Hazard Plain Preview: automated baseline

Maricopa County, AZ

Risk-assessment baseline packet

Unit
County area 04013
Release
2026-10
As of
2026-09-28
Storm Events data through
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

A starting point for the plan's risk assessment (FEMA Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B). It does not replace local data or FEMA review. Section headings say which FEMA review item each table supports; whether an item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-28. Independent product; not a FEMA document.

Plan clock

Status
Approved, expires 2027-05-10
Plan
Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)
Approved
2022-05-11
Expires
2027-05-10
As of
2026-09-28
Days
224 days to expiry
Update underway
none in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-05-11)

New federal declarations
FM-5466-AZ, FM-5496-AZ, FM-5501-AZ (3 declaration rows; 3 counted incidents)
Storm Events records since approval
759 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 2, SRL 7 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 104
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county: 26 rows, in the section "Plan clock: Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county" after these cover pages.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Plan clock

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Maricopa CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Avondale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Buckeye cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Carefree townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Cave Creek townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Chandler cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
El Mirage cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Fountain Hills townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Gila Bend townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Gilbert townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Glendale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Goodyear cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Guadalupe townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Litchfield Park cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Mesa cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Paradise Valley townTownPlan 107585 approved 2022-05-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleMaricopa County (FEMA plan 107585), pending adoption here2022-05-11 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-05-10 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Peoria cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Phoenix cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Queen Creek townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Scottsdale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Surprise cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Tempe cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Tolleson cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Wickenburg townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Youngtown townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10Maricopa County (FEMA plan 107585)2022-05-112027-05-10224
Salt River ProjectWater/Sewer AuthorityPlan 107585 approved 2022-05-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleMaricopa County (FEMA plan 107585), pending adoption here2022-05-11 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-05-10 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Plan 107585 also covers 2 other participants not listed on this page: Fort McDowell Yavapai Nation, Arizona; Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community of the Salt River Reservation, Arizona.

Source

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B1-a: hazards

Hazards NRI does not cover: check locally

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records since 1996countEvidence for an omissionNRI Not Applicable, no declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996Storm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingVery HighVery High$1,106,425,058$103,835$12,972,641$1,119,501,534661
2Heat WaveVery HighVery High$38,177$956,137$956,992,469$957,986,784387
3WildfireRelatively HighRelatively High$40,323,983$3,844$1,860,626$42,188,4536
4EarthquakeRelatively ModerateRelatively High$22,473,406$8,250,984$30,724,390Not in Storm Events. Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
5HailVery HighVery High$24,144,474$221$28,913$24,173,608177
6Strong WindVery HighVery High$5,022,130$874$3,783,656$8,806,6601,220Includes 6 High Wind records and 11 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
7TornadoRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$2,568,299$10,057$2,789,359$5,367,71517
8DroughtRelatively HighRelatively High$4,593,446$4,593,4460No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
9LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$175,130$1,957,143$2,132,27262
10Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$14,167under $1$32,844$47,0115
11LandslideRelatively LowRelatively Low$27,122$1,001$28,1240No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
12HurricaneVery LowVery Low$7,010$4,760under $1$11,7700No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13AvalancheVery LowVery Low$1$142$1440No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14Cold WaveNo RatingNo Expected Annual Losses$0$0$0$00No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Coastal FloodingNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates coastal flooding Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
Ice StormNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates ice storm Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
TsunamiNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates tsunami Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.
Volcanic ActivityNot ApplicableNot Applicable0NRI rates volcanic activity Not Applicable for this county, and no federal declaration for this county names it.No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30). Storm Events coverage of this hazard is limited; absence is not evidence of low risk.

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b: location

Where each hazard occurs

HazardLocationCensus tracts ratedrated of all tracts
AvalancheCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.3 of 1,009
Coastal FloodingCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 1,009
Cold WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.0 of 1,009
DroughtAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.438 of 1,009
EarthquakeCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.1,008 of 1,009
HailAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.1,009 of 1,009
Heat WaveAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.1,009 of 1,009
HurricaneCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.1,009 of 1,009
Ice StormAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.0 of 1,009
Inland FloodingThe FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.1,008 of 1,009
LandslideCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.263 of 1,009
LightningAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.1,009 of 1,009
Strong WindAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.1,009 of 1,009
TornadoCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.1,009 of 1,009
TsunamiCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 1,009
Volcanic ActivityCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.0 of 1,009
WildfireCensus tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.748 of 1,009
Winter WeatherAffects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.1,009 of 1,009

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B1-c: extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

HazardScaleRecordscount, yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to membersNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Coastal Flood, Storm Surge/Tidenone in data (FIRM for depth)0Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map.
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill0Wind chill: in event narratives only; local data required.
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI Cold Wave definition)crop damage0Temperature: in event narratives only; local data required.
DroughtUS Drought Monitor D-scale0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hailhail size (inches)227, 1960 to 20250.25 in to 3 in (median 1 in); 226 with a recorded value3 in hail, 2010-10-05Event records naming member places: Phoenix city (21 records), Mesa city (15 records), Glendale city (8 records), Tempe city (6 records), Carefree town (5 records), Cave Creek town (5 records), Wickenburg town (5 records), Fountain Hills town (4 records), Scottsdale city (4 records), Chandler city (3 records); and 3 more member places (see the XLSX file).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (narratives)387, 2018 to 2025 (387 zone-level)1 day to 29 days (median 3 days); 104 with a recorded value29 consecutive days, 2023-07-01 to 2023-07-29, 122 direct deaths, zone-levelZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Heat index: in event narratives only; local data required.
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's event type and category, so a Hurricane (Typhoon) record, especially an inland or remnant one, does not by itself mean hurricane-force winds here; read the damage and wind columns.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz (local data)0Ice thickness: in event narratives only; local data required.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (FIRM for depth)661, 1996 to 2025Flash Flood, 2021-08-14, $25,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars), 2 direct deathsEvent records naming member places: Cave Creek town (33 records), Wickenburg town (29 records), Scottsdale city (23 records), Phoenix city (16 records), Carefree town (14 records), Gila Bend town (14 records), Mesa city (12 records), Avondale city (8 records), Fountain Hills town (8 records), Gilbert town (5 records); and 12 more member places (see the XLSX file).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage can be $0 or blank even for a major flood, so the worst record here may not be the worst flood; compare FEMA Public Assistance by declaration in B1-d.
Debris Flownone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)62, 1996 to 2025Lightning, 1998-12-15, damage not reported, 1 direct death, 3 direct injuriesLightning, 2005-07-31, $500,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars)Event records naming member places: Mesa city (12 records), Avondale city (3 records), Gilbert town (3 records), Phoenix city (3 records), Scottsdale city (2 records), Tolleson city (2 records), Buckeye city (1 record), Carefree town (1 record), Chandler city (1 record), El Mirage city (1 record); and 7 more member places (see the XLSX file).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties; physical measure in event narratives only; local data required.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)17, 2018 to 2025 (17 zone-level)30 kt (35 mph) to 58 kt (67 mph) (median 43 kt (49 mph)); 17 with a recorded value58 kt (67 mph) measured gust, High Wind, 2022-10-03; NWS zone AZZ547 (RIO VERDE/SALT RIVER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesHigh Wind, 2022-10-03, $10,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2022 dollars)Zone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)1,520, 1955 to 202535 kt (40 mph) to 100 kt (115 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 1,315 with a recorded value100 kt (115 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1996-08-14Thunderstorm Wind, 2006-07-25, $150,000,000 property; crops not reported (2006 dollars)Event records naming member places: Phoenix city (93 records), Mesa city (83 records), Scottsdale city (38 records), Tempe city (33 records), Glendale city (32 records), Chandler city (22 records), Buckeye city (21 records), Fountain Hills town (17 records), Gila Bend town (17 records), Gilbert town (16 records); and 13 more member places (see the XLSX file).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (F before Feb 2007)73, 1955 to 2025F/EF0 to F/EF3 (median F/EF0); 64 with a recorded valueF3 tornado, 1957-08-04, 12 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 33 yd wide, $2,500 property; crops not recorded (1957 dollars)Tornado, 1972-06-21, $25,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1972 dollars)Event records naming member places: Phoenix city (5 records), Carefree town (1 record), Gila Bend town (1 record), Mesa city (1 record), Queen Creek town (1 record), Scottsdale city (1 record).From 1996 on, tornado records are per-county segments and length is the path length within this county (NWS Instruction 10-1605); records before 1996 may give the whole path length, including the path outside this county, and before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with the whole path's rating; counties farther along the path may not list it. Length is not used to rank tornadoes.
Tsunaminone (count and damage)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0Physical measure: in event narratives only; local data required.
Wildfireacres burned (local data)6, 2020 to 2026 (6 zone-level)Wildfire, 2021-06-04, $8,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars); NWS zone AZZ558 (PINAL/SUPERSTITION MOUNTAINS), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Acres burned: in event narratives only; local data required.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall local)5, 2019 to 2023 (5 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 2019-02-21, $50,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2019 dollars); NWS zone AZZ541 (CAVE CREEK/NEW RIVER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesZone-level records: applies countywide; national data do not locate these events within the county.Snow depth: in event narratives only; local data required.

Where a hazard names more than 10 member places, the table lists the 10 with the most records; every place is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-c Extent".

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Supports B1-d: previous occurrences

Declaration rows
26
Counted incidents
22

Federal disaster declarations for this county

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-06-282024-06-28FM-5501-AZFire managementBOULDER VIEW FIREWildfirenone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2024-06-122024-06-12FM-5496-AZFire managementROSE FIREWildfirenone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2023-06-282023-06-27FM-5466-AZFire managementDIAMOND FIREWildfirenone foundnew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-06-272020-06-27FM-5315-AZFire managementAVONDALE FIREWildfirenone found
2020-06-232020-06-23FM-5314-AZFire managementAQUILA FIREWildfirenone found
2020-06-202020-06-20FM-5313-AZFire managementBUSH FIREWildfirenone found
2020-05-302020-05-30FM-5311-AZFire managementOCOTILLO FIREWildfirenone found
2020-05-182020-05-17FM-5310-AZFire managementEAST DESERT FIREWildfirenone found
2020-04-042020-01-20DR-4524-AZMajor disasterCOVID-19 PANDEMICNon-natural, not counted$318,375,608.28
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3442-AZEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countednone foundsame incident as DR-4524
2014-11-052014-09-07DR-4203-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding$4,574,898.15
2005-09-122005-08-29EM-3241-AZEmergencyHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not counted$586,994.11
2005-07-222005-07-21FM-2570-AZFire managementAZ-WILDFIRE (EDGE COMPLEX) 07-22-2005Wildfirenone found
2005-06-222005-06-21FM-2561-AZFire managementCAVE CREEK FIRE COMPLEXWildfirenone found
2005-06-082005-06-08FM-2559-AZFire managementAZ-BOBBY FIRE-06-08-2005Wildfirenone found
2005-04-142005-02-10DR-1586-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding: designated for Hazard Mitigation only (no Public or Individual Assistance for this county); not countedPA not declared for this county
2000-10-272000-10-21DR-1347-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGInland Flooding$1,392,038.51
1999-10-151999-09-14DR-1304-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, HIGH WINDSInland Flooding; Strong WindPA not declared for this county
1993-01-191993-01-05DR-977-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODINGInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornadonone found
1990-12-061990-07-08DR-884-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1980-02-191980-02-19DR-614-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1978-12-211978-12-21DR-570-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1978-03-041978-03-04DR-551-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1972-07-031972-07-03DR-343-AZMajor disasterSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGInland Floodingnone found
1970-09-221970-09-22DR-294-AZMajor disasterHEAVY RAINS & FLASHInland Floodingnone found
1966-04-301966-04-30DR-217-AZMajor disasterFLOODINGInland Floodingnone found

School districts and special districts in this county: $3,262,409.60 (included in the county total above). Public Assistance matched by applicant name to the school districts and special districts FEMA lists as plan members in this county. They are not shown as member blocks, so their total is listed here. These dollars are already included in the county PA column of the declarations table (the FEMA record places each applicant in this county); do not add this line to the county total.

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Public Assistance filed under this county for declarations that do not list it: 3 rows, $224,001.59

FEMA numberDeclaredTitleApplicantPA obligatedfederal share obligated, nominal dollars
DR-1888-AZ2010-03-18SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODINGSalt River Project$30,723.15
DR-1660-AZ2006-09-07SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGGREEN RESERVOIR FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT$0
DR-1581-AZ2005-02-17SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGArizona State Parks Board$193,278.44

FEMA's Public Assistance summaries file these applicants under this county, but FEMA's declaration rows for these disasters do not designate it (an electric cooperative or district serving several counties, for example). Not in any declaration row above and not counted.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

HazardStorm Events recordsfull periodSince plan approvalrecordsDuring plan reviewrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidentsdistinct incidentsDeclared since approvaldistinct incidentsPeriodStatement
Avalanche0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Coastal Flooding0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Drought0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Earthquake000000No Storm Events record; local data required (e.g., USGS).
Hail227471962001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave38715057150001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding661219992211101996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning629410001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind1,53732788332101955 to 2026-06-30Includes 6 High Wind records and 11 Strong Wind records, event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado73303101950 to 2026-06-30
Tsunami0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Volcanic Activity0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire62121131996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather5202001996 to 2026-06-30

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

Notable Storm Events records

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDirect deaths, injuriesindirect not countedLocationFlagsWhy listed
2023-07-11Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2023 dollars)94, 0NWS zone AZZ543 (CENTRAL PHOENIX), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2023-07-01Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2023 dollars)5, 0NWS zone AZZ543 (CENTRAL PHOENIX), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2022-10-03High Wind58 kt (67 mph) measured gust$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2022 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AZZ547 (RIO VERDE/SALT RIVER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI Strong Wind definition)
2021-08-14Flash Flood$25,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars)2, 0(GBN)GILA BEND MUNIduring plan review, check whether your last plan included itB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2021-06-04Wildfire$8,000,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AZZ558 (PINAL/SUPERSTITION MOUNTAINS), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesduring plan review, check whether your last plan included itB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2020-08-12Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2020 dollars)43, 0NWS zone AZZ543 (CENTRAL PHOENIX), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesdeaths or injuries recorded
2020-07-10Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2020 dollars)32, 0NWS zone AZZ543 (CENTRAL PHOENIX), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesdeaths or injuries recorded
2019-02-21Heavy Snow$50,000 property; $0 crops, reported for the zone (2019 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AZZ541 (CAVE CREEK/NEW RIVER), zone-level: may include parts of neighboring countiesB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2010-10-05Hail3 in$1,800,000,000 property; crops not reported (2010 dollars)0, 1WEST CHANDLER to GLENDALE MUNI ARPTB1-c worst recorded: Hail
1998-12-15Lightningdamage not reported1, 3PARADISE VLYB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1996-08-14Thunderstorm Wind100 kt (115 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not reported0, 0PHOENIX DEER VLY ARPB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1957-08-04TornadoF3, 12 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 33 yd wide$2,500 property; crops not recorded (1957 dollars)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado

The full list is in the XLSX file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (2,958 rows).

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records are placed with NWS zone-county files, which exist from 2020 on; an earlier record is placed by its zone number in the nearest later file only when its zone name matches that file, records from zones NWS renumbered are placed by name or left out, and a record whose zone is in no known file is left out of every count, so counts before 2020 can be low. Some current zones are also missing from the NWS files, so recent counts can be low too.

Sources

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

15 Fire Management declarations (1990-06-27 to 1996-06-24) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

State-declared emergencies are not in federal data. Add them from your state emergency management agency.

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports B1-e: probability

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Coastal Floodingevents per year at a location (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Cold Wave0event-days per yearnone modeledevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)02005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNo recorded event-days, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned. Frost/Freeze records are not counted in this descriptor: they record crop freezes, not cold waves.
Drought62.5event-days per yearabout 62.5 days per yearevent-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)2,9052000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo recorded event-days, 1996 to 2025; descriptor not assigned
Earthquake0.0107annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 1.08%not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor not assigned: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county, and Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
Hail0.28events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)10.6 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave19.8event-days per yearabout 19.8 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)1542005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywideNRI gives about 19.8 heat wave event-days a year here (its annualized frequency over 19 years; not its event count divided by the years), but Storm Events has a record in only 8 of 30 years. NRI counts from a different source that records far more events than Storm Events, so this descriptor reads much lower than NRI's frequency; read the two together.
Hurricane0.0115events per yearabout 1 in 87 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)31851 to 2024 (Atlantic); 1949 to 2024 (Pacific)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are counted separately in B1-d and need not match.
Ice Stormevent-days per year1946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Inland Flooding8.46event-days per yearabout 8.46 days per yearHighly likelyevent-days in 28 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (93.3%)2371996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide2.11events per year (modeled)about 2.11 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning32.3days per year with a strikeabout 32.3 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.4events per yearabout 1.4 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)541986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.571events per yearabout 0.57 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Tsunamiannual probability at the most exposed location (used in place of a county value)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Volcanic Activityannual probabilitynot shownmodeledsee B1-fNot Applicable in NRI for this county; no descriptor.
Wildfire0.00187annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.187%LikelyStorm Events records in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fDescriptor from Storm Events, not NRI: the NRI value is the chance at a location in the county, not how often the hazard affects the county.
Winter Weather0.567event-days per yearabout 0.567 days per yearLikelyevent-days in 3 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (10%)10.82005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) comes from the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). It is not recorded events divided by years, and what it measures depends on the hazard. For most hazards it estimates how often the hazard affects this county each year: it counts events or event-days (drought, heat wave, cold wave, winter weather, ice storm and inland flooding are in days per year; lightning is the number of days per year with a recorded cloud-to-ground strike, from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center daily lightning climatology); it may count events in the surrounding area (hail, strong wind, tornado, hurricane and ice storm use a 49 km grid and buffers) and is averaged over the county's area; and some hazards use a minimum value for places with no recorded event. Earthquake, wildfire and coastal flooding are different: FEMA computes them for each census block and averages them over the county, so the value is the chance (for coastal flooding, the modeled number of floods per year) at a location in the county, which is lower than the chance that the hazard strikes somewhere in the county. Earthquake is the chance of at least minor-damage shaking (U.S. Geological Survey model); wildfire is the chance that a location burns in a large fire (U.S. Forest Service burn probability); coastal flooding comes from FEMA flood zones and NOAA high-tide flooding, so it can be above 1 where high-tide flooding is frequent. Tsunami is the value at the county's most exposed location, from recorded events and modeled return periods. For these four hazards the packet gives no "1 in N years" and takes the descriptor from Storm Events (none for earthquake) unless the value is 1 or more a year. Landslide is a U.S. Geological Survey modeled county rate spread by slope susceptibility. Volcanic activity is the chance that a volcano affecting the county erupts in a year. Drought counts only extreme and exceptional drought (D3 and D4). Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20, sections 5.2.2 (Table 5), 5.2.3, 7.4, 10.4, 16.5, 17.1, 17.3.1, 17.5, 20.3.1, 21.4, 22.4 and 6 to 23.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202593303.1
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20253300.1
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)50-64 kt1996 to 20259673032.2
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)65 kt+1996 to 2025155305.17
Strong Wind (Thunderstorm Wind records)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202581302.7
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202515300.5
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20252300.0667

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Source

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions.

Supports B1-f: variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk within the county

HazardTractsrated of allRisk score minNRI score, 0 to 100MedianMaxTracts by ratingNote
Avalanche3 of 1,00918.121.421.8Very Low 3, Not Applicable 1006
Coastal Flooding0 of 1,009Not Applicable 1009
Cold Wave0 of 1,009No Rating 1009National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Drought438 of 1,00966.975.099.4Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 14, Relatively Low 120, Very Low 300, No Rating 571National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range above mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is, not where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Earthquake1,008 of 1,0090.743.083.8Relatively Moderate 11, Relatively Low 525, Very Low 472, No Rating 1
Hail1,009 of 1,0090.268.396.6Relatively High 16, Relatively Moderate 443, Relatively Low 541, Very Low 9National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Heat Wave1,009 of 1,0091.498.7100.0Very High 922, Relatively High 69, Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 2, Very Low 15National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Hurricane1,009 of 1,0099.311.842.1Very Low 1009
Ice Storm0 of 1,009Not Applicable 1009National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Inland Flooding1,008 of 1,0090.269.2100.0Very High 87, Relatively High 288, Relatively Moderate 352, Relatively Low 235, Very Low 46, No Rating 1
Landslide263 of 1,0098.613.198.9Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 8, Very Low 254, No Rating 746
Lightning1,009 of 1,0090.112.834.6Relatively Low 100, Very Low 909National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Strong Wind1,009 of 1,0090.231.381.0Relatively Moderate 23, Relatively Low 916, Very Low 70National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.
Tornado1,009 of 1,0090.311.936.7Relatively Low 6, Very Low 1003
Tsunami0 of 1,009Not Applicable 1009
Volcanic Activity0 of 1,009Not Applicable 1009
Wildfire748 of 1,00918.663.199.9Very High 3, Relatively High 48, Relatively Moderate 107, Relatively Low 178, Very Low 412, No Rating 261
Winter Weather1,009 of 1,00910.514.549.3Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 4, Very Low 1004National data give a county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone) frequency for this hazard, so they cannot show members' hazard differing. The tract range above mostly reflects where buildings and people are. Confirm locally.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Per-member block (Starter, confirm locally)

MemberTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance matchedfederal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since the member's planNotes
Maricopa CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 1, SRL 0; any 18$16,640.650; 0Includes $16,640.65 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ, EM-3241-AZ).
Avondale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$80,155.6613; 8Includes $80,155.66 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Buckeye cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 6$11,520.2725; 2Includes $11,520.27 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Carefree townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$78,114.5636; 6
Cave Creek townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$36,827.7448; 13
Chandler cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$270,925.5128; 1Includes $107,891.70 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
El Mirage cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$26,601.967; 1Includes $26,601.96 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Fountain Hills townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0none found30; 6
Gila Bend townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$55,452.1832; 7Includes $55,452.18 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Gilbert townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$824,265.9524; 8Includes $816,631.23 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Glendale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$155,998.8144; 9Includes $11,854.51 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ, EM-3241-AZ).
Goodyear cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 1$509,003.679; 2Includes $223,300.82 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Guadalupe townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$6,244.5411; 4Includes $6,244.54 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Litchfield Park cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$8,558.9210; 2Includes $8,558.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Mesa cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$1,106,303.16123; 16Includes $684,751.35 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ, EM-3241-AZ).
Paradise Valley townTownPlan 107585 approved 2022-05-11, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$227,121.590; no approved planIncludes $37,767.59 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Peoria cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1$17,084.458; 0Includes $17,084.45 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3241-AZ).
Phoenix cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 1, SRL 5; any 57$1,472,401.33138; 13Includes $258,743.38 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (EM-3241-AZ).
Queen Creek townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$366,711.9619; 2Includes $352,758.92 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Scottsdale cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 5$501,148.2068; 14Includes $501,148.20 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Surprise cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$398,469.352; 0Includes $102,175.69 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Tempe cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 1; any 2$1,187,556.4942; 8Includes $885,824.13 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Tolleson cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$126,069.1715; 2Includes $92,111.49 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Wickenburg townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 4$38,026.2249; 4
Youngtown townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-10FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0none found9; 2

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

Sources

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

Supports B2-a and B2-b: assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per participant per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearEAL population equivalencestatistical value of life and injury, $13.7M per life, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2022-05-11county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$2,030,827under 1$1$142under 0.0001%
Coastal FloodingNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Cold Wave$0$00$0$0$0building exposure is 0 in NRI
Drought$493,004,902$4,593,4460.932% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$1,457,569,274,6444,420,568$22,473,406$8,250,9840.00154%
Hail$854,730,526,869$1,556,808,4614,418,836$24,144,474$221$28,9130.00282%$33,000
Heat Wave$854,730,526,869$1,556,808,4614,418,836$38,177$956,137$956,992,469under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$854,730,526,869$1,556,808,4614,418,836$7,010$4,760under $1under 0.0001%
Ice StormNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Inland Flooding$854,653,105,548$714,061,52364,117$1,106,425,058$103,835$12,972,641n/a (see note)$1,883,000NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b. EAL as % of exposure: n/a.
Landslide$4,374,218,22312,339$27,122$1,0010.00062%
Lightning$854,730,526,8694,418,836$175,130$1,957,143under 0.0001%$201,000
Strong Wind$854,730,526,869$1,556,808,4614,418,836$5,022,130$874$3,783,6560.000588%$19,742,400$23,500Storm Events damage since the plan includes 4 zone-level High Wind records ($16,000) and 7 zone-level Strong Wind records ($7,500), event types the NRI definition of this hazard leaves out.
Tornado$854,730,526,869$1,556,808,4614,418,836$2,568,299$10,057$2,789,3590.0003%$50,000
TsunamiNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Volcanic ActivityNot Applicable in NRI for this county
Wildfire$71,664,197,297$546,530,389431,475$40,323,983$3,844$1,860,6260.0563%$5,000,000none found (3 declarations)
Winter Weather$852,846,959,097$1,020,760,6444,416,316$14,167under $1$32,844under 0.0001%$0

Totals since 2022-05-11 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 594 county-coded records, 577 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $21,909,400; 165 zone-level records, 165 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $5,023,500 reported for the zone; Public Assistance on counted declarations none found (3 declarations, 0 with PA).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column must not be added up; the unit total counts each declaration once.

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Sources

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/

NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty

FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)

FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)

Supports B2-a: context

County context

MeasureValue
Population4,418,836
Building value (total, not at risk)$854,730,526,869
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$1,556,808,461
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Very High
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$1,206,892,131
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$988,669,779
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Low
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss total adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; the two parts are shown separately so the property figure is not read as including the statistical value of life.

Source

FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)

Supports B2-c: repetitive loss

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)7
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition101Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition4

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total271014104324
MARICOPA COUNTY*101801802
AVONDALE, CITY OF0010100
BUCKEYE, CITY OF0060600
GLENDALE, CITY OF0010100
GOODYEAR, CITY OF0111100
MESA, CITY OF0040401
PARADISE VALLEY, TOWN OF0040402
PEORIA, CITY OF0010100
PHOENIX, CITY OF1554257314
TEMPE, CITY OF0121200
WICKENBURG, TOWN OF0040400
SCOTTSDALE, CITY OF0050505
State level, not in this county: county not reported0100110

Repeat-flood properties by plan member (NFIP community)

MemberNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredpropertiesNote
Maricopa County040037101801802
Avondale city0400380010100
Buckeye city0400390060600
Carefree town0401260000000
Cave Creek town0401290000000
Chandler city0400400000000
El Mirage city0400410000000
Fountain Hills town0401350000000
Gila Bend town0400430000000
Gilbert town0400440000000
Glendale city0400450010100
Goodyear city0400460111100
Guadalupe town0401110000000
Litchfield Park city0401280000000
Mesa city0400480040401
Paradise Valley town0400490040402
Peoria city0400500010100
Phoenix city0400511554257314
Queen Creek town0401320000000
Scottsdale city0450120050505
Surprise city0400530000000
Tempe city0400540121200
Tolleson city0400550000000
Wickenburg town0400560040400
Youngtown town0400570000000

Per-member types: XLSX sheet 'B2-c Members'.

Member rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each member row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential1581284319
2 to 4 unit residential1030300
other residential0030302
non-residential021421403
not reported0000000

Institutional properties cannot be separated in this data: FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class, so they fall in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites; OpenFEMA's fmaRl field description omits the Increased Cost of Compliance clause of 44 CFR 77.2(i). NFIP repetitive loss (FEMA insurance definition, nfipRl) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years and can drop to false when a property is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured.

Your state NFIP coordinator's list may use the NFIP insurance definition, so its counts can be higher.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (as of 2026-08-02). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

Counts may differ from your state NFIP coordinator's list, which is the source the Handbook names.

In this county 0 properties are FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 99 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Every table above lists its own sources. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-26T121003Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-27T010817Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-26T151157Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-28, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-28, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Maricopa County, AZ: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 04013). Preview: automated baseline. Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: to be added

Hazard Plain release 2026-10. As of 2026-09-28; Storm Events data through 2026-06-30. File hazard-plain_2026-10_AZ_04013. Preview: automated baseline.