Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Hernando County, FL

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
12053
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2030-09-15. Plan: Hernando County (FEMA plan 111125), approved 2025-09-15.

Since the plan was approved on 2025-09-15: no new hazard declaration and 1 NOAA Storm Events record; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Hurricane ($24,528,152 a year), Inland Flooding ($22,835,474) and Tornado ($6,984,747).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2030-09-15
Plan:
Hernando County (FEMA plan 111125)
Approved:
2025-09-15
Days to expiry:
1,446

What changed since your last plan (approved 2025-09-15)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
1 record (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 147, SRL 114 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 394
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Hernando County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2030-09-15Hernando County (FEMA plan 111125)2025-09-152030-09-151,446
Brooksville cityCityApproved, expires 2030-09-15Hernando County (FEMA plan 111125)2025-09-152030-09-151,446

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1HurricaneRelatively HighRelatively High$22,389,529$301,473$1,837,149$24,528,15210
2Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$22,822,777$4,650$8,047$22,835,47425
3TornadoRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$2,175,901$627$4,808,218$6,984,74717
4Coastal FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,090,942n/a$208,835$1,299,7783
5LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$70,918n/a$1,178,777$1,249,69417
6Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$55$20$1,039,946$1,040,0220No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$758,315$367$111,073$869,7551
8Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$417,795$1,804$355,159$774,757106
9Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$46,297$288,419$121,685$456,4012Includes 2 Frost/Freeze records (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
10EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$46,086n/a$19,148$65,234Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
11HailVery LowVery Low$9,591$18,619$3,755$31,96522
12DroughtVery LowVery Lown/a$3,270n/a$3,2700No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13LandslideVery LowVery Low$392n/a$4$3960No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14Winter WeatherNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$00No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Datan/an/an/an/a0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local landslide and tsunami records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, ice storm and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 404 (Very Low, 16.2); tract 408.01 (Very Low, 15.5); tract 407.02 (Very Low, 15.1)
Hurricanetract 409.08 (Relatively High, 96.2); tract 409.09 (Relatively High, 95.8); tract 415.02 (Relatively High, 95.6)
Landslidetract 416.01 (Relatively Low, 82.5); tract 406.02 (Very Low, 79.1); tract 401.01 (Very Low, 75.6)
Tornadotract 409.11 (Relatively High, 87.2); tract 409.08 (Relatively High, 87.1); tract 404 (Relatively High, 85.6)
Tsunamino tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Wildfiretract 403.02 (Relatively Moderate, 94.9); tract 415.01 (Relatively Moderate, 94.4); tract 403.03 (Relatively Moderate, 94.4)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 404 is Census Tract 404). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)3 records, 1998 to 2016 (1 zone-level)Storm Surge/Tide, 2016-09-01, $7,800,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars); NWS zone FLZ148No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage2 records, 1999 to 2018 (1 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 2 records.No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan. Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)28 records, 1961 to 20140.75 in to 1.75 in (median 0.81 in); 28 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2007-05-13; same size also recorded on 1961-07-05Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Brooksville city (10 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)0
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson10 records, 2016 to 2024 (10 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Tropical Storm record, 2017-09-10 to 2017-09-11, $600,000 property; $600,000 crops (2017 dollars); NWS zone FLZ248Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)25 records, 1996 to 2022Flood, 2017-09-11, $5,000,000 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Brooksville city (9 records).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)17 records, 1996 to 2012Lightning, 1998-09-09, $284,000 property; $0 crops (1998 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Brooksville city (11 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)0
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)151 records, 1961 to 202639 kt (45 mph) to 70 kt (81 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 79 with a recorded value70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2011-03-30Thunderstorm Wind, 1993-03-13, $500,000 property; crops not recorded (1993 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Brooksville city (33 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)36 records, 1952 to 2022F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF0); 36 with a recorded valueF1 tornado, 1982-08-10, 0.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 10 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1982 dollars), 1 direct injuryTornado, 2018-11-02, $500,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Brooksville city (8 records).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Tsunaminone (count and damage only)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)1 record, 2000Wildfire, 2000-04-08, $2,000 property; $0 crops (2000 dollars)No event record names a jurisdiction in the plan.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)0

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow, lightning and tsunami.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 40 declarations covering 30 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-10-112024-10-05DR-4834-FLMajor disasterHurricane MiltonHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$8,101,274.46in the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 years
2024-10-072024-10-05EM-3622-FLEmergencyHurricane MiltonHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4834
2024-09-282024-09-23DR-4828-FLMajor disasterHurricane HeleneHurricane$662,966.45in the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 years
2024-09-242024-09-23EM-3615-FLEmergencyTropical Storm HeleneHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Windno Public Assistance recordedin the 12 months before plan approval; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4828
2024-08-102024-08-01DR-4806-FLMajor disasterHurricane DebbyHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2024-08-032024-08-01EM-3605-FLEmergencyTropical Storm DebbyHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, Tornadono Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4806
2023-08-312023-08-27DR-4734-FLMajor disasterHurricane IdaliaHurricane$988,558.52within last 5 years
2023-08-282023-08-27EM-3596-FLEmergencyTropical Storm IdaliaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4734
2022-12-132022-11-07DR-4680-FLMajor disasterHurricane NicoleHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 years
2022-11-082022-11-07EM-3587-FLEmergencyTropical Storm NicoleHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4680
2022-09-292022-09-23DR-4673-FLMajor disasterHurricane IanHurricane$801,500.58within last 5 years
2022-09-242022-09-23EM-3584-FLEmergencyTropical Storm IanHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4673
2021-07-042021-07-04EM-3561-FLEmergencyTropical Storm ElsaHurricane$22,705.37
2020-11-112020-11-07EM-3551-FLEmergencyHurricane EtaHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-252020-01-20DR-4486-FLMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$321,275.05
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3432-FLEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4486
2019-08-302019-08-28EM-3419-FLEmergencyHurricane DorianHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2018-10-092018-10-07EM-3405-FLEmergencyHurricane MichaelHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2017-09-102017-09-04DR-4337-FLMajor disasterHurricane IrmaHurricane$3,533,414.30
2017-09-052017-09-04EM-3385-FLEmergencyHurricane IrmaHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4337
2016-10-062016-10-03EM-3377-FLEmergencyHurricane MatthewHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2016-09-282016-08-31DR-4280-FLMajor disasterHurricane HermineHurricane$1,096,718.44
2012-07-032012-06-23DR-4068-FLMajor disasterTropical Storm DebbyHurricane$734,886.23
2008-08-212008-08-18EM-3288-FLEmergencyTropical Storm FayHurricane; Inland Flooding$11,432.45
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3220-FLEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2004-09-262004-09-24DR-1561-FLMajor disasterHurricane JeanneHurricane$1,124,760.41
2004-09-042004-09-03DR-1545-FLMajor disasterHurricane FrancesHurricane$4,800,668.55
2004-08-132004-08-11DR-1539-FLMajor disasterTropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyHurricane$135,185.45
2003-07-292003-06-13DR-1481-FLMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$309,460.16
2001-02-052000-12-01DR-1359-FLMajor disasterSevere FreezeCold WavePA not declared for this county
2000-05-192000-05-19FM-2299-FLFire managementWithlacoochee Fire ComplexWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1998-09-251998-09-25EM-3131-FLEmergencyHurricane GrorgesHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1998-06-181998-05-25DR-1223-FLMajor disasterExtreme Fire HazardWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1998-01-061997-12-25DR-1195-FLMajor disasterSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1996-10-151996-10-07DR-1141-FLMajor disasterTropical Storm JosephineHurricane; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1993-03-131993-03-12DR-982-FLMajor disasterTornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingTornado (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Windno Public Assistance recorded
1990-01-151989-12-23DR-851-FLMajor disasterSevere FreezeCold WavePA not declared for this county
1979-09-291979-09-29DR-607-FLMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland FloodingPA not declared for this county
1977-01-311977-01-31DR-526-FLMajor disasterSevere Winter WeatherCold WavePA not declared for this county
1968-11-071968-11-07DR-252-FLMajor disasterHurricane GladysHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1995-08-031995-08-02EM-3116-FLEmergencyHurricane ErinHurricane
1964-09-101964-09-10DR-176-FLMajor disasterHurricane DoraHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1964-09-081964-09-08DR-175-FLMajor disasterHurricane CleoHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1962-12-171962-12-17DR-141-FLMajor disasterAbnormally High TidesInland Flooding
1960-09-121960-09-12DR-106-FLMajor disasterHurricane DonnaHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1960-03-231960-03-23DR-97-FLMajor disasterSevere Weather ConditionsOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1953-10-221953-10-22DR-12-FLMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

17 Fire Management declarations (1985-05-17 to 1998-06-28) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Public Assistance not placed in any Florida county: 4 rows, $9,327,951.42; listed on the Florida state page.

Source: 3

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Coastal Flooding3000001996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave2000301996 to 2026-06-30Includes 2 Frost/Freeze records.
Drought0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail28000001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane100152101996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding25002901996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning17000001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind1511111401955 to 2026-06-30
Tornado36002401950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire1000201996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationWhy listed
2018-11-02TornadoEF1, 0.71 mi within this county, 100 yd wide$500,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)0, 0WEEKI WACHEE ACRES to BERKELEYB1-c most damaging: Tornado
2017-09-11Flood$5,000,000 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars)0, 0CROOM to RITALB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2017-09-10Tropical Storm$600,000 property; $600,000 crops (zone total, 2017 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ248 (INLAND HERNANDO), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2016-09-01Storm Surge/Tide$7,800,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2016 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ148 (COASTAL HERNANDO), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tide
2011-03-30Thunderstorm Wind70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust$10,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)0, 0RINGGOLDB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2007-05-13Hail1.75 indamage not reported0, 0NOBLETONB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2004-07-08Lightningdamage not reported0, 1SPRING HILLdeaths or injuries recorded
2000-06-26Lightning$0 property; $0 crops (2000 dollars)0, 1BROOKSVILLEdeaths or injuries recorded
2000-04-08Wildfire$2,000 property; $0 crops (2000 dollars)0, 0SPRING HILLB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
1998-09-09Lightning$284,000 property; $0 crops (1998 dollars)0, 0BROOKSVILLEB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1998-08-30Lightning$0 property; $0 crops (1998 dollars)0, 1BROOKSVILLEdeaths or injuries recorded
1982-08-10TornadoF1, 0.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 10 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1982 dollars)0, 1location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (273 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Coastal Flooding3.69events per year at a location (modeled)about 3.7 per year at a given location in the countyHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from NRI: the rate at a location is 1 or more a year, so the county rate is at least that.
Cold Wave3.38event-days per yearabout 3.38 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)44.12005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought16.8event-days per yearabout 16.8 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)5042000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.00038annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.038%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1.98events per yearabout 1.98 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)76.9 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave2.81event-days per yearabout 2.81 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)29.82005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events heat wave record, 1996 to 2025
Hurricane0.271events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1051851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Inland Flooding0.893event-days per yearabout 0.893 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 9 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (30%)251996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.0621events per year (modeled)about 1 in 16 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning93days per year with a strikeabout 93 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.998events per yearabout 1 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)271986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.568events per yearabout 0.57 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Wildfire0.00349annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.349%PossibleStorm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather0event-days per yearnone modeledStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)02005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events winter weather record, 1996 to 2025

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 20259300.3
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202554301.8
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20251300.0333
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202550301.67
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202517300.567
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Coastal Flooding21 of 4672.176.099.5Very High 2, Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 5, Very Low 13, No Rating 25
Cold Wave46 of 4617.620.769.9Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 37, Very Low 7
Drought4 of 4672.378.680.9Relatively Low 2, Very Low 2, No Rating 42
Earthquake46 of 462.68.616.2Very Low 46
Hail46 of 462.610.550.6Relatively Low 2, Very Low 44
Heat Wave46 of 4612.037.661.4Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 40, Very Low 3
Hurricane46 of 4684.891.796.2Relatively High 31, Relatively Moderate 15
Inland Flooding46 of 466.547.484.1Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 21, Relatively Low 21, Very Low 3
Landslide46 of 4622.551.582.5Relatively Low 1, Very Low 45
Lightning46 of 4648.381.995.2Relatively High 29, Relatively Moderate 16, Relatively Low 1
Strong Wind46 of 4629.254.273.4Relatively Moderate 23, Relatively Low 23
Tornado46 of 4650.671.987.2Relatively High 16, Relatively Moderate 27, Relatively Low 3
Tsunami0 of 46Insufficient Data 46
Wildfire46 of 4620.682.794.9Relatively Moderate 17, Relatively Low 12, Very Low 17
Winter Weather0 of 46No Rating 46

Cold Wave: Agriculture is 63% of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Hail: Agriculture is 58% of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, lightning and strong wind are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Hernando County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2030-09-15FMA RL 147, SRL 113; any 391$20,710,329.310 total; 0 since its planIncludes $311,343.33 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4486-FL).
Brooksville cityCityApproved, expires 2030-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 3$808,310.4171 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2025-09-15county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Coastal Flooding$2,303,571,993n/a14,687$1,090,942n/a$208,8350.0474%
Cold Wave$28,789,044,546$26,265,325194,448$46,297$288,419$121,6850.000161%
Droughtn/a$18,592,658n/an/a$3,270n/a0.0176% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$47,453,873,560n/a194,515$46,086n/a$19,148under 0.0001%
Hail$28,789,044,546$26,265,325194,448$9,591$18,619$3,755under 0.0001%
Heat Wave$28,789,044,546$26,265,325194,448$55$20$1,039,946under 0.0001%
Hurricane$28,788,914,406$26,265,325194,447$22,389,529$301,473$1,837,1490.0778%
Inland Flooding$28,764,299,790$1,397,67010,758$22,822,777$4,650$8,047n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$121,911,608n/a757$392n/a$40.000322%
Lightning$28,789,044,546n/a194,448$70,918n/a$1,178,7770.000246%
Strong Wind$28,789,044,546$26,265,325194,448$417,795$1,804$355,1590.00145%$0
Tornado$28,789,044,546$26,265,325194,448$2,175,901$627$4,808,2180.00756%
Tsunamin/an/an/an/an/an/aNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Wildfire$3,082,002,957$13,117,48428,607$758,315$367$111,0730.0246%
Winter Weather$0$00$0$0$0building exposure is 0 in NRI

Totals since 2025-09-15 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 1 county-coded records, 1 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0; 0 zone-level records, 0 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: no counted declaration since the plan.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population194,448
Building value (total, not at risk)$28,789,044,546
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$26,265,325
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$50,447,846
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$9,691,798
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)147Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)114
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition379Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition88

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total147114379883947200
of which: Hernando County (unincorporated area)147113376873917200
of which: Brooksville city0131300
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file01901001

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Hernando County (unincorporated area)120110147113376873917200
Brooksville city1203330131300

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential146111366863806195
2 to 4 unit residential0010100
other residential0110210
non-residential121121105
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 7 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 239 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Hernando County, FL: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 12053). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/fl/12053/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]