Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Stark County, OH

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
39151
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-01-15. Plan: Stark County (FEMA plan 108704), approved 2023-01-16.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-01-16: no new hazard declaration and 32 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($49,682,916 a year), Tornado ($6,630,986) and Hail ($6,230,170).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-01-15
Plan:
Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)
Approved:
2023-01-16
Days to expiry:
472

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-01-16)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
32 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 1, SRL 10 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 48
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 22 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Stark CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Alliance cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Beach City villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Brewster villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Canal Fulton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Canton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07
East Canton villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
East Sparta villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Hartville villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Hills and Dales villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Louisville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Magnolia villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07
Massillon cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07
Meyers Lake villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Minerva villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
Navarre villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472
North Canton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07
Waynesburg villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07
Wilmot villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07
Jackson townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-11
Plain townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2024-12-11
Stark County Parks DistrictSpecial DistrictApproved, expires 2028-01-15Stark County (FEMA plan 108704)2023-01-162028-01-15472this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$49,533,621$17,885$131,410$49,682,91674
2TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$4,498,817$484$2,131,685$6,630,98614
3HailRelatively HighRelatively High$6,087,979$14,105$128,086$6,230,170189
4Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively High$10,810$32,482$5,121,776$5,165,0679
5Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,300$1$2,166,413$2,167,7142
6Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$753,518$14,990$1,040,185$1,808,692317Includes 39 High Wind and 5 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
7LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$62,169n/a$1,616,145$1,678,31519
8EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$1,177,966n/a$390,310$1,568,277Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
9Ice StormRelatively HighRelatively High$838,409n/a$167,992$1,006,4013
10Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$350,716$413$57,032$408,16136
11HurricaneVery LowRelatively Low$161,545$10,655$5,799$178,0000No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$42,773$25$5,543$48,3400No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$40,781n/a$40,7816
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$941n/a$1,956$2,8970Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 7108 (Relatively Low, 58.7); tract 7133 (Relatively Low, 54.8); tract 7113.22 (Relatively Low, 54.4)
Hurricanetract 7108 (Very Low, 50.5); tract 7127 (Very Low, 47.9); tract 7128 (Very Low, 46.4)
Landslidetract 7130 (Relatively Low, 91.6); tract 7149.01 (Relatively Low, 91.4); tract 7129 (Relatively Low, 86.9)
Tornadotract 7148.01 (Relatively Moderate, 67.9); tract 7108 (Relatively Moderate, 66.6); tract 7146 (Relatively Moderate, 63.5)
Wildfiretract 7149.01 (Relatively Low, 77.1); tract 7148.01 (Relatively Low, 74.7); tract 7127 (Relatively Low, 74.7)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 7108 is Census Tract 7108). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill9 records, 1996 to 2022 (9 zone-level)1 day to 10 days (median 2 days); 9 with a recorded value10 consecutive days, 1997-01-10 to 1997-01-19, zone-levelCold/Wind Chill, 1996-02-02, $100,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1996 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)6 records, 1996 to 1999 (6 zone-level)31 days to 122 days (median 31 days); 3 with a recorded value122 days (4 months), 1999-06-01 to 1999-09-30, a run of 4 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 1999-09-01, property not reported; $3,000,000 crops (zone total, 1999 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)229 records, 1960 to 20260.75 in to 3 in (median 0.88 in); 228 with a recorded value3 in hail, 1980-08-10Hail, 2008-07-26, $30,000,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Canton city (52 records), Massillon city (20 records), Louisville city (16 records), Alliance city (13 records), Waynesburg village (13 records), Hartville village (9 records), North Canton city (9 records), Canal Fulton city (6 records), Navarre village (5 records), East Sparta village (4 records); and 4 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)2 records, 1999 (2 zone-level)7 days to 31 days (median 19 days); 2 with a recorded valueJuly 1999 (1 monthly summary record), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)3 records, 2005 to 2007 (3 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2005-01-05, $6,200,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars); NWS zone OHZ032Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)74 records, 1996 to 2024 (14 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2003-07-27, $52,000,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Canton city (8 records), Louisville city (4 records), Massillon city (4 records), Alliance city (3 records), Canal Fulton city (3 records), North Canton city (2 records), Wilmot village (2 records), Hartville village (1 record), Minerva village (1 record), Navarre village (1 record); and 1 more jurisdiction (see the Excel file). Zone-level records (14) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)19 records, 1996 to 2017Lightning, 2017-08-02, $0 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars), 1 direct deathLightning, 2000-07-14, $175,000 property; crops not reported (2000 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Canton city (4 records), North Canton city (2 records), Alliance city (1 record), Louisville city (1 record), Massillon city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)44 records, 1996 to 2024 (44 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 54 kt (62 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 35 with a recorded value54 kt (62 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2006-12-01; NWS zone OHZ032High Wind, 2008-09-14, $2,000,000 property; $250,000 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)367 records, 1955 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 83 kt (96 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 232 with a recorded value83 kt (96 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2004-06-24Thunderstorm Wind, 2006-06-22, $1,200,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Canton city (48 records), Alliance city (25 records), Massillon city (19 records), North Canton city (15 records), Canal Fulton city (13 records), Hartville village (11 records), Navarre village (9 records), Louisville city (7 records), Brewster village (5 records), East Sparta village (5 records); and 7 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)18 records, 1965 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median F/EF1); 18 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 1965-11-16, 5.9 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 300 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1965 dollars), 2 direct deaths, 9 direct injuriesTornado, 2002-04-28, $45,500,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Brewster village (2 records), Canal Fulton city (2 records), East Sparta village (2 records), Massillon city (2 records), Canton city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)36 records, 1996 to 2022 (36 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2004-12-22, $3,800,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars); NWS zone OHZ032Countywide (zone-level records).

Where a hazard names more than 10 jurisdictions, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every one is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 12 declarations covering 8 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-03-312020-01-20DR-4507-OHMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$43,794,556.75
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3457-OHEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4507
2012-06-302012-06-29EM-3346-OHEmergencySevere StormsHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2006-07-022006-06-21DR-1651-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; TornadoPA not declared for this county
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3250-OHEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-02-152004-12-22DR-1580-OHMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$284,452.42
2004-09-192004-08-27DR-1556-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$57,375.77FEMA's declaration record does not list Public Assistance, but FEMA's PA project summaries show obligations for this county
2004-06-032004-05-18DR-1519-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2003-08-012003-07-21DR-1484-OHMajor disasterTornadoes, Flooding, Severe Storms, and High WindsTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Wind$552,855.31
1978-01-261978-01-26EM-3055-OHEmergencyBlizzards & SnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1977-02-021977-02-02EM-3029-OHEmergencySnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1969-07-151969-07-15DR-266-OHMajor disasterTornadoes, Severe Storms & FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-03-241964-03-24DR-167-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1959-01-231959-01-23DR-90-OHMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1956-05-171956-05-17DR-57-OHMajor disasterWind StormOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any Ohio county: 1 row, $3,080,910.74; listed on the Ohio state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave9011001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought6000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail229538001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm3000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding74123601996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning19000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind41125631201955 to 2026-06-30Includes 39 High Wind and 5 Strong Wind records.
Tornado18102301950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather36033301996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2022-12-23Extreme Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported1, 0NWS zone OHZ032 (STARK), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2017-08-02Lightning$0 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars)1, 0NORTH BREWSTERB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2006-12-01High Wind54 kt (62 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2006 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ032 (STARK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2006-06-22Thunderstorm Wind60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust$1,200,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)1, 1COUNTYWIDEdeaths or injuries recorded
2005-01-05Ice Storm$6,200,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ032 (STARK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2004-12-22Winter Storm$3,800,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2004 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ032 (STARK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2004-06-24Thunderstorm Wind83 kt (96 mph) estimated gust$300,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)0, 0CANAL FULTONB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2003-07-27Flash Flood$52,000,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)0, 0COUNTYWIDEB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
1999-07-01Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone OHZ032 (STARK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1997-01-10Cold/Wind Chill$5,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ032 (STARK), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1980-08-10Hail3 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Hail
1965-11-16TornadoF2, 5.9 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 300 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1965 dollars)2, 9location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (807 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave3.95event-days per yearabout 3.95 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)752005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0.124event-days per yearabout 0.124 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)282000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000807annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0807%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail4.38events per yearabout 4.38 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)166.6 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave2event-days per yearabout 2 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)352005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0078events per yearabout 1 in 128 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.48event-days per yearabout 0.48 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)331946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding2.18event-days per yearabout 2.18 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 22 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (73.3%)611996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.272events per year (modeled)about 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning40.9days per year with a strikeabout 40.9 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind2.45events per yearabout 2.45 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)941986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.273events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0000414annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00414%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather10.2event-days per yearabout 10.2 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 19 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (63.3%)1932005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202574302.47
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20255300.167
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025202306.73
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20257300.233
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202561302.03
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202513300.433
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave90 of 9027.950.974.6Relatively Moderate 58, Relatively Low 32
Drought2 of 9090.791.592.3Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 1, No Rating 88
Earthquake90 of 9014.034.458.7Relatively Low 29, Very Low 61
Hail90 of 9066.685.695.0Relatively High 25, Relatively Moderate 64, Relatively Low 1
Heat Wave90 of 908.032.062.5Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 79, Very Low 10
Hurricane90 of 9028.438.450.5Very Low 90
Ice Storm90 of 9037.969.786.6Relatively Moderate 47, Relatively Low 43
Inland Flooding90 of 904.441.095.7Very High 1, Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 29, Relatively Low 50, Very Low 7
Landslide90 of 9011.640.791.6Relatively Low 7, Very Low 83
Lightning90 of 9029.662.989.0Relatively High 7, Relatively Moderate 69, Relatively Low 14
Strong Wind90 of 9026.653.475.8Relatively Moderate 43, Relatively Low 47
Tornado90 of 9032.551.067.9Relatively Moderate 35, Relatively Low 55
Wildfire88 of 9019.353.277.1Relatively Low 11, Very Low 77, No Rating 2
Winter Weather90 of 9035.261.281.8Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 80, Relatively Low 8

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Stark CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 1, SRL 7; any 28$7500 total; 0 since its plan
Alliance cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded42 total; 1 since its plan
Beach City villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$38,427.743 total; 0 since its plan
Brewster villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$10,664.5010 total; 0 since its plan
Canal Fulton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$31,866.7524 total; 1 since its plan
Canton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$13,443.71113 total; 2 since its plan
East Canton villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded3 total; 0 since its plan
East Sparta villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$34,275.6811 total; 1 since its plan
Hartville villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded21 total; 0 since its plan
Hills and Dales villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded1 total; 0 since its plan
Louisville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 2; any 7$213,291.9928 total; 4 since its plan
Magnolia villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded2 total; 0 since its plan
Massillon cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$34,16146 total; 0 since its plan
Meyers Lake villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded2 total; 0 since its plan
Minerva villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$69,316.451 total; 0 since its plan
Navarre villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded15 total; 0 since its plan
North Canton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 6no Public Assistance recorded28 total; 0 since its plan
Waynesburg villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded18 total; 0 since its plan
Wilmot villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-01-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded6 total; 1 since its plan
Jackson townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-01-15no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Plain townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2028-01-15no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-01-16county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$85,421,332,253$123,387,709374,812$10,810$32,482$5,121,776under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$3,548,297n/an/a$40,781n/a1.15% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$150,057,207,462n/a374,853$1,177,966n/a$390,3100.000785%
Hail$85,421,332,253$123,387,709374,812$6,087,979$14,105$128,0860.00713%$0
Heat Wave$85,421,332,253$123,387,709374,812$1,300$1$2,166,413under 0.0001%
Hurricane$84,491,719,198$121,570,651371,014$161,545$10,655$5,7990.000191%
Ice Storm$85,325,306,834n/a374,487$838,409n/a$167,9920.000983%
Inland Flooding$85,382,109,240$3,441,3133,799$49,533,621$17,885$131,410n/a (see note)$15,000NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$1,142,245,723n/a4,868$941n/a$1,956under 0.0001%
Lightning$85,421,332,253n/a374,812$62,169n/a$1,616,145under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$85,421,332,253$123,387,709374,812$753,518$14,990$1,040,1850.000882%$134,000$0
Tornado$85,421,332,253$123,387,709374,812$4,498,817$484$2,131,6850.00527%$10,000
Wildfire$26,983,897,852$62,556,848125,120$42,773$25$5,5430.000159%
Winter Weather$85,421,332,253$123,387,709374,812$350,716$413$57,0320.000411%

Totals since 2023-01-16 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 31 county-coded records, 31 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $159,000; 1 zone-level records, 1 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population374,812
Building value (total, not at risk)$85,421,332,253
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$123,387,709
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$63,652,385
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$12,964,333
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)10
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition44Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition6

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total1104464839
of which: Canal Fulton city0020200
of which: Canton city0020200
of which: East Canton village0010100
of which: Louisville city0272701
of which: Massillon city0010100
of which: Minerva village0010100
of which: North Canton city0150611
of which: Stark County (unincorporated area)172542827
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Stark County390780172542827
Alliance city3905080000000
Beach City village3905090000000
Brewster village3905100000000
Canal Fulton city3905110020200
Canton city3905120020200
East Canton village3905130010100
East Sparta village3906550000000
Hartville village3905140000000
Hills and Dales village3905150000000
Louisville city3905160272701
Magnolia village3900510000000
Massillon city3905170010100
Meyers Lake village3905190000000
Minerva village3905180010100
Navarre village3905200000000
North Canton city3905210150611
Waynesburg village3906670000000
Wilmot village3905220000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential143223415
2 to 4 unit residential0221310
other residential0010101
non-residential04931013
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 43 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Stark County, OH: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 39151). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/oh/39151/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]