19 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 63 county-coded records, 63 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $2,661,000; 7 zone-level records, 7 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $15,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance on counted declarations none found (2 declarations, 0 with PA).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population245,782
Building value (total, not at risk)$45,898,417,878
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$655,683,169
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$56,972,916
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$72,640,393
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)15Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)4
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition64Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition3

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total15464366125
WASHINGTON COUNTY*2171704
ELM SPRINGS, CITY OF0010100
ELKINS, CITY OF0030300
FARMINGTON, CITY OF0151500
FAYETTEVILLE, CITY OF8231132115
GREENLAND, CITY OF0010100
JOHNSON, CITY OF4050500
SPRINGDALE, CITY OF1060702
WEST FORK, CITY OF0010101
TONTITOWN, CITY OF0010101
PRAIRIE GROVE, CITY OF0010101
GOSHEN, CITY OF0020201
State level, not in this county: county not reported0030300

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Washington County0502122171704
Elkins city0502140030300
Elm Springs city0502130010100
Farmington city0502150151500
Fayetteville city0502168231132115
Goshen town0505940020201
Greenland city0502170010100
Johnson city0502184050500
Lincoln city0503380000000
Prairie Grove city0505870010101
Springdale city0502191060702
Tontitown city0502930010101
West Fork city0502200010101
Winslow city0503000000000

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential5340241122
2 to 4 unit residential1011211300
other residential0060600
non-residential0060603
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 2 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 51 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Washington County, AR: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 05143). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_AR_05143. Preview: automated baseline.