Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Kern County, CA

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
06029
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Expired on 2026-04-08. Plan: Kern County (FEMA plan 107005), approved 2021-04-09.

Since the plan was approved on 2021-04-09: 5 new hazard declarations (4 incidents): FM-5416-CA (French Fire), EM-3592-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4699-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4750-CA (Tropical Storm Hilary), FM-5522-CA (Borel Fire).

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 566 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Earthquake ($184,018,733 a year), Inland Flooding ($147,215,281) and Heat Wave ($42,545,674).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 3.

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Expired on 2026-04-08
Plan:
Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)
Approved:
2021-04-09
Days since expiry:
175
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

Until a new plan is approved, FEMA mitigation project grants (HMGP, FMA) need a FEMA exception (44 CFR 201.6(a)(3)).

What changed since your last plan (approved 2021-04-09)

New federal declarations:
5 new hazard declarations (4 incidents): FM-5416-CA (French Fire), EM-3592-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4699-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), DR-4750-CA (Tropical Storm Hilary), FM-5522-CA (Borel Fire)
Storm Events records since approval:
566 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 3
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 51 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" on the following pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Kern CountyCountyExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Arvin cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Bakersfield cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
California City cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Delano cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Maricopa cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
McFarland cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Ridgecrest cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Shafter cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Taft cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Tehachapi cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Wasco cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Bakersfield City School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Buttonwillow Union Elementary School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Kern High School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Lost Hills Union Elementary School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Mojave Unified School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Richland Union School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Sierra Sands Unified School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Taft City School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Tehachapi Unified School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Antelope Valley - East Kern Water AgencyWater/Sewer AuthorityApproved, expires 2027-07-14Antelope Valley East Kern Water Agency (FEMA plan 108212)2022-07-152027-07-14287
Arvin Community Services DistrictCommunity Services DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Arvin-Edison Water Storage DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Bear Valley Community Services DistrictCommunity Services DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Berrenda Mesa Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Buttonwillow County Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Cawelo Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
East Niles Community Services DistrictCommunity Services DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Ford City-Taft Heights Sanitation DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Golden Hills Community Services DistrictCommunity Services DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Greenfield County Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Henry Miller Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2023-05-30Central California Irrigation District (FEMA plan 104939)2018-05-312023-05-30-1,219
Kern Community College DistrictCollege/UniversityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Kern County Water AgencyWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Kern Delta Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Kern Sanitation AuthorityWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Kern-Tulare Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Lost Hills Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Mojave Air and Space PortTransit/AirportExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
North of the River Municipal Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
North of the River Recreation and Parks DistrictSpecial DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
North of the River Sanitary District No. 1Water/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Rosamond Community Services DistrictCommunity Services DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Semitropic Water Storage DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Shafter Recreation and Parks DistrictSpecial DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Stallion Springs Community Services DistrictCommunity Services DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Tehachapi Valley Recreation and Parks DistrictSpecial DistrictExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Tehachapi-Cummings County Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
West Kern Water DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175
Wheeler Ridge-Maricopa Water Storage DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2026-04-08Kern County (FEMA plan 107005)2021-04-092026-04-08-175

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1EarthquakeRelatively HighRelatively High$139,491,856n/a$44,526,877$184,018,733Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
2Inland FloodingRelatively HighRelatively High$142,035,075$4,945,716$234,491$147,215,281459
3Heat WaveRelatively HighRelatively High$26,877$7,626,194$34,892,603$42,545,67470
4WildfireRelatively HighRelatively High$36,748,316$22,662$1,712,060$38,483,03734
5DroughtRelatively HighRelatively Highn/a$1,992,269n/a$1,992,26929
6LightningRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$26,605n/a$733,929$760,53441
7LandslideRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$8,714n/a$748,921$757,63551
8HailRelatively LowRelatively Low$5,145$285,456$123,636$414,23737
9Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$141,825$12,528$244,723$399,076376Includes 297 High Wind and 26 Strong Wind records (NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
10Winter WeatherRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$1,750under $1$188,448$190,19973
11TornadoVery LowVery Low$132,791$2,218$50,543$185,55310
12Cold WaveVery LowVery Low$20$0$4,835$4,85540Includes 40 Frost/Freeze records (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition; counted in this table and in B1-d, not in the B1-e descriptor).
13AvalancheVery LowVery Low$15n/a$321$3360No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14Volcanic ActivityVery LowVery Lowunder $1n/a$25$250No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Coastal FloodingNot ApplicableNot Applicable0Declared 2 times; no Storm Events record of this type.
HurricaneNot ApplicableNot Applicable0Declared 1 time; no Storm Events record of this type.
Ice StormNot ApplicableNot Applicable1

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local volcanic activity records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: tsunami. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 52.05 (Very Low, 35.9); tract 60.10 (Very Low, 35.2); tract 60.06 (Very Low, 35.1)
Coastal Floodingno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Earthquaketract 16 (Very High, 99.9); tract 45 (Very High, 99.6); tract 66 (Very High, 99.3)
Hurricaneno tract has a National Risk Index rating for this hazard
Landslidetract 52.08 (Relatively High, 99.8); tract 52.06 (Relatively High, 99.7); tract 33.07 (Relatively High, 99.6)
Tornadotract 59 (Very Low, 20.1); tract 58.04 (Very Low, 18.7); tract 55.14 (Very Low, 18.5)
Volcanic Activitytract 52.03 (Very Low, 77.6); tract 52.05 (Very Low, 77.4); tract 55.09 (Very Low, 76.4)
Wildfiretract 52.08 (Very High, 99.9); tract 60.12 (Very High, 99.9); tract 60.10 (Very High, 99.8)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 52.05 is Census Tract 52.05). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (flood depth: FIRM)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0Wind chill: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage40 records, 2019 to 2026 (40 zone-level)No crop damage reported in 40 records.Countywide (zone-level records).Temperature: in event narratives only (local data needed).
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)29 records, 2015 to 2025 (29 zone-level)68 days to 702 days (median 92 days); 3 with a recorded value702 days (23 months), 2021-03-01 to 2023-01-31, a run of 23 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)41 records, 1982 to 20230.5 in to 1.75 in (median 0.88 in); 38 with a recorded value1.75 in hail, 2023-06-05; same size also recorded on 2000-08-01, 2005-08-15Hail, 1999-07-11, $20,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (4 records), Ridgecrest city (2 records), Tehachapi city (2 records), Arvin city (1 record), Maricopa city (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)70 records, 2019 to 2026 (70 zone-level)1 day to 12 days (median 3 days); 42 with a recorded value12 consecutive days, 2024-07-02 to 2024-07-13, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Heat index: in event narratives only (local data needed). Heat records from November to March (unseasonable warmth, not a heat wave) are counted but not used for the longest run.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)1 record, 2020 (1 zone-level)No damage reported in 1 record.Countywide (zone-level records).Ice thickness: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)459 records, 1997 to 2026Flood, 2011-01-02, $12,700,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (17 records), Tehachapi city (12 records), Ridgecrest city (6 records), Delano city (5 records), Maricopa city (5 records), Taft city (5 records), Arvin city (3 records), Wasco city (1 record).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)51 records, 2016 to 2024Debris Flow, 2019-12-26, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Delano city (1 record), Maricopa city (1 record), Taft city (1 record).Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)41 records, 1997 to 2022Lightning, 2015-07-18, $0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars), 1 direct deathLightning, 1999-07-12, $110,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Ridgecrest city (5 records), Bakersfield city (4 records), Tehachapi city (3 records), Wasco city (2 records), Delano city (1 record), Taft city (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only (local data needed).
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)323 records, 2000 to 2026 (317 zone-level)29 kt (33 mph) to 96 kt (110 mph) (median 59 kt (68 mph)); 322 with a recorded value96 kt (110 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2022-04-11; NWS zone CAZ338 (MOJAVE DESERT SLOPE(S))High Wind, 2021-01-27, $250,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (1 record), Ridgecrest city (1 record), Tehachapi city (1 record). Zone-level records (317) apply countywide.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)57 records, 1960 to 202435 kt (40 mph) to 72 kt (83 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 48 with a recorded value72 kt (83 mph) measured gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2007-09-03Thunderstorm Wind, 2011-09-23, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Arvin city (2 records), Bakersfield city (2 records), Ridgecrest city (1 record), Tehachapi city (1 record).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)16 records, 1988 to 2019F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF0); 16 with a recorded valueF1 tornado, 1991-03-17, 0.1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 40 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1991 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (3 records), McFarland city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)34 records, 1997 to 2020 (7 zone-level)Wildfire, 2002-07-21, $3,780,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Bakersfield city (4 records), Tehachapi city (3 records), Taft city (1 record). Zone-level records (7) apply countywide.Acres burned: in event narratives only (local data needed).
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)73 records, 2019 to 2025 (73 zone-level)No damage reported in 73 records.Countywide (zone-level records).Snow depth: in event narratives only (local data needed).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records whose zone no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 40 declarations covering 36 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-07-272024-07-25FM-5522-CAFire managementBorel FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2023-11-212023-08-19DR-4750-CAMajor disasterTropical Storm HilaryHurricane (primary); also designated: Inland Flooding, Landslide$800,961.23new since last plan; within last 5 years
2023-04-032023-02-21DR-4699-CAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesIce Storm; Inland Flooding; Landslide; Strong Wind; Winter Weather$7,878,608.77new since last plan; within last 5 years
2023-03-102023-03-09EM-3592-CAEmergencySevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 yearssame incident as DR-4699
2021-08-252021-08-24FM-5416-CAFire managementFrench FireWildfireno Public Assistance recordednew since last plan
2020-03-222020-01-20DR-4482-CAMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$136,526,631.20
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3428-CAEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4482
2019-07-082019-07-04EM-3415-CAEmergencyEarthquakesEarthquakeno Public Assistance recorded
2017-03-162017-01-18DR-4305-CAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Winter Weather$4,007,510.62
2016-08-222016-08-16FM-5150-CAFire managementCedar FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2016-06-242016-06-23FM-5131-CAFire managementErskine FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2014-08-192014-08-18FM-5075-CAFire managementWay FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2011-09-112011-09-10FM-2971-CAFire managementComanche Fire ComplexWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2011-09-112011-09-10FM-2970-CAFire managementKeene Fire ComplexWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2011-09-052011-09-04FM-2961-CAFire managementCanyon FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2011-01-262010-12-17DR-1952-CAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and Debris and Mud FlowsInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Winter Weather$4,094,309.60
2010-09-152010-09-14FM-2858-CAFire managementCanyon FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2010-08-242010-08-24FM-2852-CAFire managementPost FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2010-07-282010-07-27FM-2850-CAFire managementWest FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2010-07-272010-07-26FM-2849-CAFire managementBull FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2008-06-282008-06-20EM-3287-CAEmergencyWildfiresWildfire$49,957.12
2007-03-132007-01-11DR-1689-CAMajor disasterSevere FreezeCold WavePA not declared for this county
2005-09-132005-08-29EM-3248-CAEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted$12,468.27
2005-04-142005-02-16DR-1585-CAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mud and Debris FlowsInland Flooding; Landslide$943,723.72
2005-02-042004-12-27DR-1577-CAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Debris Flows, and MudslidesInland Flooding; LandslidePA not declared for this county
2003-06-292003-06-29FM-2474-CAFire managementCa - Tejon Fire - 06-30-2003Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2003-06-282003-06-26FM-2473-CAFire managementCa - Sawmill Fire - 06-27-2003Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2002-07-222002-07-21FM-2450-CAFire managementDeer FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1999-02-091998-12-20DR-1267-CAMajor disasterCa-Citrus Crop Damage 2/2/99Cold WavePA not declared for this county
1998-02-091998-02-02DR-1203-CAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1995-03-121995-02-13DR-1046-CAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding Landslides, Mud FlowInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1995-01-101995-01-03DR-1044-CAMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, Mud FlowsInland Flooding; Landslide; Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1992-02-251992-02-10DR-935-CAMajor disasterRain/Snow/Wind Storms, Flooding, MudslidesInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslide, Strong Wind, Winter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1991-02-111990-12-19DR-894-CAMajor disasterSevere FreezeCold WavePA not declared for this county
1983-02-091983-01-21DR-677-CAMajor disasterCoastal Storms, Floods, Slides & TornadoesCoastal Flooding; Inland Flooding; Landslide; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1978-02-151978-02-15DR-547-CAMajor disasterCoastal Storms, Mudslides & FloodingCoastal Flooding (primary); also designated: Landslideno Public Assistance recorded
1977-01-201977-01-20EM-3023-CAEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded
1970-09-291970-09-29DR-295-CAMajor disasterForest & Brush FiresWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1969-01-261969-01-26DR-253-CAMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1967-01-021967-01-02DR-223-CAMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

School districts and special districts in this county: $1,875,341.64 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan participants in this county. They have no row of their own in the jurisdiction table, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county), so this line is not added to it.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1964-04-011964-04-01DR-169-CAMajor disasterSeismic Sea WaveTsunami
1963-12-211963-12-21DR-161-CAMajor disasterFlood Due to Broken DamOther, not an NRI hazard; not counted
1963-02-251963-02-25DR-145-CAMajor disasterSevere Storms, Heavy Rains & FloodingInland Flooding
1962-10-241962-10-24DR-138-CAMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Flooding
1962-03-061962-03-06DR-122-CAMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding
1961-11-161961-11-16DR-119-CAMajor disasterFire (Los Angeles County)Wildfire
1958-04-041958-04-04DR-82-CAMajor disasterHeavy Rainstorms & FloodInland Flooding
1956-12-291956-12-29DR-65-CAMajor disasterForest FireWildfire
1955-12-231955-12-23DR-47-CAMajor disasterFloodInland Flooding
1954-02-051954-02-05DR-15-CAMajor disasterFlood & ErosionInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

5 Fire Management declarations (1977-08-07 to 1988-09-13) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000201996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 2 federal declared incidents (see declarations table)
Cold Wave4028728301996 to 2026-06-30Includes 40 Frost/Freeze records.
Drought2924219101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000010Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail41202001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave70541034001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000111996 to 2026-06-30No Storm Events records of this type; 1 federal declared incident (see declarations table)
Ice Storm1010111996 to 2026-06-30
Inland Flooding45918321831321996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide51121121021996 to 2026-06-30
Lightning41101001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind38020758191211955 to 2026-06-30Includes 297 High Wind and 26 Strong Wind records.
Tornado16000101950 to 2026-06-30
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire340701721996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather7355555711996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2024-07-02Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2024 dollars)0, 0NWS zone CAZ308 (WEST SIDE MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 198), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2023-06-05Hail1.75 in$0 property; $0 crops (2023 dollars)0, 0CABLEnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2022-04-11High Wind96 kt (110 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2022 dollars)0, 0NWS zone CAZ338 (MOJAVE DESERT SLOPE(S)), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2021-03-01Drought$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone CAZ194 (SEQUOIA KINGS), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approvalB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2020-09-01Wildfiredamage not reported0, 15NWS zone CAZ194 (SEQUOIA KINGS), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approvaldeaths or injuries recorded
2020-08-15Wildfireproperty not reported; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2020 dollars)1, 0NWS zone CAZ179 (WEST SIDE HILLS), zone-levelin the 12 months before plan approvaldeaths or injuries recorded
2019-12-26Debris Flow$100,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)0, 0REEFER CITYB1-c worst recorded: Debris Flow
2015-07-18Lightning$0 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)1, 0GREENFIELDdeaths or injuries recorded
2011-01-02Flood$12,700,000 property; $0 crops (2011 dollars)0, 0BAKERSFIELD to WIBLE ORCHARDB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2007-09-03Thunderstorm Wind72 kt (83 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)0, 0MOJAVEB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
2002-07-21Wildfire$3,780,000 property; crops not reported (2002 dollars)0, 0BODFISHB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
1991-03-17TornadoF1, 0.1 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 40 yd wide$250,000 property; crops not recorded (1991 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (1,235 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Coastal Floodingevents per year at a location (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Cold Wave0.000137event-days per yearabout 0.000137 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)0.002592005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo Storm Events cold wave record, 1996 to 2025.
Drought96.7event-days per yearabout 96.7 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 5 of 30 years)event-days in 5 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (16.7%)3,8572000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.0816annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 8.16%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail0.0953events per yearabout 1 in 10 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)3.6 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave7.49event-days per yearabout 7.49 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 7 of 30 years)event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)72.62005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricaneevents per year1851 to 2024 (Atlantic); 1949 to 2024 (Pacific)see B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Ice Stormevent-days per yearPossible1946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNot Applicable in NRI for this county; the descriptor comes from Storm Events, not NRI: event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025.
Inland Flooding5.64event-days per yearabout 5.64 days per yearHighly likely (from Storm Events: 29 of 30 years)event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%)1581996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide129events per year (modeled)about 129 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning8.04days per year with a strikeabout 8.04 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.0593events per yearabout 1 in 17 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)31986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.37events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Volcanic Activity0.0002annual probabilityabout 1 in 5,000 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.00554annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.554%Likely (from Storm Events: 8 of 30 years)Storm Events records in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI.
Winter Weather5.43event-days per yearabout 5.43 days per yearLikely (from Storm Events: 7 of 30 years)event-days in 7 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (23.3%)1032005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202516300.533
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202529300.967
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20255300.167
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202519300.633
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202510300.333
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche19 of 23628.932.635.9Very Low 19, Not Applicable 217
Coastal Flooding0 of 236Not Applicable 236
Cold Wave3 of 23615.516.320.3Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2, No Rating 233
Drought128 of 23666.874.999.1Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 7, Relatively Low 37, Very Low 80, No Rating 108
Earthquake236 of 2366.887.399.9Very High 12, Relatively High 84, Relatively Moderate 134, Relatively Low 5, Very Low 1
Hail236 of 2362.417.492.3Relatively High 1, Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 10, Very Low 222
Heat Wave236 of 23640.589.4100.0Very High 5, Relatively High 172, Relatively Moderate 57, Relatively Low 2
Hurricane0 of 236Not Applicable 236
Ice Storm0 of 236Not Applicable 236
Inland Flooding236 of 2360.341.299.9Very High 12, Relatively High 27, Relatively Moderate 60, Relatively Low 92, Very Low 45
Landslide73 of 2368.940.899.8Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 7, Very Low 52, No Rating 163
Lightning236 of 2363.220.747.0Relatively Low 128, Very Low 108
Strong Wind236 of 2362.712.640.7Relatively Low 21, Very Low 215
Tornado236 of 2360.32.120.1Very Low 236
Volcanic Activity20 of 23640.870.577.6Very Low 20, No Rating 216
Wildfire148 of 23618.675.299.9Very High 13, Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 17, Relatively Low 51, Very Low 57, No Rating 88
Winter Weather51 of 23610.732.892.2Relatively High 14, Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 29, Very Low 3, No Rating 185

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Hail: Agriculture is 69% of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Kern CountyCountyExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$8,019,720.620 total; 0 since its planIncludes $12,468.27 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3248-CA).
Arvin cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$66,659.736 total; 2 since its plan
Bakersfield cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$1,773,327.6935 total; 1 since its plan
California City cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$375,355.150 total; 0 since its planIncludes $30,041.91 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4482-CA).
Delano cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$43,964.367 total; 3 since its plan
Maricopa cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded7 total; 0 since its plan
McFarland cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$129,084.391 total; 0 since its plan
Ridgecrest cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$345,415.5515 total; 2 since its plan
Shafter cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$61,469.200 total; 0 since its plan
Taft cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded8 total; 0 since its plan
Tehachapi cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$77,018.7122 total; 2 since its plan
Wasco cityCityExpired on 2026-04-08FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$97,774.413 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2021-04-09county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$14,034,672n/aunder 1$15n/a$3210.000105%
Coastal FloodingNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Cold Wave$43,054,909$0191$20$0$4,835under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$4,168,612,065n/an/a$1,992,269n/a0.0478% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$291,461,956,143n/a909,235$139,491,856n/a$44,526,8770.0479%
Hail$164,722,667,864$5,249,207,546908,530$5,145$285,456$123,636under 0.0001%$0
Heat Wave$164,722,667,864$5,249,207,546908,530$26,877$7,626,194$34,892,603under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$800,961.23Not Applicable in NRI for this county
Ice Storm$7,878,608.77Not Applicable in NRI for this county
Inland Flooding$164,716,228,241$1,428,327,51147,084$142,035,075$4,945,716$234,491n/a (see note)$6,000$8,679,570NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$2,083,446,177n/a7,455$8,714n/a$748,9210.000418%$0$8,679,570
Lightning$164,722,667,864n/a908,530$26,605n/a$733,929under 0.0001%$0
Strong Wind$164,722,667,864$5,249,207,546908,530$141,825$12,528$244,723under 0.0001%$7,000$209,000$7,878,608.77Storm Events damage since the plan includes 3 zone-level High Wind records ($36,000) and 12 zone-level Strong Wind records ($173,000): NOAA non-thunderstorm wind types, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition.
Tornado$164,722,667,864$5,249,207,546908,530$132,791$2,218$50,543under 0.0001%
Volcanic Activity$164,722,667,864n/a908,530under $1n/a$25under 0.0001%
Wildfire$10,591,461,006$1,647,510,59273,891$36,748,316$22,662$1,712,0600.347%no Public Assistance recorded (2 declarations)
Winter Weather$37,374,519,672$2,293,624,688167,970$1,750under $1$188,448under 0.0001%$0$7,878,608.77

Totals since 2021-04-09 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 203 county-coded records, 203 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $13,000; 363 zone-level records, 357 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $209,000 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: $8,679,570 on 5 counted declarations, 2 of them with Public Assistance.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population908,530
Building value (total, not at risk)$164,722,667,864
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$5,249,207,546
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively High
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$333,506,032
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$83,461,412
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)0
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition3Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total0030300
of which: Kern County (unincorporated area)0020200
of which: Bakersfield city0010100
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0130410

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Kern County0600750020200
Arvin city0600760000000
Bakersfield city0600770010100
California City city0604400000000
Delano city0600780000000
Maricopa city0600790000000
McFarland city0600800000000
Ridgecrest city0600810000000
Shafter city0600820000000
Taft city0650630000000
Tehachapi city0600840000000
Wasco city0600850000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential0030300
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0000000
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 3 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment, organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B. Each section heading names the item its tables support; the plan and FEMA's review decide whether the item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Kern County, CA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 06029). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ca/06029/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-30; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. Automated baseline.