Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Lorain County, OH

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
39093
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-11-08. Plan: Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637), approved 2022-11-09.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-11-09: no new federal declaration.

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 84 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($42,681,120 a year), Tornado ($8,391,886) and Cold Wave ($5,501,529).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 2, SRL 7 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 65.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2027-11-08
Plan:
Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)
Approved:
2022-11-09
Days to expiry:
404

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-11-09)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
84 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 2, SRL 7 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 65
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 17 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Lorain CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-11-08Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)2022-11-092027-11-08404
Amherst cityCityApproved, expires 2027-11-08Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)2022-11-092027-11-08404this jurisdiction approved 2023-01-16
Avon cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Avon Lake cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Elyria cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Kipton villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Lorain cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
North Ridgeville cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Oberlin cityCityApproved, expires 2027-11-08Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)2022-11-092027-11-08404this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
Rochester villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Sheffield Lake cityCityApproved, expires 2027-11-08Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)2022-11-092027-11-08404this jurisdiction approved 2023-03-07
Sheffield villageVillageApproved, expires 2027-11-08Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)2022-11-092027-11-08404this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
South Amherst villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Vermilion cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Wellington villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLorain County (FEMA plan 108637), pending adoption here2022-11-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-11-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Grafton townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2027-11-08Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)2022-11-092027-11-08404this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12
LaGrange townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2027-11-08Lorain County (FEMA plan 108637)2022-11-092027-11-08404this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-12

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$41,308,266$183,863$1,188,991$42,681,12079
2TornadoRelatively HighRelatively High$5,213,563$1,109$3,177,213$8,391,88615
3Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively High$9,428$27,978$5,464,123$5,501,52911
4Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$1,279,381$28,220$1,344,546$2,652,147404Includes 56 High Wind and 6 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
5HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$2,014,808$11,763$78,652$2,105,224151
6Ice StormRelatively HighRelatively High$1,268,352n/a$19,408$1,287,7601
7EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$981,439n/a$231,077$1,212,516Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
8Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$12,170$1$751,297$763,4682
9LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$73,194n/a$624,460$697,65410
10Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$389,341$699$61,641$451,68157
11HurricaneVery LowVery Low$62,417$18,986$1,551$82,9540Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$34,975$17$4,519$39,5120No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13Coastal FloodingVery LowVery Low$5,596n/a$835$6,4312
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$285n/a$511$7960Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
15DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$06
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire, landslide and tsunami records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 976 (Relatively Low, 62.3); tract 231 (Relatively Low, 59.4); tract 602 (Relatively Low, 59.2)
Hurricanetract 931 (Very Low, 45.1); tract 951 (Very Low, 42.2); tract 571 (Very Low, 41.5)
Landslidetract 921 (Relatively Low, 82.6); tract 971 (Very Low, 78.0); tract 701.01 (Very Low, 76.4)
Tornadotract 131.01 (Relatively High, 75.3); tract 961 (Relatively High, 75.0); tract 951 (Relatively Moderate, 72.2)
Tsunamino tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Wildfiretract 902 (Relatively Low, 75.6); tract 951 (Relatively Low, 73.7); tract 901 (Relatively Low, 73.5)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 976 is Census Tract 976). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)2 records, 1997 to 1998Storm Surge/Tide, 1997-06-01, $75,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Lorain city (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill11 records, 1996 to 2022 (11 zone-level)1 day to 10 days (median 2 days); 11 with a recorded value10 consecutive days, 1997-01-10 to 1997-01-19, zone-levelCold/Wind Chill, 1996-02-02, $300,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1996 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)6 records, 1996 to 1999 (6 zone-level)31 days to 122 days (median 31 days); 3 with a recorded value122 days (4 months), 1999-06-01 to 1999-09-30, a run of 4 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 1999-09-01, property not reported; $7,000,000 crops, reported for the zone (1999 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)179 records, 1962 to 20260.25 in to 2 in (median 0.88 in); 178 with a recorded value2 in hail, 2013-06-12; same size also recorded on 2011-06-07Hail, 2011-05-23, $300,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Elyria city (21 records), Grafton township (13 records), Amherst city (11 records), Lorain city (10 records), Avon city (9 records), North Ridgeville city (9 records), Wellington village (8 records), Avon Lake city (7 records), Oberlin city (7 records), Sheffield Lake city (5 records); and 4 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)2 records, 1999 (2 zone-level)7 days to 31 days (median 19 days); 2 with a recorded valueJuly 1999 (1 monthly summary record), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)1 record, 2005 (1 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2005-01-05, $4,800,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars); NWS zone OHZ010Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)79 records, 1996 to 2024 (6 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2014-05-12, $25,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Lorain city (10 records), Elyria city (7 records), Oberlin city (6 records), Sheffield village (4 records), Avon city (3 records), Avon Lake city (2 records), North Ridgeville city (2 records), Amherst city (1 record), Sheffield Lake city (1 record), Vermilion city (1 record); and 1 more jurisdiction (see the Excel file). Zone-level records (6) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)10 records, 1996 to 2005Lightning, 1998-07-21, $600,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Elyria city (3 records), Grafton township (1 record), Wellington village (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)62 records, 1996 to 2024 (62 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 65 kt (75 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 51 with a recorded value65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2008-01-30; NWS zone OHZ010High Wind, 2008-09-14, $15,000,000 property; $500,000 crops, reported for the zone (2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)460 records, 1955 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 87 kt (100 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 334 with a recorded value87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1976-07-10Thunderstorm Wind, 2002-11-10, $2,400,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Elyria city (50 records), Lorain city (35 records), Amherst city (26 records), Wellington village (21 records), Avon Lake city (19 records), Avon city (18 records), North Ridgeville city (18 records), Oberlin city (17 records), Grafton township (13 records), Sheffield village (10 records); and 4 more jurisdictions (see the Excel file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)36 records, 1953 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median between F/EF0 and F/EF1); 34 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 1965-04-11, 13.4 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 400 yd wide, $25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1965 dollars), 17 direct deaths, 100 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Kipton village (2 records), Wellington village (2 records), Amherst city (1 record), Avon Lake city (1 record), Elyria city (1 record), Grafton township (1 record), Lorain city (1 record), Rochester village (1 record), Sheffield village (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)57 records, 1996 to 2024 (57 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2004-12-22, $4,700,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars); NWS zone OHZ010Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Where a hazard names more than 10 jurisdictions, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every one is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 19 declarations covering 13 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-03-312020-01-20DR-4507-OHMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$428,510.61
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3457-OHEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4507
2012-06-302012-06-29EM-3346-OHEmergencySevere StormsHazard not mapped (severe storm title names no single hazard); not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3250-OHEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-02-152004-12-22DR-1580-OHMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$2,348,606.25
2004-09-192004-08-27DR-1556-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
2004-06-032004-05-18DR-1519-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2003-09-232003-08-14EM-3187-OHEmergencyPower OutageNon-natural, not counted$77,477.80
2002-11-182002-11-10DR-1444-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornadoPA not declared for this county
1995-08-251995-08-07DR-1065-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1992-08-041992-07-12DR-951-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1989-06-101989-05-23DR-831-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1978-01-261978-01-26EM-3055-OHEmergencyBlizzards & SnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1977-02-021977-02-02EM-3029-OHEmergencySnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1973-04-271973-04-27DR-377-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1972-11-241972-11-24DR-362-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1972-07-191972-07-19DR-345-OHMajor disasterTropical Storm AgnesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Hurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1969-07-151969-07-15DR-266-OHMajor disasterTornadoes, Severe Storms & FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1965-04-141965-04-14DR-191-OHMajor disasterTornadoes & Severe StormsTornadono Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-03-241964-03-24DR-167-OHMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1959-01-231959-01-23DR-90-OHMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1956-05-171956-05-17DR-57-OHMajor disasterWind StormOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 1 row, $4,597.96

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
EM-3198-OH2005-01-11SnowVermilion, Township of (Erie County)$4,597.96

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any Ohio county: 1 row, $3,080,910.74; listed on the Ohio state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Coastal Flooding2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave11101001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought6000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail17913115001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Ice Storm1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding79516901996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning10000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind522571168001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 56 High Wind and 6 Strong Wind records.
Tornado36516401950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather57336301996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2014-05-12Flash Flood$25,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0SHAWVILLE to AVON BOSWORTH ARPTB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2013-06-12Hail2 in$50,000 property; $50,000 crops (2013 dollars)0, 0ROCHESTERB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2008-01-30High Wind65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ010 (LORAIN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2005-07-16Flash Flood$1,200,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars)2, 0LORAINdeaths or injuries recorded
2005-01-05Ice Storm$4,800,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2005 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ010 (LORAIN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2004-12-22Winter Storm$4,700,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2004 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ010 (LORAIN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1999-07-01Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone OHZ010 (LORAIN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1998-07-21Lightning$600,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)0, 0CAMDENB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1997-01-10Cold/Wind Chill$20,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone OHZ010 (LORAIN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1976-07-10Thunderstorm Wind87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1965-04-11TornadoF4, 13.4 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 400 yd wide$25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1965 dollars)17, 100location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1953-06-08TornadoF4, 20 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 33 yd widedamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)1, 47location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (905 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Coastal Flooding0.0157events per year at a location (modeled)about 0.016 per year at a given location in the countyPossible (from Storm Events: 2 of 30 years)Storm Events records in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI.
Cold Wave4.11event-days per yearabout 4.11 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 8 of 30 years)event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)782005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledLikely (from Storm Events: 3 of 30 years)event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI models no drought event-days here (2000 to 2025, 25.25 years; D3 and D4 only); Storm Events has a record in 3 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which counts D2 drought that NRI leaves out.
Earthquake0.000951annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0951%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail3.57events per yearabout 3.57 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)137.1 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave2.21event-days per yearabout 2.21 days per yearPossible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)372005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0158events per yearabout 1 in 63 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)41851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.784event-days per yearabout 0.784 days per yearPossible (from Storm Events: 1 of 30 years)event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)291946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding2.21event-days per yearabout 2.21 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 23 of 30 years)event-days in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)621996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.0923events per year (modeled)about 1 in 11 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning40.9days per year with a strikeabout 40.9 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.97events per yearabout 1.97 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)411986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.342events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Wildfire0.0000399annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00399%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather12.3event-days per yearabout 12.3 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 24 of 30 years)event-days in 24 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (80%)2342005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202563302.1
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20252300.0667
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025267308.9
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202513300.433
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202546301.53
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202515300.5
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Coastal Flooding19 of 7968.074.978.7Relatively Low 3, Very Low 16, No Rating 60
Cold Wave79 of 7933.753.679.1Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 61, Relatively Low 17
Drought0 of 79No Rating 79
Earthquake79 of 7911.230.662.3Relatively Low 17, Very Low 62
Hail79 of 7946.270.185.6Relatively Moderate 42, Relatively Low 37
Heat Wave79 of 794.210.333.1Relatively Low 11, Very Low 68
Hurricane79 of 7923.132.245.1Very Low 79
Ice Storm79 of 7938.076.792.0Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 56, Relatively Low 22
Inland Flooding79 of 793.435.277.3Relatively Moderate 26, Relatively Low 39, Very Low 14
Landslide77 of 7913.344.382.6Relatively Low 1, Very Low 76, No Rating 2
Lightning79 of 7916.538.269.5Relatively Moderate 12, Relatively Low 66, Very Low 1
Strong Wind79 of 7934.363.683.2Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 62, Relatively Low 14
Tornado79 of 7935.655.775.3Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 50, Relatively Low 27
Tsunami0 of 79Insufficient Data 79
Wildfire79 of 7919.950.575.6Relatively Low 5, Very Low 74
Winter Weather79 of 7936.363.686.5Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 67, Relatively Low 6

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Lorain CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-11-08FMA RL 1, SRL 5; any 17$2,927.340 total; 0 since its planIncludes $2,927.34 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
Amherst cityCityApproved, expires 2027-11-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,904.2839 total; 7 since its planIncludes $3,904.28 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
Avon cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 6no Public Assistance recorded30 total; no approved plan
Avon Lake cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$21,910.4429 total; no approved planIncludes $21,910.44 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
Elyria cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$13,813.5382 total; no approved planIncludes $13,813.53 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
Kipton villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded10 total; no approved plan
Lorain cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 8$16,523.9257 total; no approved planIncludes $16,523.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
North Ridgeville cityCityPlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 18$4,264.3429 total; no approved planIncludes $4,264.34 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
Oberlin cityCityApproved, expires 2027-11-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$6,725.1230 total; 2 since its planIncludes $6,725.12 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
Rochester villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded6 total; no approved plan
Sheffield Lake cityCityApproved, expires 2027-11-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,907.3613 total; 2 since its planIncludes $2,907.36 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3187-OH).
Sheffield villageVillageApproved, expires 2027-11-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded17 total; 1 since its plan
South Amherst villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 2no Public Assistance recorded5 total; no approved plan
Vermilion cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 9; any 37no Public Assistance recorded2 total; no approved planWhole community, including the part in Cuyahoga County and Erie County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 0, FMA SRL 1, NFIP RL 7, NFIP SRL 1, any category 7.
Wellington villageVillagePlan 108637 approved 2022-11-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded33 total; no approved plan
Grafton townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2027-11-08no Public Assistance recorded28 total; 5 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
LaGrange townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2027-11-08no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2022-11-09county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Coastal Flooding$3,280,152,716n/a13,477$5,596n/a$8350.000171%
Cold Wave$71,187,084,709$172,392,860312,902$9,428$27,978$5,464,123under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$121,233,001,510n/a312,964$981,439n/a$231,0770.00081%
Hail$71,187,084,709$172,392,860312,902$2,014,808$11,763$78,6520.00283%$0
Heat Wave$71,187,084,709$172,392,860312,902$12,170$1$751,297under 0.0001%
Hurricane$71,084,364,976$166,441,267312,555$62,417$18,986$1,551under 0.0001%
Ice Storm$70,534,688,833n/a309,385$1,268,352n/a$19,4080.0018%
Inland Flooding$71,151,752,955$5,681,6874,609$41,308,266$183,863$1,188,991n/a (see note)$3,700,000NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$311,497,476n/a1,161$285n/a$511under 0.0001%
Lightning$71,187,084,709n/a312,902$73,194n/a$624,4600.000103%
Strong Wind$71,187,084,709$172,392,860312,902$1,279,381$28,220$1,344,5460.0018%$340,100$0
Tornado$71,187,084,709$172,392,860312,902$5,213,563$1,109$3,177,2130.00732%$165,000
Tsunamin/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Wildfire$20,450,236,603$50,079,26490,391$34,975$17$4,5190.000171%
Winter Weather$71,187,084,709$172,392,860312,902$389,341$699$61,6410.000547%$0

Totals since 2022-11-09 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 79 county-coded records, 79 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $4,205,100; 5 zone-level records, 3 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population312,902
Building value (total, not at risk)$71,187,084,709
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$172,392,860
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$52,925,853
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$12,948,824
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)7
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition64Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition6

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total2764665131
of which: Lorain County (unincorporated area)151641718
of which: Avon city0060605
of which: Lorain city1080806
of which: North Ridgeville city0018018011
of which: Sheffield village0010100
of which: South Amherst village0121200
of which: Avon Lake city0020200
of which: Brownhelm township (community ID not in plan data)0040400
of which: Vermilion city0171701
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0010100

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Lorain County390346151641718
Amherst city3903470000000
Avon city3903480060605
Avon Lake city3906020020200
Elyria city3903500000000
Kipton village3907430000000
Lorain city3903511080806
North Ridgeville city3903520018018011
Oberlin city3903530000000
Rochester village3907440000000
Sheffield Lake city3903550000000
Sheffield village3903540010100
South Amherst village3903560121200
Vermilion city395374093683704Whole community, including the part in Cuyahoga County and Erie County; in-county portion (county table): FMA RL 0, FMA SRL 1, NFIP RL 7, NFIP SRL 1, any category 7.
Wellington village3903580000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential2757658129
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0040401
non-residential0030301
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 62 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Lorain County, OH: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 39093). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/oh/39093/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.