Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Kusilvak Census Area, AK

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
02158
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: No county-level plan row in FEMA data.

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Cold Wave ($10,653,731 a year), Winter Weather ($149,972) and Earthquake ($23,629).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

No county-level plan row in FEMA data

What changed since your last plan

Not available. No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underway
Alakanuk cityCityApproved, expires 2026-10-18Alakanuk City and Village MJHMP (FEMA plan 107452)2021-10-192026-10-1818FEMA tracker shows a plan in progress
Chevak cityCityExpired on 2023-10-04Chevak HMP (FEMA plan 105155)2018-10-052023-10-04-1,092FEMA tracker shows a plan in progress
Emmonak cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-14Emmonak HMP (FEMA plan 108560)2023-03-152028-03-14531
Hooper Bay cityCityApproved, expires 2030-02-02Hooper Bay Native Village and City, and Native Village of Paimiut MJHMP (FEMA plan 109160)2025-02-032030-02-021,221
Kotlik cityCityExpired on 2024-08-29Kotlik City and Village MJHMP (FEMA plan 105791)2019-08-302024-08-29-762FEMA tracker shows a plan in progress
Marshall cityCityExpired on 2019-11-06Marshall HMP (FEMA plan 100694)2014-11-062019-11-06-2,520
Mountain Village cityCityNo approved plan on recordnonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan in progress
Nunam Iqua cityCityExpired on 2022-08-22Nunam Iqua HMP (FEMA plan 102819)2017-08-232022-08-22-1,500FEMA tracker shows a plan in progress
Pilot Station cityCityExpired on 2024-01-23Pilot Station HMP (FEMA plan 105094)2019-01-242024-01-23-981
Russian Mission cityCityExpired on 2018-10-18Russian Mission HMP (FEMA plan 25120)2013-10-182018-10-18-2,904
Scammon Bay cityCityExpired on 2018-11-01Scammon Bay HMP (FEMA plan 25124)2013-11-012018-11-01-2,890FEMA tracker shows a plan in progress
St. Mary's cityCityExpired on 2024-03-25Saint Mary's City and Native Village MJHMP (FEMA plan 105242)2019-03-262024-03-25-919

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Cold WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$1,362$0$10,652,369$10,653,73110
2Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$26,973$0$123,000$149,972327
3EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$18,361n/a$5,268$23,629Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
4WildfireVery LowVery Low$18,664$0$2,718$21,3810No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
5LandslideRelatively LowRelatively Low$121n/a$12,412$12,5340Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
6LightningVery LowVery Low$245n/a$9,347$9,5920No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7Ice StormVery LowVery Low$873n/a$570$1,44313
8TornadoVery LowVery Low$16$0$21$362
9AvalancheVery LowVery Low$0n/a$14$140No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
10Volcanic ActivityVery LowVery Lowunder $1n/a$2$20No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
11Strong WindVery LowVery Lowunder $1$0under $1under $165Includes 60 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
12HailVery LowVery Lowunder $1$0under $1under $11
13Coastal FloodingNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0n/a$0$030
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$00No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
15Inland FloodingNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$036
Heat WaveInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire, landslide, lightning, volcanic activity, heat wave and tsunami records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: hurricane. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

NRI rating of the county's single census tract

Source: 5

HazardCensus tractNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 1 (Very Low, 7.4)
Earthquaketract 1 (Relatively Low, 57.5)
Landslidetract 1 (Relatively Moderate, 98.7)
Tornadotract 1 (Very Low, 0.6)
Tsunamino tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Volcanic Activitytract 1 (Very Low, 78.9)
Wildfiretract 1 (Relatively Moderate, 91.0)

A tract number is the Census tract number (for example 1 is Census Tract 1). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)0
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)30 records, 2002 to 2025 (30 zone-level)Storm Surge/Tide, 2004-10-19, $4,700,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars); NWS zone AKZ212Countywide (zone-level records).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill10 records, 1999 to 2022 (10 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 2 days); 9 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2022-02-05 to 2022-02-08, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)1 record, 2018 (1 zone-level)No hail record can stand as this county's largest: the 1 record with a recorded size reached this county only through an NWS zone that covers more than one county, so the hail may have occurred outside this county (zone-level); it is counted as an occurrence.Countywide (zone-level records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)13 records, 2000 to 2019 (13 zone-level)No damage reported in 13 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)36 records, 2001 to 2026 (36 zone-level)Flood, 2009-05-07, $2,600,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars); NWS zone AKZ155Countywide (zone-level records).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)62 records, 1997 to 2025 (62 zone-level)40 kt (46 mph) to 93 kt (107 mph) (median 56 kt (64 mph)); 62 with a recorded value93 kt (107 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2025-10-11; NWS zone AKZ825Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)3 records, 2007 to 2008 (3 zone-level)No thunderstorm wind record can stand as this county's strongest: the 3 records with a recorded speed reached this county only through an NWS zone that covers more than one county, so the wind may have occurred outside this county (zone-level); they are counted as occurrences.Countywide (zone-level records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)2 records, 2004 (2 zone-level)No tornado record can stand as this county's worst: the 2 records reached this county only through an NWS zone that covers more than one county, so the tornado may have occurred outside this county (zone-level); they are counted as occurrences.Countywide (zone-level records).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)327 records, 1997 to 2026 (327 zone-level)Blizzard, 2009-02-25, $200,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars); NWS zone AKZ155Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of avalanche, debris flow, lightning, tsunami and volcanic ash, volcanic ashfall.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 11 declarations covering 9 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2025-10-222025-10-08DR-4893-AKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and Remnants of Typhoon HalongInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Windnone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $89,127.02 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)within last 5 yearspart of county; Wade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
2023-08-232023-05-12DR-4730-AKMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$862,908.18within last 5 yearsFEMA's declaration record does not list Public Assistance, but FEMA's PA project summaries show obligations for this county
2022-09-232022-09-15DR-4672-AKMajor disasterSevere Storm, Flooding, and LandslidesInland Flooding; Landslide$26,138,866.34within last 5 yearspart of county; Wade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
2020-04-092020-01-20DR-4533-AKMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$238,056.19
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3446-AKEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4533; part of county; Wade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
2005-12-092005-09-22DR-1618-AKMajor disasterSevere Fall Storm, Tidal Surges, and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recordedpart of county; Wade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
2004-11-152004-10-18DR-1571-AKMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Tidal Surges and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$169,605.50part of county; Wade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
2002-06-262002-04-27DR-1423-AKMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$217,190.22Wade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
2000-02-171999-12-21DR-1316-AKMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and AvalanchesWinter Weathernone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $49,077.34 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)Wade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
1989-06-101989-05-01DR-832-AKMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recordedWade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01
1989-05-101989-01-15DR-826-AKMajor disasterSevere FreezingCold Waveno Public Assistance recordedWade Hampton CA AK renamed Kusilvak CA, code changed 2015-07-01

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-03-281964-03-28DR-168-AKMajor disasterEarthquakeEarthquake
1955-12-221955-12-22DR-46-AKMajor disasterSevere HardshipOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1954-11-101954-11-10DR-31-AKMajor disasterSevere HardshipOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1953-10-301953-10-30DR-13-AKMajor disasterSevere HardshipOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

7 Fire Management declarations (1970-06-26 to 1996-06-05) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 1 row, $105,277.24

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4162-AK2014-01-23Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingScammon Bay, City of$105,277.24

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any Alaska county: 40 rows, $21,127,378.43; listed on the Alaska state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding30601996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave10511996 to 2026-06-30
Drought0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Earthquake000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail1001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm13001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding36971996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0011996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind651111955 to 2026-06-30Includes 60 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records.
Tornado2001950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather3274821996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-10-11High Wind93 kt (107 mph) measured gust$100,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ825 (YUKON DELTA COAST), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2022-02-05Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2022 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ155 (KUSKOKWIM DELTA), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2011-01-23Blizzard$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)1, 0NWS zone AKZ155 (KUSKOKWIM DELTA), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2009-05-07Flood$2,600,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2009 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ155 (KUSKOKWIM DELTA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2009-02-25Blizzard$200,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2009 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ155 (KUSKOKWIM DELTA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2004-10-19Storm Surge/Tide$4,700,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2004 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ212 (ERN NORTON SOUND NULATO HILLS), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tide

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (484 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Coastal Flooding0events per year at a location (modeled)none modeledLikelyStorm Events records in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNRI models no coastal flooding event-days here (modeled); Storm Events has a record in 16 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which records events NRI's definition leaves out.
Cold Wave3.76event-days per yearabout 3.76 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)65.22005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.00272annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.272%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail0.0000363events per yearabout 1 in 27,541 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)0.0 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Waveevent-days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)2005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Ice Storm0.0149event-days per yearabout 0.0149 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)01946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0event-days per yearnone modeledLikelyStorm Events event-days in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)01996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-fNRI models no inland flooding event-days here (1996 to 2023, 28 years); Storm Events has a record in 14 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which records events NRI's definition leaves out.
Landslide0.0681events per year (modeled)about 1 in 15 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning14.7days per year with a strikeabout 14.7 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.0000571events per yearabout 1 in 17,520 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)11986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.00941events per yearabout 1 in 106 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Volcanic Activity0.0002annual probabilityabout 1 in 5,000 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.000926annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0926%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather27.7event-days per yearabout 27.7 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%)4842005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 20250300
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20250300
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

NRI risk score of the county's single census tract

Source: 5

HazardTract scoreNRI score, 0 to 100Rating
Avalanche7.4Very Low
Coastal FloodingNo Rating
Cold Wave100.0Very High
DroughtNo Rating
Earthquake57.5Relatively Low
Hail0.2Very Low
Heat WaveInsufficient Data
Ice Storm33.0Very Low
Inland FloodingNo Rating
Landslide98.7Relatively Moderate
Lightning62.2Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind0.2Very Low
Tornado0.6Very Low
TsunamiInsufficient Data
Volcanic Activity78.9Very Low
Wildfire91.0Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather100.0Very High

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Alakanuk cityCityApproved, expires 2026-10-18$4,162,225.676 total; 3 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Chevak cityCityExpired on 2023-10-04$238,056.190 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row. Includes $238,056.19 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4533-AK).
Emmonak cityCityApproved, expires 2028-03-14FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$7,747,680.766 total; 2 since its plan
Hooper Bay cityCityApproved, expires 2030-02-02$22,363,352.130 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Kotlik cityCityExpired on 2024-08-29$5,246,084.921 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Marshall cityCityExpired on 2019-11-06no Public Assistance recorded2 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Mountain Village cityCityNo approved plan on recordno Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Nunam Iqua cityCityExpired on 2022-08-22$1,925,850.510 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Pilot Station cityCityExpired on 2024-01-23no Public Assistance recorded2 total; 2 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Russian Mission cityCityExpired on 2018-10-18no Public Assistance recorded3 total; 2 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Scammon Bay cityCityExpired on 2018-11-01$207,407.270 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
St. Mary's cityCityExpired on 2024-03-25no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since plancounty-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$0n/aunder 1$0n/a$14building exposure is 0 in NRI
Coastal Flooding$0n/a0$0n/a$0building exposure is 0 in NRI
Cold Wave$968,728,466$08,356$1,362$0$10,652,3690.000141%
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$1,598,282,686n/a8,368$18,361n/a$5,2680.00115%
Hail$968,728,466$08,356under $1$0under $1under 0.0001%
Heat Waven/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Ice Storm$968,728,466n/a8,356$873n/a$570under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$0$00$0$0$0n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$54,734,267n/a452$121n/a$12,4120.000222%
Lightning$968,728,466n/a8,356$245n/a$9,347under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$968,728,466$08,356under $1$0under $1under 0.0001%
Tornado$968,728,466$08,356$16$0$21under 0.0001%
Tsunamin/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Volcanic Activity$968,728,466n/a8,356under $1n/a$2under 0.0001%
Wildfire$91,501,848$01,567$18,664$0$2,7180.0204%
Winter Weather$968,728,466$08,356$26,973$0$123,0000.00278%

Totals since the plan: not available. No county-level plan row in FEMA data, so there is no approval date to count from.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population8,356
Building value (total, not at risk)$968,728,466
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$0
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$66,615
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$10,805,719
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Emmonak city0201250000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Kusilvak Census Area, AK: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 02158). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ak/02158/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org