Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Kodiak Island Borough, AK

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
02150
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2030-08-14. Plan: Kodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831), approved 2025-08-15.

Since the plan was approved on 2025-08-15: no new hazard declaration and 3 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Earthquake ($13,515,004 a year), Tsunami ($10,860,660) and Inland Flooding ($669,818).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2030-08-14
Plan:
Kodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831)
Approved:
2025-08-15
Days to expiry:
1,414

What changed since your last plan (approved 2025-08-15)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
3 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Kodiak Island BoroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-08-14Kodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831)2025-08-152030-08-141,414
Akhiok cityCityPlan 109831 approved 2025-08-15, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleKodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831), pending adoption here2025-08-15 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-08-14 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Kodiak cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14Kodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831)2025-08-152030-08-141,414this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-22
Larsen Bay cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14Kodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831)2025-08-152030-08-141,414
Old Harbor cityCityPlan 109831 approved 2025-08-15, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleKodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831), pending adoption here2025-08-15 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-08-14 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Ouzinkie cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14Kodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831)2025-08-152030-08-141,414Also approved under plan 108748 (Ouzinkie Native Village and City MJHMP, expires 2029-01-17). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last. this jurisdiction approved 2025-08-22
Port Lions cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14Kodiak Island Borough MJHMP (FEMA plan 109831)2025-08-152030-08-141,414

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1EarthquakeRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$10,400,020n/a$3,114,984$13,515,004Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
2TsunamiRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$9,462,629n/a$1,398,031$10,860,6600No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
3Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$669,818$0$0$669,8186
4LandslideRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$44,588n/a$186,650$231,2381
5Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$18,298$0$25,145$43,443113
6WildfireVery LowVery Low$9,658$0$175$9,8332
7Ice StormVery LowVery Low$78n/a$3,296$3,3731
8LightningVery LowVery Low$74n/a$707$7800No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
9AvalancheVery LowVery Low$0n/a$554$5541
10Volcanic ActivityVery LowVery Lowunder $1n/a$67$670No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
11TornadoVery LowVery Low$1$0under $1$10No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12Coastal FloodingNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0n/a$0$012
13Cold WaveNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$01
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$01
15HailNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$01
16Strong WindNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$0147Includes 146 High Wind and 1 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
Heat WaveInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local tsunami, lightning, volcanic activity and heat wave records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: hurricane. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 1 (Very Low, 41.1)
Earthquaketract 1 (Very High, 99.4); tract 2 (Very High, 99.3); tract 3 (Very High, 97.5)
Landslidetract 1 (Relatively High, 99.8); tract 3 (Relatively Low, 91.3); tract 2 (Relatively Low, 84.9)
Tornadotract 1 (Very Low, 0.2)
Tsunamitract 1 (Relatively High, 98.4); tract 4 (Relatively Moderate, 95.3); tract 3 (Relatively Moderate, 94.1)
Volcanic Activitytract 2 (Relatively Low, 87.0); tract 1 (Very Low, 84.4); tract 3 (Very Low, 83.8)
Wildfiretract 1 (Relatively Low, 83.4); tract 2 (Relatively Low, 73.7); tract 4 (Very Low, 55.0)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 1 is Census Tract 1). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)1 record, 2022 (1 zone-level)No damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)12 records, 2002 to 2023 (12 zone-level)Coastal Flood, 2009-02-24, $10,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars); NWS zone AKZ161Countywide (zone-level records).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill1 record, 1999 (1 zone-level)13 days; 1 with a recorded value13 consecutive days, 1999-02-01 to 1999-02-13, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)1 record, 1997 (1 zone-level)30 days; 1 with a recorded value30 days (1 month), 1997-06-01 to 1997-06-30, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)1 record, 2018 (1 zone-level)No hail record can stand as this county's largest: the 1 record with a recorded size reached this county only through an NWS zone that covers more than one county, so the hail may have occurred outside this county (zone-level); it is counted as an occurrence.Countywide (zone-level records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)1 record, 2008 (1 zone-level)No damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)6 records, 2001 to 2005 (6 zone-level)Flood, 2003-10-02, $3,200,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars); NWS zone AKZ171Countywide (zone-level records).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)1 record, 2007 (1 zone-level)Debris Flow, 2007-04-21, $1,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars); NWS zone AKZ171Countywide (zone-level records).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)147 records, 1996 to 2026 (147 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 114 kt (131 mph) (median 58 kt (67 mph)); 147 with a recorded value114 kt (131 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2006-03-09; NWS zone AKZ171High Wind, 2002-11-05, $1,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2002 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)0
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)0Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)2 records, 2015 to 2022 (2 zone-level)No damage reported in 2 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)113 records, 1998 to 2025 (113 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 2001-03-23, $25,000 property; crops not reported (2001 dollars); NWS zone AKZ171Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of avalanche, debris flow, lightning, tsunami and volcanic ash, volcanic ashfall.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 7 declarations covering 5 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-04-092020-01-20DR-4533-AKMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countednone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $80,467.23 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3446-AKEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4533
2009-12-182009-10-06DR-1865-AKMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, and RockslidesInland Flooding; Landslide$395,461.68
2002-12-042002-10-23DR-1445-AKMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Coastal Erosion and Tidal SurgeInland Flooding; Winter Weather$32,961.32
2000-02-171999-12-21DR-1316-AKMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and AvalanchesWinter Weather$23,809.41
1995-10-131995-09-18DR-1072-AKMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1989-05-101989-01-15DR-826-AKMajor disasterSevere FreezingCold Waveno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-03-281964-03-28DR-168-AKMajor disasterEarthquakeEarthquake
1955-12-221955-12-22DR-46-AKMajor disasterSevere HardshipOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1954-11-101954-11-10DR-31-AKMajor disasterSevere HardshipOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1953-10-301953-10-30DR-13-AKMajor disasterSevere HardshipOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

7 Fire Management declarations (1970-06-26 to 1996-06-05) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance not placed in any Alaska county: 40 rows, $21,127,378.43; listed on the Alaska state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche1001001996 to 2026-06-30
Coastal Flooding12004001996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave1000101996 to 2026-06-30
Drought1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail1000001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding6000301996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide1000101996 to 2026-06-30
Lightning0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind147309001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 146 High Wind and 1 Strong Wind records.
Tornado0000001950 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1950 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire2001001996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather1130133201996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2009-02-24Coastal Flood$10,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2009 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ161 (BRISTOL BAY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tide
2007-04-21Debris Flow$1,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2007 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ171 (KODIAK PENINSULA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Debris Flow
2006-03-09High Wind114 kt (131 mph) measured gust$2,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2006 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ171 (KODIAK PENINSULA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2003-10-02Flood$3,200,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2003 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ171 (KODIAK PENINSULA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2002-11-05High Wind70 kt (81 mph) estimated$1,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2002 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ171 (KODIAK PENINSULA), zone-levelB1-c most damaging: High Wind and Strong Wind
2001-12-08Blizzarddamage not reported1, 1NWS zone AKZ171 (KODIAK PENINSULA), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2001-03-23Heavy Snow$25,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2001 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AKZ171 (KODIAK PENINSULA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1999-02-01Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0Storm Events area KODIAK ISLAND-EASTERN ALASKA PENINSULA (legacy zone code AKZ018), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1997-06-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0Storm Events area KODIAK ISLAND-EASTERN ALASKA PENINSULA (legacy zone code AKZ020), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (286 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Coastal Flooding0events per year at a location (modeled)none modeledLikelyStorm Events records in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNRI models no coastal flooding event-days here (modeled); Storm Events has a record in 10 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which records events NRI's definition leaves out.
Cold Wave0.0365event-days per yearabout 0.0365 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)0.3822005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI models no drought event-days here (2000 to 2025, 25.25 years; D3 and D4 only); Storm Events has a record in 1 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which counts D2 drought that NRI leaves out.
Earthquake0.127annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 12.7%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail0events per yearnone modeledUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)0.0 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Waveevent-days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)2005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Ice Storm0.0149event-days per yearabout 0.0149 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)01946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.005event-days per yearabout 0.005 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)01996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide55.4events per year (modeled)about 55.4 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning0.837days per year with a strikeabout 0.837 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywideNo Storm Events lightning record, 1996 to 2025
Strong Wind0events per yearnone modeledUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.0000183events per yearabout 1 in 54,547 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunami0.31annual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)chance at the county's most exposed location in a year: 31%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Volcanic Activity0.0255annual probabilityabout 1 in 39 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.0000837annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00837%PossibleStorm Events records in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather3.7event-days per yearabout 3.7 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 26 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (86.7%)39.72005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 20250300
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20250300
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche1 of 541.141.141.1Very Low 1, Not Applicable 4
Coastal Flooding0 of 5No Rating 5
Cold Wave0 of 5No Rating 5
Drought0 of 5No Rating 5
Earthquake5 of 586.697.599.4Very High 3, Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 1
Hail0 of 5No Rating 5
Heat Wave0 of 5Insufficient Data 5
Ice Storm5 of 53.66.225.8Very Low 5
Inland Flooding5 of 50.82.022.6Relatively Low 1, Very Low 4
Landslide5 of 557.584.999.8Relatively High 1, Relatively Low 3, Very Low 1
Lightning2 of 50.62.54.5Very Low 2, No Rating 3
Strong Wind0 of 5No Rating 5
Tornado1 of 50.20.20.2Very Low 1, No Rating 4
Tsunami5 of 586.494.198.4Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 4
Volcanic Activity5 of 581.183.887.0Relatively Low 1, Very Low 4
Wildfire5 of 536.055.083.4Relatively Low 2, Very Low 3
Winter Weather5 of 554.376.893.2Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 3

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for ice storm, lightning and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Kodiak Island BoroughOrganized BoroughApproved, expires 2030-08-14FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$261,803.810 total; 0 since its plan
Akhiok cityCityPlan 109831 approved 2025-08-15, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleno Public Assistance recorded0 total; no approved planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Kodiak cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,134.510 total; 0 since its plan
Larsen Bay cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Old Harbor cityCityPlan 109831 approved 2025-08-15, pending adoption here; not yet eligible$13,510.210 total; no approved planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Ouzinkie cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14$36,449.670 total; 0 since its planAlso approved under plan 108748 (Ouzinkie Native Village and City MJHMP, expires 2029-01-17). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last. No NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Port Lions cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-14no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2025-08-15county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$0n/a1$0n/a$554building exposure is 0 in NRI
Coastal Flooding$0n/a0$0n/a$0building exposure is 0 in NRI
Cold Wave$0$00$0$0$0building exposure is 0 in NRI
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$9,032,184,307n/a13,101$10,400,020n/a$3,114,9840.115%
Hail$5,168,159,505$013,076$0$0$00%
Heat Waven/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Ice Storm$5,168,159,505n/a13,076$78n/a$3,296under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$5,095,999,640$00$669,818$0$0n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$511,990,469n/a814$44,588n/a$186,6500.00871%
Lightning$5,168,159,505n/a13,076$74n/a$707under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$5,168,159,505$013,076$0$0$00%$0
Tornado$5,168,159,505$013,076$1$0under $1under 0.0001%
Tsunami$5,674,117,522n/a3,797$9,462,629n/a$1,398,0310.167%
Volcanic Activity$5,168,159,505n/a13,076under $1n/a$67under 0.0001%
Wildfire$1,177,935,149$03,468$9,658$0$1750.00082%
Winter Weather$5,162,579,440$013,068$18,298$0$25,1450.000354%

Totals since 2025-08-15 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 0 county-coded records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 3 zone-level records, 3 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population13,076
Building value (total, not at risk)$5,168,159,505
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$0
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$20,605,163
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$4,729,608
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Kodiak Island Borough0200160000000
Kodiak city0200170000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Kodiak Island Borough, AK: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 02150). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ak/02150/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: contact@hazardplain.org