Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Ramsey County, ND

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
38071
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2029-06-23. Plan: Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793), approved 2024-06-24.

Since the plan was approved on 2024-06-24: no new hazard declaration and 29 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Cold Wave ($3,220,960 a year), Inland Flooding ($1,659,652) and Strong Wind ($970,304).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2029-06-23
Plan:
Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)
Approved:
2024-06-24
Days to expiry:
997

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-06-24)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
29 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 15, SRL 23 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 34
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Ramsey CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997
Brocket cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997
Crary cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997
Devils Lake cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997
Edmore cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997
Hampden cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997
Lawton cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997
Starkweather cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23Ramsey County, ND Hazard Mitigation Plan 2024 (FEMA plan 109793)2024-06-242029-06-23997

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countWhy this hazard can be left outNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$3,129$1,244,972$1,972,858$3,220,96089Includes 7 Frost/Freeze records (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
2Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$1,631,243$18,249$10,159$1,659,65262
3Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$772,549$99,500$98,255$970,304177Includes 39 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
4HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$446,161$177,387$27,471$651,019195
5TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$492,783$3,954$32,247$528,98421
6WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$498,651$309$15,134$514,0940Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
7Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$246,274$328$262,612$509,215138
8Ice StormRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$418,074n/a$50,887$468,9604
9LightningVery LowVery Low$5,562n/a$40,938$46,4991
10Heat WaveVery LowVery Low$331$1$26,189$26,5201
11DroughtVery LowVery Lown/a$22,960n/a$22,96010
12EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$5,632n/a$1,588$7,219Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
13LandslideVery LowVery Low$25n/a$395$4200Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates hurricane Not Applicable for this county, and no counted federal declaration for this county names it (EM-3247-ND names it but is not counted as a local occurrence; see B1-d).No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9578 (Very Low, 13.9); tract 9577 (Very Low, 9.2); tract 9576 (Very Low, 8.9)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 9577 (Relatively Low, 88.0); tract 9578 (Very Low, 59.6); tract 9576 (Very Low, 32.4)
Tornadotract 9578 (Relatively Moderate, 72.8); tract 9577 (Relatively Moderate, 71.9); tract 9576 (Relatively Moderate, 64.6)
Wildfiretract 9577 (Relatively High, 96.5); tract 9578 (Relatively Moderate, 96.0); tract 9576 (Relatively Moderate, 95.1)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9578 is Census Tract 9578). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill82 records, 1996 to 2026 (82 zone-level)1 day to 10 days (median 2 days); 67 with a recorded value10 consecutive days, 2021-02-06 to 2021-02-15, zone-levelCold/Wind Chill, 2003-03-08, $50,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2003 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Cold/Wind Chill records from May to September (a frost night, not a cold wave) are counted but not used for the longest run.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage7 records, 2008 to 2026 (7 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 7 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)10 records, 2006 to 2024 (10 zone-level)36 days to 148 days (median 91 days); 3 with a recorded value148 days (about 4.9 months), 2023-12-05 to 2024-04-30, a run of 5 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)221 records, 1962 to 20260.75 in to 2.75 in (median 1 in); 221 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 2006-08-10; same size also recorded on 1966-08-05Hail, 2008-07-05, $5,000 property; $100,000 crops (2008 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Devils Lake city (49 records), Edmore city (22 records), Brocket city (14 records), Starkweather city (9 records), Lawton city (8 records), Crary city (7 records), Hampden city (7 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)1 record, 2001 (1 zone-level)2 days; 1 with a recorded value2 consecutive days, 2001-08-04 to 2001-08-05, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)4 records, 1997 to 2009 (4 zone-level)Ice Storm, 1997-04-04, $6,000,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars); NWS zone NDZ015Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)62 records, 1997 to 2025 (20 zone-level)Flood, 1999-09-01, $75,000,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars); NWS zone NDZ015Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Devils Lake city (7 records), Starkweather city (2 records), Crary city (1 record), Edmore city (1 record), Hampden city (1 record). Zone-level records (20) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)1 record, 2006No damage or casualties reported in 1 record.Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Devils Lake city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)41 records, 1997 to 2026 (41 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 66 kt (76 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 41 with a recorded value66 kt (76 mph), measurement type not recorded, High Wind, 1999-11-01; NWS zone NDZ015Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)179 records, 1960 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 100 kt (115 mph) (median 56 kt (64 mph)); 141 with a recorded value100 kt (115 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1966-08-08Thunderstorm Wind, 2000-08-11, $10,000,000 property; crops not reported (2000 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Devils Lake city (32 records), Starkweather city (15 records), Edmore city (12 records), Crary city (8 records), Hampden city (7 records), Brocket city (5 records), Lawton city (4 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)50 records, 1965 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median F/EF0); 47 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 1966-08-05, 33 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1966 dollars), 1 direct injuryEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Crary city (4 records), Devils Lake city (3 records), Lawton city (3 records), Edmore city (1 record), Starkweather city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)138 records, 1996 to 2026 (138 zone-level)Blizzard, 1997-04-05, $6,000,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars); NWS zone NDZ015Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 29 declarations covering 25 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2022-07-132022-04-22DR-4660-NDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$1,430,462.16within last 5 years
2020-04-012020-01-20DR-4509-NDMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3477-NDEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4509
2013-07-122013-05-17DR-4128-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$469,592.33
2013-05-292013-04-22DR-4118-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$40,204.71
2011-05-102011-02-14DR-1981-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$8,863,832.98
2011-04-072011-04-05EM-3318-NDEmergencyFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
2010-04-302010-02-26DR-1907-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$3,434,219.29
2010-03-142010-02-26EM-3309-NDEmergencyFloodingInland Flooding$23,599.02same incident as DR-1907
2009-03-242009-03-13DR-1829-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$4,484,533.50
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3247-NDEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-07-222005-06-01DR-1597-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and Ground SaturationInland Flooding$909,708.91
2004-05-052004-03-26DR-1515-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and Ground SaturationInland Flooding$1,071,907.48
2001-05-282001-03-01DR-1376-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, & Ground SaturationInland Flooding$484,689.59
2000-12-292000-11-01DR-1353-NDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and TornadoesTornado (primary); also designated: Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
2000-06-272000-04-05DR-1334-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding and Ground SaturationInland Flooding$466,863.95
1999-06-081999-03-01DR-1279-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Snow, Ice, Ground Saturation, Lanslides, Mudslides, and TorInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Tornado$1,093,203.92
1998-06-151998-03-02DR-1220-NDMajor disasterFlooding, Ground Saturation,Severe StormsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1997-04-071997-02-28DR-1174-NDMajor disasterSevere Flooding,Severe Winter Storms, Snowmelt, Spring RainsInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Wildfire, Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1997-01-121997-01-03DR-1157-NDMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and Blizzard ConditionsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1996-06-051996-03-12DR-1118-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms,Flooding, & Ice JamsInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1995-05-161995-03-01DR-1050-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and Ground SaturationInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1994-07-011994-03-05DR-1032-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1993-07-261993-06-22DR-1001-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1979-04-261979-04-26DR-581-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1974-05-141974-05-14DR-434-NDMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Snowmelt & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1970-06-051970-06-05DR-287-NDMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1969-04-181969-04-18DR-256-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1966-03-231966-03-23DR-216-NDMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1957-06-221957-06-22DR-79-NDMajor disasterTornadoTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any North Dakota county: 1 row, $23,693.61; listed on the North Dakota state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave897222001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 7 Frost/Freeze records.
Drought10088001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail2216110001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm4000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding621012301996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Lightning1000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind2208330001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 39 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records.
Tornado50202201950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Winter Weather1385123401996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2021-02-06Extreme Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ015 (RAMSEY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2006-08-10Hail2.75 indamage not reported0, 0DEVILS LAKEB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2001-08-04Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone NDZ015 (RAMSEY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2000-08-11Thunderstorm Wind96 kt (110 mph) measured$10,000,000 property; crops not reported (2000 dollars)0, 2DEVILS LAKEdeaths or injuries recorded
1999-11-01High Wind66 kt (76 mph), measurement type not recorded$150,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1999 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ015 (RAMSEY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
1999-09-01Flood$75,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1999 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ015 (RAMSEY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
1997-04-05Blizzard$6,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ015 (RAMSEY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1997-04-04Ice Storm$6,000,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone NDZ015 (RAMSEY), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
1991-05-12Thunderstorm Wind83 kt (96 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 2location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1986-06-26Thunderstorm Wind75 kt (86 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 12location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1966-08-08Thunderstorm Wind100 kt (115 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1966-08-05TornadoF2, 33 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1966 dollars)0, 1location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (796 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave23.5event-days per yearabout 23.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 24 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (80%)4472005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought9.12event-days per yearabout 9.12 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)2312000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000082annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0082%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail3.14events per yearabout 3.14 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)118.9 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave0.79event-days per yearabout 0.79 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)152005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Storm0.501event-days per yearabout 0.501 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)351946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding2.07event-days per yearabout 2.07 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 17 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (56.7%)581996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.107events per year (modeled)about 1 in 9 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning26.4days per year with a strikeabout 26.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.57events per yearabout 1.57 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)601986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.698events per yearabout 0.7 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.00159annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.159%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather21.3event-days per yearabout 21.3 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 30 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (100%)4052005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202595303.17
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20254300.133
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202586302.87
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202526300.867
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202520300.667
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202520300.667
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20251300.0333

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave3 of 397.898.299.5Very High 3
Drought3 of 370.772.590.4Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2
Earthquake3 of 38.99.213.9Very Low 3
Hail3 of 392.595.598.0Relatively High 3
Heat Wave3 of 36.712.614.6Very Low 3
Hurricane0 of 3Not Applicable 3
Ice Storm3 of 398.098.498.8Very High 3
Inland Flooding3 of 333.647.350.7Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 2
Landslide3 of 332.459.688.0Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2
Lightning3 of 346.462.664.7Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1
Strong Wind3 of 397.899.099.2Very High 3
Tornado3 of 364.671.972.8Relatively Moderate 3
Wildfire3 of 395.196.096.5Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 2
Winter Weather3 of 399.899.9100.0Very High 3

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

This county has 3 census tracts; the minimum, median and maximum come from those 3.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Ramsey CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 13, SRL 17; any 27$21,418,284.920 total; 0 since its plan
Brocket cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$49,803.4719 total; 2 since its plan
Crary cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded20 total; 1 since its plan
Devils Lake cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 1$562,798.4492 total; 1 since its plan
Edmore cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$41,214.0736 total; 1 since its plan
Hampden cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$62,204.4615 total; 0 since its plan
Lawton cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$9,871.9615 total; 0 since its plan
Starkweather cityCityApproved, expires 2029-06-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$38,473.8427 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2024-06-24county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$5,423,600,575$244,803,15211,577$3,129$1,244,972$1,972,858under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$161,076,796n/an/a$22,960n/a0.0143% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$9,773,504,921n/a11,605$5,632n/a$1,588under 0.0001%
Hail$5,423,600,575$244,803,15211,577$446,161$177,387$27,4710.00823%$0
Heat Wave$5,423,600,575$244,803,15211,577$331$1$26,189under 0.0001%
HurricaneNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice Storm$5,423,600,575n/a11,577$418,074n/a$50,8870.00771%
Inland Flooding$5,390,638,905$671,764116$1,631,243$18,249$10,159n/a (see note)$0NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$14,889,921n/a19$25n/a$3950.000169%
Lightning$5,423,600,575n/a11,577$5,562n/a$40,9380.000103%
Strong Wind$5,423,600,575$244,803,15211,577$772,549$99,500$98,2550.0142%$0
Tornado$5,423,600,575$244,803,15211,577$492,783$3,954$32,2470.00909%$0
Wildfire$1,082,030,317$67,867,6272,991$498,651$309$15,1340.0461%
Winter Weather$5,423,600,575$244,803,15211,577$246,274$328$262,6120.00454%$0

Totals since 2024-06-24 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 15 county-coded records, 8 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 14 zone-level records, 2 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population11,577
Building value (total, not at risk)$5,423,600,575
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$244,803,152
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$6,088,074
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$2,538,733
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)15Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)23
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition14Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition19

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total152314193440
of which: Ramsey County (unincorporated area)131711132740
of which: Devils Lake city0101100
of which: Coulee township (community ID not in plan data)1111100
of which: Creel township (community ID not in plan data)1424500

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Ramsey County380092131711132740
Brocket city3807020000000
Crary city3800930000000
Devils Lake city3802210101100
Edmore city3801660000000
Hampden city3800940000000
Lawton city3800950000000
Starkweather city3800960000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential8167132530
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential7776910
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 8 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 7 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Ramsey County, ND: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 38071). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/nd/38071/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]