Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Midland County, MI

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
26111
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2031-02-10. Plan: Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951), approved 2026-02-11.

Since the plan was approved on 2026-02-11: no new hazard declaration and 3 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($18,256,948 a year), Cold Wave ($4,995,856) and Tornado ($4,245,581).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2031-02-10
Plan:
Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)
Approved:
2026-02-11
Days to expiry:
1,594

What changed since your last plan (approved 2026-02-11)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
3 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 13, SRL 5 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 121
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 21 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Midland CountyCountyApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Coleman cityCityApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-19
Midland cityCityApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Sanford villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-19
Edenville townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-04
Geneva townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Greendale townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-04
Homer townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-07-15
Hope townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-19
Ingersoll townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Jasper townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-04
Jerome townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-04
Larkin charter townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-19
Lee townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-07-15
Lincoln townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Midland charter townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-19
Mills townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Mount Haley townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Porter townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Warren townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10Midland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951)2026-02-112031-02-101,594
Four Lakes Task ForceSpecial DistrictPlan 110951 approved 2026-02-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleMidland County 2025 Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110951), pending adoption here2026-02-11 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-02-10 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$18,239,868$11,385$5,695$18,256,94820
2Cold WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively High$1,397$65,489$4,928,969$4,995,85615Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
3TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$2,200,591$1,341$2,043,650$4,245,5813
4Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$1,363,350$15,198$1,114,363$2,492,911147Includes 28 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
5HailRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$690,072$15,914$54,645$760,63098
6Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively High$12,564$207$470,731$483,50259Includes 1 Sleet record (outside NRI's Winter Weather definition).
7Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$3,425under $1$431,002$434,42714
8LightningRelatively LowRelatively Low$13,976n/a$262,467$276,4446
9EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$96,363n/a$29,743$126,105Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
10Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$122,061n/a$1,108$123,1698
11HurricaneVery LowVery Low$18,990$2,550$37$21,5770No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$15,056$8$2,778$17,8420No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13LandslideVery LowVery Low$36n/a$284$3200No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14DroughtNo RatingNo Expected Annual Lossesn/a$0n/a$02

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 2906 (Relatively Low, 42.1); tract 2901 (Very Low, 30.3); tract 2904 (Very Low, 29.1)
Hurricanetract 2906 (Very Low, 44.5); tract 2911.04 (Very Low, 40.8); tract 2912 (Very Low, 38.0)
Landslidetract 2916.02 (Very Low, 79.8); tract 2914 (Very Low, 78.9); tract 2916.01 (Very Low, 77.1)
Tornadotract 2906 (Very High, 95.0); tract 2912 (Relatively High, 88.3); tract 2911.04 (Relatively High, 85.7)
Wildfiretract 2911.01 (Relatively Low, 75.4); tract 2911.03 (Relatively Low, 75.2); tract 2917 (Relatively Low, 73.9)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 2906 is Census Tract 2906). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill14 records, 1996 to 2026 (14 zone-level)1 day to 21 days (median 3 days); 14 with a recorded valueJanuary 2003 (1 monthly summary record), zone-levelCold/Wind Chill, 2007-02-03, $25,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2007 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage1 record, 2012 (1 zone-level)Frost/Freeze, 2012-04-27, $1,300,000 crop damage (2012 dollars); NWS zone MIZ047Countywide (zone-level records).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)2 records, 2001 to 2002 (2 zone-level)30 days to 31 days (median 30.5 days); 2 with a recorded value31 days (1 month), 2001-07-01 to 2001-07-31, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)103 records, 1970 to 20220.75 in to 3 in (median 1 in); 102 with a recorded value3 in hail, 2014-07-27Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Midland charter township (36 records), Midland city (36 records), Sanford village (11 records), Coleman city (9 records), Edenville township (5 records), Hope township (5 records), Larkin charter township (3 records), Porter township (2 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)14 records, 1999 to 2026 (14 zone-level)1 day to 7 days (median 4.5 days); 10 with a recorded value7 consecutive days, 2012-07-01 to 2012-07-07, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Heat records from November to March (unseasonable warmth, not a heat wave) are counted but not used for the longest run.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)8 records, 1997 to 2020 (8 zone-level)Ice Storm, 2019-12-01, $50,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars); NWS zone MIZ047Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)20 records, 1996 to 2020 (6 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2017-06-22, $116,400,000 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Coleman city (4 records), Sanford village (4 records), Edenville township (2 records), Hope township (1 record), Midland charter township (1 record), Midland city (1 record). Zone-level records (6) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)6 records, 1997 to 2006Lightning, 2006-05-30, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Midland charter township (4 records), Midland city (4 records), Coleman city (1 record), Sanford village (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)31 records, 1996 to 2022 (31 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 70 kt (81 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 30 with a recorded value70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recorded, High Wind, 1997-04-06; NWS zone MIZ047High Wind, 2017-03-08, $7,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2017 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)150 records, 1967 to 202650 kt (58 mph) to 71 kt (82 mph) (median 54 kt (62 mph)); 123 with a recorded value71 kt (82 mph) measured gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2011-05-31Thunderstorm Wind, 2008-06-08, $500,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Midland charter township (52 records), Midland city (52 records), Sanford village (16 records), Coleman city (8 records), Hope township (6 records), Larkin charter township (6 records), Edenville township (5 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)10 records, 1951 to 2012F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median F/EF1); 10 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 1974-04-14, 2.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 30 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1974 dollars), 1 direct injuryTornado, 1999-05-31, $150,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Hope township (1 record), Midland charter township (1 record), Midland city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)59 records, 1997 to 2025 (59 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2018-04-14, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars); NWS zone MIZ047Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 14 declarations covering 10 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2020-07-092020-05-16DR-4547-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingDam/Levee Break (not an NRI hazard); also designated: Inland Flooding$27,602,655.98
2020-05-212020-05-16EM-3525-MIEmergencySevere Storms and FloodingDam/Levee Break (not an NRI hazard); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4547
2020-03-272020-01-20DR-4494-MIMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$2,661,062.11
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3455-MIEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4494
2017-08-022017-06-22DR-4326-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
2013-06-182013-04-16DR-4121-MIMajor disasterFloodingInland Flooding$198,643.69
2005-09-072005-08-29EM-3225-MIEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2001-01-102000-12-11EM-3160-MIEmergencySnowWinter Weather$66,303.63
1996-07-231996-06-21DR-1128-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1986-09-181986-09-10DR-774-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1985-09-181985-09-05DR-744-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1978-01-271978-01-27EM-3057-MIEmergencyBlizzards & SnowstormsWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1976-03-191976-03-19DR-495-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Icing & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1975-09-301975-09-30DR-486-MIMajor disasterSevere Storms, High Winds & FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Strong Windno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1956-04-051956-04-05DR-53-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado
1953-06-091953-06-09DR-6-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado
1953-06-021953-06-02DR-4-MIMajor disasterTornadoTornado

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave15011001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Frost/Freeze record.
Drought2000001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail103001001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave14101001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm8000001996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding20000801996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning6000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind1812312101955 to 2026-06-30Includes 28 High Wind and 3 Strong Wind records.
Tornado10000101950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather59016201996 to 2026-06-30Includes 1 Sleet record.

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2018-04-14Winter Storm$1,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2018 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ047 (MIDLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2017-06-22Flash Flood$116,400,000 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars)0, 0COLEMAN to PLEASANT VLYB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2014-07-27Hail3 in$5,000,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars)0, 0MIDLANDB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2012-07-01Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ047 (MIDLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2012-04-27Frost/Freeze$0 property; $1,300,000 crops (zone total, 2012 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ047 (MIDLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Frost/Freeze
2011-05-31Thunderstorm Wind71 kt (82 mph) measured gust$3,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)0, 0LARKINB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2007-02-03Cold/Wind Chill$25,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2007 dollars)0, 10NWS zone MIZ047 (MIDLAND), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2006-05-29Heatdamage not reported0, 3NWS zone MIZ047 (MIDLAND), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
2003-01-10Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone MIZ047 (MIDLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1997-04-06High Wind70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recorded$50,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 1997 dollars)0, 0NWS zone MIZ047 (MIDLAND), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
1986-09-11Thunderstorm Windspeed not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 12location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1974-04-14TornadoF2, 2.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 30 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1974 dollars)0, 1location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (418 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave2.89event-days per yearabout 2.89 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)552005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought0event-days per yearnone modeledPossibleStorm Events event-days in 2 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (6.67%)02000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI models no drought event-days here (2000 to 2025, 25.25 years; D3 and D4 only); Storm Events has a record in 2 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which counts D2 drought that NRI leaves out.
Earthquake0.000532annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0532%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1.96events per yearabout 1.96 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)74.5 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave2.16event-days per yearabout 2.16 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)362005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0158events per yearabout 1 in 63 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)61851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.772event-days per yearabout 0.772 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)521946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.679event-days per yearabout 0.679 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)191996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.0651events per year (modeled)about 1 in 15 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning30.6days per year with a strikeabout 30.6 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind3.11events per yearabout 3.11 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1181986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.189events per yearabout 1 in 5 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000159annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0159%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather10.4event-days per yearabout 10.4 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)1982005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202553301.77
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20258300.267
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025106303.53
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20258300.267
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave21 of 2156.685.692.8Relatively High 17, Relatively Moderate 4
Drought0 of 21No Rating 21
Earthquake21 of 217.717.442.1Relatively Low 1, Very Low 20
Hail21 of 2156.175.691.9Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 16, Relatively Low 4
Heat Wave21 of 216.929.545.7Relatively Low 18, Very Low 3
Hurricane21 of 2123.233.444.5Very Low 21
Ice Storm21 of 2122.250.883.9Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 17, Very Low 2
Inland Flooding21 of 2112.164.592.8Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 6, Very Low 1
Landslide21 of 2117.944.079.8Very Low 21
Lightning21 of 2121.752.770.2Relatively Moderate 14, Relatively Low 7
Strong Wind21 of 2173.192.598.8Very High 3, Relatively High 15, Relatively Moderate 3
Tornado21 of 2151.874.795.0Very High 1, Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 1
Wildfire20 of 2118.956.275.4Relatively Low 7, Very Low 13, No Rating 1
Winter Weather21 of 2171.893.997.2Very High 4, Relatively High 16, Relatively Moderate 1

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are.

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Midland CountyCountyApproved, expires 2031-02-10$1,767,698.650 total; 0 since its planNo NFIP community ID on this jurisdiction's plan row.
Coleman cityCityApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded22 total; 0 since its plan
Midland cityCityApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 8, SRL 2; any 107$4,250,740.1794 total; 1 since its plan
Sanford villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 5, SRL 3; any 7$2,749,707.8032 total; 0 since its plan
Edenville townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$25,534.3712 total; 0 since its plan
Geneva townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Greendale townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Homer townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 5no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Hope townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded13 total; 0 since its plan
Ingersoll townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Jasper townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Jerome townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$28,518.280 total; 0 since its plan
Larkin charter townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded9 total; 0 since its plan
Lee townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Lincoln townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Midland charter townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2no Public Assistance recorded94 total; 1 since its plan
Mills townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Mount Haley townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan
Porter townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded2 total; 0 since its plan
Warren townshipTownshipApproved, expires 2031-02-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2026-02-11county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$20,525,486,147$60,389,98883,456$1,397$65,489$4,928,969under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$0n/an/a$0n/aagriculture exposure is 0 in NRI
Earthquake$36,165,856,861n/a83,494$96,363n/a$29,7430.000266%
Hail$20,525,486,147$60,389,98883,456$690,072$15,914$54,6450.00336%
Heat Wave$20,525,486,147$60,389,98883,456$3,425under $1$431,002under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$20,424,924,955$59,396,78183,113$18,990$2,550$37under 0.0001%
Ice Storm$20,523,837,919n/a83,449$122,061n/a$1,1080.000595%
Inland Flooding$20,492,794,330$1,199,4412,031$18,239,868$11,385$5,695n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$35,167,098n/a146$36n/a$2840.000103%
Lightning$20,525,486,147n/a83,456$13,976n/a$262,467under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$20,525,486,147$60,389,98883,456$1,363,350$15,198$1,114,3630.00664%$0
Tornado$20,525,486,147$60,389,98883,456$2,200,591$1,341$2,043,6500.0107%
Wildfire$1,046,965,914$6,484,4289,307$15,056$8$2,7780.00144%
Winter Weather$20,525,486,147$60,389,98883,456$12,564$207$470,731under 0.0001%

Totals since 2026-02-11 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 2 county-coded records, 2 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 1 zone-level records, 1 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population83,456
Building value (total, not at risk)$20,525,486,147
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$60,389,988
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$22,889,842
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$9,345,471
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)13Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)5
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition120Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition3

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total1351203121054
of which: Midland city821061107051
of which: Midland township0020201
of which: Sanford village5372700
of which: Homer township0050502
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0040400

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Coleman city2608610000000
Midland city260140821061107051
Sanford village2608595372700
Edenville township2608500000000
Geneva township2608690000000
Greendale township2608700000000
Homer township2609890050502
Hope township2608710000000
Ingersoll township2608510000000
Jasper township2608520000000
Jerome township2608530000000
Larkin charter township2608540000000
Lee township2608550000000
Lincoln township2608560000000
Midland charter township2608570020201
Mills township2608720000000
Mount Haley township2608730000000
Porter township2608580000000
Warren township2608740000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential12390390051
2 to 4 unit residential1140402
other residential002502501
non-residential0110200
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 107 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Midland County, MI: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 26111). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mi/26111/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]