Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Clay County, FL

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 12019
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
Approved, expires 2030-09-15
Plan
Clay County (FEMA plan 111130)
Approved
2025-09-15
Expires
2030-09-15
As of
2026-09-28
Days
1,448 days to expiry

What changed since your last plan (approved 2025-09-15)

New federal declarations
FM-5631-FL (1 declaration row; 1 counted incident)
Storm Events records since approval
13 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 39, SRL 43 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 199
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Clay County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2030-09-15Clay County (FEMA plan 111130)2025-09-152030-09-151,448
Green Cove Springs cityCityApproved, expires 2030-09-15Clay County (FEMA plan 111130)2025-09-152030-09-151,448
Keystone Heights cityCityApproved, expires 2030-09-15Clay County (FEMA plan 111130)2025-09-152030-09-151,448member approved 2026-06-30
Orange Park townTownApproved, expires 2030-09-15Clay County (FEMA plan 111130)2025-09-152030-09-151,448member approved 2026-06-02
Penney Farms townTownApproved, expires 2030-09-15Clay County (FEMA plan 111130)2025-09-152030-09-151,448member approved 2026-06-30

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$35,166,356$4$13,417$35,179,77828
2HurricaneRelatively ModerateRelatively High$8,871,346$51,300$407,411$9,330,05614
3TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,926,761$241$4,093,436$6,020,43810
4Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$83$7$2,214,149$2,214,2390No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
5LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$65,673$1,727,055$1,792,72923
6EarthquakeRelatively LowRelatively Low$480,402$283,679$764,081Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
7WildfireRelatively LowRelatively Low$609,273$129$106,572$715,97414
8Coastal FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Moderate$387,055$76,892$463,9463
9Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$152,241$1,946$251,872$406,059256Includes 2 High Wind records and 1 Strong Wind record, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
10Cold WaveVery LowRelatively Low$29,416$4,443$172,313$206,1710Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
11HailVery LowVery Low$17,217$155$3,243$20,61599
12Winter WeatherVery LowVery Low$1,743under $1$6,212$7,9564Includes 3 Sleet records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
13DroughtVery LowVery Low$2,939$2,9397
14LandslideVery LowVery Low$314$2$3160No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
AvalancheNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates avalanche Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Ice StormNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates ice storm Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiInsufficient DataInsufficient Data0No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
Volcanic ActivityNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates volcanic activity Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 45
Coastal FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.36 of 45
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.45 of 45
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.12 of 45
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.45 of 45
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.45 of 45
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.45 of 45
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.45 of 45
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.0 of 45
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.45 of 45
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.44 of 45
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.45 of 45
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.45 of 45
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.45 of 45
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 45
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 45
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.44 of 45
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.45 of 45

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)3, 2015 to 2025 (3 zone-level)No damage reported in 3 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale7, 2007 to 2026 (7 zone-level)6 days to 141 days (median 28 days); 3 with a recorded value141 days (about 4.6 months), 2026-02-10 to 2026-06-30, a run of 5 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)120, 1956 to 20240.75 in to 2 in (median 0.94 in); 120 with a recorded value2 in hail, 2023-04-26; same size also recorded on 2000-07-26Event records naming member places: Orange Park town (20 records), Green Cove Springs city (7 records), Keystone Heights city (5 records), Penney Farms town (5 records).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)0Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson14, 2004 to 2024 (14 zone-level)Strongest recorded (records with damage, a wind speed or direct casualties first, then storm type, category and wind): Tropical Storm record, 2024-10-09 to 2024-10-10, $0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2024 dollars); NWS zone FLZ132 (EASTERN CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)0Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)28, 1996 to 2025 (2 zone-level)Flood, 1998-03-01, $370,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1998 dollars); NWS zone FLZ032 (CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesEvent records naming member places: Orange Park town (2 records), Penney Farms town (2 records), Green Cove Springs city (1 record), Keystone Heights city (1 record). Zone-level records (2) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)23, 2000 to 2026Lightning, 2020-05-28, $0 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars), 1 direct death, 2 direct injuriesLightning, 2018-06-09, $1,000,000 property; $0 crops (2018 dollars)Event records naming member places: Keystone Heights city (3 records), Orange Park town (3 records), Green Cove Springs city (2 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)3, 1998 to 2009 (3 zone-level)35 kt (40 mph) to 62 kt (71 mph) (median 48.5 kt (56 mph)); 2 with a recorded value62 kt (71 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2009-04-14; NWS zone FLZ032 (CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesHigh Wind, 1998-09-03, $5,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1998 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)301, 1957 to 202635 kt (40 mph) to 78 kt (90 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 224 with a recorded value78 kt (90 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1962-05-28Thunderstorm Wind, 2003-06-10, $60,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming member places: Orange Park town (50 records), Keystone Heights city (30 records), Green Cove Springs city (24 records), Penney Farms town (7 records).Speeds under 20 kt (likely entry errors) are left out of the observed range.
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)27, 1953 to 2024F/EF0 to F/EF2 (median F/EF1); 27 with a recorded valueF2 tornado, 1972-01-22, 0.3 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 50 yd wide, $2,500 property; crops not recorded (1972 dollars), 4 direct injuriesTornado, 1983-04-23, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1983 dollars)Event records naming member places: Green Cove Springs city (3 records), Orange Park town (1 record).From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)14, 1998 to 2026 (12 zone-level)Wildfire, 2026-05-01, $250,000 property; $250,000 crops, reported for the zone (2026 dollars); NWS zone FLZ132 (EASTERN CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesEvent records naming member places: Green Cove Springs city (1 record). Zone-level records (12) apply countywide.Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)4, 2010 to 2016 (4 zone-level)No damage reported in 4 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
39
Counted incidents
27

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2026-04-222026-04-19FM-5631-FLFire managementRAILROAD COMPLEX FIREWildfirenone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2024-10-112024-10-05DR-4834-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE MILTONHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding$550,843.84during plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 years
2024-10-072024-10-05EM-3622-FLEmergencyHURRICANE MILTONHurricanenone foundduring plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4834
2024-09-282024-09-23DR-4828-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE HELENEHurricane$3,447,088.17during plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 years
2024-08-102024-08-01DR-4806-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE DEBBYHurricane$3,654,534.26within last 5 years
2024-08-032024-08-01EM-3605-FLEmergencyTROPICAL STORM DEBBYHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, Tornadonone foundwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4806
2023-08-312023-08-27DR-4734-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE IDALIAHurricane$3,104,010.70within last 5 years
2023-08-282023-08-27EM-3596-FLEmergencyTROPICAL STORM IDALIAHurricanenone foundwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4734
2022-12-132022-11-07DR-4680-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE NICOLEHurricane$905,530.72within last 5 years
2022-11-082022-11-07EM-3587-FLEmergencyTROPICAL STORM NICOLEHurricanenone foundwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4680
2022-09-292022-09-23DR-4673-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE IANHurricane$2,419,917.57within last 5 years
2022-09-242022-09-23EM-3584-FLEmergencyTROPICAL STORM IANHurricanenone foundwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4673
2021-07-042021-07-04EM-3561-FLEmergencyTROPICAL STORM ELSAHurricanenone found
2020-08-012020-07-31EM-3533-FLEmergencyHURRICANE ISAIASHurricanenone found
2020-03-252020-01-20DR-4486-FLMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$4,876,889.18
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3432-FLEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundsame incident as DR-4486
2019-08-302019-08-28EM-3419-FLEmergencyHURRICANE DORIANHurricanenone found
2017-09-102017-09-04DR-4337-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE IRMAHurricane$26,729,718.17
2017-09-052017-09-04EM-3385-FLEmergencyHURRICANE IRMAHurricanenone foundsame incident as DR-4337
2016-10-082016-10-03DR-4283-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE MATTHEWHurricane$6,975,955.57
2016-10-062016-10-03EM-3377-FLEmergencyHURRICANE MATTHEWHurricanenone foundsame incident as DR-4283
2012-07-032012-06-23DR-4068-FLMajor disasterTROPICAL STORM DEBBYHurricane$1,383,831.87
2009-05-272009-05-17DR-1840-FLMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDSInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$151,238.65
2008-08-242008-08-18DR-1785-FLMajor disasterTROPICAL STORM FAYHurricane; Inland Flooding$868,134.45
2008-08-212008-08-18EM-3288-FLEmergencyTROPICAL STORM FAYHurricane; Inland Floodingnone foundsame incident as DR-1785
2007-05-072007-05-07FM-2689-FLFire managementSUWANNEE FIRE COMPLEXWildfirenone found
2005-09-052005-08-29EM-3220-FLEmergencyHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countednone found
2004-09-262004-09-24DR-1561-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE JEANNEHurricane$4,790,863.89
2004-09-162004-09-13DR-1551-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE IVANHurricanenone placed in this county by FEMA's record; $368,533.58 for this declaration is not placed in any county (see the list below)
2004-09-042004-09-03DR-1545-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE FRANCESHurricane$5,931,209.98
2004-08-132004-08-11DR-1539-FLMajor disasterTROPICAL STORM BONNIE AND HURRICANE CHARLEYHurricane$76,131.89
2001-02-052000-12-01DR-1359-FLMajor disasterSEVERE FREEZECold WavePA not declared for this county
2000-06-022000-06-02FM-2305-FLFire managementFL, JACKSONVILLE FIRE COMPLEXWildfirenone found
1999-05-141999-05-14FM-2262-FLFire managementJACKSONVILLE DISTRICT FIREWildfirenone foundsame incident as EM-3139
1999-04-271999-04-15EM-3139-FLEmergencyFL-FIRES 04/15/99Wildfirenone found
1998-06-181998-05-25DR-1223-FLMajor disasterEXTREME FIRE HAZARDWildfirenone found
1998-01-061997-12-25DR-1195-FLMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadonone found
1996-10-151996-10-07DR-1141-FLMajor disasterTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINEHurricane; TornadoPA not declared for this county
1992-10-081992-10-03DR-966-FLMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODINGInland Flooding; Tornadonone found

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Statewide declarations

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardFlagsNotes
1995-08-031995-08-02EM-3116-FLEmergencyHURRICANE ERINHurricane
1964-09-101964-09-10DR-176-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE DORAHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1964-09-081964-09-08DR-175-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE CLEOHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1962-12-171962-12-17DR-141-FLMajor disasterABNORMALLY HIGH TIDESInland Flooding
1960-09-121960-09-12DR-106-FLMajor disasterHURRICANE DONNAHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding
1960-03-231960-03-23DR-97-FLMajor disasterSEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONSOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1953-10-221953-10-22DR-12-FLMajor disasterFLOODInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county. Listed on every county page in the state; not counted with county rows.

17 Fire Management declarations (1985-05-17 to 1998-06-28) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 1 row, $985,020.84

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-4280-FL2016-09-28HURRICANE HERMINEClay Electric Cooperative, Inc.$985,020.84

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Public Assistance not placed in a county in this state: 4 rows, $9,327,951.42

Disaster numberDeclaredApplicantCounty field in FEMA dataPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsWhy not placed
45642020-09-23PowerSouth Energy CooperativeCovington County$43,450.21county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
43992018-10-11PowerSouth Energy CooperativeCovington County$8,524,655.17county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
15952005-07-10Alabama Electric Cooperative, Inc.Covington County$391,312.46county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state
15512004-09-16Alabama Electric Cooperative, Inc.Covington County$368,533.58county field is a county of another state and the applicant name does not identify a place in the declaring state

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under a county field that is not a county of this state (an Alaska school area, the former Valdez-Cordova Census Area, or another state's county), and the applicant name does not identify one place here. They are listed for the whole state and are not in any county total. Check whether any of them worked in your county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding3101001996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave0000101996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Drought7505001996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail120005001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane140241801996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding280215601996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning23125001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind3044930301955 to 2026-06-30Includes 2 High Wind records and 1 Strong Wind record, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado27003501950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire14202511996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather4000001996 to 2026-06-30Includes 3 Sleet records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-05-01Wildfire$250,000 property; $250,000 crops, reported for the zone (2026 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ132 (EASTERN CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2026-02-10Drought$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2026 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ132 (EASTERN CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2024-10-09Tropical Storm$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ132 (EASTERN CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesduring plan review, check whether your last plan included it; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
2023-04-26Hail2 in$0 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)0, 0CAMP BLNDGwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2020-05-28Lightning$0 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)1, 2MILL CREEKdeaths or injuries recorded
2009-04-14High Wind62 kt (71 mph) estimated gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2009 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ032 (CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2001-06-07Lightningdamage not reported0, 5CAMP BLNDGdeaths or injuries recorded
1998-03-01Flood$370,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (1998 dollars)0, 0NWS zone FLZ032 (CLAY), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
1991-04-21Thunderstorm Windspeed not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)1, 0location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1983-04-23TornadoF1, 1 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 40 yd wide$2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1983 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c most damaging: Tornado
1972-01-22TornadoF2, 0.3 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 50 yd wide$2,500 property; crops not recorded (1972 dollars)0, 4location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
1962-05-28Thunderstorm Wind78 kt (90 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (544 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalancheevents per year1994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Coastal Flooding0.9events per year at a location (modeled)about 0.9 per year at a given location in the countyLikelyStorm Events records in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county.
Cold Wave2.42event-days per yearabout 2.42 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)462005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo recorded event-days, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned. Frost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought16.8event-days per yearabout 16.8 days per yearPossibleevent-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)5952000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNRI gives about 16.8 drought event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 25.25 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 1 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Earthquake0.000919annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0919%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail2.01events per yearabout 2.01 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)76.1 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave3.73event-days per yearabout 3.73 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)662005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo recorded event-days, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned
Hurricane0.222events per yearabout 1 in 5 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)741851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are counted separately in B1-d and need not match.
Ice Stormevent-days per year1946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Inland Flooding0.643event-days per yearabout 0.643 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)181996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.0813events per year (modeled)about 1 in 12 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning80.4days per year with a strikeabout 80.4 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.07events per yearabout 1.07 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)411986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.362events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo Storm Events record of this hazard, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned (the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county)
Volcanic Activityannual probabilitynot shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Wildfire0.00306annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.306%LikelyStorm Events records in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county.
Winter Weather0.0526event-days per yearabout 0.0526 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)12005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202542301.4
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20252300.0667
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 2025173305.77
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 20253300.1
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202573302.43
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20259300.3
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche0 of 45Not Applicable 45
Coastal Flooding36 of 4570.580.993.6Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 18, Very Low 9, No Rating 9
Cold Wave45 of 4517.119.825.1Relatively Low 31, Very Low 14National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought12 of 4568.674.978.2Very Low 12, No Rating 33National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range above mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is, not where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake45 of 4515.333.358.0Relatively Low 14, Very Low 31
Hail45 of 452.710.621.8Very Low 45National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave45 of 455.152.784.1Relatively Moderate 18, Relatively Low 26, Very Low 1National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane45 of 4568.582.189.8Relatively Moderate 37, Relatively Low 8
Ice Storm0 of 45Not Applicable 45National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding45 of 457.952.894.2Relatively High 7, Relatively Moderate 21, Relatively Low 14, Very Low 3
Landslide44 of 4519.149.974.6Very Low 44, No Rating 1
Lightning45 of 4524.683.998.4Very High 3, Relatively High 29, Relatively Moderate 11, Relatively Low 2National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind45 of 4515.730.557.1Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 40, Very Low 4National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado45 of 4539.761.885.1Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 35, Relatively Low 5
Tsunami0 of 45Insufficient Data 45
Volcanic Activity0 of 45Not Applicable 45
Wildfire44 of 4519.378.495.3Relatively Moderate 9, Relatively Low 25, Very Low 10, No Rating 1
Winter Weather45 of 4514.217.423.3Relatively Low 12, Very Low 33National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Clay County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2030-09-15FMA RL 38, SRL 43; any 186$18,132,029.960; 0Includes $803,282.14 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4486-FL).
Green Cove Springs cityCityApproved, expires 2030-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$1,546,765.9838; 1Includes $5,416.50 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4486-FL).
Keystone Heights cityCityApproved, expires 2030-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$51,121.7239; 0
Orange Park townTownApproved, expires 2030-09-15FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 9$1,366,385.1376; 0
Penney Farms townTownApproved, expires 2030-09-15FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$104,319.9914; 1

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2025-09-15county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
AvalancheNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Coastal Flooding$2,635,966,94716,224$387,055$76,8920.0147%$0
Cold Wave$32,962,918,370$7,025,706218,078$29,416$4,443$172,313under 0.0001%
Drought$3,486,690$2,9390.0843% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$54,827,335,524218,245$480,402$283,6790.000876%
Hail$32,962,918,370$7,025,706218,078$17,217$155$3,243under 0.0001%
Heat Wave$32,962,918,370$7,025,706218,078$83$7$2,214,149under 0.0001%
Hurricane$32,962,736,671$7,025,706218,076$8,871,346$51,300$407,4110.0269%
Ice StormNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Inland Flooding$32,926,678,424$327,87811,959$35,166,356$4$13,417n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$70,714,297477$314$20.000444%
Lightning$32,962,918,370218,078$65,673$1,727,0550.000199%$1,000
Strong Wind$32,962,918,370$7,025,706218,078$152,241$1,946$251,8720.000462%$43,000
Tornado$32,962,918,370$7,025,706218,078$1,926,761$241$4,093,4360.00585%
TsunamiNRI publishes no building exposure for this county
Volcanic ActivityNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Wildfire$3,069,955,766$4,960,00933,548$609,273$129$106,5720.0198%$1,000,000none found (1 declaration)
Winter Weather$32,962,918,370$7,025,706218,078$1,743under $1$6,212under 0.0001%

Totals since 2025-09-15 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 5 county-coded records, 4 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $44,000; 8 zone-level records, 8 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $1,000,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance on counted declarations none found (1 declaration, 0 with PA).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population218,078
Building value (total, not at risk)$32,962,918,370
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$7,025,706
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$47,769,043
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$9,356,254
Social vulnerability ratingVery Low
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)39Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)43
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition192Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition35

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total394319235199692
CLAY COUNTY *384317935186689
GREEN COVE SPRINGS, CITY OF0040401
ORANGE PARK, TOWN OF1090902
State level, not in this county: county not reported01901001

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Clay County (unincorporated area)120064384317935186689
Green Cove Springs city1200650040401
Keystone Heights city1206710000000
Orange Park town1200661090902
Penney Farms town1200590000000

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential394218734194689
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0131301
non-residential0020202
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 2 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 155 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Clay County, FL: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 12019). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_FL_12019. Preview: automated baseline.