Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Craighead County, AR

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 05031
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
Approved, expires 2028-03-23
Plan
Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)
Approved
2023-03-24
Expires
2028-03-23
As of
2026-09-28
Days
542 days to expiry

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-03-24)

New federal declarations
EM-3627-AR, DR-4873-AR, EM-3636-AR (3 declaration rows; 2 counted incidents)
Storm Events records since approval
131 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 4, SRL 8 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 47
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 25 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" after these cover pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Craighead CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-03-28
Bay cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-06-13
Black Oak townTownApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2024-02-23
Bono cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2024-02-23
Brookland cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-03-23
Caraway cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-03-23
Cash townTownApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2024-02-23
Egypt townTownApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-06-13
Jonesboro cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-03-23
Lake City cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-07-20
Monette cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-07-20
Bay School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-06-13
Brookland School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2024-02-23
Buffalo Island Central School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-06-13
Greene County Technical School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2031-03-15Greene County (FEMA plan 109389)2026-03-162031-03-151,629
Jonesboro Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-07-20
Nettleton School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-07-20
Riverside School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-07-20
Valley View School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-07-20
Westside Consolidated School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2023-07-20
Arkansas State UniversityCollege/UniversityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2025-08-07
Blessed Sacrament SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2025-08-07
Craighead Electric CooperativeElectric/Power AuthorityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2025-08-07
Jonesboro City Water and LightElectric/Power AuthorityApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2025-08-07
Ridgefield ChristianSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-03-23Craighead County (FEMA plan 107604)2023-03-242028-03-23542member approved 2025-08-07

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1EarthquakeRelatively ModerateRelatively High$19,061,732$16,692,490$35,754,222Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
2TornadoRelatively HighRelatively High$3,432,016$7,589$14,168,733$17,608,33638
3Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$12,986,667$1,302$2,174,925$15,162,89493
4Cold WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$35,113$206,780$7,678,979$7,920,87113Includes 2 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
5Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$176$1,373$5,166,277$5,167,826120
6Ice StormVery HighVery High$3,275,560$538,214$3,813,7744
7DroughtRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$1,614,678$1,614,67828
8Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$258,731$51,647$601,889$912,267223Includes 8 High Wind records and 7 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
9LightningRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$39,439$714,683$754,1226
10HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$394,370$8,100$8,069$410,540156
11Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$344,390$2,113$9,819$356,32262
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$89,099$27,495$2,352$118,9461
13WildfireVery LowVery Low$20,331$42$6,429$26,8020No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
14LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$4,905$68$4,9730No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
AvalancheNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates avalanche Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Coastal FloodingNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates coastal flooding Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates tsunami Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
Volcanic ActivityNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates volcanic activity Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 22
Coastal FloodingCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 22
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.22 of 22
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.21 of 22
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.22 of 22
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.22 of 22
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.22 of 22
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.22 of 22
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.22 of 22
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.22 of 22
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.22 of 22
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.22 of 22
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.22 of 22
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.22 of 22
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 22
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 22
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.22 of 22
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.22 of 22

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill11, 2008 to 2026 (11 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 2.5 days); 6 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2026-01-24 to 2026-01-27, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage2, 2007 to 2007 (2 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 2 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale28, 2007 to 2026 (28 zone-level)15 days to 162 days (median 85 days); 8 with a recorded value162 days (about 5.3 months), 2012-06-12 to 2012-11-20, a run of 6 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)195, 1962 to 20260.75 in to 4 in (median 1 in); 193 with a recorded value4 in hail, 2022-04-15Hail, 2002-04-30, $100,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Event records naming member places: Jonesboro city (50 records), Bay city (15 records), Bono city (12 records), Brookland city (12 records), Lake City city (10 records), Monette city (9 records), Cash town (8 records), Caraway city (7 records), Egypt town (5 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)120, 2007 to 2026 (120 zone-level)1 day to 21 days (median 2 days); 70 with a recorded value21 days, 2007-08-05 to 2007-08-25, from 1 monthly summary record (a monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions), zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson1, 2008 to 2008 (1 zone-level)Strongest recorded (records with damage, a wind speed or direct casualties first, then storm type, category and wind): Tropical Storm record, 2008-09-14, $285,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2008 dollars), 1 direct injury (reported for the zone); NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)4, 1998 to 2018 (4 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2002-12-03, $2,600,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2002 dollars); NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)93, 1997 to 2026 (2 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2016-05-24, $2,100,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars), 1 direct injuryEvent records naming member places: Jonesboro city (32 records), Brookland city (8 records), Bono city (4 records), Cash town (3 records), Egypt town (3 records), Lake City city (3 records), Bay city (2 records), Caraway city (1 record). Zone-level records (2) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)6, 2000 to 2022Lightning, 2001-07-05, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2001 dollars)Event records naming member places: Jonesboro city (4 records), Bono city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)15, 1997 to 2025 (15 zone-level)32 kt (37 mph) to 55 kt (63 mph) (median 45 kt (52 mph)); 13 with a recorded value55 kt (63 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2025-03-19; NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesStrong Wind, 2017-01-10, $50,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)301, 1955 to 202640 kt (46 mph) to 96 kt (110 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 200 with a recorded value96 kt (110 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2025-04-02Thunderstorm Wind, 2019-08-06, $250,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming member places: Jonesboro city (66 records), Bay city (14 records), Brookland city (12 records), Caraway city (12 records), Monette city (12 records), Bono city (10 records), Cash town (6 records), Lake City city (5 records), Egypt town (4 records), Black Oak town (2 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)54, 1955 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF1); 54 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 1968-05-15, 12.6 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 167 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1968 dollars), 34 direct deaths, 350 direct injuriesTornado, 2020-03-28, $300,000,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)Event records naming member places: Jonesboro city (4 records), Egypt town (3 records), Bay city (2 records), Black Oak town (2 records), Caraway city (2 records), Monette city (2 records), Bono city (1 record), Cash town (1 record), Lake City city (1 record).From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)62, 2000 to 2026 (62 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2000-12-13, $100,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2000 dollars); NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
28
Counted incidents
23

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-01-242026-01-23EM-3636-AREmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weathernone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-05-212025-04-02DR-4873-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado$1,181,758.94new since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-04-052025-04-02EM-3627-AREmergencySEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornadonone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4873
2021-12-232021-12-10DR-4633-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOESTornadoPA not declared for this countywithin last 5 years
2020-08-272020-08-26EM-3541-AREmergencyHURRICANE LAURAHurricanenone found
2020-05-082020-03-28DR-4544-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDSTornado (primary); also designated: Strong Wind$2,787,849.07
2020-04-032020-01-20DR-4518-ARMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$6,023,643.64
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3461-AREmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundsame incident as DR-4518
2017-06-152017-04-26DR-4318-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$329,412.83
2011-05-022011-04-14DR-1975-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$446,590.56
2010-02-042009-12-23DR-1872-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding$176,713.80
2009-02-062009-01-26DR-1819-ARMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMWinter Weather$37,055,265.72
2009-01-282009-01-26EM-3301-AREmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMIce Stormnone foundsame incident as DR-1819
2008-10-222008-09-13DR-1804-ARMajor disasterTROPICAL STORM IKEHurricane$553,015.65
2008-03-262008-03-18DR-1751-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$463,991.35
2005-09-022005-08-29EM-3215-AREmergencyHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted$53,057.44
2003-06-062003-05-02DR-1472-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornado$229,547.21
2003-01-062002-12-03DR-1450-ARMajor disasterSEVERE ICE STORMIce Storm$3,799,901.67
2002-01-242001-12-15DR-1400-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding$146,263.50
2001-03-132001-02-14DR-1363-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding$299,676.17
1997-04-141997-04-04DR-1176-ARMajor disasterFLOODING, SEVERE STORMSInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1997-03-021997-03-01DR-1162-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOESTornadoPA not declared for this county
1988-11-231988-11-15DR-817-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & TORNADOESTornadoPA not declared for this county
1982-12-131982-12-13DR-673-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODINGInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1973-05-291973-05-29DR-389-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1973-04-271973-04-27DR-375-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1969-02-151969-02-15DR-254-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1968-05-291968-05-29DR-239-ARMajor disasterTORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingnone found

School districts and special districts in this county: $988,162.19 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan members in this county. They are not shown as member blocks, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county); do not add this line to the county total.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Statewide declarations

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardFlagsNotes
1964-03-201964-03-20DR-166-ARMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1963-08-021963-08-02DR-157-ARMajor disasterHEAVY RAINS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1961-05-161961-05-16DR-112-ARMajor disasterFLOODS & TORNADOESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado
1960-05-281960-05-28DR-102-ARMajor disasterTORNADOES & FLOODSTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1958-05-151958-05-15DR-83-ARMajor disasterHEAVY RAINSTORMS & FLOODSInland Flooding
1957-05-291957-05-29DR-77-ARMajor disasterTORNADOES, RAIN, HAIL & FLOODSTornado (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county. Listed on every county page in the state; not counted with county rows.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 5 rows, $1,199,725.48

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4748-AR2023-11-14SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOESCraighead Electric Cooperative Corporation$444,494.95
DR-1758-AR2008-05-20SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOESCraighead Electric Cooperative Corporation$53,054.41
DR-1636-AR2006-04-12SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOESCraighead Electric Cooperative Corporation$424,434.42
DR-1354-AR2000-12-29SEVERE WINTER ICE STORMCraighead Electric Cooperative Corporation$201,397.39
DR-1266-AR1999-01-23AR SEVERE WEATHER 1-21-99Craighead Electric Cooperative Corporation$76,344.31

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave13729001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 2 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Drought287310001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail195161229001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave120551368001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane1000201996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm4000201996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding932241411996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning6011001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind31635944201955 to 2026-06-30Includes 8 High Wind records and 7 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado5451121111950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather624311211996 to 2026-06-30

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-01-24Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2026 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2025-04-02Thunderstorm Wind96 kt (110 mph) estimated gust$50,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)0, 0RICHER to DRYDENnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2025-03-19High Wind55 kt (63 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2022-04-15Hail4 in$10,000 property; $0 crops (2022 dollars)0, 0LAKE CITYduring plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2016-05-24Flash Flood$2,100,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)0, 1OAK RIDGE to VALLEY VIEWB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2012-06-12Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2009-05-24Flash Flood$25,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars)2, 0GREENSBORO to GOOBERTOWNdeaths or injuries recorded
2007-08-05Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2007 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2002-12-03Ice Storm$2,600,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2002 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ARZ026 (CRAIGHEAD), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2001-07-05Lightning$50,000 property; crops not reported (2001 dollars)0, 0JONESBOROB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1973-05-26TornadoF4, 13.8 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 300 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1973 dollars)3, 257location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1968-05-15TornadoF4, 12.6 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 167 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1968 dollars)34, 350location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (892 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalancheevents per year1994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Coastal Floodingevents per year at a location (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Cold Wave2.26event-days per yearabout 2.26 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)432005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 2.26 cold wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 4 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together. Frost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought8.95event-days per yearabout 8.95 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)3992000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI gives about 8.95 drought event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 25.25 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 7 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Earthquake0.0109annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 1.09%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail3.36events per yearabout 3.36 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)127.7 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave20.1event-days per yearabout 20.1 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 15 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (50%)3212005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0166events per yearabout 1 in 60 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)61851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are counted separately in B1-d and need not match.
Ice Storm1.28event-days per yearabout 1.28 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)861946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNRI gives about 1.28 ice storm event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 67 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 4 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Inland Flooding2.46event-days per yearabout 2.46 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 25 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (83.3%)691996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.517events per year (modeled)about 0.52 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning57.4days per year with a strikeabout 57.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.93events per yearabout 1.93 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)741986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.551events per yearabout 0.55 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Volcanic Activityannual probabilitynot shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Wildfire0.000328annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0328%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo Storm Events record of this hazard, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned (the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county)
Winter Weather7.05event-days per yearabout 7.05 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)1342005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202590303
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20257300.233
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 2025158305.27
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 202511300.367
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202531301.03
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202530301
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20258300.267
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche0 of 22Not Applicable 22
Coastal Flooding0 of 22Not Applicable 22
Cold Wave22 of 2278.593.997.6Very High 7, Relatively High 15National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought21 of 2267.786.399.1Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 7, Very Low 8, No Rating 1National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range above mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is, not where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake22 of 2282.693.999.5Very High 8, Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 6
Hail22 of 2252.568.982.1Relatively Moderate 11, Relatively Low 11National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave22 of 2280.794.096.6Very High 1, Relatively High 20, Relatively Moderate 1National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane22 of 2240.848.557.7Relatively Low 3, Very Low 19
Ice Storm22 of 2296.199.099.8Very High 18, Relatively High 4National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding22 of 2217.862.292.8Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 10, Relatively Low 8
Landslide22 of 2259.282.494.4Relatively Low 12, Very Low 10
Lightning22 of 2260.886.695.7Relatively High 18, Relatively Moderate 4National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind22 of 2256.578.086.6Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 14National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado22 of 2291.899.199.8Very High 20, Relatively High 2
Tsunami0 of 22Not Applicable 22
Volcanic Activity0 of 22Not Applicable 22
Wildfire22 of 2228.966.681.1Relatively Low 9, Very Low 13
Winter Weather22 of 2274.390.897.5Very High 3, Relatively High 17, Relatively Moderate 2National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Craighead CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 1$1,981,370.680; 0Includes $77,970.98 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4518-AR, EM-3215-AR).
Bay cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$99,667.5533; 2
Black Oak townTownApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$26,464.134; 0
Bono cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 9$52,623.7628; 4
Brookland cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$132,779.9732; 1Includes $5,115.72 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4518-AR).
Caraway cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$53,626.6922; 2
Cash townTownApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0none found18; 1
Egypt townTownApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$24,511.6015; 0
Jonesboro cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 3, SRL 7; any 35$3,288,348.72156; 9Includes $105,004.88 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4518-AR, EM-3215-AR).
Lake City cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$160,713.6919; 0
Monette cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$179,623.1123; 0

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-03-24county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
AvalancheNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Coastal FloodingNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Cold Wave$22,153,488,112$251,334,807111,202$35,113$206,780$7,678,9790.000158%$0
Drought$178,805,585$1,614,6780.903% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$40,147,010,731111,231$19,061,732$16,692,4900.0475%
Hail$22,153,496,684$251,334,807111,202$394,370$8,100$8,0690.00178%$0
Heat Wave$22,153,488,112$251,334,807111,202$176$1,373$5,166,277under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$22,144,691,220$239,574,819111,121$89,099$27,495$2,3520.000402%
Ice Storm$22,152,633,891111,189$3,275,560$538,2140.0148%
Inland Flooding$22,145,877,078$101,147,22212,075$12,986,667$1,302$2,174,925n/a (see note)$15,000$1,181,758.94NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$173,770,735831$4,905$680.00282%
Lightning$22,153,496,684111,202$39,439$714,6830.000178%
Strong Wind$22,153,496,684$251,334,807111,202$258,731$51,647$601,8890.00117%$331,000$5,000Storm Events damage since the plan includes 1 zone-level Strong Wind record ($5,000), an event type the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado$22,153,496,684$251,334,807111,202$3,432,016$7,589$14,168,7330.0155%$4,835,000$1,181,758.94
TsunamiNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Volcanic ActivityNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Wildfire$3,227,179,384$16,596,26520,820$20,331$42$6,4290.00063%
Winter Weather$22,153,488,112$251,334,807111,202$344,390$2,113$9,8190.00155%$0none found (1 declaration)

Totals since 2023-03-24 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 55 county-coded records, 55 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $5,181,000; 76 zone-level records, 76 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $5,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance on counted declarations $1,181,758.94 (3 declarations, 1 with PA).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population111,202
Building value (total, not at risk)$22,153,496,684
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$251,334,807
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$41,863,649
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$47,762,927
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively High
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)4Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)8
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition43Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition4

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total484344749
BONO, CITY OF0191900
JONESBORO, CITY OF373133549
LAKE CITY, CITY OF0010100
CARAWAY, CITY OF0010100
CRAIGHEAD COUNTY*1010100
State level, not in this county: county not reported0030300

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Craighead County0504271010100
Bay city0500450000000
Black Oak town0503890000000
Bono city0500460191900
Brookland city0500470000000
Caraway city0503110010100
Cash town0503960000000
Egypt town0505850000000
Jonesboro city050048373133549
Lake City city0500490010100
Monette city0503500000000

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential473634045
2 to 4 unit residential0010100
other residential0000000
non-residential0161604
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 2 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 41 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Craighead County, AR: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 05031). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_AR_05031. Preview: automated baseline.