Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Campbell County, TN

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
47013
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Expired on 2026-09-20. Plan: Campbell County (FEMA plan 107276), approved 2021-09-21.

Update: FEMA tracker shows a plan in review.

Since the plan was approved on 2021-09-21: 4 new hazard declarations (3 incidents): DR-4712-TN (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornado), EM-3625-TN (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), EM-3635-TN (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4898-TN (Severe Winter Storm).

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 45 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($7,550,210 a year), Tornado ($1,786,633) and Cold Wave ($1,605,157).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 1, SRL 2 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 11.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Expired on 2026-09-20
Plan:
Campbell County (FEMA plan 107276)
Approved:
2021-09-21
Days since expiry:
10
Update underway:
FEMA tracker shows a plan in review

Until a new plan is approved, FEMA mitigation project grants (HMGP, FMA) need a FEMA exception (44 CFR 201.6(a)(3)).

What changed since your last plan (approved 2021-09-21)

New federal declarations:
4 new hazard declarations (3 incidents): DR-4712-TN (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornado), EM-3625-TN (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), EM-3635-TN (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4898-TN (Severe Winter Storm)
Storm Events records since approval:
45 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 1, SRL 2 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 11
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underway
Campbell County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedExpired on 2026-09-20Campbell County (FEMA plan 107276)2021-09-212026-09-20-10FEMA tracker shows a plan in review
Caryville townTownExpired on 2026-09-20Campbell County (FEMA plan 107276)2021-09-212026-09-20-10FEMA tracker shows a plan in review
Jacksboro townTownExpired on 2026-09-20Campbell County (FEMA plan 107276)2021-09-212026-09-20-10FEMA tracker shows a plan in review
Jellico cityCityExpired on 2026-09-20Campbell County (FEMA plan 107276)2021-09-212026-09-20-10FEMA tracker shows a plan in review
La Follette cityCityExpired on 2026-09-20Campbell County (FEMA plan 107276)2021-09-212026-09-20-10FEMA tracker shows a plan in review

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$7,491,068$15,293$43,849$7,550,21032
2TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$704,758$133$1,081,742$1,786,6331
3Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$205$3,320$1,601,632$1,605,1570No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
4EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$684,366n/a$216,213$900,580Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
5Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$108,568$17,325$627,240$753,134192Includes 6 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$20,662n/a$244,904$265,5660No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$185,556$112$62,331$247,9990No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
8HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$185,654$1,729$37,707$225,08943
9Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$68,683under $1$87,095$155,77951
10Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$60,932n/a$8,066$68,9984
11LandslideRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$7,255n/a$60,946$68,2000Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$25,893$560$932$27,3850No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13Heat WaveVery LowVery Low$1under $1$8,993$8,9940No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14DroughtVery LowVery Lown/a$4,207n/a$4,2071

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local lightning, wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9505 (Relatively Moderate, 79.6); tract 9506.01 (Relatively Moderate, 78.8); tract 9511 (Relatively Low, 77.6)
Hurricanetract 9511 (Very Low, 47.8); tract 9505 (Very Low, 47.7); tract 9504 (Very Low, 45.9)
Landslidetract 9504 (Relatively Moderate, 99.2); tract 9501 (Relatively Moderate, 99.1); tract 9511 (Relatively Moderate, 97.7)
Tornadotract 9511 (Relatively High, 88.4); tract 9505 (Relatively High, 87.6); tract 9504 (Relatively High, 83.5)
Wildfiretract 9502 (Relatively Moderate, 94.0); tract 9508 (Relatively Moderate, 92.9); tract 9503 (Relatively Moderate, 92.7)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9505 is Census Tract 9505). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)1 record, 1998 (1 zone-level)30 days; 1 with a recorded value30 days (1 month), 1998-09-01 to 1998-09-30, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)45 records, 1964 to 20250.75 in to 4.25 in (median 1 in); 45 with a recorded value4.25 in hail, 2007-06-15Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Jellico city (9 records), La Follette city (7 records), Jacksboro town (5 records), Caryville town (3 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)4 records, 1998 to 2015 (4 zone-level)No damage reported in 4 records.Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)32 records, 1996 to 2026 (4 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2019-06-07, $6,400,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: La Follette city (5 records), Jacksboro town (4 records), Caryville town (1 record), Jellico city (1 record). Zone-level records (4) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)6 records, 1996 to 2024 (6 zone-level)50 kt (58 mph) to 54 kt (62 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 4 with a recorded value54 kt (62 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2022-03-31; NWS zone TNZ013High Wind, 1996-01-23, $5,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1996 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)208 records, 1964 to 202550 kt (58 mph) to 65 kt (75 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 154 with a recorded value65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2020-01-11; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2004-05-26, 2004-06-12, 2004-06-17, 2004-07-13, 2004-07-14, 2005-06-14, 2005-06-27, 2006-07-04Thunderstorm Wind, 1994-07-18, $50,000 property; $50,000 crops (1994 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: La Follette city (44 records), Jacksboro town (18 records), Caryville town (10 records), Jellico city (8 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)1 record, 2014F/EF3; 1 with a recorded valueEF3 tornado, 2014-07-27, 2.85 mi within this county, 800 yd wide, damage not reportedNo event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)51 records, 1996 to 2026 (51 zone-level)No damage reported in 51 records.Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 25 declarations covering 21 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-02-062026-01-22DR-4898-TNMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2026-01-242026-01-22EM-3635-TNEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4898
2025-04-022025-04-02EM-3625-TNEmergencySevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2023-05-172023-03-01DR-4712-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoStrong Wind; Tornado$123,748.74new since last plan; within last 5 years
2021-05-082021-03-25DR-4601-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$443,972.09in the 12 months before plan approval
2020-04-242020-04-12DR-4541-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$9,492.12
2020-04-022020-01-20DR-4514-TNMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countednone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $12,046,725.04 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3473-TNEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4514
2019-04-172019-02-19DR-4427-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide$352,375.97
2015-04-022015-02-15DR-4211-TNMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and FloodingIce Storm$142,298.75
2011-05-012011-04-25DR-1974-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Associated FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$153,276.57
2010-05-042010-04-30DR-1909-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$46,633.20
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3217-TNEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2004-10-072004-09-16DR-1568-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$2,687,209.06
2003-05-082003-05-04DR-1464-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$81,839.03
2003-03-202003-02-14DR-1456-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$207,479.70
1999-01-151998-12-23DR-1260-TNMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$185,520.07
1998-04-201998-04-16DR-1215-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1998-01-131998-01-06DR-1197-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1994-02-281994-02-09DR-1010-TNMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingIce Storm; Inland Flooding; Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1993-03-141993-03-13EM-3095-TNEmergencySevere Snowfall, Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1984-05-251984-05-06DR-708-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1977-04-291977-04-29DR-533-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1973-06-281973-06-28DR-395-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1972-05-151972-05-15DR-331-TNMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1963-03-271963-03-27DR-151-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 2 rows, $41,674.69

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4189-TN2014-08-13Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingLaFollette Utilities Board$14,504.15
DR-4005-TN2011-07-20Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, andLaFollette Utilities Board$27,170.54

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any Tennessee county: 5 rows, $12,113,670.26; listed on the Tennessee state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Drought1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail45515001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm4000201996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding325251611996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind21424524521955 to 2026-06-30Includes 6 High Wind records.
Tornado1000821950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather5111511411996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2023-03-03High Wind52 kt (60 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported1, 0NWS zone TNZ013 (CAMPBELL), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2022-03-31High Wind54 kt (62 mph) measured gustdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TNZ013 (CAMPBELL), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2021-03-28Flash Flood$353,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars)0, 0LA FOLLETTE to DUFFin the 12 months before plan approvallarge reported damage
2020-01-11Thunderstorm Wind65 kt (75 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 0JACKSBOROB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2019-06-07Flash Flood$6,400,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)0, 0LA FOLLETTEB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2014-07-27TornadoEF3, 2.85 mi within this county, 800 yd widedamage not reported0, 0WELL SPGB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
2007-06-15Hail4.25 in$0 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)0, 0WHITE OAKB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2004-07-14Thunderstorm Wind65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust$50,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)0, 0WELL SPGlarge reported damage
2003-06-18Flash Flood$100,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)0, 0COUNTYWIDElarge reported damage
1998-09-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TNZ013 (CAMPBELL), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
1996-01-23High Windspeed not recorded$5,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1996 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ013 (CAMPBELL), zone-levelB1-c most damaging: High Wind and Strong Wind
1994-07-18Thunderstorm Windspeed not recorded$50,000 property; $50,000 crops (1994 dollars)0, 0La FolletteB1-c most damaging: Thunderstorm Wind

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (348 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave1.11event-days per yearabout 1.11 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)212005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought13.2event-days per yearabout 13.2 days per yearPossible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)3992000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00309annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.309%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail3.01events per yearabout 3.01 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)114.4 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave0.105event-days per yearabout 0.105 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)22005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.0176events per yearabout 1 in 57 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)31851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.388event-days per yearabout 0.388 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 4 of 30 years)event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)271946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.929event-days per yearabout 0.929 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 15 of 30 years)event-days in 15 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (50%)261996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide1.84events per year (modeled)about 1.84 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning55.5days per year with a strikeabout 55.5 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind5.41events per yearabout 5.41 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)2061986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.175events per yearabout 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.00769annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.769%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather8.63event-days per yearabout 8.63 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 22 of 30 years)event-days in 22 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (73.3%)1642005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202523300.767
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20251300.0333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025145304.83
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20259300.3
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202532301.07
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20250300
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave13 of 1362.776.289.9Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 8
Drought4 of 1377.480.482.5Relatively Low 3, Very Low 1, No Rating 9
Earthquake13 of 1339.067.479.6Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 10, Very Low 1
Hail13 of 1355.566.281.2Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 7
Heat Wave13 of 132.02.22.9Very Low 13
Hurricane13 of 1335.940.047.8Very Low 13
Ice Storm13 of 1333.953.477.8Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 10
Inland Flooding13 of 1327.061.984.6Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 4
Landslide13 of 1374.194.299.2Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 4, Very Low 4
Lightning13 of 1355.173.092.0Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 9
Strong Wind13 of 1373.984.894.7Relatively High 9, Relatively Moderate 4
Tornado13 of 1355.367.788.4Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 9
Wildfire13 of 1348.786.394.0Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 6, Very Low 2
Winter Weather13 of 1374.587.596.0Very High 2, Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 1

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Campbell County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedExpired on 2026-09-20FMA RL 1, SRL 1; any 7$3,718,849.130 total; 0 since its plan
Caryville townTownExpired on 2026-09-20FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$29,315.2214 total; 3 since its plan
Jacksboro townTownExpired on 2026-09-20FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded27 total; 2 since its plan
Jellico cityCityExpired on 2026-09-20FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 4$300,51418 total; 0 since its plan
La Follette cityCityExpired on 2026-09-20FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded56 total; 3 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2021-09-21county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$6,853,649,274$3,724,53539,231$205$3,320$1,601,632under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$1,540,678n/an/a$4,207n/a0.273% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$11,831,902,895n/a39,272$684,366n/a$216,2130.00578%
Hail$6,853,649,274$3,724,53539,231$185,654$1,729$37,7070.00271%
Heat Wave$6,853,649,274$3,724,53539,231$1under $1$8,993under 0.0001%
Hurricane$6,847,663,145$3,722,87339,165$25,893$560$9320.000378%
Ice Storm$6,850,362,598n/a39,229$60,932n/a$8,0660.000889%
Inland Flooding$6,837,851,659$1,443,360925$7,491,068$15,293$43,849n/a (see note)$0no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$1,299,566,011n/a7,588$7,255n/a$60,9460.000558%
Lightning$6,853,649,274n/a39,231$20,662n/a$244,9040.000301%
Strong Wind$6,853,649,274$3,724,53539,231$108,568$17,325$627,2400.00158%$123,748.74
Tornado$6,853,649,274$3,724,53539,231$704,758$133$1,081,7420.0103%$123,748.74
Wildfire$281,305,393$1,512,2816,648$185,556$112$62,3310.066%
Winter Weather$6,853,649,274$3,724,53539,231$68,683under $1$87,0950.001%$0no Public Assistance recorded (2 declarations)

Totals since 2021-09-21 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 31 county-coded records, 5 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 14 zone-level records, 2 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $123,748.74 on 4 counted declarations, 1 of them with Public Assistance.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population39,231
Building value (total, not at risk)$6,853,649,274
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$3,724,535
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$9,586,281
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$4,081,650
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition11Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition2

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total121121104
of which: Campbell County (unincorporated area)1171702
of which: Jellico city0141402

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Campbell County (unincorporated area)4700161171702
Caryville town4702980000000
Jacksboro town4754280000000
Jellico city4754310141402
La Follette city4754350000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential1181804
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0131300
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 10 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Campbell County, TN: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 47013). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/tn/47013/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.