Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Anderson County, TN

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
47001
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-02-17. Plan: Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916), approved 2022-02-18.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-02-18: 3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): EM-3625-TN (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), EM-3635-TN (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4898-TN (Severe Winter Storm).

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 40 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($16,268,806 a year), Tornado ($3,637,451) and Cold Wave ($3,442,700).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 4.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2027-02-17
Plan:
Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)
Approved:
2022-02-18
Days to expiry:
140
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-02-18)

New federal declarations:
3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): EM-3625-TN (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), EM-3635-TN (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4898-TN (Severe Winter Storm)
Storm Events records since approval:
40 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 4
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Anderson County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140this jurisdiction approved 2022-02-24
Clinton cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140
Norris cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140
Oak Ridge cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140this jurisdiction approved 2022-02-22
Oliver Springs townTownApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140this jurisdiction approved 2022-03-03
Rocky Top cityTownApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140
Anderson County School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140this jurisdiction approved 2025-07-09
Clinton City School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140this jurisdiction approved 2025-06-10
Oak Ridge City School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-02-17Anderson County (FEMA plan 107916)2022-02-182027-02-17140this jurisdiction approved 2025-06-10

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$15,492,368$3,800$772,638$16,268,80640
2TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,492,591$188$2,144,673$3,637,4512
3Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$7,954$3,530$3,431,217$3,442,7000No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
4EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Moderate$2,421,715n/a$1,008,984$3,430,700Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
5Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$116,572$19,116$855,271$990,960203Includes 3 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$58,386n/a$554,641$613,0270No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$327,820$2,598$61,066$391,48469
8Ice StormRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$161,839n/a$20,321$182,1604
9Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$90,274under $1$69,545$159,81931
10Heat WaveVery LowVery Low$9$1$149,374$149,3840No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
11LandslideRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$39,328n/a$31,458$70,7860Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$56,150$823$2,009$58,9821
13WildfireVery LowVery Low$36,746$16$18,881$55,6430Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
14DroughtVery LowVery Lown/a$8,635n/a$8,6351

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local lightning, landslide and wildfire records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 212.02 (Relatively High, 88.8); tract 202.02 (Relatively Moderate, 87.7); tract 201 (Relatively Moderate, 83.3)
Hurricanetract 212.02 (Relatively Low, 52.3); tract 202.02 (Very Low, 50.0); tract 209.02 (Very Low, 48.7)
Landslidetract 207 (Relatively Moderate, 98.6); tract 209.01 (Relatively Moderate, 98.4); tract 212.01 (Relatively Moderate, 97.6)
Tornadotract 212.02 (Very High, 94.1); tract 209.02 (Relatively High, 89.6); tract 202.02 (Relatively High, 89.4)
Wildfiretract 209.01 (Relatively Low, 86.4); tract 209.02 (Relatively Low, 82.8); tract 208 (Relatively Low, 82.6)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 212.02 is Census Tract 212.02). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)1 record, 1998 (1 zone-level)30 days; 1 with a recorded value30 days (1 month), 1998-09-01 to 1998-09-30, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)86 records, 1959 to 20250.75 in to 3.5 in (median 1 in); 86 with a recorded value3.5 in hail, 1993-02-21Hail, 1995-05-18, $500,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Oak Ridge city (28 records), Clinton city (17 records), Norris city (8 records), Oliver Springs town (3 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson1 record, 2004 (1 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Tropical Storm record, 2004-09-16 to 2004-09-17, $15,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars); NWS zone TNZ036Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)4 records, 1998 to 2014 (4 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2010-12-16, $20,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars); NWS zone TNZ036Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)40 records, 1996 to 2026 (4 zone-level)Flood, 2019-02-23, $600,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Clinton city (10 records), Norris city (2 records), Oak Ridge city (2 records), Oliver Springs town (2 records). Zone-level records (4) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)5 records, 2003 to 2022 (5 zone-level)40 kt (46 mph) to 66 kt (76 mph) (median 51 kt (59 mph)); 5 with a recorded value66 kt (76 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2016-03-30; NWS zone TNZ036High Wind, 2006-12-01, $30,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2006 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)238 records, 1956 to 202440 kt (46 mph) to 100 kt (115 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 150 with a recorded value100 kt (115 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1999-05-07Thunderstorm Wind, 2009-07-05, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Clinton city (39 records), Oak Ridge city (36 records), Norris city (13 records), Oliver Springs town (4 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)4 records, 1953 to 2011F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median between F/EF1 and F/EF2); 4 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 2002-11-10, 5.5 mi within this county, 75 yd wide, $213,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Oak Ridge city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)31 records, 1996 to 2026 (31 zone-level)No damage reported in 31 records.Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 22 declarations covering 18 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-02-062026-01-22DR-4898-TNMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$12,563.05new since last plan; within last 5 years
2026-01-242026-01-22EM-3635-TNEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4898
2025-04-022025-04-02EM-3625-TNEmergencySevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-04-022020-01-20DR-4514-TNMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$193,977.18
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3473-TNEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4514
2019-04-172019-02-19DR-4427-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide$393,410.59
2015-04-022015-02-15DR-4211-TNMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and FloodingIce Storm$183,766.74
2014-08-132014-06-05DR-4189-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$737,421.14
2011-07-202011-06-18DR-4005-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, andStrong Wind; Tornado$163,547.03
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3217-TNEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2003-05-082003-05-04DR-1464-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadonone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $6,166.94 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)
2003-03-202003-02-14DR-1456-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$296,146.02
2002-11-132002-11-09DR-1441-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadosTornado$202,008.91
2002-04-052002-01-23DR-1408-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$61,420.09
2000-11-022000-10-30FM-2346-TNFire managementTn - Knoxville Fire Complex - 11/02/00Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2000-06-122000-05-23DR-1331-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$132,238.95
1999-01-151998-12-23DR-1260-TNMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$243,080.11
1998-04-201998-04-16DR-1215-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1993-03-141993-03-13EM-3095-TNEmergencySevere Snowfall, Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1991-01-041990-12-19DR-889-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1977-04-291977-04-29DR-533-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1973-03-211973-03-21DR-366-TNMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1963-03-271963-03-27DR-151-TNMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 1 row, $13,581.10

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4320-TN2017-06-23Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingClinton Utilities Board$13,581.10

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any Tennessee county: 5 rows, $12,113,670.26; listed on the Tennessee state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Drought1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail8613013001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm4000101996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding40100101111996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind24312412311955 to 2026-06-30Includes 3 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records.
Tornado4000711950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Winter Weather31505311996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2019-04-14Thunderstorm Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 1BATLEYdeaths or injuries recorded
2019-02-23Flood$600,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)0, 0NORRISB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2016-03-30High Wind66 kt (76 mph) measured gustdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TNZ036 (ANDERSON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2010-12-16Ice Storm$20,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ036 (ANDERSON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2006-12-01High Wind60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust$30,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2006 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ036 (ANDERSON), zone-levelB1-c most damaging: High Wind and Strong Wind
2004-09-16Tropical Storm$15,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2004 dollars)0, 0NWS zone TNZ036 (ANDERSON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2002-11-10TornadoF2, 5.5 mi within this county, 75 yd wide$213,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)0, 0LAKE CITYB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
1999-05-07Thunderstorm Wind100 kt (115 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not reported0, 0CLAXTONB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1998-09-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone TNZ036 (ANDERSON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
1998-04-17Flash Flooddamage not reported1, 0LAKE CITYdeaths or injuries recorded
1995-05-18Hail2.75 in$500,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)0, 9Clinton to Oak Ridgedeaths or injuries recorded
1993-02-21Hail3.5 in$500 property; crops not recorded (1993 dollars)0, 0Oak RidgeB1-c worst recorded: Hail

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (410 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave0.789event-days per yearabout 0.789 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)152005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought17.5event-days per yearabout 17.5 days per yearPossible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)5532000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00397annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.397%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail2.96events per yearabout 2.96 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)112.5 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave0.842event-days per yearabout 0.842 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)152005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.0173events per yearabout 1 in 58 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)31851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.467event-days per yearabout 0.467 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 4 of 30 years)event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)321946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.14event-days per yearabout 1.14 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 15 of 30 years)event-days in 15 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (50%)321996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide1.35events per year (modeled)about 1.35 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning57days per year with a strikeabout 57 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind5.22events per yearabout 5.22 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1991986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.119events per yearabout 1 in 8 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.00274annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.274%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather5.05event-days per yearabout 5.05 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 16 of 30 years)event-days in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)962005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202542301.4
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025135304.5
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202510300.333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202553301.77
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave20 of 2015.981.391.5Relatively High 12, Relatively Moderate 7, Very Low 1
Drought1 of 2087.787.787.7Relatively Low 1, No Rating 19
Earthquake20 of 2053.077.388.8Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 10
Hail20 of 2039.668.385.8Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 11
Heat Wave20 of 201.410.121.0Relatively Low 3, Very Low 17
Hurricane20 of 2031.542.752.3Relatively Low 1, Very Low 19
Ice Storm20 of 2027.166.390.1Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 11, Very Low 1
Inland Flooding20 of 201.164.597.9Very High 1, Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 8, Very Low 1
Landslide20 of 2079.293.198.6Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 11, Very Low 3
Lightning20 of 203.883.295.1Relatively High 12, Relatively Moderate 7, Very Low 1
Strong Wind20 of 2012.179.791.3Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 13, Very Low 1
Tornado20 of 2029.972.794.1Very High 1, Relatively High 7, Relatively Moderate 11, Relatively Low 1
Wildfire20 of 2023.670.886.4Relatively Low 12, Very Low 8
Winter Weather20 of 2032.977.193.9Relatively High 9, Relatively Moderate 10, Relatively Low 1

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Anderson County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2027-02-17FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$645,153.860 total; 0 since its plan
Clinton cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-17FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$231,166.1566 total; 3 since its planIncludes $29,153.05 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4514-TN).
Norris cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-17FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded23 total; 4 since its plan
Oak Ridge cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-17FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$540,929.9467 total; 5 since its planIncludes $24,925.99 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4514-TN).
Oliver Springs townTownApproved, expires 2027-02-17FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded9 total; 1 since its plan
Rocky Top cityTownApproved, expires 2027-02-17FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2022-02-18county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$14,385,393,240$5,555,16877,015$7,954$3,530$3,431,217under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$1,638,242n/an/a$8,635n/a0.527% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$25,606,544,344n/a77,123$2,421,715n/a$1,008,9840.00946%
Hail$14,385,397,607$5,555,16877,015$327,820$2,598$61,0660.00228%
Heat Wave$14,385,393,240$5,555,16877,015$9$1$149,374under 0.0001%
Hurricane$14,315,484,201$5,463,98276,561$56,150$823$2,0090.000392%
Ice Storm$14,385,169,139n/a77,014$161,839n/a$20,3210.00113%
Inland Flooding$14,366,412,108$310,3811,153$15,492,368$3,800$772,638n/a (see note)$0no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$1,436,916,185n/a9,995$39,328n/a$31,4580.00274%
Lightning$14,385,397,607n/a77,015$58,386n/a$554,6410.000406%
Strong Wind$14,385,397,607$5,555,16877,015$116,572$19,116$855,2710.00081%no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Tornado$14,385,397,607$5,555,16877,015$1,492,591$188$2,144,6730.0104%no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Wildfire$361,009,269$712,0215,645$36,746$16$18,8810.0102%
Winter Weather$14,385,393,240$5,555,16877,015$90,274under $1$69,5450.000628%$0$12,563.05

Totals since 2022-02-18 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 34 county-coded records, 10 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 6 zone-level records, 2 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $12,563.05 on 3 counted declarations, 1 of them with Public Assistance.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population77,015
Building value (total, not at risk)$14,385,397,607
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$5,555,168
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$20,340,459
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$9,120,077
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition4Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0040401
of which: Anderson County (unincorporated area)0040401

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Anderson County (unincorporated area)4702170040401
Clinton city4700010000000
Norris city4700030000000
Oak Ridge city4754410000000
Oliver Springs town4700050000000
Rocky Top city4754360000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0040401
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0000000
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 4 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Anderson County, TN: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 47001). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/tn/47001/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.