Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Mendocino County, CA

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 06045
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
No approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligible
Plan
none
Approved
none
Expires
none
As of
2026-09-28
Update underway
FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

What changed since your last plan

Not available. No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Mendocino CountyCountyNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Fort Bragg cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Point Arena cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Ukiah cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Willits cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Mendocino Unified School DistrictSchool/School DistrictNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Covelo Fire Protection DistrictFire/EMS DistrictNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Noyo Harbor DistrictSpecial DistrictNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Redwood Coast FireFire/EMS DistrictNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$55,757,914$102,324$20,718$55,880,95685
2EarthquakeRelatively HighRelatively High$37,001,732$9,521,362$46,523,094Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
3WildfireRelatively HighRelatively High$7,790,505$1,138$439,721$8,231,3643
4DroughtRelatively HighRelatively High$2,986,084$2,986,0840Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
5LandslideRelatively HighRelatively High$811,859$1,341,054$2,152,9121
6Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$380under $1$311,391$311,7710No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
7TsunamiVery LowVery Low$263,973$0$263,9731
8Coastal FloodingRelatively LowRelatively Low$196,329$48$196,3785
9LightningRelatively LowVery Low$6,148$72,673$78,8210No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
10TornadoVery LowVery Low$38,514$471$14,639$53,6232
11HailVery LowVery Low$13,228$838$3,149$17,2160No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12Winter WeatherVery LowRelatively Low$466under $1$14,582$15,04864
13Strong WindVery LowVery Low$798$118$885$1,80057Includes 39 High Wind records and 17 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
14Volcanic ActivityVery LowVery Low$59$140$1990No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
15AvalancheVery LowVery Low$5$85$900No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
16Cold WaveNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$03Includes 2 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates hurricane Not Applicable for this county, and no counted federal declaration for this county names it (EM-3248-CA names it but is not counted as a local occurrence; see B1-d).No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Ice StormNot ApplicableNot Applicable0Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.15 of 23
Coastal FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.8 of 23
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.0 of 23
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.12 of 23
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.23 of 23
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.23 of 23
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.23 of 23
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 23
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.0 of 23
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.23 of 23
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.23 of 23
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.23 of 23
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.21 of 23
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.23 of 23
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.8 of 23
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.21 of 23
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.23 of 23
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.23 of 23

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)5, 1998 to 2023 (5 zone-level)Storm Surge/Tide, 2005-12-31, $10,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2005 dollars); Storm Events area MENDOCINO COAST (legacy zone code CAZ002), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill1, 1998 to 1998 (1 zone-level)2 days; 1 with a recorded value2 consecutive days, 1998-12-21 to 1998-12-22, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage2, 1998 to 2011 (2 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 2 records.Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)3, 1982 to 19860.75 in to 1.5 in (median 1.5 in); 3 with a recorded value1.5 in hail, 1986-09-21; same size also recorded on 1986-09-21No event record names a member place.
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)0Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)0Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)85, 1996 to 2026 (14 zone-level)Flood, 2016-12-15, $1,500,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)Event records naming member places: Willits city (5 records), Ukiah city (2 records). Zone-level records (14) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)1, 2005 to 2005 (1 zone-level)Debris Flow, 2005-12-28, $8,650,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2005 dollars); Storm Events area MENDOCINO COAST (legacy zone code CAZ002), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)0Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)56, 1996 to 2026 (55 zone-level)25 kt (29 mph) to 70 kt (81 mph) (median 41.5 kt (48 mph)); 48 with a recorded value70 kt (81 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2025-12-23; NWS zone CAZ110 (NORTHWESTERN MENDOCINO INTERIOR), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesStrong Wind, 2017-01-08, $17,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars)No event record names a member place. Zone-level records (55) apply countywide.Speeds under 20 kt (likely entry errors) are left out of the observed range.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)2, 1960 to 202652 kt (60 mph); 1 with a recorded value52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2026-01-03No event record names a member place.
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)4, 1958 to 2023F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median between F/EF0 and F/EF1); 2 with a recorded valueF1 tornado, 1998-12-05, 1.7 mi within this county, 50 yd wide, damage not reportedTornado, 1983-12-11, $2,500 property; crops not recorded (1983 dollars)Event records naming member places: Fort Bragg city (1 record).From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)1, 2011 to 2011 (1 zone-level)Tsunami, 2011-03-11, $4,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2011 dollars); Storm Events area MENDOCINO COAST (legacy zone code CAZ002), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)3, 2003 to 2021 (2 zone-level)Wildfire, 2017-10-08, $38,400,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars), 8 direct deaths, 1 direct injury (reported for the zone); NWS zone CAZ113 (SOUTHEASTERN MENDOCINO INTERIOR), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesNo event record names a member place. Zone-level records (2) apply countywide.Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)64, 1998 to 2025 (64 zone-level)Winter Weather, 2025-02-05, $7,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2025 dollars); NWS zone CAZ109 (MENDOCINO COAST), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
33
Counted incidents
26

No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2023-04-032023-02-21DR-4699-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESIce Storm; Inland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind; Winter WeatherPA not declared for this countywithin last 5 years
2023-03-102023-03-09EM-3592-CAEmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weathernone foundwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4699
2023-01-142022-12-27DR-4683-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weather$1,935,667.68within last 5 years
2023-01-092023-01-08EM-3591-CAEmergencySEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weathernone foundwithin last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4683
2020-10-162020-09-04DR-4569-CAMajor disasterWILDFIRESWildfire$83,857.02
2020-08-222020-08-14DR-4558-CAMajor disasterWILDFIRESWildfire$98,026.91
2020-03-222020-01-20DR-4482-CAMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$37,517,608.83
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3428-CAEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundsame incident as DR-4482
2019-05-172019-02-24DR-4434-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$2,775,076.86
2019-05-012019-02-13DR-4431-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weathernone found
2018-07-282018-07-29FM-5262-CAFire managementMENDOCINO FIRE COMPLEXWildfirenone found
2017-10-102017-10-08DR-4344-CAMajor disasterWILDFIRESWildfire$4,343,649.26
2017-10-092017-10-09FM-5219-CAFire managementREDWOOD VALLEY FIREWildfirenone foundsame incident as DR-4344
2017-03-162017-01-18DR-4305-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weather$3,486,912.47
2017-02-142017-01-03DR-4301-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weather$4,146,501.40
2008-06-282008-06-20EM-3287-CAEmergencyWILDFIRESWildfire$126,572.05
2006-02-032005-12-17DR-1628-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND LANDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslide$10,571,677.37
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3248-CAEmergencyHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countednone found
1998-02-091998-02-02DR-1203-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding; Winter Weathernone found
1997-01-041996-12-28DR-1155-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND LANDSLIDESInland Flooding; Landslidenone found
1995-03-121995-02-13DR-1046-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weathernone found
1995-01-101995-01-03DR-1044-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWSInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weathernone found
1994-09-131994-05-01DR-1038-CAMajor disasterTHE EL NINO (THE SALMON INDUSTRY)Fishing Losses: economic loss, not a physical hazard event; non-natural, not countedPA not declared for this county
1993-02-031993-01-05DR-979-CAMajor disasterSEVERE WINTER STORM, MUD & LAND SLIDES, & FLOODINGInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weathernone found
1991-02-111990-12-19DR-894-CAMajor disasterSEVERE FREEZECold WavePA not declared for this county
1986-02-211986-02-12DR-758-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1983-02-091983-01-21DR-677-CAMajor disasterCOASTAL STORMS, FLOODS, SLIDES & TORNADOESCoastal Flooding; Inland Flooding; Landslide; Tornadonone found
1977-01-201977-01-20EM-3023-CAEmergencyDROUGHTDroughtnone found
1974-05-071974-05-07DR-432-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1974-01-251974-01-25DR-412-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1970-02-161970-02-16DR-283-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1969-01-261969-01-26DR-253-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1964-12-241964-12-24DR-183-CAMajor disasterHEAVY RAINS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found

School districts and special districts in this county: $2,920,628.76 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan members in this county. They are not shown as member blocks, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county); do not add this line to the county total.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Statewide declarations

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardFlagsNotes
1964-04-011964-04-01DR-169-CAMajor disasterSEISMIC SEA WAVETsunami
1963-12-211963-12-21DR-161-CAMajor disasterFLOOD DUE TO BROKEN DAMOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1963-02-251963-02-25DR-145-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, HEAVY RAINS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1962-10-241962-10-24DR-138-CAMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Flooding
1962-03-061962-03-06DR-122-CAMajor disasterFLOODSInland Flooding
1961-11-161961-11-16DR-119-CAMajor disasterFIRE (LOS ANGELES COUNTY)Wildfire
1958-04-041958-04-04DR-82-CAMajor disasterHEAVY RAINSTORMS & FLOODInland Flooding
1956-12-291956-12-29DR-65-CAMajor disasterFOREST FIREWildfire
1955-12-231955-12-23DR-47-CAMajor disasterFLOODInland Flooding
1954-02-051954-02-05DR-15-CAMajor disasterFLOOD & EROSIONInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county. Listed on every county page in the state; not counted with county rows.

5 Fire Management declarations (1977-08-07 to 1988-09-13) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding5111996 to 2026-06-30
Cold Wave3011996 to 2026-06-30Includes 2 Frost/Freeze records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Drought0011996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Earthquake000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail3001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Hurricane0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm0011996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Inland Flooding8551191996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide10121996 to 2026-06-30
Lightning0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Strong Wind583211955 to 2026-06-30Includes 39 High Wind records and 17 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado4111950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami1001996 to 2026-06-30
Volcanic Activity0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire3051996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather6423101996 to 2026-06-30

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-01-03Thunderstorm Wind52 kt (60 mph) estimated gustdamage not reported0, 0WESTPORTwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2025-12-23High Wind70 kt (81 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone CAZ110 (NORTHWESTERN MENDOCINO INTERIOR), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countieswithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2025-02-05Winter Weather$7,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2025 dollars)0, 0NWS zone CAZ109 (MENDOCINO COAST), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countieswithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2017-10-08Wildfire$38,400,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2017 dollars)8, 1NWS zone CAZ113 (SOUTHEASTERN MENDOCINO INTERIOR), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesdeaths or injuries recorded
2016-12-15Flood$1,500,000 property; $0 crops (2016 dollars)0, 0FT BRAGG AAFB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2011-03-11Tsunami$4,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2011 dollars)0, 0Storm Events area MENDOCINO COAST (legacy zone code CAZ002), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Tsunami
2005-12-31Storm Surge/Tide$10,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2005 dollars)0, 0Storm Events area MENDOCINO COAST (legacy zone code CAZ002), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tide
2005-12-28Debris Flow$8,650,000 property; crops not reported, reported for the zone (2005 dollars)0, 0Storm Events area MENDOCINO COAST (legacy zone code CAZ002), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Debris Flow
1998-12-21Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0Storm Events area MENDOCINO COAST (legacy zone code CAZ002), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
1998-12-05TornadoF1, 1.7 mi within this county, 50 yd widedamage not reported0, 0FT BRAGGB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
1986-09-21Hail1.5 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Hail
1983-12-11TornadoF0, 2 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 300 yd wide$2,500 property; crops not recorded (1983 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c most damaging: Tornado

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (227 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Coastal Flooding3.23events per year at a location (modeled)about 3.2 per year at a given location in the countyHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from NRI: the rate at a location is 1 or more a year, so the county rate is at least that.
Cold Wave0event-days per yearnone modeledPossibleevent-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)02005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI models no cold wave event-days here (2005-11-12 to 2024-11-12, 19 years), but Storm Events has a record in 1 of 30 years. The descriptor comes from Storm Events, which records events NRI's definition leaves out, so the two use different thresholds; read them together. Frost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought41.1event-days per yearabout 41.1 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)1,4772000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo recorded event-days, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned
Earthquake0.0702annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 7.02%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail0.0362events per yearabout 1 in 28 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)1.4 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave4.06event-days per yearabout 4.06 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)46.52005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo recorded event-days, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic); 1949 to 2024 (Pacific)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Stormevent-days per year1946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Inland Flooding0.75event-days per yearabout 0.75 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)211996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide94.9events per year (modeled)about 94.9 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning5.32days per year with a strikeabout 5.32 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.00266events per yearabout 1 in 376 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)11986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.0968events per yearabout 1 in 10 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunami0.234annual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)chance at the county's most exposed location in a year: 23.4%PossibleStorm Events records in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county.
Volcanic Activity0.0001annual probabilityabout 1 in 10,000 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.00495annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.495%LikelyStorm Events records in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county.
Winter Weather6.77event-days per yearabout 6.77 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 11 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (36.7%)1162005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 6.77 winter weather event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 11 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 20250300
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 20250300
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 20250300
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20250300
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20251300.0333
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20251300.0333

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche15 of 2313.116.519.3Very Low 15, Not Applicable 8
Coastal Flooding8 of 2377.084.097.2Relatively High 1, Relatively Low 7, No Rating 15
Cold Wave0 of 23No Rating 23National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought12 of 2382.296.799.3Relatively High 5, Relatively Moderate 4, Relatively Low 3, No Rating 11National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range above mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is, not where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake23 of 2387.296.599.7Very High 6, Relatively High 16, Relatively Moderate 1
Hail23 of 232.717.629.2Very Low 23National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave23 of 232.226.548.2Relatively Low 14, Very Low 9National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane0 of 23Not Applicable 23
Ice Storm0 of 23Not Applicable 23National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding23 of 2354.196.699.9Very High 13, Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 4
Landslide23 of 2321.099.2100.0Very High 1, Relatively High 9, Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 3, Very Low 5
Lightning23 of 2311.524.237.5Relatively Low 15, Very Low 8National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind21 of 230.21.45.2Very Low 21, No Rating 2National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado23 of 230.34.917.3Very Low 23
Tsunami8 of 2345.355.477.6Relatively Low 7, Very Low 1, Not Applicable 15
Volcanic Activity21 of 2341.563.197.0Relatively Low 1, Very Low 20, No Rating 2
Wildfire23 of 2372.097.599.4Very High 1, Relatively High 15, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 4
Winter Weather23 of 2316.030.943.3Relatively Low 15, Very Low 8National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Mendocino CountyCountyNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 2$37,089,629.900; no approved planIncludes $18,518,220.21 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4482-CA).
Fort Bragg cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0none found1; no approved plan
Point Arena cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$726,403.050; no approved plan
Ukiah cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$2,380,642.862; no approved planIncludes $148,826.47 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4482-CA).
Willits cityCityNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$448,008.025; no approved plan

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since plancounty-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$4,365,496under 1$5$850.000105%
Coastal Flooding$2,336,237,6987,529$196,329$480.0084%
Cold Wave$0$00$0$0$0building exposure is 0 in NRI
Drought$164,082,852$2,986,0841.82% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$44,655,986,98891,601$37,001,732$9,521,3620.0829%
Hail$25,536,747,868$222,739,55891,247$13,228$838$3,149under 0.0001%
Heat Wave$25,536,747,868$222,739,55891,247$380under $1$311,391under 0.0001%
HurricaneNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice StormNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Inland Flooding$25,521,438,282$68,390,3575,552$55,757,914$102,324$20,718n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$2,647,555,64410,390$811,859$1,341,0540.0307%
Lightning$25,536,747,86891,247$6,148$72,673under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$25,536,747,868$222,739,55891,247$798$118$885under 0.0001%
Tornado$25,536,747,868$222,739,55891,247$38,514$471$14,6390.000151%
Tsunami$1,787,143,512292$263,973$00.0148%
Volcanic Activity$25,536,747,86891,247$59$140under 0.0001%
Wildfire$6,317,035,390$69,427,87235,962$7,790,505$1,138$439,7210.123%
Winter Weather$25,536,747,868$222,739,55891,247$466under $1$14,582under 0.0001%

Totals since the plan: not available. No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population91,247
Building value (total, not at risk)$25,536,747,868
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$222,739,558
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively High
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$104,972,882
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$11,740,446
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively High
Community resilience ratingRelatively Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition3Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition1

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0131300
MENDOCINO COUNTY *0121200
WILLITS,CITY OF0010100
State level, not in this county: county not reported0130410

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Mendocino County0601830121200
Fort Bragg city0601840000000
Point Arena city0601850000000
Ukiah city0601860000000
Willits city0601870010100

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0121200
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0010100
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 3 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Mendocino County, CA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 06045). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_CA_06045. Preview: automated baseline.