Hazard Plain Automated baseline

DeKalb County, MO

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
29063
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-04-05. Plan: DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916), approved 2023-04-06.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-04-06: no new hazard declaration and 19 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($3,116,317 a year), Tornado ($1,879,725) and Cold Wave ($866,131).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-04-05
Plan:
DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)
Approved:
2023-04-06
Days to expiry:
553

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-04-06)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
19 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 14 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
DeKalb County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Amity townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Clarksdale cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Maysville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Osborn cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Stewartsville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Union Star townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Weatherby townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Maysville R-I School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Osborn R-O School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Pattonsburg R-II School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2031-08-20Daviess County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111552)2026-08-212031-08-201,785
Stewartsville C-2 School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Union Star R-II School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-04-05DeKalb County (2023) (FEMA plan 108916)2023-04-062028-04-05553
Winston R-VI School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2031-08-20Daviess County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 111552)2026-08-212031-08-201,785

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingVery LowVery Low$3,062,926$44,663$8,729$3,116,31721
2TornadoRelatively LowRelatively Low$974,251$2,219$903,255$1,879,72511
3Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$2,169$93,332$770,630$866,13111Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
4DroughtRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderaten/a$602,140n/a$602,14019
5Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$131,317$4,834$204,262$340,41268Includes 4 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$3,725$2$326,903$330,63015
7HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$264,539$27,310$21,658$313,506120
8LightningVery LowVery Low$5,674n/a$51,415$57,0880No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
9EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$35,431n/a$11,341$46,771Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
10WildfireVery LowVery Low$40,674$189$5,320$46,1830No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
11Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$21,629n/a$14,988$36,6178
12Winter WeatherVery LowRelatively Low$16,911$89$5,469$22,47042
13LandslideVery LowVery Low$66n/a$1,407$1,4730No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14HurricaneNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$00No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local lightning, wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 802 (Relatively Low, 41.5); tract 801.02 (Very Low, 36.6); tract 801.01 (Very Low, 28.3)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 801.02 (Relatively Low, 90.0); tract 802 (Relatively Low, 89.7); tract 801.01 (Relatively Low, 89.0)
Tornadotract 801.02 (Very High, 98.7); tract 802 (Very High, 98.0); tract 801.01 (Relatively High, 92.1)
Wildfiretract 802 (Relatively Low, 86.7); tract 801.01 (Relatively Low, 86.5); tract 801.02 (Relatively Low, 86.1)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 802 is Census Tract 802). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill10 records, 1997 to 2025 (10 zone-level)2 days to 22 days (median 4 days); 8 with a recorded valueDecember 2000 (1 monthly summary record), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage1 record, 2007 (1 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)19 records, 2000 to 2022 (19 zone-level)8 days to 274 days (median 66 days); 5 with a recorded value274 days (9 months), 2012-07-01 to 2013-03-31, a run of 9 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)135 records, 1955 to 20260.75 in to 2.75 in (median 1 in); 133 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 2012-05-06; same size also recorded on 1955-07-18, 1971-05-31, 2004-05-24Hail, 1995-04-10, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1995 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Osborn city (31 records), Maysville city (22 records), Stewartsville city (18 records), Clarksdale city (14 records), Weatherby town (14 records), Amity town (8 records), Union Star town (6 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)15 records, 1999 to 2023 (15 zone-level)1 day to 14 days (median 5 days); 13 with a recorded value14 consecutive days, 1999-07-18 to 1999-07-31, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)8 records, 1997 to 2019 (8 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2007-12-10, $250,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars); NWS zone MOZ013Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)21 records, 1996 to 2021No damage reported in 21 records.Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Osborn city (6 records), Clarksdale city (4 records), Maysville city (4 records), Amity town (3 records), Weatherby town (3 records), Union Star town (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)4 records, 2015 to 2021 (4 zone-level)52 kt (60 mph) to 61 kt (70 mph) (median 54 kt (62 mph)); 4 with a recorded value61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2018-04-13; NWS zone MOZ013Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)88 records, 1959 to 202550 kt (58 mph) to 70 kt (81 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 68 with a recorded value70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2010-08-13Thunderstorm Wind, 1994-04-14, $500,000 property; crops not recorded (1994 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Osborn city (27 records), Maysville city (15 records), Weatherby town (8 records), Stewartsville city (7 records), Clarksdale city (5 records), Union Star town (4 records), Amity town (2 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)19 records, 1957 to 2021F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF1); 19 with a recorded valueF4 tornado, 2004-05-29, 4 mi within this county, 800 yd wide, $300,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars), 3 direct deaths, 6 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Osborn city (3 records), Stewartsville city (2 records), Weatherby town (2 records), Amity town (1 record), Maysville city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)42 records, 1997 to 2026 (42 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 1997-04-10, $100,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars); NWS zone MOZ013Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 22 declarations covering 17 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-03-262020-01-20DR-4490-MOMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$14,364.12
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3482-MOEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4490
2015-08-072015-05-15DR-4238-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
2011-03-232011-01-31DR-1961-MOMajor disasterSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormWinter Weather$9,136.19
2011-02-032011-01-31EM-3317-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1961
2010-08-172010-06-12DR-1934-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornado$89,365.50
2009-01-302009-01-26EM-3303-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recorded
2007-12-272007-12-06DR-1736-MOMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Storm$127,156.12
2007-12-122007-12-08EM-3281-MOEmergencySevere Winter StormsIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1736
2007-06-112007-05-05DR-1708-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingnone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $160,985.52 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the state page)
2005-09-102005-08-29EM-3232-MOEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2004-06-112004-05-18DR-1524-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; TornadoPA not declared for this county
2002-05-062002-04-24DR-1412-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingInland Flooding; Tornado$100,355.16
2002-02-062002-01-29DR-1403-MOMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice StormIce Storm$62,440.60FEMA's declaration record does not list Public Assistance, but FEMA's PA project summaries show obligations for this county
1998-10-141998-10-04DR-1253-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding and TornadoesInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1995-06-021995-05-13DR-1054-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingHail; Inland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1993-07-091993-06-10DR-995-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1984-06-211984-06-06DR-713-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1976-09-241976-09-24EM-3017-MOEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded
1973-11-011973-11-01DR-407-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1973-04-191973-04-19DR-372-MOMajor disasterHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1965-07-271965-07-27DR-203-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $822 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-07-081964-07-08DR-173-MOMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1961-05-271961-05-27DR-114-MOMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1960-04-201960-04-20DR-100-MOMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1957-05-221957-05-22DR-75-MOMajor disasterTornadoes & FloodsTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 2 rows, $222,311.51

Sources: 2, 3

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4435-MO2019-05-20Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingN.W. Electric Power Cooperative$177,523.85
DR-4012-MO2011-08-12FloodingN.W. Electric Power Cooperative$44,787.66

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in any Missouri county: 24 rows, $2,272,582.85; listed on the Missouri state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave11213001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record.
Drought19011101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail1359211101955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave15101001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm8000301996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding210001201996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind92618101955 to 2026-06-30Includes 4 High Wind records.
Tornado19000701950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather42101101996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2018-04-13High Wind61 kt (70 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MOZ013 (DE KALB), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2014-04-13Thunderstorm Wind60 kt (69 mph) estimated gustproperty not reported; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 2OSBORNdeaths or injuries recorded
2012-07-01Drought$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ013 (DE KALB), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2012-05-06Hail2.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)0, 0STEWARTSVILLEB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2010-08-13Thunderstorm Wind70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops (2010 dollars)0, 0OSBORNB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2007-12-10Ice Storm$250,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2007 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ013 (DE KALB), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Ice Storm
2004-05-29TornadoF4, 4 mi within this county, 800 yd wide$300,000 property; crops not reported (2004 dollars)3, 6WEATHERBYdeaths or injuries recorded
2000-12-10Extreme Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MOZ013 (DE KALB), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1999-07-18Heatdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MOZ013 (DE KALB), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
1997-04-10Heavy Snow$100,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MOZ013 (DE KALB), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
1994-04-14Thunderstorm Windspeed not recorded$500,000 property; crops not recorded (1994 dollars)0, 0CameronB1-c most damaging: Thunderstorm Wind
1965-04-10TornadoF2, 9.6 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 50 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1965 dollars)0, 7location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (362 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave3.84event-days per yearabout 3.84 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)732005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought21.7event-days per yearabout 21.7 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)5672000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.000922annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0922%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail6.4events per yearabout 6.4 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)243.2 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave9.89event-days per yearabout 9.89 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 9 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (30%)1312005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.00456events per yearabout 1 in 219 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.628event-days per yearabout 0.628 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)431946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.571event-days per yearabout 0.571 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)161996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.11events per year (modeled)about 1 in 9 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning47.3days per year with a strikeabout 47.3 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind4.66events per yearabout 4.66 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1771986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.264events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000844annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0844%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather11.1event-days per yearabout 11.1 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 20 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (66.7%)2112005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202552301.73
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20257300.233
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202558301.93
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20255300.167
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20258300.267
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20251300.0333
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave3 of 380.189.793.5Relatively High 3
Drought3 of 395.596.498.2Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 2
Earthquake3 of 328.336.641.5Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2
Hail3 of 386.392.693.1Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 1
Heat Wave3 of 366.780.689.0Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 2
Hurricane0 of 3No Rating 3
Ice Storm3 of 362.677.778.8Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 1
Inland Flooding3 of 354.679.588.1Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 1
Landslide3 of 389.089.790.0Relatively Low 3
Lightning3 of 348.365.479.4Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 1
Strong Wind3 of 384.493.695.4Relatively High 3
Tornado3 of 392.198.098.7Very High 2, Relatively High 1
Wildfire3 of 386.186.586.7Relatively Low 3
Winter Weather3 of 364.477.282.1Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 2

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

This county has 3 census tracts; the minimum, median and maximum come from those 3.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
DeKalb County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$220,752.030 total; 0 since its plan
Amity townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded14 total; 0 since its plan
Clarksdale cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded23 total; 1 since its plan
Maysville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded42 total; 2 since its plan
Osborn cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded67 total; 6 since its plan
Stewartsville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$30,746.5427 total; 2 since its plan
Union Star townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$23,939.6111 total; 0 since its plan
Weatherby townTownApproved, expires 2028-04-05FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded27 total; 4 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-04-06county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$3,517,019,887$83,395,19210,966$2,169$93,332$770,630under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$46,630,856n/an/a$602,140n/a1.29% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$6,055,113,868n/a11,029$35,431n/a$11,3410.000585%
Hail$3,517,019,887$83,395,19210,966$264,539$27,310$21,6580.00752%
Heat Wave$3,517,019,887$83,395,19210,966$3,725$2$326,9030.000106%
Hurricane$3,517,019,887$83,395,19210,966$0$0$00%
Ice Storm$3,516,995,690n/a10,966$21,629n/a$14,9880.000615%
Inland Flooding$3,514,374,143$5,832,784229$3,062,926$44,663$8,729n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$37,989,133n/a100$66n/a$1,4070.000173%
Lightning$3,517,019,887n/a10,966$5,674n/a$51,4150.000161%
Strong Wind$3,517,019,887$83,395,19210,966$131,317$4,834$204,2620.00373%$0
Tornado$3,517,019,887$83,395,19210,966$974,251$2,219$903,2550.0277%
Wildfire$651,275,939$32,390,5683,789$40,674$189$5,3200.00625%
Winter Weather$3,517,019,887$83,395,19210,966$16,911$89$5,4690.000481%

Totals since 2023-04-06 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 15 county-coded records, 2 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 4 zone-level records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population10,966
Building value (total, not at risk)$3,517,019,887
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$83,395,192
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$5,334,090
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$2,325,375
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0000000
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0030300

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
DeKalb County (unincorporated area)2907990000000
Amity town2909410000000
Clarksdale city2906300000000
Maysville city2906860000000
Osborn city2905550000000
Stewartsville city2901170000000
Union Star town2905120000000
Weatherby town2909420000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group: 0 in every occupancy group.

Sources: 1, 4

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 0 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). DeKalb County, MO: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 29063). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mo/29063/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]