Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Maui County, HI

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
15009
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2030-11-09. Plan: Maui County (FEMA plan 110978), approved 2025-11-10.

Since the plan was approved on 2025-11-10: 2 new hazard declarations (2 incidents) and 16 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($59,394,974 a year), Earthquake ($32,826,634) and Tsunami ($31,397,684).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2030-11-09
Plan:
Maui County (FEMA plan 110978)
Approved:
2025-11-10
Days to expiry:
1,501

What changed since your last plan (approved 2025-11-10)

New federal declarations:
2 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): DR-4909-HI (Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), EM-3654-HI (Tropical Storm Nolo)
Storm Events records since approval:
16 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 2, SRL 14 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 57
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Maui CountyCountyApproved, expires 2030-11-09Maui County (FEMA plan 110978)2025-11-102030-11-091,501

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$57,617,497$70,890$1,706,587$59,394,974189
2EarthquakeRelatively ModerateRelatively High$21,482,543n/a$11,344,090$32,826,634Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
3TsunamiRelatively HighRelatively High$31,397,684n/a$0$31,397,6840Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
4WildfireRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$3,615,550$819$187,826$3,804,19569
5Volcanic ActivityRelatively HighRelatively High$2,183,558n/a$211,834$2,395,3920No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
6LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$88,890n/a$1,418,496$1,507,38610
7HurricaneRelatively LowRelatively Low$492,701$4,061$55,750$552,5123
8Coastal FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$245,930n/a$474$246,4040Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
9TornadoVery LowVery Low$20,772$32$4,522$25,3264
10DroughtVery LowVery Lown/a$3,437n/a$3,437250
11HailVery LowVery Low$2,343$45$590$2,9783
12Strong WindVery LowVery Low$1,174$104$1,655$2,93399Includes 73 High Wind and 17 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
13LandslideVery LowVery Low$79n/a$1,955$2,0342
14Ice StormVery LowVery Low$1,012n/a$396$1,4080No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
15Winter WeatherVery LowVery Low$65under $1$103$1686
16Cold WaveNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$00No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
17Heat WaveNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$00No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local tsunami and volcanic activity records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 319 (Very High, 99.8); tract 310.02 (Very High, 98.1); tract 303.07 (Relatively High, 94.8)
Hurricanetract 319 (Relatively Low, 74.7); tract 310.02 (Relatively Low, 63.6); tract 304.06 (Relatively Low, 61.3)
Landslidetract 303.05 (Relatively Low, 91.8); tract 301 (Relatively Low, 88.8); tract 317 (Relatively Low, 88.3)
Tornadotract 317 (Very Low, 8.6); tract 303.07 (Very Low, 6.1); tract 315.03 (Very Low, 5.8)
Tsunamitract 319 (Relatively High, 99.2); tract 315.03 (Relatively High, 97.1); tract 314.04 (Relatively High, 95.7)
Volcanic Activitytract 319 (Relatively High, 99.7); tract 303.07 (Relatively High, 99.6); tract 304.06 (Relatively High, 99.4)
Wildfiretract 320 (Relatively High, 98.4); tract 303.05 (Relatively High, 97.4); tract 317 (Relatively High, 97.3)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 319 is Census Tract 319). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)250 records, 1998 to 2026 (250 zone-level)9 days to 972 days (median 213.5 days); 22 with a recorded value972 days (about 31.9 months), 2011-09-01 to 2014-04-29, a run of 35 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)3 records, 1999 to 20120.75 in to 1.75 in (median 1.25 in); 2 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2012-03-09No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson3 records, 2013 to 2018 (3 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Hurricane record (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)'), 2018-08-24, category 1, $0 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars); NWS zone HIZ020Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)0
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)189 records, 1996 to 2026Flash Flood, 2026-03-13, $20,000,000 property; $0 crops (2026 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)2 records, 2018 to 2021No damage reported in 2 records.No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)10 records, 1996 to 2013Lightning, 2013-07-29, $20,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)90 records, 1996 to 2026 (90 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 84 kt (97 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 75 with a recorded value84 kt (97 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2003-12-29; Storm Events area MAUI (legacy zone code HIZ003)High Wind, 2026-02-09, $100,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2026 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)9 records, 2004 to 202543 kt (49 mph) to 56 kt (64 mph) (median 52 kt (60 mph)); 9 with a recorded value56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2025-01-10; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2025-01-10Thunderstorm Wind, 2025-01-10, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)5 records, 1967 to 2011F/EF0; 4 with a recorded valueEF0 tornado, 2011-02-11, 0.01 mi within this county, 10 yd wide, $0 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars); same rating, casualties and property damage also recorded on 2006-03-25, 2008-09-23Tornado, 1967-04-22, $2,500 property; crops not recorded (1967 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)69 records, 1998 to 2024 (54 zone-level)Wildfire, 2023-08-08, $5,500,000,000 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars), 102 direct deaths, 32 direct injuries (reported for the zone); NWS zone HIZ018No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (54) apply countywide.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)6 records, 1997 to 2011 (6 zone-level)No damage reported in 6 records.Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow, lightning, tsunami and volcanic ash, volcanic ashfall.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 31 declarations covering 24 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-09-252026-09-23EM-3654-HIEmergencyTropical Storm NoloHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Landslidenot yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)new since last plan; within last 5 years
2026-04-072026-03-10DR-4909-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide$1,375,729.19new since last plan; within last 5 years
2025-09-232025-09-23FM-5613-HIFire managementHolomua FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordedin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 years
2023-08-102023-08-08DR-4724-HIMajor disasterWildfires and High WindsWildfire$126,849,584.71within last 5 years
2023-08-092023-08-09FM-5477-HIFire managementPulehu FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4724
2023-08-092023-08-09FM-5476-HIFire managementUpcountry FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4724
2023-08-092023-08-09FM-5475-HIFire managementLahaina FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4724
2022-02-152021-12-05DR-4639-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and LandslidesInland Flooding; Landslide$2,796,429.21within last 5 years
2021-05-132021-03-08DR-4604-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and LandslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide$6,669,986.07
2020-07-252020-07-23EM-3529-HIEmergencyHurricane DouglasHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-04-012020-01-20DR-4510-HIMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$5,782,079.04
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3431-HIEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4510
2019-10-232019-10-22FM-5294-HIFire managementKahana Ridge FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2018-09-272018-08-22DR-4395-HIMajor disasterHurricane LaneHurricane$1,043,297.43
2018-09-122018-09-09EM-3404-HIEmergencyTropical Storm OliviaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2018-08-222018-08-22EM-3399-HIEmergencyHurricane LaneHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4395
2016-10-062016-09-11DR-4282-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesLandslide (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$3,848,373.41
2014-09-122014-08-07DR-4194-HIMajor disasterTropical Storm IselleHurricane$270,883.26
2012-04-182012-03-03DR-4062-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, and LandslidesInland Flooding; Landslide$814,194.22
2011-04-082011-03-11DR-1967-HIMajor disasterTsunami WavesTsunami$203,918.58
2010-06-092010-06-08FM-2844-HIFire managementMaalaea FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2009-08-312009-08-29FM-2834-HIFire managementKaunakakai FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2008-02-062007-12-04DR-1743-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms, High Surf, Flooding, and MudslidesInland Flooding; Landslide$954,038.08
2007-06-282007-06-27FM-2701-HIFire managementOlowalu FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2006-10-172006-10-15DR-1664-HIMajor disasterEarthquakeEarthquake$2,152,997.42
2006-09-022006-09-01FM-2673-HIFire managementMa'alaea FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2000-11-092000-10-28DR-1348-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
1992-09-121992-09-11DR-961-HIMajor disasterHurricane InikiHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1982-04-221982-04-22DR-656-HIMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1980-02-061980-02-06DR-613-HIMajor disasterSevere Storms, High Surf & FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Coastal Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1968-09-131968-09-13DR-251-HIMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1963-04-241963-04-24DR-152-HIMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FloodingInland Flooding
1960-05-251960-05-25DR-101-HIMajor disasterTidal WavesTsunami
1960-01-211960-01-21DR-96-HIMajor disasterEarthquakes & Volcanic DisturbancesEarthquake (primary); also designated: Volcanic Activity
1959-08-161959-08-16DR-94-HIMajor disasterHurricane DotHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1957-03-161957-03-16DR-71-HIMajor disasterTidal WaveTsunami
1955-04-011955-04-01DR-32-HIMajor disasterVolcanoVolcanic Activity

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

4 Fire Management declarations (1983-03-04 to 1998-08-25) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Coastal Flooding0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Cold Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Drought25041563001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000010Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail3000001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane3000611996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding189101271021996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide2000721996 to 2026-06-30
Lightning10000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind992514001955 to 2026-06-30Includes 73 High Wind and 17 Strong Wind records.
Tornado5000001950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire69015701996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather6000001996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-03-13Flash Flood$20,000,000 property; $0 crops (2026 dollars)0, 0HONOKOHAU to KAANAPALInew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2025-01-10Thunderstorm Wind56 kt (64 mph) estimated gustproperty not reported; $0 crops (2025 dollars)0, 0NAHIKUin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2023-08-08Wildfire$5,500,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2023 dollars)102, 32NWS zone HIZ018 (MAUI LEEWARD WEST), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2023-01-27Flash Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)1, 0I KIHEI to KIPAHULUwithin last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2018-08-24Hurricane (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)')category 1$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2018 dollars)0, 0NWS zone HIZ020 (WINDWARD HALEAKALA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2013-07-29Lightning$20,000 property; $0 crops (2013 dollars)0, 0KAUNAKAKAIB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
2012-03-09Hail1.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2012 dollars)0, 0HANAB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2011-09-01Drought$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2011 dollars)0, 0NWS zone HIZ021 (LEEWARD HALEAKALA), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2011-02-11TornadoEF0, 0.01 mi within this county, 10 yd wide$0 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)0, 0I KIHEIB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
2003-12-29High Wind84 kt (97 mph) measured gustdamage not reported0, 0Storm Events area MAUI (legacy zone code HIZ003), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2003-04-10Flash Flooddamage not reported2, 0KIPAHULUdeaths or injuries recorded
1967-04-22Tornadono rating recorded, 33 yd wide$2,500 property; crops not recorded (1967 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c most damaging: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (636 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

FEMA's declaration data list no tribal or special-area declarations for this state.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Coastal Flooding0.748events per year at a location (modeled)about 0.75 per year at a given location in the countyStorm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Cold Wave0event-days per yearnone modeledStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)02005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought44.8event-days per yearabout 44.8 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 22 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (73.3%)3,2412000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.0364annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 3.64%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail0.00525events per yearabout 1 in 191 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)0.2 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave0event-days per yearnone modeledStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)02005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.0526events per yearabout 1 in 19 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)61949 to 2024 (Pacific)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.00159event-days per yearabout 0.00159 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)01946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNo Storm Events ice storm record, 1996 to 2025
Inland Flooding4.32event-days per yearabout 4.32 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 28 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (93.3%)1211996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide1.71events per year (modeled)about 1.71 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning55.8days per year with a strikeabout 55.8 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.00237events per yearabout 1 in 422 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)11986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.0248events per yearabout 1 in 40 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunami0.664annual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)chance at the county's most exposed location in a year: 66.4%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Volcanic Activity0.001annual probabilityabout 1 in 1,000 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.00427annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.427%LikelyStorm Events records in 23 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (76.7%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather0.054event-days per yearabout 0.054 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)0.7422005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 20251300.0333
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 20258300.267
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20254300.133
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Coastal Flooding29 of 4569.382.593.8Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 19, Very Low 6, No Rating 16
Cold Wave0 of 45No Rating 45
Drought27 of 4566.868.779.9Relatively Low 2, Very Low 25, No Rating 18
Earthquake44 of 4566.084.899.8Very High 2, Relatively High 11, Relatively Moderate 28, Relatively Low 3, No Rating 1
Hail44 of 451.01.48.4Very Low 44, No Rating 1
Heat Wave0 of 45No Rating 45
Hurricane44 of 4533.452.774.7Relatively Low 30, Very Low 14, No Rating 1
Ice Storm1 of 4520.520.520.5Very Low 1, Not Applicable 44
Inland Flooding44 of 4532.081.199.6Very High 7, Relatively High 17, Relatively Moderate 16, Relatively Low 4, No Rating 1
Landslide40 of 458.641.691.8Relatively Low 4, Very Low 36, No Rating 5
Lightning44 of 4534.878.698.9Very High 3, Relatively High 19, Relatively Moderate 19, Relatively Low 3, No Rating 1
Strong Wind44 of 450.30.73.7Very Low 44, No Rating 1
Tornado44 of 450.41.68.6Very Low 44, No Rating 1
Tsunami31 of 4523.585.999.2Relatively High 3, Relatively Moderate 17, Relatively Low 8, Very Low 3, No Rating 4, Not Applicable 10
Volcanic Activity44 of 4576.598.799.7Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 22, Relatively Low 3, Very Low 11, No Rating 1
Wildfire42 of 4518.992.398.4Relatively High 8, Relatively Moderate 20, Relatively Low 9, Very Low 5, No Rating 3
Winter Weather1 of 4518.118.118.1Very Low 1, Not Applicable 44

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for drought, hail, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Maui CountyCountyApproved, expires 2030-11-09FMA RL 2, SRL 14; any 57no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2025-11-10county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Coastal Flooding$3,425,236,670n/a11,354$245,930n/a$4740.00718%
Cold Wave$0$00$0$0$0building exposure is 0 in NRI
Droughtn/a$38,837,501n/an/a$3,437n/a0.00885% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$57,898,703,099n/a164,754$21,482,543n/a$11,344,0900.0371%
Hail$34,491,091,050$105,855,748164,632$2,343$45$590under 0.0001%
Heat Wave$0$00$0$0$0building exposure is 0 in NRI
Hurricane$34,451,602,198$96,511,597164,322$492,701$4,061$55,7500.00143%1 declaration not yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30)
Ice Storm$1,122,465,197n/a5,810$1,012n/a$396under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$34,430,317,033$1,551,9019,290$57,617,497$70,890$1,706,587n/a (see note)$30,420,000$1,375,729.19NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$1,227,149,631n/a6,523$79n/a$1,955under 0.0001%$1,375,729.19
Lightning$34,491,091,050n/a164,632$88,890n/a$1,418,4960.000258%
Strong Wind$34,491,091,050$105,855,748164,632$1,174$104$1,655under 0.0001%$200,000Storm Events damage since the plan includes 2 zone-level High Wind records ($200,000): a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition.
Tornado$34,491,091,050$105,855,748164,632$20,772$32$4,522under 0.0001%
Tsunami$32,025,179,619n/a37,967$31,397,684n/a$00.098%
Volcanic Activity$34,491,091,050n/a164,632$2,183,558n/a$211,8340.00633%
Wildfire$3,701,218,247$78,969,61821,193$3,615,550$819$187,8260.0977%
Winter Weather$305,794,358$2,667,0241,334$65under $1$103under 0.0001%

Totals since 2025-11-10 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 10 county-coded records, 10 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $30,420,000; 6 zone-level records, 6 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $200,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $1,375,729.19 on 2 counted declarations, 1 of them with Public Assistance; 1 not yet in FEMA's PA summaries (they cover declarations through 2026-06-30).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population164,632
Building value (total, not at risk)$34,491,091,050
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$105,855,748
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$117,229,186
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$14,934,279
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingVery High
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)14
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition54Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition9

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county total and NFIP communities

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total21454957335
of which: Maui County (unincorporated area)21454957335

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Maui County15000321454957335

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0730432217
2 to 4 unit residential1141402
other residential1416416013
non-residential0240513
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 52 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Maui County, HI: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 15009). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/hi/15009/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]