Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Parker County, TX

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
48367
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Expired on 2026-05-04. Plan: Parker County (FEMA plan 106014), approved 2021-05-05.

Since the plan was approved on 2021-05-05: no new hazard declaration and 212 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Tornado ($18,112,304 a year), Inland Flooding ($17,058,864) and Wildfire ($6,208,524).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Expired on 2026-05-04
Plan:
Parker County (FEMA plan 106014)
Approved:
2021-05-05
Days since expiry:
149
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

Until a new plan is approved, FEMA mitigation project grants (HMGP, FMA) need a FEMA exception (44 CFR 201.6(a)(3)).

What changed since your last plan (approved 2021-05-05)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
212 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 1, SRL 5 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 19
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Parker CountyCountyExpired on 2026-05-04Parker County (FEMA plan 106014)2021-05-052026-05-04-149
Aledo cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04Parker County (FEMA plan 106014)2021-05-052026-05-04-149
Azle cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22Tarrant County (FEMA plan 110401)2025-12-232030-12-221,544this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-11
Cresson cityCityExpired on 2026-06-03Hood County (FEMA plan 106010)2021-06-042026-06-03-119
Fort Worth cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22Tarrant County (FEMA plan 110401)2025-12-232030-12-221,544this jurisdiction approved 2026-09-10
Hudson Oaks cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04Parker County (FEMA plan 106014)2021-05-052026-05-04-149
Mineral Wells cityCityExpired on 2026-06-29Palo Pinto County (FEMA plan 106013)2021-06-302026-06-29-93
Springtown cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04Parker County (FEMA plan 106014)2021-05-052026-05-04-149
Weatherford cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04Parker County (FEMA plan 106014)2021-05-052026-05-04-149
Willow Park cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04Parker County (FEMA plan 106014)2021-05-052026-05-04-149

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1TornadoRelatively HighRelatively High$4,016,762$2,873$14,092,670$18,112,30428
2Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Moderate$15,941,000$184,711$933,154$17,058,86475
3WildfireRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$5,508,104$3,117$697,303$6,208,5249
4Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively High$89,406$68,606$5,031,011$5,189,0239
5Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$284$346$3,474,324$3,474,95457
6HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,119,405$965$212,330$1,332,701401
7LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$44,300n/a$488,875$533,1758
8Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$147,899$216$137,888$286,003191Includes 3 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
9Ice StormRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$17,555n/a$244,887$262,4427
10EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$138,488n/a$57,903$196,391Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11HurricaneVery LowVery Low$38,745$14,520$1,978$55,2440Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
12DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$44,357n/a$44,35786
13Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$41,810$101$2,368$44,27936
14LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$731n/a$3,758$4,4890No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 1404.03 (Very Low, 36.0); tract 1405.02 (Very Low, 35.5); tract 1402.02 (Very Low, 35.1)
Hurricanetract 1406.03 (Very Low, 47.5); tract 1406.01 (Very Low, 44.7); tract 1405.02 (Very Low, 43.9)
Landslidetract 1406.03 (Relatively Low, 92.4); tract 1406.01 (Relatively Low, 90.9); tract 1405.02 (Relatively Low, 87.5)
Tornadotract 1406.03 (Very High, 99.7); tract 1406.01 (Very High, 99.3); tract 1407.11 (Very High, 99.0)
Wildfiretract 1406.01 (Relatively High, 98.7); tract 1406.03 (Relatively High, 98.4); tract 1405.02 (Relatively High, 98.2)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 1404.03 is Census Tract 1404.03). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill9 records, 1997 to 2026 (9 zone-level)1 day to 6 days (median 3 days); 8 with a recorded value6 consecutive days, 2021-02-14 to 2021-02-19, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)86 records, 1996 to 2023 (86 zone-level)14 days to 416 days (median 56.5 days); 24 with a recorded value416 days (about 13.7 months), 2014-03-11 to 2015-04-30, a run of 14 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 2006-10-01, $500,000 property; $500,000 crops (zone total, 2006 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)567 records, 1959 to 20260.75 in to 4.5 in (median 1 in); 567 with a recorded value4.5 in hail, 1993-10-17; same size also recorded on 1980-04-02Hail, 1995-05-05, $4,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Weatherford city (134 records), Springtown city (44 records), Aledo city (42 records), Willow Park city (2 records), Azle city (1 record), Cresson city (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)57 records, 1998 to 2026 (57 zone-level)1 day to 85 days (median 3 days); 35 with a recorded valueJuly 2000 to September 2000 (3 monthly summary records), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)7 records, 1998 to 2023 (7 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2015-03-04, $20,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars); NWS zone TXZ117Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)75 records, 1996 to 2026 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2004-06-09, $7,500,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Weatherford city (25 records), Springtown city (8 records), Aledo city (6 records). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)8 records, 2001 to 2025Lightning, 2016-03-08, $300,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Weatherford city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)6 records, 2006 to 2017 (6 zone-level)30 kt (35 mph) to 60 kt (69 mph) (median 48 kt (55 mph)); 6 with a recorded value60 kt (69 mph) estimated sustained, High Wind, 2006-05-03; NWS zone TXZ117Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)275 records, 1959 to 202643 kt (49 mph) to 87 kt (100 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 203 with a recorded value87 kt (100 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2026-04-25, 1 direct death; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2025-04-19Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Weatherford city (57 records), Springtown city (34 records), Aledo city (19 records), Azle city (1 record), Willow Park city (1 record).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)77 records, 1955 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF1); 77 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 1990-04-25, 10 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 880 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1990 dollars)Tornado, 1982-05-12, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1982 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Weatherford city (7 records), Aledo city (3 records), Springtown city (2 records).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)9 records, 1996 to 2012 (8 zone-level)Wildfire, 2008-01-29, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars); NWS zone TXZ117No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (8) apply countywide.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)36 records, 1996 to 2026 (36 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2026-01-23, $2,000,000 property; $0 crops (2026 dollars); NWS zone TXZ117Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 26 declarations covering 18 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2021-02-192021-02-11DR-4586-TXMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Storm$128,456.09in the 12 months before plan approval
2021-02-142021-02-11EM-3554-TXEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedin the 12 months before plan approvalsame incident as DR-4586
2020-03-252020-01-20DR-4485-TXMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$400,374.90
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3458-TXEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4485
2016-06-112016-05-22DR-4272-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$15,822.71FEMA's declaration record does not list Public Assistance, but FEMA's PA project summaries show obligations for this county
2016-04-252016-04-17DR-4269-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2016-03-192016-03-07DR-4266-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado$18,618.39
2015-05-292015-05-04DR-4223-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$1,204,802.33
2008-09-102008-09-07EM-3294-TXEmergencyHurricane IkeHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2008-03-142008-03-14EM-3284-TXEmergencyWildfiresWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2007-06-292007-06-16DR-1709-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$186,549.55
2006-01-112005-11-27DR-1624-TXMajor disasterExtreme Wildfire ThreatWildfire$42,544.91
2005-09-242005-09-23DR-1606-TXMajor disasterHurricane RitaHurricane: evacuation support (county designated for sheltering evacuees, no Individual Assistance), not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-212005-09-20EM-3261-TXEmergencyHurricane RitaHurricane: evacuation support (county designated for sheltering evacuees, no Individual Assistance), not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1606
2005-09-022005-08-29EM-3216-TXEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted$228,318.65
2003-02-012003-02-01EM-3171-TXEmergencyLoss of the Space Shuttle ColumbiaNon-natural, not counted$19,013.19
2000-10-032000-10-02FM-2344-TXFire managementTx - Quail Run Fire - 10/03/00Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1999-09-011999-08-01EM-3142-TXEmergencyExtreme Fire HazardsWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1998-08-261998-08-22DR-1239-TXMajor disasterTropical Storm CharleyHurricane; Inland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
1996-02-231996-02-23EM-3117-TXEmergencyExtreme Fire HazardWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1993-09-101993-08-30EM-3113-TXEmergencyExtreme Fire HazardDrought (primary); also designated: Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1991-12-261991-12-20DR-930-TXMajor disasterSevere ThunderstormsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1990-05-021990-04-15DR-863-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1989-05-191989-05-04DR-828-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1981-10-231981-10-23DR-648-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1974-11-301974-11-30DR-454-TXMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1998-06-231998-06-04EM-3127-TXEmergencyFireWildfire
1963-09-241963-09-24DR-159-TXMajor disasterHurricane CindyHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1961-09-161961-09-16DR-118-TXMajor disasterHurricane CarlaHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1960-07-151960-07-15DR-103-TXMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Hail, Floods & TornadoesHail; Inland Flooding; Tornado
1959-07-081959-07-08DR-93-TXMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1958-06-061958-06-06DR-85-TXMajor disasterTornadoes, Rain, Hail & FloodsTornado (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding
1957-04-291957-04-29DR-72-TXMajor disasterHurricane, Rain, Wind, Hail & FloodsHurricane (primary); also designated: Hail, Inland Flooding
1954-07-011954-07-01DR-18-TXMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1953-06-191953-06-19DR-9-TXMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1953-05-151953-05-15DR-2-TXMajor disasterTornado & Heavy RainfallTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

91 Fire Management declarations (1988-03-12 to 2009-04-10) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance not placed in any Texas county: 1 row, $902,084.65; listed on the Texas state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave9616001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought8615215101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail567952488001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave5736835001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Ice Storm7101101996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding7510061001996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning8101001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind28133333101955 to 2026-06-30Includes 3 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records.
Tornado7711011501950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire9000601996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather36414001996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-04-25Thunderstorm Wind87 kt (100 mph) estimated gust$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2026 dollars)1, 0SPRINGTOWN ARPT to SPRINGTOWNnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2023-07-07Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2023 dollars)1, 0NWS zone TXZ117 (PARKER), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2021-02-14Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$1,250,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ117 (PARKER), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approvalB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2016-03-08Lightning$300,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)0, 0COOLB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2015-03-04Ice Storm$20,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2015 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ117 (PARKER), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2011-08-06Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)1, 0NWS zone TXZ117 (PARKER), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2008-01-29Wildfire$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ117 (PARKER), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2006-05-03High Wind60 kt (69 mph) estimated sustained$50,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2006 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TXZ117 (PARKER), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2004-06-09Flash Flood$7,500,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)0, 0COUNTYWIDEB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2000-07-01Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TXZ117 (PARKER), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1993-10-17Hail4.5 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0Horseshoe BendB1-c worst recorded: Hail
1990-04-25TornadoF4, 10 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 880 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1990 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,212 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave1.05event-days per yearabout 1.05 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)202005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought42.3event-days per yearabout 42.3 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 18 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (60%)1,6102000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000638annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0638%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail9.24events per yearabout 9.24 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)351.0 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave15.2event-days per yearabout 15.2 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 11 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (36.7%)2412005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0143events per yearabout 1 in 70 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)61851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.905event-days per yearabout 0.905 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)611946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.5event-days per yearabout 1.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 19 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (63.3%)421996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.181events per year (modeled)about 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning51.4days per year with a strikeabout 51.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind3.69events per yearabout 3.69 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1411986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.838events per yearabout 0.84 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0058annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.58%LikelyStorm Events records in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather4.84event-days per yearabout 4.84 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 21 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (70%)922005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 2025242308.07
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 202537301.23
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025131304.37
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202524300.8
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202524300.8
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202526300.867
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave29 of 2966.178.992.4Relatively High 19, Relatively Moderate 10
Drought15 of 2974.278.387.7Relatively Low 7, Very Low 8, No Rating 14
Earthquake29 of 299.720.436.0Very Low 29
Hail29 of 2967.680.989.2Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 26, Relatively Low 1
Heat Wave29 of 2967.081.193.3Relatively High 9, Relatively Moderate 20
Hurricane29 of 2928.238.447.5Very Low 29
Ice Storm29 of 2951.765.084.8Relatively Moderate 7, Relatively Low 22
Inland Flooding29 of 2910.444.988.5Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 10, Relatively Low 16, Very Low 2
Landslide29 of 2957.078.792.4Relatively Low 11, Very Low 18
Lightning29 of 2945.662.485.4Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 24, Relatively Low 4
Strong Wind29 of 2922.434.153.0Relatively Low 29
Tornado29 of 2987.296.499.7Very High 21, Relatively High 8
Wildfire29 of 2979.295.398.7Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 17, Relatively Low 2
Winter Weather29 of 2924.337.253.3Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 25

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Parker CountyCountyExpired on 2026-05-04FMA RL 0, SRL 4; any 15$929,407.820 total; 0 since its planIncludes $238,264.19 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3171-TX, EM-3216-TX).
Aledo cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$75070 total; 9 since its plan
Azle cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$18,643.582 total; 0 since its planIncludes $18,643.58 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4485-TX, EM-3216-TX).
Cresson cityCityExpired on 2026-06-03FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded1 total; 0 since its plan
Fort Worth cityCityApproved, expires 2030-12-22FMA RL 2, SRL 8; any 62no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Hudson Oaks cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$12,242.190 total; 0 since its plan
Mineral Wells cityCityExpired on 2026-06-29FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 5no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planWhole community, including the part in Palo Pinto County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Springtown cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$510,763.4688 total; 10 since its plan
Weatherford cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$79,842.72224 total; 29 since its plan
Willow Park cityCityExpired on 2026-05-04FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded3 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets
  • Texas A&M Forest Service TxWRAP for wildfire risk; Texas State Hazard Mitigation Plan hazard list for B1-a exclusions.

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2021-05-05county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$27,725,830,165$83,739,708148,033$89,406$68,606$5,031,0110.000322%$0
Droughtn/a$10,804,130n/an/a$44,357n/a0.411% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$48,661,374,644n/a148,222$138,488n/a$57,9030.000285%
Hail$27,725,830,165$83,739,708148,033$1,119,405$965$212,3300.00404%$2,005,000
Heat Wave$27,725,830,165$83,739,708148,033$284$346$3,474,324under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$27,498,701,953$82,777,797147,135$38,745$14,520$1,9780.000141%
Ice Storm$27,716,436,060n/a147,897$17,555n/a$244,887under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$27,705,794,468$13,295,7934,530$15,941,000$184,711$933,154n/a (see note)$307,000NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$256,726,056n/a1,358$731n/a$3,7580.000285%
Lightning$27,725,830,165n/a148,033$44,300n/a$488,8750.00016%$5,000
Strong Wind$27,725,830,165$83,739,708148,033$147,899$216$137,8880.000533%$1,701,000
Tornado$27,725,830,165$83,739,708148,033$4,016,762$2,873$14,092,6700.0145%$3,587,000
Wildfire$9,966,663,427$71,112,82187,848$5,508,104$3,117$697,3030.0553%
Winter Weather$27,725,830,165$83,739,708148,033$41,810$101$2,3680.000151%$2,000,000

Totals since 2021-05-05 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 150 county-coded records, 149 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $7,605,000; 62 zone-level records, 60 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $2,000,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population148,033
Building value (total, not at risk)$27,725,830,165
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$83,739,708
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$27,424,301
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$25,378,450
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)5
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition18Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition5

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total151851907
of which: Parker County (unincorporated area)041541507
of which: Springtown city0010100
of which: Weatherford city0010100
of which: Sanctuary city (community ID not in plan data)1111200
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file381271319

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Parker County480520041541507
Aledo city4816590000000
Azle city4805840000000
Cresson city4801770000000
Fort Worth city4805962861762111Whole community, including the part in Tarrant County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Hudson Oaks city4801470000000
Mineral Wells city4805170050501Whole community, including the part in Palo Pinto County; none of its repeat-flood properties are in this county.
Springtown city4805210010100
Weatherford city4805220010100
Willow Park city4811640000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential151851907
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0000000
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 1 property is FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 18 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Parker County, TX: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 48367). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/tx/48367/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]