Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Tucker County, WV

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
54093
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2029-04-02. Plan: RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653), approved 2024-04-03.

Since the plan was approved on 2024-04-03: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident) and 46 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($3,992,258 a year), Cold Wave ($194,394) and Strong Wind ($74,841).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2029-04-02
Plan:
RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653)
Approved:
2024-04-03
Days to expiry:
915

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-04-03)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): EM-3639-WV (Severe Winter Storm)
Storm Events records since approval:
46 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 18 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 44
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Tucker CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-04-02RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653)2024-04-032029-04-02915this jurisdiction approved 2024-04-10
Davis townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-02RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653)2024-04-032029-04-02915this jurisdiction approved 2024-04-10
Hambleton townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-02RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653)2024-04-032029-04-02915this jurisdiction approved 2024-04-16
Hendricks townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-02RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653)2024-04-032029-04-02915this jurisdiction approved 2024-04-16
Parsons cityCityApproved, expires 2029-04-02RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653)2024-04-032029-04-02915this jurisdiction approved 2024-04-16
Thomas cityCityApproved, expires 2029-04-02RPDC 07 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 109653)2024-04-032029-04-02915this jurisdiction approved 2024-04-09

Plan 109653 covers 25 other participants, named in the Excel file.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowVery Low$3,965,832$80$26,347$3,992,25844
2Cold WaveVery LowRelatively Low$6,743$1,473$186,178$194,39414
3Strong WindVery LowVery Low$42,839$404$31,597$74,84197Includes 19 High Wind and 12 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
4HailVery LowVery Low$44,901$205$7,588$52,69424
5HurricaneVery LowVery Low$44,633$926$1,193$46,7520Declared 3 times; no Storm Events record of this type.
6LightningVery LowVery Low$2,774n/a$42,450$45,2240No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7TornadoVery LowVery Low$20,237$26$21,949$42,2120Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
8Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$18,946$1$4,356$23,303102
9DroughtVery LowVery Lown/a$17,796n/a$17,7967
10EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$13,041n/a$2,680$15,721Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11LandslideRelatively LowRelatively Low$482n/a$10,354$10,8350Declared 9 times; no Storm Events record of this type.
12Ice StormVery LowVery Low$4,469n/a$755$5,2242
13AvalancheRelatively LowVery Lowunder $1n/a$2,677$2,6770No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14WildfireVery LowVery Low$2,104$1$552$2,6580No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
15Heat WaveVery LowVery Lowunder $1under $1$707$7070No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local lightning, landslide and wildfire records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 9654 (Very Low, 59.6); tract 9652 (Very Low, 57.9); tract 9653 (Very Low, 57.4)
Earthquaketract 9654 (Very Low, 24.9); tract 9653 (Very Low, 21.4); tract 9652 (Very Low, 16.0)
Hurricanetract 9653 (Relatively Low, 58.1); tract 9654 (Relatively Low, 57.0); tract 9652 (Relatively Low, 54.0)
Landslidetract 9652 (Relatively Moderate, 97.3); tract 9654 (Relatively Low, 95.5); tract 9653 (Relatively Low, 94.9)
Tornadotract 9654 (Relatively Low, 30.7); tract 9653 (Relatively Low, 29.6); tract 9652 (Very Low, 27.3)
Wildfiretract 9654 (Relatively Low, 73.1); tract 9652 (Very Low, 65.3); tract 9653 (Very Low, 57.8)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9654 is Census Tract 9654). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)0
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill14 records, 2016 to 2026 (14 zone-level)1 day to 3 days (median 2 days); 14 with a recorded value3 consecutive days, 2025-01-20 to 2025-01-22, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)7 records, 2024 (7 zone-level)152 days; 1 with a recorded value152 days (about 5.0 months), 2024-07-02 to 2024-11-30, a run of 7 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)34 records, 1960 to 20190.75 in to 1.75 in (median 0.88 in); 34 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2019-06-02; same size also recorded on 2002-04-28, 2008-06-10, 2019-06-02Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Davis town (8 records), Parsons city (4 records), Hendricks town (1 record), Thomas city (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)2 records, 2022 to 2024 (2 zone-level)No damage reported in 2 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)44 records, 1996 to 2025Flood, 2010-01-25, $50,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Parsons city (12 records), Hendricks town (3 records), Thomas city (2 records), Davis town (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)31 records, 2015 to 2026 (31 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 64 kt (74 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 31 with a recorded value64 kt (74 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2019-02-24; NWS zone WVZ514High Wind, 2024-01-12, $50,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)85 records, 1980 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 91 kt (105 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 57 with a recorded value91 kt (105 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2014-07-27Thunderstorm Wind, 2009-02-11, $75,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Parsons city (13 records), Thomas city (5 records), Davis town (3 records), Hambleton town (2 records), Hendricks town (1 record).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)3 records, 1954 to 1992F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF0); 3 with a recorded valueF1 tornado, 1985-07-08, 0.7 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide, damage not recorded (pre-1996 record)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)102 records, 2016 to 2026 (102 zone-level)No damage reported in 102 records.Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of avalanche, debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 24 declarations covering 19 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-01-242026-01-23EM-3639-WVEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-04-032020-01-20DR-4517-WVMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3450-WVEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4517
2019-08-022019-06-29DR-4455-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide$29,512.66
2017-08-182017-07-28DR-4331-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslideno Public Assistance recorded
2015-03-312015-03-03DR-4210-WVMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$183,872.18
2012-11-272012-10-29DR-4093-WVMajor disasterHurricane SandyHurricane$114,672.38
2012-10-292012-10-29EM-3358-WVEmergencyHurricane SandyHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4093
2012-07-232012-06-29DR-4071-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms and Straight-Line WindsStrong Wind$10,228.19
2012-06-302012-06-29EM-3345-WVEmergencySevere StormsHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4071
2010-04-232010-02-05DR-1903-WVMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsWinter Weather$14,892.61
2008-06-192008-06-03DR-1769-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Mudslides, andInland Flooding; Landslide; Tornado$18,896.26
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3221-WVEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2003-09-232003-09-18DR-1496-WVMajor disasterHurricane IsabelHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2003-06-212003-06-11DR-1474-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and LandslidesInland Flooding; Landslideno Public Assistance recorded
2003-03-142003-02-16DR-1455-WVMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snow, Heavy Rains, Flooding and LandslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$24,021.04
2000-02-282000-02-18DR-1319-WVMajor disasterFlooding, Severe Storms, and LandslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslideno Public Assistance recorded
1996-09-111996-09-05DR-1137-WVMajor disasterHurricane Fran and Associated Heavy Rains,Flooding HighwindHurricane; Inland Flooding; Landslideno Public Assistance recorded
1996-05-231996-05-15DR-1115-WVMajor disasterFlooding, Heavy WindsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1996-01-251996-01-19DR-1096-WVMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslideno Public Assistance recorded
1996-01-131996-01-06DR-1084-WVMajor disasterBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1993-03-171993-03-13EM-3109-WVEmergencySevere Snowfall & Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1985-11-071985-11-03DR-753-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1967-03-131967-03-13DR-224-WVMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-03-201964-03-20DR-165-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1963-03-131963-03-13DR-147-WVMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1962-03-091962-03-09DR-125-WVMajor disasterSevere Storm, High Tides & FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Coastal Flooding
1961-07-231961-07-23DR-117-WVMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1957-01-311957-01-31DR-67-WVMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1954-08-041954-08-04DR-21-WVMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave14508001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought7707001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail34000001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane0000301996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 3 federal declared incidents (see declarations table)
Ice Storm2012001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding441011201996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000901996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 9 federal declared incidents (see declarations table)
Lightning0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind11614736101955 to 2026-06-30Includes 19 High Wind and 12 Strong Wind records.
Tornado3000101950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather102191954611996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-01-20Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone WVZ514 (EASTERN TUCKER), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2024-07-02Drought$0 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone WVZ514 (EASTERN TUCKER), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2024-01-12High Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust$50,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone WVZ514 (EASTERN TUCKER), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c most damaging: High Wind and Strong Wind
2019-06-02Hail1.75 indamage not reported0, 0RED CREEKB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2019-02-24High Wind64 kt (74 mph) measured gustdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone WVZ514 (EASTERN TUCKER), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2014-07-27Thunderstorm Wind91 kt (105 mph) estimated gust$50,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0MOOREB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2010-01-25Flood$50,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)0, 0PORTERWOODB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2009-02-11Thunderstorm Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust$75,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars)0, 0BUENAlarge reported damage
2009-02-11Thunderstorm Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust$75,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars)0, 0HANNAHSVILLEB1-c most damaging: Thunderstorm Wind
2008-06-04Thunderstorm Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust$50,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars)0, 0ST GEORGElarge reported damage
2008-06-04Thunderstorm Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust$75,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars)0, 0ST GEORGElarge reported damage
1985-07-08TornadoF1, 0.7 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd widedamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (322 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Cold Wave5.42event-days per yearabout 5.42 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)1032005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought5.21event-days per yearabout 5.21 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)1402000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000608annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0608%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1.74events per yearabout 1.74 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)66.2 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave0.055event-days per yearabout 0.055 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)2.042005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.0178events per yearabout 1 in 56 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.275event-days per yearabout 0.275 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)191946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.18event-days per yearabout 1.18 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)331996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.649events per year (modeled)about 0.65 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning41.7days per year with a strikeabout 41.7 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.56events per yearabout 1.56 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)601986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.0579events per yearabout 1 in 17 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000286annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0286%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather26.5event-days per yearabout 26.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)5022005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202512300.4
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202553301.77
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20251300.0333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20259300.3
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20250300
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche3 of 357.457.959.6Very Low 3
Cold Wave3 of 354.562.064.8Relatively Moderate 3
Drought2 of 388.088.288.5Relatively Low 2, No Rating 1
Earthquake3 of 316.021.424.9Very Low 3
Hail3 of 364.071.672.1Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1
Heat Wave3 of 31.91.92.0Very Low 3
Hurricane3 of 354.057.058.1Relatively Low 3
Ice Storm3 of 325.727.529.6Very Low 3
Inland Flooding3 of 380.387.596.1Very High 1, Relatively High 2
Landslide3 of 394.995.597.3Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 2
Lightning3 of 355.860.774.2Relatively Moderate 3
Strong Wind3 of 359.567.869.8Relatively Moderate 3
Tornado3 of 327.329.630.7Relatively Low 2, Very Low 1
Wildfire3 of 357.865.373.1Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2
Winter Weather3 of 372.281.683.9Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 1

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

This county has 3 census tracts; the minimum, median and maximum come from those 3.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Tucker CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-04-02FMA RL 0, SRL 6; any 9$193,790.330 total; 0 since its plan
Davis townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-02FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$12,986.6112 total; 0 since its plan
Hambleton townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-02FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,738.432 total; 0 since its plan
Hendricks townTownApproved, expires 2029-04-02FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 7$1,474.135 total; 0 since its plan
Parsons cityCityApproved, expires 2029-04-02FMA RL 0, SRL 11; any 28$53,312.4029 total; 0 since its plan
Thomas cityCityApproved, expires 2029-04-02FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$84,465.918 total; 1 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2024-04-03county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$449,649n/a1under $1n/a$2,677under 0.0001%
Cold Wave$1,739,477,860$2,442,6066,762$6,743$1,473$186,1780.000388%$0
Droughtn/a$552,672n/an/a$17,796n/a3.22% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$2,805,449,247n/a6,762$13,041n/a$2,6800.000465%
Hail$1,739,477,860$2,442,6066,762$44,901$205$7,5880.00258%
Heat Wave$1,739,477,860$2,442,6066,762under $1under $1$707under 0.0001%
Hurricane$1,714,005,299$2,357,7676,591$44,633$926$1,1930.0026%
Ice Storm$1,737,808,114n/a6,754$4,469n/a$7550.000257%
Inland Flooding$1,734,850,998$912,920676$3,965,832$80$26,347n/a (see note)$5,000NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$245,048,321n/a1,147$482n/a$10,3540.000197%
Lightning$1,739,477,860n/a6,762$2,774n/a$42,4500.000159%
Strong Wind$1,739,477,860$2,442,6066,762$42,839$404$31,5970.00246%$28,000$0
Tornado$1,739,477,860$2,442,6066,762$20,237$26$21,9490.00116%
Wildfire$215,458,610$518,2471,239$2,104$1$5520.000977%
Winter Weather$1,739,477,860$2,442,6066,762$18,946$1$4,3560.00109%$0no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)

Totals since 2024-04-03 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 10 county-coded records, 10 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $33,000; 36 zone-level records, 35 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: none recorded on the 1 counted declaration.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population6,762
Building value (total, not at risk)$1,739,477,860
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$2,442,606
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$4,187,912
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$339,383
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively High
Community resilience ratingRelatively High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)18
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition35Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition11

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total01835114444
of which: Tucker County (unincorporated area)0633930
of which: Hendricks town0170700
of which: Parsons city0112582814

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Tucker County5401910633930
Davis town5402600000000
Hambleton town5401920000000
Hendricks town5401930170700
Parsons city5401940112582814
Thomas city5402610000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0111842644
2 to 4 unit residential0010100
other residential0000000
non-residential071671700
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 35 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Tucker County, WV: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 54093). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/wv/54093/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]