Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Scott County, MO

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
29201
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Plan 110074 approved 2024-09-17, pending adoption here; not yet eligible. Plan: Scott County (FEMA plan 110074), pending adoption here, approved 2024-09-17 by FEMA; not yet adopted here.

Update: FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption.

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Earthquake ($17,777,087 a year), Tornado ($6,214,850) and Inland Flooding ($5,608,716).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Plan 110074 approved 2024-09-17, pending adoption here; not yet eligible
Plan:
Scott County (FEMA plan 110074), pending adoption here
Approved:
2024-09-17 by FEMA; not yet adopted here
Expires:
2029-09-16 once adopted
Update underway:
FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

What changed since your last plan

Not available. Plan 110074 was approved by FEMA on 2024-09-17 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Scott County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedPlan 110074 approved 2024-09-17, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleScott County (FEMA plan 110074), pending adoption here2024-09-17 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2029-09-16 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Benton cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Blodgett villageVillageApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Chaffee cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Kelso villageVillageApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Sikeston cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Chaffee R-II School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Kelso C-7 School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Oran R-III School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Scott County Central SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Scott County R-IV School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16
Sikeston R-VI School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-09-16Scott County (FEMA plan 110074)2024-09-172029-09-161,082this jurisdiction approved 2024-09-16

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1EarthquakeRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$10,152,444n/a$7,624,643$17,777,087Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
2TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,991,307$8,031$4,215,511$6,214,85029
3Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$5,283,706$32,150$292,860$5,608,71681
4Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$115$8$1,851,105$1,851,22896
5Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$13$169,806$1,518,117$1,687,93767Includes 48 Frost/Freeze records (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
6Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$613,257$200,457$721,246$1,534,961229Includes 9 High Wind and 100 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
7Ice StormRelatively HighRelatively High$879,531n/a$139,075$1,018,6065
8DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$592,103n/a$592,10340
9LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$8,624n/a$309,179$317,8034
10HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$286,319$1,385$6,346$294,05089
11Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$140,927$158$58,885$199,97197
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$11,549$14,060$159$25,7690No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13WildfireVery LowVery Low$2,482$30$719$3,2310Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$1,640n/a$138$1,7780No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 7812.02 (Very High, 98.9); tract 7812.01 (Very High, 97.6); tract 7806 (Relatively High, 96.5)
Hurricanetract 7804 (Very Low, 48.9); tract 7810 (Very Low, 47.6); tract 7802 (Very Low, 45.3)
Landslidetract 7802 (Relatively Low, 92.1); tract 7810 (Relatively Low, 91.2); tract 7811 (Relatively Low, 86.7)
Tornadotract 7804 (Very High, 99.1); tract 7802 (Very High, 98.6); tract 7812.02 (Very High, 98.5)
Wildfiretract 7810 (Very Low, 66.2); tract 7804 (Very Low, 64.4); tract 7811 (Very Low, 60.6)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 7812.02 is Census Tract 7812.02). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill19 records, 1996 to 2026 (19 zone-level)1 day to 23 days (median 1.5 days); 16 with a recorded value2000-12-12 to 2001-01-03 (2 records, 1 of them a monthly summary record), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage48 records, 1997 to 2024 (48 zone-level)Frost/Freeze, 2007-04-08, $3,000,000 crop damage (2007 dollars); NWS zone MOZ111Countywide (zone-level records).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)40 records, 1996 to 2026 (40 zone-level)9 days to 240 days (median 30 days); 16 with a recorded value240 days (about 7.9 months), 2012-05-18 to 2013-01-12, a run of 9 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelDrought, 2007-09-01, $0 property; $2,050,000 crops (zone total, 2007 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)103 records, 1955 to 20260.75 in to 2.75 in (median 1 in); 103 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 2012-06-04; same size also recorded on 2000-05-23Hail, 2000-05-23, $500,000 property; crops not reported (2000 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Sikeston city (15 records), Benton city (14 records), Chaffee city (7 records), Kelso village (3 records), Blodgett village (2 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)96 records, 1997 to 2025 (96 zone-level)1 day to 15 days (median 2 days); 81 with a recorded value15 consecutive days, 2025-07-16 to 2025-07-30, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Heat records from November to March (unseasonable warmth, not a heat wave) are counted but not used for the longest run.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)5 records, 1997 to 2013 (5 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2013-02-21, $50,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars); NWS zone MOZ111Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)81 records, 1996 to 2025 (18 zone-level)Flood, 2019-07-01, $30,000 property; $2,000,000 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Sikeston city (6 records), Benton city (3 records), Chaffee city (3 records), Blodgett village (2 records), Kelso village (2 records). Zone-level records (18) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)4 records, 2006 to 2019Lightning, 2019-06-21, $50,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Benton city (1 record), Chaffee city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)109 records, 1997 to 2026 (109 zone-level)27 kt (31 mph) to 57 kt (66 mph) (median 39 kt (45 mph)); 107 with a recorded value57 kt (66 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2008-09-14; NWS zone MOZ111Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)161 records, 1957 to 202550 kt (58 mph) to 104 kt (120 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 134 with a recorded value104 kt (120 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2013-01-29Thunderstorm Wind, 2012-06-04, $600,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Sikeston city (31 records), Chaffee city (13 records), Benton city (12 records), Blodgett village (11 records), Kelso village (1 record).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)49 records, 1955 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 49 with a recorded valueEF3 tornado, 2025-05-16, 12.64 mi within this county, 200 yd wide, $15,000,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars), 2 direct deaths, 10 direct injuriesTornado, 1986-05-15, $25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1986 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Benton city (6 records), Sikeston city (5 records), Blodgett village (2 records), Chaffee city (1 record), Kelso village (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)97 records, 1996 to 2026 (97 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2009-01-26, $21,700,000 property; $0 crops (2009 dollars); NWS zone MOZ111Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 31 declarations covering 26 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Plan 110074 was approved by FEMA on 2024-09-17 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-08-032026-06-04DR-4929-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadonot yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)within last 5 years
2025-06-092025-05-16DR-4877-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$157,668.76within last 5 years
2025-05-212025-03-30DR-4872-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$117,769.75within last 5 years
2025-05-212025-03-14DR-4867-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and WildfiresStrong Wind; Tornado; Wildfireno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2024-07-232024-05-19DR-4803-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$3,789,274.87within last 5 years
2023-09-212023-07-29DR-4741-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$1,015,910.67within last 5 years
2020-03-262020-01-20DR-4490-MOMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$2,117,024.70
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3482-MOEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4490
2019-07-092019-04-29DR-4451-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$292,490.88
2019-05-202019-03-11DR-4435-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind$131,508.39
2017-06-022017-04-28DR-4317-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Tornado$159,086.79
2016-01-212015-12-23DR-4250-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Tornado$115,202.81
2016-01-022015-12-22EM-3374-MOEmergencySevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Tornadono Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4250
2011-05-092011-04-19DR-1980-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$794,157.06
2011-02-032011-01-31EM-3317-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
2009-02-172009-01-26DR-1822-MOMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$3,209,756.89
2009-01-302009-01-26EM-3303-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1822
2008-11-132008-09-11DR-1809-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and a TornadoInland Flooding; Tornado$194,100.17
2008-06-252008-06-01DR-1773-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$42,065.70
2008-03-192008-03-17DR-1749-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$666,056.75
2008-03-122008-02-10DR-1748-MOMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and FloodingIce Storm$208,385.73
2007-12-122007-12-08EM-3281-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormsIce Stormno Public Assistance recorded
2006-03-162006-03-08DR-1631-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
2005-09-102005-08-29EM-3232-MOEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2003-05-062003-05-04DR-1463-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$102,928.12
2002-05-062002-04-24DR-1412-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$86,895.04
1995-06-021995-05-13DR-1054-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingHail; Inland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1993-07-091993-06-10DR-995-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1979-04-211979-04-21DR-579-MOMajor disasterTornadoes, Torrential Rain & FloodingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1976-09-241976-09-24EM-3017-MOEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded
1973-04-191973-04-19DR-372-MOMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $19,383.91 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-07-081964-07-08DR-173-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1961-05-271961-05-27DR-114-MOMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1960-04-201960-04-20DR-100-MOMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1957-05-221957-05-22DR-75-MOMajor disasterTornadoes & FloodsTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any Missouri county: 24 rows, $2,272,582.85; listed on the Missouri state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave671201996 to 2026-06-30Includes 48 Frost/Freeze records.
Drought40811996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail103911955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave962701996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm5031996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding819201996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning4001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind2705791955 to 2026-06-30Includes 9 High Wind and 100 Strong Wind records.
Tornado497171950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0011996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Winter Weather971721996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-07-16Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ111 (SCOTT), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2025-05-16TornadoEF3, 12.64 mi within this county, 200 yd wide$15,000,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)2, 10CROWDER to PORTERwithin last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2019-07-01Flood$30,000 property; $2,000,000 crops (2019 dollars)0, 0SCOTT CITY to ILLMOB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2019-06-21Lightning$50,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)0, 0SCOTT CITYB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2013-02-21Ice Storm$50,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2013 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ111 (SCOTT), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2013-01-29Thunderstorm Wind104 kt (120 mph) estimated gust$100,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)0, 0CHAFFEEB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2012-06-04TornadoEF2, 0.5 mi within this county, 75 yd wide$100,000 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)3, 0DIEHLSTADTdeaths or injuries recorded
2012-05-18Drought$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ111 (SCOTT), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2008-09-14High Wind57 kt (66 mph) estimated gust$8,400,000 property; $5,000,000 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ111 (SCOTT), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2007-04-08Frost/Freeze$0 property; $3,000,000 crops (zone total, 2007 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ111 (SCOTT), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Frost/Freeze
2000-12-12Extreme Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MOZ111 (SCOTT), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1957-12-18TornadoF2, 0.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 33 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1957 dollars)3, 1location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (812 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave1.11event-days per yearabout 1.11 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)212005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought5.33event-days per yearabout 5.33 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)1542000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.0124annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 1.24%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail3.22events per yearabout 3.22 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)122.2 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave11.3event-days per yearabout 11.3 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 27 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (90%)1572005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0115events per yearabout 1 in 87 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)21851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.38event-days per yearabout 1.38 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)931946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding2.5event-days per yearabout 2.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)701996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.435events per year (modeled)about 1 in 2 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning56.8days per year with a strikeabout 56.8 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind3.65events per yearabout 3.65 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1391986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.365events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.0000662annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.00662%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather6.89event-days per yearabout 6.89 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%)1312005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202544301.47
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20255300.167
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202595303.17
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202519300.633
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20256300.2
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202521300.7
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20258300.267
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave11 of 1169.279.986.6Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 3
Drought10 of 1185.090.897.9Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 5, No Rating 1
Earthquake11 of 1188.595.598.9Very High 2, Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 1
Hail11 of 1165.477.383.0Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 2
Heat Wave11 of 1182.491.193.8Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 1
Hurricane11 of 1133.739.048.9Very Low 11
Ice Storm11 of 1194.097.598.8Very High 4, Relatively High 7
Inland Flooding11 of 1116.754.971.4Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 5
Landslide10 of 119.567.992.1Relatively Low 4, Very Low 6, No Rating 1
Lightning11 of 1167.683.689.6Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 3
Strong Wind11 of 1188.595.198.2Very High 3, Relatively High 8
Tornado11 of 1189.097.599.1Very High 10, Relatively High 1
Wildfire11 of 1124.250.066.2Very Low 11
Winter Weather11 of 1183.893.696.4Very High 1, Relatively High 10

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Scott County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedPlan 110074 approved 2024-09-17, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 4, SRL 2; any 23$2,230,900.890 total; no approved plan
Benton cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-16FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$7,728.0336 total; 3 since its plan
Blodgett villageVillageApproved, expires 2029-09-16FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$128,500.6817 total; 0 since its plan
Chaffee cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-16FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$145,934.1225 total; 0 since its plan
Kelso villageVillageApproved, expires 2029-09-16FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded7 total; 1 since its plan
Sikeston cityCityApproved, expires 2029-09-16FMA RL 1, SRL 1; any 6$3,781,207.8557 total; 1 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Plan 110074 was approved by FEMA on 2024-09-17 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since plancounty-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$8,294,939,678$237,988,37738,040$13$169,806$1,518,117under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$102,804,656n/an/a$592,103n/a0.576% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$14,806,677,702n/a38,059$10,152,444n/a$7,624,6430.0686%
Hail$8,294,939,678$237,988,37738,040$286,319$1,385$6,3460.00345%
Heat Wave$8,294,939,678$237,988,37738,040$115$8$1,851,105under 0.0001%
Hurricane$8,260,192,363$230,256,60137,931$11,549$14,060$1590.00014%
Ice Storm$8,288,585,581n/a38,010$879,531n/a$139,0750.0106%
Inland Flooding$8,291,002,085$69,879,3776,299$5,283,706$32,150$292,860n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$69,027,319n/a421$1,640n/a$1380.00238%
Lightning$8,294,939,678n/a38,040$8,624n/a$309,1790.000104%
Strong Wind$8,294,939,678$237,988,37738,040$613,257$200,457$721,2460.00739%
Tornado$8,294,939,678$237,988,37738,040$1,991,307$8,031$4,215,5110.024%
Wildfire$1,798,350,923$42,690,1639,584$2,482$30$7190.000138%
Winter Weather$8,294,939,678$237,988,37738,040$140,927$158$58,8850.0017%

Totals since the plan: not available. Plan 110074 was approved by FEMA on 2024-09-17 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population38,040
Building value (total, not at risk)$8,294,939,678
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$237,988,377
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$20,390,104
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$16,737,984
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)5Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)6
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition42Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition5

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total5642543117
of which: Commerce city (community ID not in plan data)0271811
of which: Scott City city (community ID not in plan data)0151504
of which: Miner city (community ID not in plan data)0010100
of which: Scott County (unincorporated area)4223223011
of which: Sikeston city1161601
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0030300

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Scott County (unincorporated area)2908374223223011
Benton city2908520000000
Blodgett village2907710000000
Chaffee city2904090000000
Kelso village2905820000000
Sikeston city2952701161601

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential5436337115
2 to 4 unit residential0010101
other residential0111100
non-residential0141401
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 37 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Scott County, MO: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 29201). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mo/29201/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]