Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Gila County, AZ

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
04007
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: No approved plan on record.

Update: FEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions.

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($35,246,025 a year), Wildfire ($16,516,938) and Heat Wave ($1,503,277).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
No approved plan on record
Plan:
none
Approved:
none
Expires:
none
Update underway:
FEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions

FEMA's plan status data lists no approved plan for this jurisdiction.

What changed since your last plan

Not available. No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underway
Gila CountyCountyNo approved plan on recordnonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions
Globe cityCityNo approved plan on recordnonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions
Hayden townTownNo approved plan on recordnonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions
Miami townTownNo approved plan on recordnonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions
Payson townTownNo approved plan on recordnonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions
Star Valley townTownExpired on 2014-12-29Star Valley, Town of (FEMA plan 80167)2009-12-292014-12-29-4,293FEMA tracker shows a plan awaiting revisions

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$21,651,337$120$13,594,567$35,246,025254
2WildfireRelatively HighRelatively High$15,831,648$203$685,086$16,516,93826
3Heat WaveRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$194$974$1,502,110$1,503,27740
4LightningRelatively HighRelatively High$8,937n/a$1,050,466$1,059,4039
5Strong WindRelatively LowRelatively Low$66,060$355$211,861$278,27682Includes 7 High Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6EarthquakeVery LowVery Low$239,966n/a$38,102$278,068Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
7Winter WeatherRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$1,539under $1$189,954$191,49462
8HailVery LowVery Low$64,705$2,254$7,309$74,26865
9TornadoVery LowVery Low$48,066$83$24,552$72,7013
10LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$4,350n/a$3,676$8,0274
11DroughtVery LowVery Lown/a$7,412n/a$7,4120No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
12AvalancheVery LowVery Low$4n/a$797$8010No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13HurricaneVery LowVery Low$546$36under $1$5820No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
14Cold WaveVery LowVery Low$1under $1$32$341
15Volcanic ActivityVery LowVery Lowunder $1n/aunder $1under $10No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local volcanic activity records (Storm Events records this hazard only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: coastal flooding, ice storm and tsunami. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Avalanchetract 6 (Very Low, 50.1); tract 9402 (Very Low, 50.0); tract 8 (Very Low, 49.6)
Earthquaketract 11 (Relatively Low, 60.2); tract 3.01 (Relatively Low, 59.8); tract 4 (Relatively Low, 53.6)
Hurricanetract 5 (Very Low, 18.9); tract 6 (Very Low, 18.4); tract 1 (Very Low, 18.3)
Landslidetract 10 (Relatively Moderate, 96.3); tract 9404 (Relatively Low, 94.0); tract 7 (Relatively Low, 92.3)
Tornadotract 5 (Relatively Low, 29.9); tract 3.01 (Very Low, 28.3); tract 1 (Very Low, 26.3)
Volcanic Activitytract 1 (Very Low, 40.1)
Wildfiretract 2 (Very High, 99.8); tract 1 (Very High, 99.8); tract 6 (Very High, 99.5)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 6 is Census Tract 6). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Avalanchenone (count and damage only)0
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill1 record, 2011 (1 zone-level)2 days; 1 with a recorded value2 consecutive days, 2011-01-01 to 2011-01-02, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)0Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)74 records, 1955 to 20250.75 in to 3 in (median 1 in); 73 with a recorded value3 in hail, 1955-06-13Hail, 2003-07-30, $20,000 property; crops not reported (2003 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Payson town (13 records), Globe city (12 records), Miami town (3 records), Hayden town (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)40 records, 2017 to 2024 (40 zone-level)1 day to 9 days (median 3 days); 34 with a recorded value9 consecutive days, 2023-07-14 to 2023-07-22, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson0Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)254 records, 1996 to 2025 (1 zone-level)Flash Flood, 2021-07-29, $40,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Globe city (44 records), Miami town (25 records), Payson town (15 records). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)4 records, 2010 to 2021 (1 zone-level)Debris Flow, 2020-07-27, $50,000 property; $0 crops (2020 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Globe city (1 record). Zone-level records (1) apply countywide.
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)9 records, 1997 to 2009Lightning, 2000-08-12, damage not reported, 1 direct death, 2 direct injuriesLightning, 1999-07-05, $120,000 property; $0 crops (1999 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Payson town (3 records), Globe city (2 records).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)7 records, 1997 to 2025 (7 zone-level)50 kt (58 mph) to 65 kt (75 mph) (median 54 kt (62 mph)); 7 with a recorded value65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust, High Wind, 2022-01-27; NWS zone AZZ018Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)91 records, 1961 to 202549 kt (56 mph) to 87 kt (100 mph) (median 55 kt (63 mph)); 81 with a recorded value87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1981-05-01Thunderstorm Wind, 2019-09-01, $100,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Globe city (9 records), Miami town (5 records), Payson town (5 records), Hayden town (2 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)4 records, 1966 to 2023F/EF0 to F/EF1 (median F/EF1); 4 with a recorded valueF1 tornado, 1966-08-09, 33 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1966 dollars), 9 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Globe city (1 record), Payson town (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Volcanic Ash, Volcanic AshfallVolcanic Explosivity Index (local data)0
Wildfireacres burned (local data)26 records, 1996 to 2024 (19 zone-level)Wildfire, 2021-06-04, $8,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars); NWS zone AZZ558Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Payson town (2 records), Globe city (1 record). Zone-level records (19) apply countywide.
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)62 records, 1996 to 2025 (62 zone-level)Heavy Snow, 2019-02-21, $5,000 property; $0 crops (2019 dollars); NWS zone AZZ562Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of avalanche, debris flow, lightning and volcanic ash, volcanic ashfall.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 23 declarations covering 20 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsNotes
2021-06-062021-06-06FM-5389-AZFire managementTelegraph FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2020-08-262020-08-17FM-5340-AZFire managementGriffin FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2020-06-202020-06-20FM-5313-AZFire managementBush FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2020-04-042020-01-20DR-4524-AZMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not counted$93,700.50
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3442-AZEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4524
2010-03-182010-01-18DR-1888-AZMajor disasterSevere Winter Storms and FloodingInland Flooding; Winter Weather$170,828.29
2009-08-312009-08-30FM-2835-AZFire managementWater Wheel FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2006-09-072006-07-25DR-1660-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
2005-09-122005-08-29EM-3241-AZEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-07-222005-07-21FM-2570-AZFire managementAz-Wildfire (Edge Complex) 07-22-2005Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2005-04-142005-02-10DR-1586-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$263,940.42
2005-02-172004-12-28DR-1581-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$96,986.57
2004-06-282004-06-24FM-2523-AZFire managementWillow FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2003-07-142003-07-13FM-2478-AZFire managementKinishba FireWildfireno Public Assistance recorded
2002-06-252002-06-18DR-1422-AZMajor disasterWildfiresWildfirePA not declared for this county
1999-06-121999-06-11FM-2263-AZFire managementAz - Rainbow Fire - 06/11/1999Wildfireno Public Assistance recorded
1993-01-191993-01-05DR-977-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding (primary); also designated: Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1990-12-061990-07-08DR-884-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1983-10-051983-09-23DR-691-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1980-02-191980-02-19DR-614-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1978-12-211978-12-21DR-570-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1978-03-041978-03-04DR-551-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1970-09-221970-09-22DR-294-AZMajor disasterHeavy Rains & FlashInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
2000-10-272000-10-21DR-1347-AZMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

15 Fire Management declarations (1990-06-27 to 1996-06-24) FEMA filed as Statewide with no county; each names one local fire. Listed on the state page.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Avalanche0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Cold Wave1001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Earthquake000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail74501955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave40901996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding25474111996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide4001996 to 2026-06-30
Lightning9001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind981301955 to 2026-06-30Includes 7 High Wind records.
Tornado4111950 to 2026-06-30
Volcanic Activity0001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Wildfire26191996 to 2026-06-30
Winter Weather621011996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2025-09-26Flash Flood$25,000,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)3, 0PINALwithin last 5 yearsdeaths or injuries recorded
2023-07-14Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2023 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AZZ560 (SAN CARLOS), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2022-01-27High Wind65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust$100,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2022 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AZZ018 (NORTHERN GILA COUNTY), zone-levelwithin last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2021-07-29Flash Flood$40,000,000 property; $0 crops (2021 dollars)0, 0MIAMIB1-c worst recorded: Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flood
2021-06-04Wildfire$8,000,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2021 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AZZ558 (PINAL/SUPERSTITION MOUNTAINS), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Wildfire
2019-02-21Heavy Snow$5,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2019 dollars)0, 0NWS zone AZZ562 (GLOBE/MIAMI), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2017-07-15Flash Flood$0 property; $0 crops (2017 dollars)10, 0WASHINGTON PARK to (0E4)PAYSON ARPTdeaths or injuries recorded
2000-08-12Lightningdamage not reported1, 2PAYSONB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1990-06-26Thunderstorm Windspeed not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)6, 0location not recordeddeaths or injuries recorded
1981-05-01Thunderstorm Wind87 kt (100 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind
1966-08-09TornadoF1, 33 yd wide$25,000 property; crops not recorded (1966 dollars)0, 9location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Tornado
1955-06-13Hail3 indamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Hail

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (572 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Avalanche0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01994 to 2023 (30 years)see B1-f0.01 is NRI's minimum avalanche frequency for a county in an avalanche susceptibility zone; NRI records no avalanche here, so the descriptor reflects the floor, not local events.
Cold Wave0.0000169event-days per yearabout 0.0000169 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)0.0003192005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought67.3event-days per yearabout 67.3 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)2,8702000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywideNo Storm Events drought record, 1996 to 2025
Earthquake0.000876annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.0876%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail0.309events per yearabout 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)11.7 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave3.55event-days per yearabout 3.55 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 8 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (26.7%)33.92005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.01events per yearabout 1 in 100 yearsPossibleFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)01851 to 2024 (Atlantic); 1949 to 2024 (Pacific)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Inland Flooding5.46event-days per yearabout 5.46 days per yearHighly likelyStorm Events event-days in 29 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (96.7%)1531996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide4.49events per year (modeled)about 4.49 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning57.9days per year with a strikeabout 57.9 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind0.784events per yearabout 0.78 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)301986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.224events per yearabout 1 in 4 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Volcanic Activity0.0001annual probabilityabout 1 in 10,000 yearsUnlikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Wildfire0.0111annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 1.11%LikelyStorm Events records in 14 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (46.7%)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Winter Weather6.47event-days per yearabout 6.47 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 26 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (86.7%)1222005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202533301.1
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 202573302.43
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20250300
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 20252300.0667
TornadoEF0-11996 to 20253300.1
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20250300
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Avalanche13 of 1642.048.450.1Very Low 13, Not Applicable 3
Cold Wave5 of 1615.415.615.8Very Low 5, No Rating 11
Drought3 of 1676.978.788.2Relatively Low 1, Very Low 2, No Rating 13
Earthquake16 of 1613.240.860.2Relatively Low 8, Very Low 8
Hail16 of 1620.341.963.3Relatively Low 14, Very Low 2
Heat Wave16 of 1653.481.196.0Relatively High 7, Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 1
Hurricane16 of 1612.916.618.9Very Low 16
Inland Flooding16 of 1654.398.599.8Very High 11, Relatively High 4, Relatively Moderate 1
Landslide16 of 1645.588.396.3Relatively Moderate 1, Relatively Low 11, Very Low 4
Lightning16 of 1681.596.899.5Very High 9, Relatively High 7
Strong Wind16 of 1614.352.481.0Relatively Moderate 8, Relatively Low 7, Very Low 1
Tornado16 of 161.47.629.9Relatively Low 1, Very Low 15
Volcanic Activity1 of 1640.140.140.1Very Low 1, No Rating 15
Wildfire16 of 1696.698.899.8Very High 5, Relatively High 11
Winter Weather16 of 1654.187.597.2Very High 2, Relatively High 10, Relatively Moderate 4

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its planNotes
Gila CountyCountyNo approved plan on recordFMA RL 2, SRL 1; any 6$549,703.630 total; no approved planIncludes $70,831.32 for declarations not counted as hazard incidents (DR-4524-AZ).
Globe cityCityNo approved plan on recordFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 1no Public Assistance recorded70 total; no approved plan
Hayden townTownNo approved plan on recordFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded3 total; no approved plan
Miami townTownNo approved plan on recordFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$49,673.5733 total; no approved plan
Payson townTownNo approved plan on recordFMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$3,209.4039 total; no approved plan
Star Valley townTownExpired on 2014-12-29FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0no Public Assistance recorded0 total; 0 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since plancounty-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Avalanche$4,893,051n/a2$4n/a$797under 0.0001%
Cold Wave$138,496,595$266,520237$1under $1$32under 0.0001%
Droughtn/a$444,872n/an/a$7,412n/a1.67% (agriculture)NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$21,004,176,855n/a53,272$239,966n/a$38,1020.00114%
Hail$12,105,730,227$9,347,59853,118$64,705$2,254$7,3090.000534%
Heat Wave$12,105,730,227$9,347,59853,118$194$974$1,502,110under 0.0001%
Hurricane$12,105,730,227$9,347,59853,118$546$36under $1under 0.0001%
Inland Flooding$12,102,683,849$1,818,7203,278$21,651,337$120$13,594,567n/a (see note)NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$1,208,237,751n/a5,499$4,350n/a$3,6760.00036%
Lightning$12,105,730,227n/a53,118$8,937n/a$1,050,466under 0.0001%
Strong Wind$12,105,730,227$9,347,59853,118$66,060$355$211,8610.000546%
Tornado$12,105,730,227$9,347,59853,118$48,066$83$24,5520.000397%
Volcanic Activity$395,395,176n/a2,089under $1n/aunder $1under 0.0001%
Wildfire$4,919,490,135$7,872,99427,134$15,831,648$203$685,0860.322%
Winter Weather$12,105,730,227$9,347,59853,118$1,539under $1$189,954under 0.0001%

Totals since the plan: not available. No approved plan on record, so there is no approval date to count from.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population53,118
Building value (total, not at risk)$12,105,730,227
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$9,347,598
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$37,928,790
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$17,308,514
Social vulnerability ratingVery High
Community resilience ratingVery Low
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)2Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)1
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition7Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition0

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total2170810
of which: Gila County (unincorporated area)2150610
of which: Globe city0010100
of which: Winkelman town (plan jurisdiction listed on the Pinal County page)0010100
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0100110

1 of the county's repeat-flood properties belong to NFIP communities whose plan jurisdiction is not listed on this page (the community rows above name the page that lists it).

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Gila County0400282150610
Globe city0400290010100
Hayden town0401040000000
Miami town0400300000000
Payson town0401070000000
Star Valley town0400220000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential2160710
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0010100
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 1 property is FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 6 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Gila County, AZ: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 04007). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/az/04007/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]