Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Columbia County, OR

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
41009
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-02-15. Plan: Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670), approved 2022-02-16.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-02-16: no new federal declaration.

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 36 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Earthquake ($14,822,886 a year), Inland Flooding ($14,135,041) and Heat Wave ($3,661,361).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 13, SRL 5 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 34.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2027-02-15
Plan:
Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)
Approved:
2022-02-16
Days to expiry:
138
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-02-16)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
36 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 13, SRL 5 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 34
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Columbia CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Clatskanie cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Columbia City cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Prescott cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Rainier cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Scappoose cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
St. Helens cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Vernonia cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
St. Helens School District 502School/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Mist Birkenfeld Rural Fire Protection DistrictFire/EMS DistrictApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138
Scappoose Drainage Improvement DistrictFlood Control DistrictApproved, expires 2027-02-15Columbia County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106670)2022-02-162027-02-15138

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countWhy this hazard can be left outNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1EarthquakeRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$9,307,357n/a$5,515,528$14,822,886Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
2Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$13,900,118$12,001$222,922$14,135,04125
3Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$258$9,654$3,651,448$3,661,36122
4Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$574$4,101$502,724$507,4003Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
5Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$223,805$25$30,893$254,722164Includes 125 High Wind and 37 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6Coastal FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$152,011n/a$6,576$158,5880No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7TornadoVery LowVery Low$52,281$120$77,400$129,8013
8LandslideRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$16,847n/a$45,333$62,18013
9Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$25,325n/a$32,214$57,5396
10Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$6,060$541$23,203$29,804122
11WildfireVery LowVery Low$16,067$1$865$16,9331
12LightningVery LowVery Low$1,566n/a$14,024$15,5900No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13HailVery LowVery Low$10,420$682$1,861$12,9641
14Volcanic ActivityVery LowVery Low$4n/a$1,276$1,2800No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
15AvalancheVery LowVery Low$1n/a$1$20No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
16DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$00No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates hurricane Not Applicable for this county, and no counted federal declaration for this county names it (EM-3228-OR names it but is not counted as a local occurrence; see B1-d).No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local lightning, volcanic activity and tsunami records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 9703 (Very Low, 1.9); tract 9711 (Very Low, 1.3); tract 9705 (Very Low, 1.2)
Earthquaketract 9707 (Very High, 97.5); tract 9708 (Very High, 97.4); tract 9706 (Relatively High, 93.8)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 9702.01 (Relatively Moderate, 98.5); tract 9705 (Relatively Moderate, 98.3); tract 9711 (Relatively Moderate, 98.0)
Tornadotract 9708 (Relatively Low, 31.3); tract 9705 (Very Low, 28.6); tract 9706 (Very Low, 28.1)
Tsunamino tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Volcanic Activitytract 9708 (Relatively Low, 96.8); tract 9705 (Relatively Low, 95.9); tract 9706 (Relatively Low, 94.2)
Wildfiretract 9704 (Relatively Low, 74.4); tract 9705 (Relatively Low, 74.2); tract 9706 (Relatively Low, 73.7)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9703 is Census Tract 9703). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill2 records, 1998 to 2017 (2 zone-level)7 days to 11 days (median 9 days); 2 with a recorded value11 consecutive days, 2017-01-01 to 2017-01-11, 4 direct deaths, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage1 record, 2024 (1 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)3 records, 1955 to 20171 in; 3 with a recorded value1 in hail, 2017-05-04; same size also recorded on 1955-07-15, 1991-07-31No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)22 records, 1998 to 2023 (22 zone-level)1 day to 6 days (median 3 days); 22 with a recorded value6 consecutive days, 2022-07-25 to 2022-07-30, 9 direct deaths, zone-levelExcessive Heat, 2021-06-26, $50,000 property; $50,000 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)6 records, 1998 to 2024 (6 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2021-02-14, $5,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars); NWS zone ORZ006Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)25 records, 1996 to 2022 (13 zone-level)Flood, 2007-12-03, $36,000,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Vernonia city (6 records), Clatskanie city (2 records), Rainier city (1 record). Zone-level records (13) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)13 records, 1996 to 2012 (13 zone-level)Debris Flow, 2007-12-11, $1,500,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars); NWS zone ORZ003Countywide (zone-level records).Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)162 records, 1996 to 2024 (162 zone-level)25 kt (29 mph) to 100 kt (115 mph) (median 53 kt (61 mph)); 161 with a recorded value100 kt (115 mph) measured, High Wind, 2000-01-16; Storm Events area NORTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY INCLUDING PORTLAND METRO AREA (legacy zone code ORZ004)High Wind, 2020-09-07, $100,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2020 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)2 records, 1996 (2 zone-level)No wind speed recorded in 2 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)5 records, 1965 to 2020F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF0); 5 with a recorded valueF1 tornado, 1978-08-16, 0.2 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 20 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1978 dollars)Tornado, 2020-11-10, $40,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: St. Helens city (2 records), Rainier city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)1 record, 2022 (1 zone-level)Wildfire, 2022-09-09, $500,000 property; $0 crops (2022 dollars); NWS zone ORZ006Countywide (zone-level records).Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)122 records, 1996 to 2025 (122 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2008-12-20, $9,000,000 property; $11,600,000 crops (2008 dollars); NWS zone ORZ006Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 17 declarations covering 13 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-09-152020-09-07DR-4562-ORMajor disasterWildfires and Straight-Line WindsWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-282020-01-20DR-4499-ORMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$311,914.79
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3429-OREmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4499
2017-08-082017-01-07DR-4328-ORMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$828,928.46
2016-02-172015-12-06DR-4258-ORMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind; Winter Weather$2,734,266.85
2012-03-022012-01-17DR-4055-ORMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weather$222,135.46
2009-03-022008-12-13DR-1824-ORMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Record and Near Record SnowWinter Weather$487,193.95
2007-12-082007-12-01DR-1733-ORMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide$4,481,839.27
2007-02-222006-12-14DR-1683-ORMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$158,262.62
2006-03-202005-12-18DR-1632-ORMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide$143,685.96
2005-09-072005-08-29EM-3228-OREmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2004-02-192003-12-26DR-1510-ORMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsWinter Weather$123,044.08
1996-03-191996-12-10DR-1107-ORMajor disasterSevere Storms and High WindsStrong Windno Public Assistance recorded
1996-02-091996-02-04DR-1099-ORMajor disasterHigh Winds, Severe Storms and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Windno Public Assistance recorded
1994-08-021994-05-01DR-1036-ORMajor disasterThe El Nino (the Salmon Industry)Fishing Losses: economic loss, not a physical hazard event; non-natural, not countedPA not declared for this county
1974-01-251974-01-25DR-413-ORMajor disasterSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1964-12-241964-12-24DR-184-ORMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $362,756.84 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1963-02-251963-02-25DR-144-ORMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1962-10-161962-10-16DR-136-ORMajor disasterSevere StormsHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not counted
1957-03-011957-03-01DR-69-ORMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1956-07-201956-07-20DR-60-ORMajor disasterStorm & FloodInland Flooding
1955-12-291955-12-29DR-49-ORMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

27 Fire Management declarations (1973-08-17 to 2001-08-17) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance not placed in any Oregon county: 1 row, $479,867.27; listed on the Oregon state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave3101001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record.
Drought0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail3000001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave22444001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm6101001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding25011901996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide13000501996 to 2026-06-30
Lightning0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind16412415301955 to 2026-06-30Includes 125 High Wind and 37 Strong Wind records.
Tornado5000001950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire1101101996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather12217320601996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2024-01-12Winter Storm$10,250,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2024 dollars)9, 12NWS zone ORZ006 (GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2022-09-09Wildfire$500,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2022 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ORZ006 (GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2022-07-25Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2022 dollars)9, 0NWS zone ORZ006 (GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2021-06-26Excessive Heat$50,000 property; $50,000 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)93, 0NWS zone ORZ006 (GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approvaldeaths or injuries recorded
2021-02-14Ice Storm$5,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ORZ006 (GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2017-05-04Hail1 indamage not reported0, 0VERNONIA ARPTB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2017-01-01Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars)4, 0NWS zone ORZ006 (GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2008-12-20Winter Storm$9,000,000 property; $11,600,000 crops, reported for the zone (2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ORZ006 (GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2007-12-11Debris Flow$1,500,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2007 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ORZ003 (COAST RANGE OF NW OREGON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Debris Flow
2007-12-03Flood$36,000,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)0, 0VERNONIAB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2000-01-16High Wind100 kt (115 mph) measureddamage not reported0, 0Storm Events area NORTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY INCLUDING PORTLAND METRO AREA (legacy zone code ORZ004), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
1978-08-16TornadoF1, 0.2 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 20 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1978 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (364 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Coastal Flooding2.51events per year at a location (modeled)about 2.5 per year at a given location in the countyHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from NRI: the rate at a location is 1 or more a year, so the county rate is at least that.
Cold Wave0.137event-days per yearabout 0.137 days per yearPossible (from Storm Events: 2 of 30 years)event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)2.562005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.0216annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 2.16%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail0.0476events per yearabout 1 in 21 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1.8 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave4.9event-days per yearabout 4.9 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 10 of 30 years)event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)81.42005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic); 1949 to 2024 (Pacific)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Storm0.896event-days per yearabout 0.896 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 6 of 30 years)event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)611946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.429event-days per yearabout 0.429 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 15 of 30 years)event-days in 15 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (50%)121996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide5.56events per year (modeled)about 5.56 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning5.57days per year with a strikeabout 5.57 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.047events per yearabout 1 in 21 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)21986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.0603events per yearabout 1 in 17 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Volcanic Activity0.0113annual probabilityabout 1 in 88 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.0000286annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00286%Possible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)Storm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI.
Winter Weather13event-days per yearabout 13 days per yearHighly likely (from Storm Events: 28 of 30 years)event-days in 28 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (93.3%)2422005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 20251300.0333
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20253300.1
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche6 of 110.91.21.9Very Low 6, Not Applicable 5
Coastal Flooding8 of 1177.979.296.1Relatively High 1, Relatively Low 7, No Rating 3
Cold Wave11 of 1125.942.661.7Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 7
Drought0 of 11No Rating 11
Earthquake11 of 1188.192.397.5Very High 2, Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 3
Hail11 of 1116.223.029.6Very Low 11
Heat Wave11 of 1190.995.097.5Very High 1, Relatively High 10
Hurricane0 of 11Not Applicable 11
Ice Storm11 of 1119.547.972.6Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 7, Very Low 3
Inland Flooding11 of 1132.983.298.6Very High 1, Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 1
Landslide11 of 1144.096.198.5Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 2, Very Low 3
Lightning11 of 114.48.015.8Very Low 11
Strong Wind11 of 1140.655.971.9Relatively Moderate 7, Relatively Low 4
Tornado11 of 1117.223.631.3Relatively Low 1, Very Low 10
Tsunami0 of 11Not Applicable 5, Insufficient Data 6
Volcanic Activity11 of 1188.891.496.8Relatively Low 11
Wildfire11 of 1155.571.674.4Relatively Low 8, Very Low 3
Winter Weather11 of 1137.845.361.4Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 6

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Columbia CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 3, SRL 1; any 11$1,178,032.600 total; 0 since its plan
Clatskanie cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 1$175,678.582 total; 0 since its plan
Columbia City cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$19,147.850 total; 0 since its plan
Prescott cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Rainier cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$106,873.022 total; 0 since its plan
Scappoose cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$161,041.570 total; 0 since its plan
St. Helens cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$37,478.142 total; 0 since its plan
Vernonia cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-15FMA RL 10, SRL 3; any 20$962,924.976 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2022-02-16county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$1,025,232n/aunder 1$1n/a$10.000105%
Coastal Flooding$170,528,077n/a406$152,011n/a$6,5760.0891%
Cold Wave$11,331,495,536$51,335,42152,498$574$4,101$502,724under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$19,122,941,021n/a52,589$9,307,357n/a$5,515,5280.0487%
Hail$11,331,495,536$51,335,42152,498$10,420$682$1,861under 0.0001%
Heat Wave$11,331,495,536$51,335,42152,498$258$9,654$3,651,448under 0.0001%$0
HurricaneNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice Storm$11,331,495,536n/a52,498$25,325n/a$32,2140.000223%$0
Inland Flooding$11,303,273,963$15,784,8603,465$13,900,118$12,001$222,922n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$802,525,688n/a3,807$16,847n/a$45,3330.0021%
Lightning$11,331,495,536n/a52,498$1,566n/a$14,024under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$11,331,495,536$51,335,42152,498$223,805$25$30,8930.00198%$3,079,000Storm Events damage since the plan includes 1 zone-level High Wind record ($3,000,000) and 7 zone-level Strong Wind records ($79,000): NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition.
Tornado$11,331,495,536$51,335,42152,498$52,281$120$77,4000.000461%
Tsunamin/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Volcanic Activity$11,331,495,536n/a52,498$4n/a$1,276under 0.0001%
Wildfire$3,038,041,250$14,628,56214,726$16,067$1$8650.000529%$500,000
Winter Weather$11,331,495,536$51,335,42152,498$6,060$541$23,203under 0.0001%$30,250,000

Totals since 2022-02-16 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 0 county-coded records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 36 zone-level records, 33 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $33,829,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population52,498
Building value (total, not at risk)$11,331,495,536
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$51,335,421
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$23,739,821
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$10,126,268
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)13Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)5
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition19Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition3

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total13519334016
of which: Columbia County (unincorporated area)31801106
of which: Clatskanie city0111100
of which: Scappoose city0020200
of which: Vernonia city1038220010
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Columbia County41003431801106
Clatskanie city4100350111100
Columbia City city4100360000000
Prescott city4100370000000
Rainier city4100380000000
Scappoose city4100390020200
St. Helens city4100400000000
Vernonia city4100411038220010

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential13417232016
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0121200
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 13 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 19 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Columbia County, OR: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 41009). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/or/41009/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.