Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Stutsman County, ND

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
38093
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-02-28. Plan: Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135), approved 2022-03-01.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-03-01: 4 new hazard declarations (4 incidents) and 113 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Cold Wave ($6,895,264 a year), Inland Flooding ($3,483,226) and Hail ($1,743,693).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2027-02-28
Plan:
Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)
Approved:
2022-03-01
Days to expiry:
151
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-03-01)

New federal declarations:
4 new hazard declarations (4 incidents): DR-4660-ND (Severe Winter Storm and Flooding), DR-4760-ND (Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds), DR-4888-ND (Severe Storm, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds), DR-4895-ND (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes)
Storm Events records since approval:
113 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 1 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 6
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Stutsman CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Buchanan cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Cleveland cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Courtenay cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Jamestown cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Kensal cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Medina cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Montpelier cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Pingree cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Spiritwood Lake cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Streeter cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151
Woodworth cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28Stutsman County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108135)2022-03-012027-02-28151

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countWhy this hazard can be left outNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively High$1,997$1,764,524$5,128,743$6,895,26435
2Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$3,467,609$4,985$10,632$3,483,22624
3HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,232,940$414,249$96,504$1,743,693186
4TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$1,084,879$13,233$141,786$1,239,89823
5Winter WeatherRelatively HighVery High$407,260$621$556,664$964,546119
6Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$698,817$60,135$165,076$924,028210Includes 47 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
7Ice StormRelatively HighRelatively High$567,261n/a$141,958$709,2201
8WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$146,482$214$3,879$150,5751
9Heat WaveVery LowVery Low$866$2$97,610$98,4782
10DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$45,865n/a$45,8659
11LightningVery LowVery Low$6,045n/a$13,784$19,8294
12EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$11,048n/a$2,737$13,785Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
13LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$310n/a$3,656$3,9660Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates hurricane Not Applicable for this county, and no counted federal declaration for this county names it (EM-3247-ND names it but is not counted as a local occurrence; see B1-d).No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9678 (Very Low, 16.4); tract 9672 (Very Low, 11.7); tract 9675 (Very Low, 10.9)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 9670 (Relatively Moderate, 95.6); tract 9672 (Relatively Low, 89.8); tract 9675 (Relatively Low, 81.9)
Tornadotract 9670 (Relatively High, 84.8); tract 9672 (Relatively High, 80.7); tract 9678 (Relatively High, 76.4)
Wildfiretract 9672 (Relatively Moderate, 92.5); tract 9670 (Relatively Moderate, 92.5); tract 9675 (Relatively Moderate, 90.8)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9678 is Census Tract 9678). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill35 records, 1996 to 2025 (35 zone-level)1 day to 6 days (median 2 days); 33 with a recorded value6 consecutive days, 2021-02-10 to 2021-02-15, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)9 records, 2021 (9 zone-level)246 days; 1 with a recorded value246 days (about 8.1 months), 2021-04-13 to 2021-12-14, a run of 9 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)257 records, 1957 to 20260.75 in to 4.5 in (median 1 in); 257 with a recorded value4.5 in hail, 1997-08-31; same size also recorded on 1983-08-24, 1997-08-31Hail, 2025-06-20, $10,000,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Jamestown city (39 records), Medina city (20 records), Cleveland city (16 records), Montpelier city (14 records), Woodworth city (13 records), Buchanan city (10 records), Streeter city (9 records), Pingree city (8 records), Courtenay city (6 records), Kensal city (2 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)2 records, 2001 to 2011 (2 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 2.5 days); 2 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2011-07-16 to 2011-07-19, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)1 record, 2023 (1 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2023-12-26, $1,250,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars); NWS zone NDZ037Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)24 records, 1997 to 2024 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2024-06-02, $500,000 property; $150,000 crops (2024 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Woodworth city (6 records), Medina city (5 records), Jamestown city (4 records), Streeter city (4 records), Cleveland city (1 record), Courtenay city (1 record), Kensal city (1 record), Pingree city (1 record). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)4 records, 1996 to 2010Lightning, 2010-07-13, $5,000 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Jamestown city (2 records), Streeter city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)47 records, 1996 to 2026 (47 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 60 kt (69 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 47 with a recorded value60 kt (69 mph), measurement type not recorded, High Wind, 1999-11-01; NWS zone NDZ037High Wind, 2011-02-13, $20,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)223 records, 1957 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 104 kt (120 mph) (median 57 kt (66 mph)); 211 with a recorded value104 kt (120 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2018-09-14Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Jamestown city (23 records), Medina city (21 records), Courtenay city (15 records), Montpelier city (12 records), Buchanan city (7 records), Kensal city (7 records), Streeter city (7 records), Woodworth city (6 records), Cleveland city (5 records), Pingree city (5 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)57 records, 1952 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median between F/EF0 and F/EF1); 46 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 2002-08-11, 1 mi within this county, 300 yd wide, $650,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Tornado, 2025-06-20, $750,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Medina city (4 records), Jamestown city (3 records), Cleveland city (2 records), Streeter city (2 records), Buchanan city (1 record), Montpelier city (1 record), Pingree city (1 record), Woodworth city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)1 record, 2003No damage reported in 1 record.No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)119 records, 1996 to 2026 (118 zone-level)Blizzard, 1997-04-04, $2,000,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars), 1 direct injury (reported for the zone); NWS zone NDZ037No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (118) apply countywide.

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 31 declarations covering 27 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2025-10-222025-08-07DR-4895-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesStrong Wind; Tornado$182,209.59new since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-09-112025-06-20DR-4888-NDMajor disasterSevere Storm, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line WindsStrong Wind; Tornado$1,344,489.15new since last plan; within last 5 years
2024-02-152023-12-25DR-4760-NDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and Straight-Line WindsWinter Weather (primary); also designated: Strong Windno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2022-07-132022-04-22DR-4660-NDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$648,546.30new since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-07-092020-04-01DR-4553-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$767,750.78
2020-04-012020-01-20DR-4509-NDMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$79,222.99
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3477-NDEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4509
2020-01-212019-10-09DR-4475-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$4,218,651.37
2011-05-102011-02-14DR-1981-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$6,061,574.56
2010-04-302010-02-26DR-1907-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$764,415.57
2010-03-142010-02-26EM-3309-NDEmergencyFloodingInland Flooding$139,381.24same incident as DR-1907
2009-03-242009-03-13DR-1829-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$5,141,611.25
2007-07-172007-06-02DR-1713-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$78,462.52
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3247-NDEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2002-09-102002-06-08DR-1431-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornado$32,903.36
2001-05-282001-03-01DR-1376-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, & Ground SaturationInland Flooding$519,933.68
2000-06-272000-04-05DR-1334-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding and Ground SaturationInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1999-06-081999-03-01DR-1279-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Snow, Ice, Ground Saturation, Lanslides, Mudslides, and TorInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Tornado$1,141,142.43
1998-06-151998-03-02DR-1220-NDMajor disasterFlooding, Ground Saturation,Severe StormsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1997-04-071997-02-28DR-1174-NDMajor disasterSevere Flooding,Severe Winter Storms, Snowmelt, Spring RainsInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Wildfire, Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1997-01-121997-01-03DR-1157-NDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and Blizzard ConditionsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1996-06-051996-03-12DR-1118-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms,Flooding, & Ice JamsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1995-05-161995-03-01DR-1050-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and Ground SaturationInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1994-07-011994-03-05DR-1032-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1993-07-261993-06-22DR-1001-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1979-04-261979-04-26DR-581-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1976-07-211976-07-21EM-3016-NDEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded
1975-07-111975-07-11DR-475-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1975-05-241975-05-24DR-469-NDMajor disasterFlooding from Rains & SnowmeltInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1969-04-181969-04-18DR-256-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1966-03-231966-03-23DR-216-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1957-06-221957-06-22DR-79-NDMajor disasterTornadoTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any North Dakota county: 1 row, $23,693.61; listed on the North Dakota state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave35303001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought9093101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail25724624001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm1101001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding243032211996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning4000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind270611566331955 to 2026-06-30Includes 47 High Wind records.
Tornado57515421950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire1000101996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather11916420421996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2024-06-02Flash Flood$500,000 property; $150,000 crops (2024 dollars)0, 0(JMS)JAMESTOWN MUNI to JAMESTOWNnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2023-12-26Ice Storm$1,250,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2023 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ037 (STUTSMAN), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2021-02-10Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ037 (STUTSMAN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2018-09-14Thunderstorm Wind104 kt (120 mph) estimated gust$12,000,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)0, 0CLEVELANDB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2011-07-16Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ037 (STUTSMAN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2002-08-11TornadoF4, 1 mi within this county, 300 yd wide$650,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)0, 0MEDINAB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
1999-11-01High Wind60 kt (69 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not reported0, 0NWS zone NDZ037 (STUTSMAN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
1997-11-04Winter Weather$15,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)1, 1SPIRITWOODdeaths or injuries recorded
1997-08-31Hail4.5 in$75,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)0, 0WINDSORB1-c worst recorded: Hail
1997-04-04Blizzard$2,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 1NWS zone NDZ037 (STUTSMAN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1997-01-21Blizzard$790,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 4NWS zone NDZ037 (STUTSMAN), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
1997-01-15Blizzard$900,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 4NWS zone NDZ037 (STUTSMAN), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (779 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave18.9event-days per yearabout 18.9 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 17 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (56.7%)3592005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought9.25event-days per yearabout 9.25 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)2592000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000125annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0125%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail2.84events per yearabout 2.84 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)107.9 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave1.58event-days per yearabout 1.58 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)242005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Storm0.784event-days per yearabout 0.784 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)531946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.786event-days per yearabout 0.786 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 11 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (36.7%)221996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.306events per year (modeled)about 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning30.2days per year with a strikeabout 30.2 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.49events per yearabout 1.49 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)571986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado1.02events per yearabout 1.02 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000518annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0518%PossibleStorm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather22.9event-days per yearabout 22.9 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 30 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (100%)4352005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 2025107303.57
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 202518300.6
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025119303.97
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202539301.3
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202515300.5
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20251300.0333
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20255300.167

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave7 of 788.698.999.6Very High 6, Relatively High 1
Drought6 of 768.173.291.8Relatively Low 2, Very Low 4, No Rating 1
Earthquake7 of 74.29.416.4Very Low 7
Hail7 of 781.596.399.3Very High 2, Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 1
Heat Wave7 of 76.521.029.7Relatively Low 4, Very Low 3
Hurricane0 of 7Not Applicable 7
Ice Storm7 of 787.497.398.6Very High 3, Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 1
Inland Flooding7 of 71.651.667.8Relatively Moderate 5, Very Low 2
Landslide7 of 726.662.095.6Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 2, Very Low 4
Lightning7 of 75.818.723.2Relatively Low 1, Very Low 6
Strong Wind7 of 767.293.897.8Very High 2, Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 1
Tornado7 of 742.372.084.8Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 1
Wildfire6 of 769.083.692.5Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 3, No Rating 1
Winter Weather7 of 797.899.9100.0Very High 7

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Stutsman CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$13,979,398.620 total; 0 since its planIncludes $54,159.36 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4509-ND).
Buchanan cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28$15,434.9518 total; 4 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Cleveland cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,231.0924 total; 3 since its plan
Courtenay cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$40,356.4122 total; 12 since its plan
Jamestown cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$4,816,468.3871 total; 8 since its planIncludes $25,063.63 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4509-ND).
Kensal cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$53,847.5410 total; 4 since its plan
Medina cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$44,394.6450 total; 10 since its plan
Montpelier cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,480.8427 total; 3 since its plan
Pingree cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$70,848.7015 total; 2 since its plan
Spiritwood Lake cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 1$45,764.350 total; 0 since its plan
Streeter cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$75,470.9023 total; 1 since its plan
Woodworth cityCityApproved, expires 2027-02-28$7,288.3526 total; 6 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2022-03-01county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$7,090,315,915$432,071,11421,575$1,997$1,764,524$5,128,743under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$183,786,906n/an/a$45,865n/a0.025% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$12,626,039,873n/a21,593$11,048n/a$2,737under 0.0001%
Hail$7,090,315,915$432,071,11421,575$1,232,940$414,249$96,5040.0174%$11,175,000
Heat Wave$7,090,315,915$432,071,11421,575$866$2$97,610under 0.0001%
HurricaneNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice Storm$7,090,315,915n/a21,575$567,261n/a$141,9580.008%$1,250,000
Inland Flooding$7,079,608,534$331,646280$3,467,609$4,985$10,632n/a (see note)$715,000$648,546.30NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$64,179,837n/a213$310n/a$3,6560.000483%
Lightning$7,090,315,915n/a21,575$6,045n/a$13,784under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$7,090,315,915$432,071,11421,575$698,817$60,135$165,0760.00986%$3,643,000$0$1,526,698.74
Tornado$7,090,315,915$432,071,11421,575$1,084,879$13,233$141,7860.0153%$750,000$1,526,698.74
Wildfire$1,416,124,481$147,421,9773,627$146,482$214$3,8790.0103%
Winter Weather$7,090,315,915$432,071,11421,575$407,260$621$556,6640.00574%$250,000$648,546.30

Totals since 2022-03-01 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 88 county-coded records, 88 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $16,283,000; 25 zone-level records, 25 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $1,500,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $2,175,245.04 on 4 counted declarations, 3 of them with Public Assistance.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population21,575
Building value (total, not at risk)$7,090,315,915
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$432,071,114
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$9,929,343
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$6,363,030
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition5Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0150610
of which: Stutsman County (unincorporated area)0010100
of which: Spiritwood Lake city0100110
of which: Jamestown city0040400

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Stutsman County3801190010100
Cleveland city3803420000000
Courtenay city3801210000000
Jamestown city3853660040400
Kensal city3801230000000
Medina city3801240000000
Montpelier city3801250000000
Pingree city3801260000000
Spiritwood Lake city3803150100110
Streeter city3801270000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0140510
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0010100
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 5 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Stutsman County, ND: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 38093). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/nd/38093/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]