Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Lincoln Parish, LA

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
22061
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-08-23. Plan: Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589), approved 2023-08-24.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-08-24: 3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents) and 58 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($5,242,491 a year), Tornado ($4,027,776) and Strong Wind ($2,085,281).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2028-08-23
Plan:
Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)
Approved:
2023-08-24
Days to expiry:
693

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-08-24)

New federal declarations:
3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): EM-3614-LA (Tropical Storm Francine), EM-3638-LA (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4900-LA (Severe Winter Storm)
Storm Events records since approval:
58 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 2
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Lincoln ParishCountyApproved, expires 2028-08-23Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)2023-08-242028-08-23693
Choudrant villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-08-23Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)2023-08-242028-08-23693
Downsville villageVillagePlan 109358 approved 2024-11-07, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion Parish (FEMA plan 109358), pending adoption here2024-11-07 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2029-11-06 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Dubach townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-23Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)2023-08-242028-08-23693
Grambling cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-23Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)2023-08-242028-08-23693
Ruston cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-23Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)2023-08-242028-08-23693
Simsboro villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-08-23Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)2023-08-242028-08-23693
Vienna townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-23Lincoln Parish (FEMA plan 108589)2023-08-242028-08-23693

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$4,773,255$165,437$303,799$5,242,49134
2TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,181,941$6,449$2,839,386$4,027,77615
3Strong WindRelatively HighRelatively High$707,330$10,263$1,367,689$2,085,281165Includes 2 Strong Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
4Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$133$966$2,015,302$2,016,40186
5Ice StormVery HighVery High$1,675,343n/a$140,912$1,816,2556
6EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$380,648n/a$117,302$497,950Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
7HurricaneRelatively LowRelatively Low$182,751$113,953$10,958$307,6615
8HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$173,032$19,799$51,155$243,98698
9LightningRelatively ModerateRelatively Low$42,544n/a$189,249$231,79311
10Cold WaveVery LowVery Low$12,160$84$92,637$104,8817
11DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$70,065n/a$70,06544
12Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$7,297$585$8,519$16,40220
13WildfireVery LowVery Low$7,192$100$2,353$9,6450No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$1,498n/a$57$1,5550No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 9610 (Relatively Low, 76.9); tract 9606 (Relatively Low, 68.8); tract 9605 (Relatively Low, 68.1)
Hurricanetract 9602 (Relatively Low, 69.6); tract 9607.01 (Relatively Low, 67.4); tract 9601 (Relatively Low, 65.5)
Landslidetract 9601 (Relatively Low, 90.5); tract 9602 (Relatively Low, 89.3); tract 9607.01 (Relatively Low, 84.1)
Tornadotract 9610 (Very High, 98.6); tract 9603 (Very High, 98.4); tract 9606 (Very High, 95.9)
Wildfiretract 9610 (Relatively Low, 74.4); tract 9607.01 (Relatively Low, 71.8); tract 9602 (Relatively Low, 71.6)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 9610 is Census Tract 9610). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill7 records, 2010 to 2026 (7 zone-level)1 day to 4 days (median 3 days); 7 with a recorded value4 consecutive days, 2026-01-24 to 2026-01-27, zone-levelCold/Wind Chill, 2010-01-07, $250,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2010 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)44 records, 1998 to 2026 (44 zone-level)28 days to 488 days (median 84 days); 10 with a recorded value488 days (16 months), 2010-10-01 to 2012-01-31, a run of 16 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)158 records, 1974 to 20260.5 in to 2.75 in (median 1 in); 158 with a recorded value2.75 in hail, 1986-04-11Hail, 1997-04-22, $250,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Ruston city (37 records), Dubach town (13 records), Downsville village (9 records), Simsboro village (9 records), Choudrant village (8 records), Grambling city (7 records), Vienna town (3 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)86 records, 2000 to 2025 (86 zone-level)1 day to 94 days (median 4 days); 56 with a recorded value2011-06-01 to 2011-09-02 (4 records, 3 of them monthly summary records), zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson5 records, 2005 to 2020 (5 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Tropical Storm record, 2008-09-13, $250,000 property; $0 crops (2008 dollars); NWS zone LAZ005Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)6 records, 1997 to 2000 (6 zone-level)No damage reported in 6 records.Countywide (zone-level records).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)34 records, 1998 to 2026Flash Flood, 2016-03-08, $10,000,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Vienna town (8 records), Ruston city (7 records), Grambling city (4 records), Dubach town (3 records), Simsboro village (2 records), Choudrant village (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)11 records, 1997 to 2012Lightning, 1997-05-27, $60,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Ruston city (6 records), Simsboro village (2 records), Vienna town (2 records), Dubach town (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)2 records, 2008 to 2019 (2 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 47 kt (54 mph) (median 41 kt (47 mph)); 2 with a recorded value47 kt (54 mph) estimated gust, Strong Wind, 2008-03-18; NWS zone LAZ005Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)232 records, 1967 to 202550 kt (58 mph) to 80 kt (92 mph) (median 54 kt (62 mph)); 167 with a recorded value80 kt (92 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1997-04-22Thunderstorm Wind, 2013-12-21, $1,300,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Ruston city (57 records), Dubach town (23 records), Simsboro village (21 records), Choudrant village (11 records), Vienna town (11 records), Grambling city (10 records), Downsville village (9 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)29 records, 1953 to 2022F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF1); 29 with a recorded valueEF3 tornado, 2019-04-25, 11.15 mi within this county, 1,000 yd wide, $50,000,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars), 2 direct deaths, 2 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Downsville village (3 records), Ruston city (3 records), Choudrant village (2 records), Simsboro village (2 records), Grambling city (1 record), Vienna town (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)20 records, 2006 to 2026 (20 zone-level)No damage reported in 20 records.Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

A monthly summary record covers most or all of a month; it does not count days at wave conditions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 35 declarations covering 24 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-02-182026-01-23DR-4900-LAMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$161,678.13new since last plan; within last 5 years
2026-01-242026-01-23EM-3638-LAEmergencySevere Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4900
2024-09-102024-09-10EM-3614-LAEmergencyTropical Storm FrancineHurricane (primary); also designated: Tornadono Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2021-09-132021-09-12EM-3574-LAEmergencyTropical Storm NicholasHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2021-08-292021-08-26DR-4611-LAMajor disasterHurricane IdaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2021-08-272021-08-26EM-3568-LAEmergencyTropical Storm IdaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4611
2021-03-092021-02-11DR-4590-LAMajor disasterSevere Winter StormsIce Storm$114,312.54
2021-02-182021-02-11EM-3556-LAEmergencySevere Winter StormIce Stormno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4590
2020-10-272020-10-26EM-3549-LAEmergencyTropical Storm ZetaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-10-162020-10-06DR-4570-LAMajor disasterHurricane DeltaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-10-072020-10-06EM-3547-LAEmergencyHurricane DeltaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4570
2020-09-142020-09-13EM-3543-LAEmergencyHurricane SallyHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-08-282020-08-22DR-4559-LAMajor disasterHurricane LauraHurricane$2,285,394.37
2020-08-232020-08-22EM-3538-LAEmergencyTropical Storms Laura and MarcoHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4559
2020-06-072020-06-05EM-3527-LAEmergencyTropical Storm CristobalHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-242020-01-20DR-4484-LAMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$69,751.75
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3459-LAEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4484
2019-06-032019-04-24DR-4439-LAMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornado$2,747,182.77
2016-03-132016-03-08DR-4263-LAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$715,898.17
2012-08-292012-08-26DR-4080-LAMajor disasterHurricane IsaacHurricane$21,732.79
2008-09-022008-09-01DR-1786-LAMajor disasterHurricane GustavHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$336,277.75
2008-08-292008-08-27EM-3289-LAEmergencyHurricane GustavHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1786
2005-09-242005-09-23DR-1607-LAMajor disasterHurricane RitaHurricane$89,089.66
2005-09-212005-09-20EM-3260-LAEmergencyHurricane RitaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1607
2005-08-292005-08-29DR-1603-LAMajor disasterHurricane KatrinaHurricane$345,633.74
2005-08-272005-08-26EM-3212-LAEmergencyHurricane KatrinaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1603
2003-02-012003-02-01EM-3172-LAEmergencyLoss of Space Shuttle ColumbiaNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2001-01-122000-12-11DR-1357-LAMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice StormIce Storm$155,913.55
2000-02-152000-01-27DR-1314-LAMajor disasterSevere Winter StormWinter Weather$379,006.45
1999-01-211998-12-22DR-1264-LAMajor disasterSevere Ice StormIce Storm$280,276.11
1994-02-281994-02-10DR-1012-LAMajor disasterSevere Winter Ice StormIce Storm; Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1991-05-031991-04-27DR-904-LAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1989-05-201989-05-04DR-829-LAMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1983-01-111983-01-11DR-675-LAMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1977-02-221977-02-22EM-3031-LAEmergencyDrought & FreezingWinter Weather (primary); also designated: Droughtno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-10-031964-10-03DR-178-LAMajor disasterHurricane HildaHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1962-11-051962-11-05DR-139-LAMajor disasterChlorine Barge AccidentNon-natural, not counted
1958-05-201958-05-20DR-84-LAMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1957-05-161957-05-16DR-73-LAMajor disasterFloods & HurricaneHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1956-10-041956-10-04DR-64-LAMajor disasterHurricaneHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1953-05-291953-05-29DR-3-LAMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave7214001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought449012101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail158629001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave86221245001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane50001211996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm6000401996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding34303501996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning11000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind23414826001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 2 Strong Wind records.
Tornado29001311950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather20204411996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-01-24Cold/Wind Chill$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2026 dollars)0, 0NWS zone LAZ005 (LINCOLN), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2019-04-25TornadoEF3, 11.15 mi within this county, 1,000 yd wide$50,000,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)2, 2BARNET SPGS to DOUGLASdeaths or injuries recorded
2016-03-08Flash Flood$10,000,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)0, 0HICO to HENRYB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2011-06-01Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone LAZ005 (LINCOLN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2010-10-01Droughtproperty not reported; $0 crops (zone total, 2010 dollars)0, 0NWS zone LAZ005 (LINCOLN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2008-09-13Tropical Storm$250,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone LAZ005 (LINCOLN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2008-03-18Strong Wind47 kt (54 mph) estimated gust$50,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)0, 0NWS zone LAZ005 (LINCOLN), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2000-07-18Heatdamage not reported2, 0NWS zone LAZ005 (LINCOLN), zone-leveldeaths or injuries recorded
1997-05-27Lightning$60,000 property; crops not reported (1997 dollars)0, 0RUSTONB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1997-04-22Thunderstorm Wind80 kt (92 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not reported0, 0RUSTONB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1996-11-30TornadoF2, 10 mi within this county, 250 yd wide$2,000,000 property; $0 crops (1996 dollars)2, 9SIMSBOROdeaths or injuries recorded
1986-04-11Hail2.75 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Hail

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (634 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave0.579event-days per yearabout 0.579 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)112005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought24.8event-days per yearabout 24.8 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 12 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (40%)7492000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.00154annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.154%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail3.76events per yearabout 3.76 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)142.9 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave20.5event-days per yearabout 20.5 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 13 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (43.3%)3272005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.0362events per yearabout 1 in 28 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)101851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm1.59event-days per yearabout 1.59 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)1081946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywide
Inland Flooding0.786event-days per yearabout 0.786 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 15 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (50%)221996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.287events per year (modeled)about 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning66.5days per year with a strikeabout 66.5 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind4.45events per yearabout 4.45 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1701986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.377events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000143annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0143%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather2.84event-days per yearabout 2.84 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 12 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (40%)542005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202549301.63
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 2025142304.73
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 202520300.667
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202513300.433
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave12 of 1220.623.731.2Relatively Low 12
Drought3 of 1285.489.893.6Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 2, No Rating 9
Earthquake12 of 1234.461.876.9Relatively Low 10, Very Low 2
Hail12 of 1261.070.381.4Relatively Moderate 7, Relatively Low 5
Heat Wave12 of 1278.089.995.9Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 2
Hurricane12 of 1253.460.869.6Relatively Low 12
Ice Storm12 of 1296.398.599.8Very High 10, Relatively High 2
Inland Flooding12 of 1220.342.171.0Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 8
Landslide12 of 1227.079.090.5Relatively Low 5, Very Low 7
Lightning12 of 1248.668.289.6Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 6, Relatively Low 1
Strong Wind12 of 1290.696.699.4Very High 6, Relatively High 6
Tornado12 of 1273.288.398.6Very High 5, Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 1
Wildfire12 of 1236.664.174.4Relatively Low 3, Very Low 9
Winter Weather12 of 1229.338.854.3Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 10

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Lincoln ParishCountyApproved, expires 2028-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$927,353.310 total; 0 since its planIncludes $69,751.75 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4484-LA).
Choudrant villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$81,265.9222 total; 0 since its plan
Downsville villageVillagePlan 109358 approved 2024-11-07, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded21 total; no approved plan
Dubach townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$4,695.6340 total; 1 since its plan
Grambling cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$76,668.8522 total; 1 since its plan
Ruston cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$5,665,728.38110 total; 0 since its plan
Simsboro villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$103,700.9436 total; 4 since its plan
Vienna townTownApproved, expires 2028-08-23FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded25 total; 5 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2023-08-24county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$8,988,135,137$172,748,80148,370$12,160$84$92,6370.000135%$0
Droughtn/a$1,465,765n/an/a$70,065n/a4.78% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$16,639,448,208n/a48,396$380,648n/a$117,3020.00229%
Hail$8,988,135,137$172,748,80148,370$173,032$19,799$51,1550.00193%$0
Heat Wave$8,988,135,137$172,748,80148,370$133$966$2,015,302under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$8,988,135,137$172,748,80148,370$182,751$113,953$10,9580.00203%no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Ice Storm$8,986,626,014n/a48,370$1,675,343n/a$140,9120.0186%
Inland Flooding$8,986,749,160$14,382,850882$4,773,255$165,437$303,799n/a (see note)$0NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$95,730,591n/a526$1,498n/a$570.00157%
Lightning$8,988,135,137n/a48,370$42,544n/a$189,2490.000473%
Strong Wind$8,988,135,137$172,748,80148,370$707,330$10,263$1,367,6890.00787%$0
Tornado$8,988,135,137$172,748,80148,370$1,181,941$6,449$2,839,3860.0132%no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Wildfire$1,997,841,570$66,489,37313,397$7,192$100$2,3530.00036%
Winter Weather$8,988,135,137$172,748,80148,370$7,297$585$8,519under 0.0001%$0$161,678.13

Totals since 2023-08-24 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 23 county-coded records, 23 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 35 zone-level records, 35 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $161,678.13 on 3 counted declarations, 1 of them with Public Assistance.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population48,370
Building value (total, not at risk)$8,988,135,137
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$172,748,801
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Low
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$9,532,825
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$7,139,318
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition2Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0020202
of which: Ruston city0010101
of which: Lincoln Parish (unincorporated area)0010101
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0040400

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Lincoln Parish2203660010101
Choudrant village2203190000000
Downsville village2200030000000
Dubach town2203230000000
Grambling city2203280000000
Ruston city2203470010101
Simsboro village2203120000000
Vienna town2200590000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0020202
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0000000
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 2 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Lincoln Parish, LA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 22061). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/la/22061/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]