Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Oglala Lakota County, SD

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
46102
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2029-12-15. Plan: Oglala Sioux Tribe and Oglala Lakota County Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 110184), approved 2024-12-16.

Since the plan was approved on 2024-12-16: no new hazard declaration and 49 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Wildfire ($3,666,642 a year), Inland Flooding ($1,207,274) and Cold Wave ($1,180,215).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2029-12-15
Plan:
Oglala Sioux Tribe and Oglala Lakota County Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 110184)
Approved:
2024-12-16
Days to expiry:
1,172

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-12-16)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
49 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Oglala Lakota CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-12-15Oglala Sioux Tribe and Oglala Lakota County Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 110184)2024-12-162029-12-151,172

Plan 110184 covers 1 other participant: Oglala Sioux Tribe.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countWhy this hazard can be left outNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1WildfireRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$3,363,205$1,031$302,406$3,666,6423
2Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$1,205,187$3$2,084$1,207,27430
3Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$186$52,865$1,127,164$1,180,2159
4Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$36,002$25,340$992,723$1,054,066355Includes 64 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
5LightningRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$7,067n/a$538,214$545,2811
6TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$92,445$2,452$378,185$473,08315
7HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$85,170$32,144$64,806$182,120329
8Heat WaveVery LowVery Low$163under $1$84,842$85,0041
9Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$45,754$16$13,273$59,043126
10DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$36,671n/a$36,6710Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
11EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$18,987n/a$5,314$24,301Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
12Ice StormVery LowVery Low$1,404n/a$2,014$3,4180No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13LandslideVery LowVery Low$552n/a$979$1,5320Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates hurricane Not Applicable for this county, and no counted federal declaration for this county names it (EM-3234-SD names it but is not counted as a local occurrence; see B1-d).No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9410 (Relatively Low, 42.8); tract 9411 (Very Low, 33.1); tract 9412 (Very Low, 25.0)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 9411 (Relatively Low, 95.1); tract 9410 (Relatively Low, 83.4); tract 9412 (Relatively Low, 83.1)
Tornadotract 9410 (Relatively High, 89.5); tract 9411 (Relatively High, 87.7); tract 9412 (Relatively Moderate, 66.9)
Wildfiretract 9412 (Very High, 99.7); tract 9411 (Very High, 99.6); tract 9410 (Very High, 99.2)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9410 is Census Tract 9410). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill9 records, 1997 to 2025 (9 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 3 days); 8 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2024-01-12 to 2024-01-15, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)340 records, 1980 to 20260.75 in to 4.25 in (median 1 in); 340 with a recorded value4.25 in hail, 2014-08-17No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)1 record, 2006 (1 zone-level)2 days; 1 with a recorded value2 consecutive days, 2006-07-15 to 2006-07-16, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)0
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)30 records, 1996 to 2026 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2026-06-02, $1,000,000 property; $250,000 crops (2026 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)1 record, 2001Lightning, 2001-06-09, $1,000 property; crops not reported (2001 dollars), 1 direct death, 1 direct injuryNo event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)64 records, 1996 to 2025 (64 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 69 kt (79 mph) (median 53 kt (61 mph)); 64 with a recorded value69 kt (79 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2024-05-06; NWS zone SDZ076Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)298 records, 1981 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 80 kt (92 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 293 with a recorded value80 kt (92 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1997-08-18Thunderstorm Wind, 2013-08-30, $300,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)22 records, 1956 to 2018F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF0); 22 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1956-08-06, 28.3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1956 dollars)Tornado, 1999-06-04, $3,200,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)3 records, 2000No damage reported in 3 records.No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)126 records, 1996 to 2025 (126 zone-level)Blizzard, 2008-11-05, $750,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars); NWS zone SDZ042Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 16 declarations covering 13 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2023-02-272022-12-12DR-4689-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormWinter Weather$8,512.55within last 5 yearsShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2020-04-052020-01-20DR-4527-SDMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3475-SDEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4527; Shannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2019-06-072019-03-13DR-4440-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Winter Weather$40,126.97Shannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2015-07-302015-06-17DR-4233-SDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$24,846.06Shannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2013-11-082013-10-03DR-4155-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2013-05-102013-04-08DR-4115-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$3,350.78Shannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2012-09-012012-08-31FM-5010-SDFire managementWellnitz FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2010-03-092009-12-23DR-1886-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$4,815.74Shannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2008-12-122008-11-05DR-1811-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and Record and Near Record SnowWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2005-09-102005-09-06EM-3234-SDEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
2000-05-192000-04-18DR-1330-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Flooding, Landslides and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
1999-06-091999-06-04DR-1280-SDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
1997-04-071997-02-03DR-1173-SDMajor disasterSevere Flooding, Sever Winter Storms,Heavy Rains High WindsInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
1997-01-101997-01-03DR-1156-SDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and Blizzard ConditionsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01
1976-06-171976-06-17EM-3015-SDEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recordedShannon County SD renamed Oglala Lakota County, code changed 2015-05-01

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1962-07-271962-07-27DR-132-SDMajor disasterFloods & TornadoesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornado
1960-04-081960-04-08DR-99-SDMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1954-07-311954-07-31DR-20-SDMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

8 Fire Management declarations (1974-07-08 to 1994-08-16) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 4 rows, $754,089.39

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4448-SD2019-06-20Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingWater Maintenance & Conservation / Oglala Sioux Tribe of the Pine Ridge Reservation$206,379.43
DR-4448-SD2019-06-20Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingWater & Sewer / Oglala Sioux Tribe of the Pine Ridge Reservation$90,336.25
DR-4448-SD2019-06-20Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingRoad Maintenance / Oglala Sioux Tribe of the Pine Ridge Reservation$276,703.57
DR-4448-SD2019-06-20Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingMotor Fuels / Oglala Sioux Tribe of the Pine Ridge Reservation$180,670.14

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any South Dakota county: 15 rows, $522,360.71; listed on the South Dakota state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave9214001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail34024855001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding30307601996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind362181965201955 to 2026-06-30Includes 64 High Wind records.
Tornado22000201950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire3000101996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather1262520901996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-06-02Flash Flood$1,000,000 property; $250,000 crops (2026 dollars)0, 0SLIM BUTTE to PINE RIDGEnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2024-05-06High Wind69 kt (79 mph) measured gustproperty not reported; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone SDZ076 (SOUTHERN OGLALA LAKOTA), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2024-01-12Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone SDZ042 (NORTHERN OGLALA LAKOTA), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2014-08-17Hail4.25 in$100,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0OGLALAB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2013-08-30Thunderstorm Wind78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust$300,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)0, 0(IEN)PINE RIDGE ARPTB1-c most damaging: Thunderstorm Wind
2008-11-05Blizzard$750,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone SDZ042 (OGLALA LAKOTA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2006-07-15Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2006 dollars)0, 0NWS zone SDZ042 (OGLALA LAKOTA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2006-04-17Thunderstorm Wind61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust$20,000 property; $0 crops (2006 dollars)1, 5OGLALAdeaths or injuries recorded
2001-06-09Lightning$1,000 property; crops not reported (2001 dollars)1, 1PINE RIDGEdeaths or injuries recorded
1999-06-04TornadoF2, 15 mi within this county, 875 yd wide$3,200,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)1, 54SLIM BUTTE to OGLALAdeaths or injuries recorded
1997-08-18Thunderstorm Wind80 kt (92 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not reported0, 0PINE RIDGEB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1956-08-06TornadoF3, 28.3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1956 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (894 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave4.84event-days per yearabout 4.84 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)91.92005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought58.2event-days per yearabout 58.2 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)1,6592000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.000653annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0653%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail5.42events per yearabout 5.42 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)206.0 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave1.39event-days per yearabout 1.39 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)162005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Storm0.00531event-days per yearabout 0.00531 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)11946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNo Storm Events ice storm record, 1996 to 2025
Inland Flooding0.857event-days per yearabout 0.857 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 11 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (36.7%)241996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide1.55events per year (modeled)about 1.55 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning38.8days per year with a strikeabout 38.8 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind2.62events per yearabout 2.62 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1001986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.597events per yearabout 0.6 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.00682annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.682%PossibleStorm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather15.2event-days per yearabout 15.2 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 28 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (93.3%)2882005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 2025213307.1
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 202527300.9
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025263308.77
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202526300.867
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202513300.433
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave3 of 391.398.598.6Very High 2, Relatively High 1
Drought3 of 388.189.093.2Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 2
Earthquake3 of 325.033.142.8Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2
Hail3 of 389.691.393.4Relatively High 3
Heat Wave3 of 329.167.268.5Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1
Hurricane0 of 3Not Applicable 3
Ice Storm3 of 30.00.156.5Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2
Inland Flooding3 of 341.064.871.5Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1
Landslide3 of 383.183.495.1Relatively Low 3
Lightning3 of 399.299.9100.0Very High 3
Strong Wind3 of 399.299.899.9Very High 3
Tornado3 of 366.987.789.5Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 1
Wildfire3 of 399.299.699.7Very High 3
Winter Weather3 of 394.497.198.0Very High 2, Relatively High 1

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

This county has 3 census tracts; the minimum, median and maximum come from those 3.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Oglala Lakota CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-12-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$81,652.100 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2024-12-16county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$1,433,507,622$49,888,82113,666$186$52,865$1,127,164under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$6,465,797n/an/a$36,671n/a0.567% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$2,392,750,819n/a13,672$18,987n/a$5,3140.000794%
Hail$1,433,507,622$49,888,82113,666$85,170$32,144$64,8060.00594%$0
Heat Wave$1,433,507,622$49,888,82113,666$163under $1$84,842under 0.0001%
HurricaneNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice Storm$1,433,507,622n/a13,666$1,404n/a$2,014under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$1,432,791,700$1083$1,205,187$3$2,084n/a (see note)$2,500,000NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$37,554,995n/a283$552n/a$9790.00147%
Lightning$1,433,507,622n/a13,666$7,067n/a$538,2140.000493%
Strong Wind$1,433,507,622$49,888,82113,666$36,002$25,340$992,7230.00251%$0$0
Tornado$1,433,507,622$49,888,82113,666$92,445$2,452$378,1850.00645%
Wildfire$889,242,180$35,660,7469,354$3,363,205$1,031$302,4060.378%
Winter Weather$1,433,507,622$49,888,82113,666$45,754$16$13,2730.00319%$0

Totals since 2024-12-16 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 42 county-coded records, 42 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $2,500,000; 7 zone-level records, 7 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population13,666
Building value (total, not at risk)$1,433,507,622
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$49,888,821
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$5,006,645
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$3,512,006
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Oglala Lakota County4602410000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Oglala Lakota County, SD: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 46102). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/sd/46102/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]