Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Dixon County, NE

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
31051
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2030-08-11. Plan: Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783), approved 2025-08-12.

Since the plan was approved on 2025-08-12: no new hazard declaration and 21 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($2,143,970 a year), Hail ($1,020,673) and Tornado ($955,769).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2030-08-11
Plan:
Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)
Approved:
2025-08-12
Days to expiry:
1,411

What changed since your last plan (approved 2025-08-12)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
21 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 21 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Dixon CountyCountyApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Allen villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Concord villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Dixon villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Martinsburg villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Maskell villageVillageExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan. this jurisdiction approved 2022-05-09
Newcastle villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Ponca cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Wakefield cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Waterbury villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Emerson-Hubbard Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2022-07-05
Hartington Newcastle Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75this jurisdiction approved 2022-07-05
Laurel-Concord-Coleridge SchoolSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Ponca Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75this jurisdiction approved 2022-04-25
Wynot Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75
Allen Waterbury Vol Fire/ResueFire/EMS DistrictExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75this jurisdiction approved 2022-05-09
Dixon Fire DepartmentFire/EMS DistrictExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75this jurisdiction approved 2022-04-11
Lewis and Clark Natural Resource DistrictNatural ResourcesApproved, expires 2030-08-11Lower Elkhorn NRD (FEMA plan 110783)2025-08-122030-08-111,411this jurisdiction approved 2025-10-02
Newcastle Vol Fire/RescueFire/EMS DistrictExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75this jurisdiction approved 2022-05-09
Northeast Nebraska Public Health DepartmentHospital/Medical FacilityExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75this jurisdiction approved 2022-03-01
Ponca Volunteer Fire RescueFire/EMS DistrictExpired on 2026-07-17Cedar - Dixon Counties (FEMA plan 107568)2021-07-172026-07-17-75this jurisdiction approved 2022-03-14

Plan 110783 lists 73 other participants not on this page, 9 of them not covered by it yet (named in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countWhy this hazard can be left outNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$2,138,910$4,764$295$2,143,97037
2HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$127,170$856,629$36,874$1,020,673158
3TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$396,819$14,181$544,769$955,76911
4DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$885,360n/a$885,36059
5Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$119,409$49,831$101,408$270,649130Includes 31 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6Cold WaveVery LowRelatively Low$153$42,025$205,868$248,04520
7Heat WaveVery LowRelatively Low$3,953$7$194,752$198,71227
8WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$191,592$411$6,604$198,6070No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
9Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$16,262n/a$41,423$57,6853
10LightningVery LowVery Low$6,298n/a$28,754$35,0522
11Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$30,312$297$3,667$34,275143
12LandslideRelatively LowRelatively Low$162n/a$11,724$11,8860No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$4,716n/a$403$5,118Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates hurricane Not Applicable for this county, and no counted federal declaration for this county names it (EM-3245-NE names it but is not counted as a local occurrence; see B1-d).No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9778 (Very Low, 12.9); tract 9776 (Very Low, 9.3)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 9776 (Relatively Moderate, 98.1); tract 9778 (Relatively Low, 88.7)
Tornadotract 9778 (Very High, 94.1); tract 9776 (Very High, 93.9)
Wildfiretract 9776 (Relatively Moderate, 95.1); tract 9778 (Relatively Moderate, 94.0)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9778 is Census Tract 9778). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill20 records, 1996 to 2025 (20 zone-level)1 day to 5 days (median 2 days); 18 with a recorded value5 consecutive days, 2024-01-12 to 2024-01-16, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)59 records, 1999 to 2026 (59 zone-level)61 days to 652 days (median 144.5 days); 8 with a recorded value652 days (about 21.4 months), 2022-03-15 to 2023-12-26, a run of 22 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 2022-08-01, property not reported; $6,480,000 crops (zone total, 2022 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)177 records, 1961 to 20260.75 in to 4.25 in (median 1 in); 177 with a recorded value4.25 in hail, 2011-08-18Hail, 1996-07-16, $100,000 property; $2,000,000 crops (1996 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Newcastle village (36 records), Dixon village (23 records), Ponca city (23 records), Wakefield city (15 records), Martinsburg village (13 records), Allen village (12 records), Concord village (12 records), Maskell village (11 records), Waterbury village (5 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)27 records, 1999 to 2026 (27 zone-level)1 day to 7 days (median 2 days); 25 with a recorded value7 consecutive days, 2012-07-18 to 2012-07-24, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)3 records, 1996 to 2017 (3 zone-level)No damage reported in 3 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)37 records, 1996 to 2025Flood, 2019-03-13, $3,500,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Newcastle village (14 records), Ponca city (10 records), Maskell village (7 records), Dixon village (4 records), Wakefield city (4 records), Allen village (3 records), Concord village (3 records), Martinsburg village (2 records), Waterbury village (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)2 records, 2001 to 2003Lightning, 2003-06-27, $5,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Dixon village (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)34 records, 1996 to 2026 (34 zone-level)29 kt (33 mph) to 63 kt (72 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 33 with a recorded value63 kt (72 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2025-12-10; NWS zone NEZ013High Wind, 1996-10-26, $40,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1996 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)130 records, 1967 to 202550 kt (58 mph) to 78 kt (90 mph) (median 56 kt (64 mph)); 112 with a recorded value78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2022-05-12; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2022-05-12Thunderstorm Wind, 1994-04-25, $500,000 property; crops not recorded (1994 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Ponca city (24 records), Newcastle village (21 records), Dixon village (13 records), Allen village (9 records), Martinsburg village (9 records), Wakefield city (9 records), Concord village (5 records), Maskell village (5 records), Waterbury village (2 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)23 records, 1953 to 2014F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF0); 23 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 1986-07-28, 20 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 73 yd wide, $25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1986 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Allen village (3 records), Dixon village (2 records), Ponca city (2 records), Wakefield city (2 records), Concord village (1 record), Martinsburg village (1 record), Maskell village (1 record), Newcastle village (1 record), Waterbury village (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)143 records, 1996 to 2026 (143 zone-level)Blizzard, 1998-11-10, $25,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars); NWS zone NEZ013Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 19 declarations covering 15 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2022-07-272022-05-12DR-4662-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms and Straight-Line WindsStrong Windno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2020-04-042020-01-20DR-4521-NEMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$5,819.30
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3483-NEEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4521
2019-03-212019-03-09DR-4420-NEMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Winter Weather$1,221,529.59
2018-08-272018-06-17DR-4387-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$817,128.30
2014-07-242014-06-14DR-4183-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$478,379.87
2013-11-262013-10-02DR-4156-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms, Winter Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado; Winter Weather$9,232.10
2011-08-122011-05-24DR-4013-NEMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingnone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $26,849.36 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)
2011-06-182011-06-17EM-3323-NEEmergencyFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4013
2010-04-212010-03-06DR-1902-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms, Ice Jams, and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
2010-02-252009-12-22DR-1878-NEMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormWinter Weather$17,825.12
2009-07-312009-06-05DR-1853-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
2007-01-072006-12-19DR-1674-NEMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3245-NEEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacueesHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2003-07-212003-06-09DR-1480-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornadono Public Assistance recorded
1984-07-031984-06-11DR-716-NEMajor disasterTornadoes & FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1971-07-071971-07-07DR-308-NEMajor disasterFloodsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1971-02-231971-02-23DR-303-NEMajor disasterFloodsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1967-07-181967-07-18DR-228-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-07-201964-07-20DR-174-NEMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1963-07-171963-07-17DR-156-NEMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Flooding
1962-09-051962-09-05DR-134-NEMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1962-05-101962-05-10DR-131-NEMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1960-04-041960-04-04DR-98-NEMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any Nebraska county: 7 rows, $3,747,676.55; listed on the Nebraska state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave20038001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought595633001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail1774820001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave272513001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm3000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding370381101996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind16461334401955 to 2026-06-30Includes 31 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records.
Tornado23000601950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather1434529401996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-12-10High Wind63 kt (72 mph) measured gustdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone NEZ013 (DIXON), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2024-01-12Extreme Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone NEZ013 (DIXON), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2022-05-12Thunderstorm Wind78 kt (90 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 0NEWCASTLEwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2022-03-15Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone NEZ013 (DIXON), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2019-03-13Flood$3,500,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)0, 0WAKEFIELD to EMERSONB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2012-07-18Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NEZ013 (DIXON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2011-08-18Hail4.25 in$100,000 property; crops not reported (2011 dollars)0, 0MARTINSBURGB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2003-06-27Lightning$5,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)0, 0EMERSONB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2002-07-25Thunderstorm Wind69 kt (79 mph) estimateddamage not reported0, 1PONCAdeaths or injuries recorded
1998-11-10Blizzard$25,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1998 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NEZ013 (DIXON), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1986-07-28TornadoF4, 20 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 73 yd wide$25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1986 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
1953-06-07TornadoF0, 1.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 33 yd wide$2,500 property; crops not recorded (1953 dollars)0, 1location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (655 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave6.16event-days per yearabout 6.16 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 12 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (40%)1172005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought35.9event-days per yearabout 35.9 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)1,1482000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000495annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0495%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail6.29events per yearabout 6.29 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)239.1 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave6.58event-days per yearabout 6.58 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 9 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (30%)1082005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Storm0.993event-days per yearabout 0.993 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)671946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.964event-days per yearabout 0.964 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)271996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.241events per year (modeled)about 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning40.6days per year with a strikeabout 40.6 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind3.84events per yearabout 3.84 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1471986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.385events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.00182annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.182%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather15event-days per yearabout 15 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 30 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (100%)2852005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202577302.57
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20258300.267
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202585302.83
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202511300.367
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202510300.333
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave2 of 271.472.172.7Relatively Moderate 2
Drought2 of 298.498.598.6Relatively High 2
Earthquake2 of 29.311.112.9Very Low 2
Hail2 of 298.899.199.4Very High 2
Heat Wave2 of 277.978.378.8Relatively Moderate 2
Hurricane0 of 2Not Applicable 2
Ice Storm2 of 288.388.789.0Relatively Moderate 2
Inland Flooding2 of 268.777.285.8Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 1
Landslide2 of 288.793.498.1Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 1
Lightning2 of 261.662.763.7Relatively Moderate 2
Strong Wind2 of 293.994.194.2Relatively High 2
Tornado2 of 293.994.094.1Very High 2
Wildfire2 of 294.094.695.1Relatively Moderate 2
Winter Weather2 of 289.490.391.3Relatively High 2

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Hail: Agriculture is 84% of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

This county has 2 census tracts; the minimum, median and maximum come from those 2.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Dixon CountyCountyApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$345,503.720 total; 0 since its plan
Allen villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$4,301.6327 total; 1 since its plan
Concord villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$116,896.2921 total; 1 since its plan
Dixon villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$1,01543 total; 0 since its plan
Martinsburg villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded25 total; 0 since its plan
Maskell villageVillageExpired on 2026-07-17FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded24 total; 0 since its plan
Newcastle villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded72 total; 0 since its plan
Ponca cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$80,678.8359 total; 1 since its plan
Wakefield cityCityApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$9,298.3130 total; 0 since its plan
Waterbury villageVillageApproved, expires 2030-08-11FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded9 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2025-08-12county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$1,858,177,545$349,688,2855,606$153$42,025$205,868under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$93,485,227n/an/a$885,360n/a0.947% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$3,177,119,295n/a5,606$4,716n/a$4030.000148%
Hail$1,858,177,545$349,688,2855,606$127,170$856,629$36,8740.00684%
Heat Wave$1,858,177,545$349,688,2855,606$3,953$7$194,7520.000213%
HurricaneNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice Storm$1,858,177,545n/a5,606$16,262n/a$41,4230.000875%
Inland Flooding$1,857,185,164$2,245,20453$2,138,910$4,764$295n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$42,603,266n/a168$162n/a$11,7240.00038%
Lightning$1,858,177,545n/a5,606$6,298n/a$28,7540.000339%
Strong Wind$1,858,177,545$349,688,2855,606$119,409$49,831$101,4080.00643%
Tornado$1,858,177,545$349,688,2855,606$396,819$14,181$544,7690.0214%
Wildfire$315,746,602$77,104,5921,213$191,592$411$6,6040.0607%
Winter Weather$1,858,177,545$349,688,2855,606$30,312$297$3,6670.00163%$0

Totals since 2025-08-12 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 4 county-coded records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 17 zone-level records, 2 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population5,606
Building value (total, not at risk)$1,858,177,545
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$349,688,285
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$4,889,261
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$1,176,541
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0020200

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Dixon County3104310000000
Allen village3102440000000
Concord village3105410000000
Dixon village3105420000000
Martinsburg village3105430000000
Maskell village3105440000000
Newcastle village3103060000000
Ponca city3100670000000
Wakefield city3104040000000
Waterbury village3105450000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Dixon County, NE: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 31051). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ne/31051/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]