Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Lewis County, MO

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
29111
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-08-30. Plan: Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132), approved 2023-08-31.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-08-31: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident) and 17 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($3,875,279 a year), Heat Wave ($1,597,738) and Strong Wind ($622,229).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-08-30
Plan:
Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)
Approved:
2023-08-31
Days to expiry:
700

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-08-31)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4929-MO (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
17 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 2, SRL 1 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 16
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Lewis County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
Canton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
Ewing cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
La Belle cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
La Grange cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
Lewistown townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
Monticello villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
Canton R-V School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700
Lewis County C-1 School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-08-30Lewis County (2023) (FEMA plan 109132)2023-08-312028-08-30700

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowVery Low$3,015,979$322,136$537,164$3,875,27944
2Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$482$3$1,597,253$1,597,73840
3Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$171,504$67,845$382,880$622,22996Includes 7 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
4TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$342,331$2,250$191,434$536,01510
5Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$342$86,005$422,644$508,9918Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
6HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$200,336$27,683$97,857$325,876105
7DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$287,191n/a$287,1916
8LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$4,565n/a$146,786$151,3513
9EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$92,048n/a$31,825$123,873Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
10WildfireVery LowVery Low$16,180$129$2,551$18,8600No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
11Winter WeatherVery LowRelatively Low$1,839$107$13,869$15,81546
12Ice StormVery LowVery Low$10,931n/a$3,562$14,4936
13LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$122n/a$3,096$3,2180No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14HurricaneVery LowVery Low$710$1,776under $1$2,4860No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9701 (Relatively Low, 64.9); tract 9702 (Relatively Low, 57.0); tract 9703 (Relatively Low, 46.3)
Hurricanetract 9702 (Very Low, 36.0); tract 9703 (Very Low, 34.0); tract 9704 (Very Low, 29.1)
Landslidetract 9703 (Relatively Low, 93.1); tract 9701 (Relatively Low, 92.4); tract 9704 (Relatively Low, 92.3)
Tornadotract 9702 (Relatively High, 75.4); tract 9701 (Relatively Moderate, 73.4); tract 9703 (Relatively Moderate, 65.9)
Wildfiretract 9702 (Relatively Low, 84.2); tract 9703 (Relatively Low, 81.3); tract 9701 (Relatively Low, 78.0)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9701 is Census Tract 9701). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill7 records, 2000 to 2025 (7 zone-level)1 day to 12 days (median 2 days); 7 with a recorded value12 consecutive days, 2010-01-01 to 2010-01-12, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage1 record, 2007 (1 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)6 records, 2005 to 2012 (6 zone-level)74 days to 92 days (median 83 days); 2 with a recorded value92 days (3 months), 2005-08-01 to 2005-10-31, a run of 3 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)115 records, 1955 to 20260.75 in to 2.75 in (median 1 in); 115 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 2024-06-13Hail, 2001-04-05, $30,000 property; crops not reported (2001 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: La Belle city (18 records), La Grange city (15 records), Canton city (13 records), Ewing city (13 records), Lewistown town (12 records), Monticello village (6 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)40 records, 1999 to 2023 (40 zone-level)1 day to 14 days (median 4 days); 36 with a recorded value14 consecutive days, 1999-07-18 to 1999-07-31, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)6 records, 2000 to 2008 (6 zone-level)No damage reported in 6 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)44 records, 1996 to 2023 (8 zone-level)Flood, 2008-06-04, $940,000 property; $8,900,000 crops (2008 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Monticello village (6 records), La Grange city (5 records), Canton city (2 records), La Belle city (2 records), Ewing city (1 record). Zone-level records (8) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)3 records, 1999 to 2005Lightning, 2005-06-26, damage not reported, 3 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: La Grange city (1 record), Lewistown town (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)9 records, 1997 to 2025 (9 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 50 kt (58 mph) (median 43 kt (49 mph)); 9 with a recorded value50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2025-03-05; NWS zone MOZ019Strong Wind, 2008-05-11, $0 property; $2,000 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)110 records, 1958 to 202635 kt (40 mph) to 87 kt (100 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 89 with a recorded value87 kt (100 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2010-05-07Thunderstorm Wind, 1993-09-02, $500,000 property; $5,000 crops (1993 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Canton city (22 records), La Grange city (15 records), La Belle city (14 records), Lewistown town (13 records), Ewing city (12 records), Monticello village (6 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)14 records, 1957 to 2016F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median F/EF1); 14 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 2003-05-10, 20 mi within this county, 200 yd wide, $5,000,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars), 6 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Canton city (2 records), Ewing city (2 records), Monticello village (2 records), La Belle city (1 record), La Grange city (1 record), Lewistown town (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)46 records, 1997 to 2025 (46 zone-level)No damage reported in 46 records.Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 27 declarations covering 23 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-08-032026-06-04DR-4929-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadonot yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)new since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-03-262020-01-20DR-4490-MOMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$24,197.91
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3482-MOEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4490
2019-07-092019-04-29DR-4451-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$606,543.09
2016-01-022015-12-22EM-3374-MOEmergencySevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Wind, Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
2015-08-072015-05-15DR-4238-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$905,317.75
2014-10-312014-09-09DR-4200-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$83,787.84
2013-07-182013-05-29DR-4130-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$64,160.25
2011-06-302011-06-01EM-3325-MOEmergencyFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
2011-03-232011-01-31DR-1961-MOMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$55,027.27
2011-02-032011-01-31EM-3317-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1961
2010-08-172010-06-12DR-1934-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornado$114,138.94
2009-06-192009-05-08DR-1847-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$105,605.15
2009-01-302009-01-26EM-3303-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recorded
2008-11-132008-09-11DR-1809-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and a TornadoInland Flooding; Tornado$84,660.44
2008-06-252008-06-01DR-1773-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$1,171,172.82
2007-12-122007-12-08EM-3281-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormsIce Stormno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-102005-08-29EM-3232-MOEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2003-05-062003-05-04DR-1463-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$241,101.08
2002-05-062002-04-24DR-1412-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$93,911.47
2002-02-062002-01-29DR-1403-MOMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice StormIce Storm$15,619.84
1995-06-021995-05-13DR-1054-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingHail; Inland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1993-07-091993-06-10DR-995-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1986-10-141986-09-18DR-779-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1973-11-011973-11-01DR-407-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1973-04-191973-04-19DR-372-MOMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1965-06-141965-06-14DR-198-MOMajor disasterFloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $28,127.91 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-07-081964-07-08DR-173-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1961-05-271961-05-27DR-114-MOMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1960-04-201960-04-20DR-100-MOMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1957-05-221957-05-22DR-75-MOMajor disasterTornadoes & FloodsTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance not placed in any Missouri county: 24 rows, $2,272,582.85; listed on the Missouri state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave8303001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record.
Drought6000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail1154411101955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave40022001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm6000301996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding440111911996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning3000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind1197210511955 to 2026-06-30Includes 7 High Wind and 2 Strong Wind records.
Tornado140001311950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather46318101996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-03-05High Wind50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ019 (LEWIS), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2024-06-13Hail2.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2024 dollars)0, 0LA BELLE to DURHAMnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2015-07-12Thunderstorm Wind35 kt (40 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)1, 0LA GRANGEdeaths or injuries recorded
2015-07-11Flash Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)1, 0LA GRANGEdeaths or injuries recorded
2010-05-15Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)1, 0MONTICELLOdeaths or injuries recorded
2010-05-07Thunderstorm Wind87 kt (100 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)0, 0LEWISTOWNB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2010-01-01Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ019 (LEWIS), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2008-06-04Flood$940,000 property; $8,900,000 crops (2008 dollars)0, 0FENWAYB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2005-08-01Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MOZ019 (LEWIS), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2005-06-26Lightningdamage not reported0, 3MAYWOODB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2003-05-10TornadoF2, 20 mi within this county, 200 yd wide$5,000,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)0, 6STEFFENVILLEB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
1999-07-18Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MOZ019 (LEWIS), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (401 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave4.37event-days per yearabout 4.37 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 6 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (20%)832005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought6.73event-days per yearabout 6.73 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)1892000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00159annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.159%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail3.43events per yearabout 3.43 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)130.4 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave8.42event-days per yearabout 8.42 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 15 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (50%)1282005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.717event-days per yearabout 0.717 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)491946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding1.46event-days per yearabout 1.46 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 16 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (53.3%)411996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.192events per year (modeled)about 1 in 5 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning47.3days per year with a strikeabout 47.3 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind4.01events per yearabout 4.01 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1531986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.29events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000664annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0664%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather10.4event-days per yearabout 10.4 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 20 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (66.7%)1972005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202567302.23
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20258300.267
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202574302.47
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202511300.367
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20258300.267
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave4 of 468.977.881.1Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 2
Drought4 of 490.695.496.6Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 1
Earthquake4 of 442.051.764.9Relatively Low 4
Hail4 of 485.990.793.0Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 1
Heat Wave4 of 495.496.497.7Very High 2, Relatively High 2
Hurricane4 of 428.031.536.0Very Low 4
Ice Storm4 of 438.348.051.7Relatively Low 4
Inland Flooding4 of 479.081.483.5Relatively High 4
Landslide4 of 488.792.493.1Relatively Low 4
Lightning4 of 482.388.594.7Relatively High 4
Strong Wind4 of 493.397.097.8Very High 2, Relatively High 2
Tornado4 of 459.469.775.4Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 3
Wildfire4 of 472.279.784.2Relatively Low 4
Winter Weather4 of 456.063.471.8Relatively Moderate 4

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Lewis County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 1$1,048,735.170 total; 0 since its plan
Canton cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 3$1,368,744.9039 total; 1 since its plan
Ewing cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$8,053.7128 total; 1 since its plan
La Belle cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$5,973.6535 total; 2 since its plan
La Grange cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 1, SRL 1; any 12$335,507.7137 total; 2 since its plan
Lewistown townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$23,555.4227 total; 3 since its plan
Monticello villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-08-30FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded20 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-08-31county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$2,535,217,875$107,630,07710,016$342$86,005$422,644under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$58,972,260n/an/a$287,191n/a0.487% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$4,241,676,060n/a10,032$92,048n/a$31,8250.00217%
Hail$2,535,217,875$107,630,07710,016$200,336$27,683$97,8570.0079%$5,000
Heat Wave$2,535,217,875$107,630,07710,016$482$3$1,597,253under 0.0001%
Hurricane$2,535,217,875$107,630,07710,016$710$1,776under $1under 0.0001%
Ice Storm$2,535,217,875n/a10,016$10,931n/a$3,5620.000431%
Inland Flooding$2,533,757,639$13,289,973134$3,015,979$322,136$537,164n/a (see note)1 declaration not yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$40,483,295n/a204$122n/a$3,0960.000302%
Lightning$2,535,217,875n/a10,016$4,565n/a$146,7860.00018%
Strong Wind$2,535,217,875$107,630,07710,016$171,504$67,845$382,8800.00676%$0$01 declaration not yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)
Tornado$2,535,217,875$107,630,07710,016$342,331$2,250$191,4340.0135%1 declaration not yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)
Wildfire$488,807,899$27,240,6062,433$16,180$129$2,5510.00331%
Winter Weather$2,535,217,875$107,630,07710,016$1,839$107$13,869under 0.0001%$0

Totals since 2023-08-31 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 10 county-coded records, 10 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $5,000; 7 zone-level records, 7 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: the 1 counted declaration is not yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population10,016
Building value (total, not at risk)$2,535,217,875
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$107,630,077
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$4,652,495
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$3,430,921
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition14Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total211401610
of which: Canton city0030300
of which: Lagrange city111101210
of which: Lewis County (unincorporated area)1000100
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0030300

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Lewis County (unincorporated area)2908441000100
Canton city2902040030300
Ewing city2910000000000
La Belle city2906960000000
La Grange city290205111101210
Lewistown town2954360000000
Monticello village2902070000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential21901110
2 to 4 unit residential0030300
other residential0000000
non-residential0020200
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 1 property is FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 13 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Lewis County, MO: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 29111). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mo/29111/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]