Hazard Plain Automated baseline

Coffee County, AL

Risk-assessment baseline packet

County FIPS:
01031
Release:
2026-10
Data as of:
2026-09-30
Storm Events data through:
2026-06-30

Hazard Plain is an independent product built from public federal data. It is not a FEMA document and is not reviewed or endorsed by FEMA or any state agency.

Hazard Plain release 2026-10, as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2026-11-09. Plan: Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827), approved 2021-11-10.

Since the plan was approved on 2021-11-10: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident) and 158 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($21,240,140 a year), Hurricane ($11,165,760) and Tornado ($6,323,661).

The tables that follow are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); each heading says which item its tables support.

Plan clock

Status:
Approved, expires 2026-11-09
Plan:
Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)
Approved:
2021-11-10
Days to expiry:
40
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2021-11-10)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): EM-3618-AL (Hurricane Helene)
Storm Events records since approval:
158 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 5, SRL 6 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 49
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Sources: 1, 2, 4, 6 (numbered list at the end)

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

Source: 1

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Coffee County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2021-11-19
Elba cityCityApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2021-11-19
Enterprise cityCityApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2021-11-19
Kinston townTownApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2021-11-19
New Brockton townTownApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2022-01-10
Coffee County School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2022-01-10
Elba City School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2022-02-08
Enterprise City School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2026-11-09Division B (Southeast Alabama Regional) (FEMA plan 106827)2021-11-102026-11-0940this jurisdiction approved 2022-09-01

Plan 106827 lists 93 other participants not on this page, 16 of them not covered by it yet (named in the Excel file).

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a: hazard identification

Hazards NRI does not cover (local data needed)

  • dam failure (incl. upstream dams)
  • levee failure
  • flash flood as its own subtype
  • ice jams
  • debris flows
  • erosion (riverine and coastal)
  • land subsidence and sinkholes
  • expansive soils

The 18 National Risk Index hazards, ranked by expected annual loss (EAL)

Sources: 5, 6

Rank by EALHazardNRI risk ratingEAL ratingEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL total (see note)modeled dollars per yearStorm Events records, 1996 to 2026-06-30countStorm Events coverage note
1Inland FloodingRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$20,852,515$44,884$342,740$21,240,14045
2HurricaneRelatively ModerateRelatively High$9,758,965$1,161,407$245,388$11,165,76012
3TornadoRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$3,568,649$2,804$2,752,208$6,323,66120
4Cold WaveRelatively LowRelatively Moderate$8,882$542,562$641,284$1,192,7292
5Strong WindRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate$274,089$17,808$539,456$831,353395Includes 2 Strong Wind records (a NOAA non-thunderstorm wind type, outside NRI's Strong Wind definition).
6LightningRelatively HighRelatively Moderate$81,688n/a$733,929$815,61613
7Heat WaveRelatively LowRelatively Low$85$4,572$611,570$616,2275
8EarthquakeVery LowRelatively Low$305,609n/a$53,346$358,955Storm Events does not record earthquakes.
9DroughtRelatively LowRelatively Lown/a$177,019n/a$177,01946
10Ice StormRelatively LowRelatively Low$94,904n/a$3,993$98,8970No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
11HailVery LowVery Low$47,569$12,572$37,456$97,59744
12WildfireVery LowVery Low$53,892$182$4,346$58,4190No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).
13Winter WeatherRelatively LowRelatively Low$13,987$303$13,689$27,9795
14LandslideRelatively LowVery Low$5,885n/a$64$5,9490No recorded events in Storm Events since 1996 (data through 2026-06-30).

Total = buildings + agriculture + population equivalence; FEMA values each expected death (or 10 injuries) at $13.7 million (2024 dollars).

NRI risk rating combines expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience; EAL rating rates expected annual loss alone. Both compare this county with all U.S. counties.

Local data needed: state and local wildfire and landslide records (Storm Events records these hazards only in part).

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b: hazard location

Affects the whole county (national data give no location within it): Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather.

Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Hazards that vary within the county: highest-rated census tracts

Source: 5

HazardHighest-rated census tractsNRI risk rating, score 0 to 100
Earthquaketract 113 (Relatively Low, 67.5); tract 105 (Relatively Low, 61.3); tract 109 (Relatively Low, 59.6)
Hurricanetract 105 (Relatively High, 96.9); tract 113 (Relatively High, 96.8); tract 107 (Relatively High, 95.7)
Landslidetract 103 (Relatively Low, 95.3); tract 105 (Relatively Low, 93.8); tract 104 (Relatively Low, 92.9)
Tornadotract 113 (Very High, 99.1); tract 105 (Very High, 99.0); tract 103 (Very High, 98.0)
Wildfiretract 104 (Relatively Low, 85.3); tract 103 (Relatively Low, 84.0); tract 101 (Relatively Low, 83.3)

Up to 3 census tracts per hazard, highest National Risk Index rating first, then highest score; a tract number is the Census tract number (for example 113 is Census Tract 113). FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool maps the National Risk Index for every tract: https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c: hazard extent

Extent: scale, observed range and worst recorded event per hazard

Sources: 6, 7

HazardScaleRecordscount and yearsObserved rangeWorst recorded eventMost damaging (when different)How it applies to jurisdictionsNote
Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chillwind chill2 records, 2025 to 2026 (2 zone-level)1 day; 2 with a recorded value1 consecutive day, 2026-02-01, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Frost/Freeze (outside NRI's Cold Wave definition)crop damage0
DroughtU.S. Drought Monitor scale (D0 to D4)46 records, 2010 to 2026 (46 zone-level)29 days to 701 days (median 61 days); 9 with a recorded value701 days (about 23.0 months), 2010-09-14 to 2012-08-14, a run of 24 consecutive Storm Events drought records, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).Storm Events enters a drought at D2 or worse east of the Rockies and D3 or worse from the Rockies west (NWS Instruction 10-1605); NRI drought counts D3 and D4 only.
EarthquakeModified Mercalli (local data)0Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hailhail size (inches)55 records, 1960 to 20250.75 in to 2 in (median 1 in); 55 with a recorded value2 in hail, 2025-05-08; same size also recorded on 2005-03-26Hail, 2005-03-26, $50,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Enterprise city (17 records), Elba city (7 records), Kinston town (3 records), New Brockton town (1 record).
Excessive Heat, Heatheat index (in event narratives)5 records, 2023 (5 zone-level)2 days to 3 days (median 2.5 days); 2 with a recorded value3 consecutive days, 2023-08-12 to 2023-08-14, zone-levelCountywide (zone-level records).
Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical DepressionSaffir-Simpson12 records, 1998 to 2024 (12 zone-level)Strongest recorded: Hurricane record (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)'), 2005-07-09 to 2005-07-11, $300,000 property; crops not reported (2005 dollars); NWS zone ALZ065Most damaging recorded: Tropical Storm, 2004-09-15, $1,250,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2004 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).Storm Events files every zone of a storm's episode under the storm's type; flooding from the storm is filed as Flood or Flash Flood records.
Ice StormSperry-Piltz ice scale (local data)0
Flash Flood, Flood, Lakeshore Flooddamage and flood days (flood depth: FIRM)45 records, 1998 to 2024Flash Flood, 1998-03-08, $105,000,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars), 4 direct deathsEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Kinston town (6 records), Elba city (4 records), New Brockton town (3 records), Enterprise city (2 records).Flood depth: see the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map. Storm Events damage is often $0 or blank for floods, major ones included; FEMA Public Assistance by declaration (B1-d) shows which floods cost the most.
Debris Flownone (count and damage only)0
Lightningannualized frequency (the measure FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook names)13 records, 1996 to 2025Lightning, 1996-06-26, $0 property; $0 crops (1996 dollars), 1 direct death, 2 direct injuriesLightning, 2025-02-13, $300,000 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Enterprise city (3 records), Elba city (2 records), New Brockton town (1 record).Storm Events lists lightning with damage or casualties.
High Wind and Strong Wind (outside NRI's Strong Wind definition)wind speed (kt and mph)2 records, 2008 to 2013 (2 zone-level)45 kt (52 mph); 2 with a recorded value45 kt (52 mph) estimated gust, Strong Wind, 2013-01-30; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2008-12-11; NWS zone ALZ065Strong Wind, 2008-12-11, $50,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2008 dollars)Countywide (zone-level records).
Thunderstorm Windwind speed (kt and mph)436 records, 1960 to 202645 kt (52 mph) to 70 kt (81 mph) (median 50 kt (58 mph)); 376 with a recorded value70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1971-04-29Thunderstorm Wind, 1999-05-13, $750,000 property; crops not reported (1999 dollars)Event records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Enterprise city (48 records), Elba city (32 records), New Brockton town (11 records), Kinston town (9 records).
TornadoEnhanced Fujita (Fujita before Feb 2007)42 records, 1954 to 2026F/EF0 to F/EF4 (median F/EF1); 40 with a recorded valueEF4 tornado, 2007-03-01, 10.33 mi within this county, 500 yd wide, $250,000,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars), 9 direct deaths, 50 direct injuriesEvent records naming jurisdictions in the plan: Enterprise city (4 records), Kinston town (2 records), New Brockton town (2 records), Elba city (1 record).Before 1996 a tornado is listed once, under the county where it began, with its whole path's rating and length; from 1996 on, each county lists its own segment. Length is not used to rank tornadoes (see Methods).
Wildfireacres burned (local data)0
Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleetnone in data (snowfall: local data)5 records, 2010 to 2026 (5 zone-level)Winter Storm, 2014-01-28, $200,000 property; $0 crops (2014 dollars); NWS zone ALZ065Countywide (zone-level records).

In event narratives only (local data needed): wind chill, temperature, heat index, ice thickness, acres burned and snow depth; any physical measure of debris flow and lightning.

Storm Events records are more complete after 1996; before 1996 only Tornado (from 1950), Hail and Thunderstorm Wind (from 1955) exist. Zone-level records from zones that no NWS zone-county file places in this county (mostly before 2020) are not counted here (the Methods page explains the zone matching).

Dollars are nominal (as reported), labeled with the year; not adjusted for inflation.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d: previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this county: 30 declarations covering 24 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet (declarations for the same incident count once; non-natural and evacuation-only declarations are not counted).

Federal disaster declarations for this county

Sources: 1, 2, 3

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazardCounty Public Assistancefederal share obligated, nominal dollarsFlagsNotes
2024-09-262024-09-22EM-3618-ALEmergencyHurricane HeleneHurricane (primary); also designated: Tornadono Public Assistance recordednew since last plan; within last 5 years
2020-09-202020-09-14DR-4563-ALMajor disasterHurricane SallyHurricane$565,290.05
2020-09-142020-09-14EM-3545-ALEmergencyHurricane SallyHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4563
2020-07-102020-04-19DR-4554-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesStrong Wind; Tornado$77,556.37
2020-03-292020-01-20DR-4503-ALMajor disasterCOVID-19 PandemicNon-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2020-03-132020-01-20EM-3472-ALEmergencyCOVID-19Non-natural, not countedno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-4503
2018-10-122018-10-10EM-3407-ALEmergencyHurricane MichaelHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2017-10-082017-10-06EM-3394-ALEmergencyHurricane NateHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2017-09-112017-09-08EM-3389-ALEmergencyHurricane IrmaHurricane$14,680.65
2016-01-212015-12-23DR-4251-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornado$2,485,176.11
2011-04-282011-04-15DR-1971-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingInland Flooding; Strong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
2011-04-272011-04-27EM-3319-ALEmergencySevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line WindsStrong Wind; Tornadono Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1971
2009-12-312009-12-12DR-1870-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Flooding$662,922.10
2009-04-282009-03-25DR-1835-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes & Straight-LineInland Flooding; Tornado$318,085.77
2008-08-302008-08-29EM-3292-ALEmergencyHurricane GustavHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
2007-03-032007-03-01DR-1687-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms and TornadoesTornado$9,405,899.56
2005-09-102005-08-29EM-3237-ALEmergencyHurricane Katrina EvacuationHurricane: evacuation support, not a local hazard event; not countedno Public Assistance recorded
2005-07-102005-07-10DR-1593-ALMajor disasterHurricane DennisHurricane$55,060.90
2004-09-152004-09-13DR-1549-ALMajor disasterHurricane IvanHurricane$403,064.63
1998-09-301998-09-25DR-1250-ALMajor disasterHurricane Georges - 18 Sep 98Hurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1998-09-281998-09-28EM-3133-ALEmergencyHurricane GeorgesHurricaneno Public Assistance recordedsame incident as DR-1250
1998-03-091998-03-07DR-1208-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms and FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1995-10-041995-10-04DR-1070-ALMajor disasterHurricane OpalHurricaneno Public Assistance recorded
1994-07-081994-07-02DR-1034-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms and Flooding (Tropical Storm Alberto)Hurricane; Inland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1993-03-151993-03-13EM-3096-ALEmergencySevere Snowfall, Winter StormWinter Weatherno Public Assistance recorded
1990-03-211990-03-15DR-861-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1977-07-201977-07-20EM-3045-ALEmergencyDroughtDroughtno Public Assistance recorded
1975-10-021975-10-02DR-488-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingInland Flooding; Tornadono Public Assistance recorded
1975-04-231975-04-23DR-464-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded
1975-03-141975-03-14DR-458-ALMajor disasterSevere Storms & FloodingInland Floodingno Public Assistance recorded

County Public Assistance: applicants the FEMA record places in this county, including any state agencies FEMA files there; statewide rows are listed on the state page; federal share obligated, nominal dollars.

Statewide declarations

Source: 2

DeclaredIncident beganFEMA numberTypeTitleMapped hazard
1961-02-271961-02-27DR-109-ALMajor disasterFloodsInland Flooding

FEMA recorded these with designated area Statewide and no county, so they are listed on every county page in the state and not counted with county rows. Local data needed: whether each one affected this county.

Previous occurrences by hazard, with explicit no-event rows

Sources: 2, 6, 7

HazardStorm Events records, all years on file(years in the Period column)Since plan approvalrecordsIn the 12 months before plan approvalrecordsLast 5 yearsrecordsDeclared incidents, all yearsseparate disastersDeclared since approvalseparate disastersPeriodStatement
Cold Wave2202001996 to 2026-06-30
Drought4612012101996 to 2026-06-30
Earthquake000000Storm Events does not record earthquakes; the USGS earthquake catalog is the source.
Hail55939001955 to 2026-06-30
Heat Wave5505001996 to 2026-06-30
Hurricane121111111996 to 2026-06-30
Ice Storm0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Inland Flooding45110111001996 to 2026-06-30
Landslide0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Lightning13303001996 to 2026-06-30
Strong Wind43811147111301955 to 2026-06-30Includes 2 Strong Wind records.
Tornado42202811950 to 2026-06-30
Wildfire0000001996 to 2026-06-30No recorded events, 1996 to 2026-06-30, NOAA NCEI Storm Events
Winter Weather5202101996 to 2026-06-30

Notable Storm Events records

Sources: 1, 6, 7

DateEvent typeMagnitude or extentDamagenominal dollarsDeaths, injuriesdirect onlyLocationFlagsWhy listed
2026-02-01Extreme Cold/Wind Chilldamage not reported0, 0NWS zone ALZ065 (COFFEE), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Cold/Wind Chill, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
2025-05-08Hail2 in$0 property; $0 crops (2025 dollars)0, 0ROETONnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Hail
2023-08-12Excessive Heat$0 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2023 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ALZ065 (COFFEE), zone-levelnew since last plan; within last 5 yearsB1-c worst recorded: Excessive Heat, Heat
2015-12-24Flood$1,720,000 property; $0 crops (2015 dollars)2, 0ROETON to NEWBYdeaths or injuries recorded
2014-01-28Winter Storm$200,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2014 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ALZ065 (COFFEE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Winter Storm, Heavy Snow, Blizzard, Lake-Effect Snow, Winter Weather, Sleet
2013-01-30Strong Wind45 kt (52 mph) estimated gust$1,000 property; $0 crops (zone total, 2013 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ALZ065 (COFFEE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: High Wind and Strong Wind
2010-09-14Droughtdamage not reported0, 0NWS zone ALZ065 (COFFEE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Drought
2007-03-01TornadoEF4, 10.33 mi within this county, 500 yd wide$250,000,000 property; $0 crops (2007 dollars)9, 50ENTERPRISE MUNI ARPT to ENTERPRISEdeaths or injuries recorded
2005-07-09Hurricane (NOAA event type 'Hurricane (Typhoon)')$300,000 property; crops not reported (zone total, 2005 dollars)0, 0NWS zone ALZ065 (COFFEE), zone-levelB1-c worst recorded: Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression
1998-03-08Flash Flood$105,000,000 property; crops not reported (1998 dollars)4, 0ELBAdeaths or injuries recorded
1996-06-26Lightning$0 property; $0 crops (1996 dollars)1, 2ENTERPRISEB1-c worst recorded: Lightning
1971-04-29Thunderstorm Wind70 kt (81 mph), measurement type not recordeddamage not recorded (pre-1996 record)0, 0location not recordedB1-c worst recorded: Thunderstorm Wind

The full list is in the Excel file, sheet "B1-d Storm Events history" (663 rows).

Location is the place NOAA recorded, as written in its data; it need not be a jurisdiction in this plan.

Local data needed: state-declared emergencies, from your state emergency management agency (federal data do not include them).

Tribal and special-area declarations in this state are listed on the state page.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e: probability of future events

Probability: FEMA annualized frequency and descriptor per hazard

Sources: 5, 6

HazardFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)unit per rowUnitIn plain termsDescriptorDescriptor basisNRI events or days in its record period (hail, wind and tornado are area-weighted, so can be fractional)NRI periodLocationNote
Cold Wave2.37event-days per yearabout 2.37 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)452005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Drought28.7event-days per yearabout 28.7 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 10 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (33.3%)9732000 to 2025 (25.25 years; D3 and D4 only)countywide
Earthquake0.001annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county has at least minor-damage shaking in a year: 0.1%not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor (Storm Events does not record earthquakes).
Hail1.43events per yearabout 1.43 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)54.4 (modeled)1986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Heat Wave5event-days per yearabout 5 days per yearPossibleStorm Events event-days in 1 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (3.33%)822005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide
Hurricane0.155events per yearabout 1 in 6 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)381851 to 2024 (Atlantic)see B1-fNRI counts hurricane and tropical storm tracks passing within storm-force wind range; federal declarations are in B1-d.
Ice Storm0.174event-days per yearabout 0.174 days per yearStorm Events event-days in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)121946-12-31 to 2014-02-12 (67 years)countywideNo Storm Events ice storm record, 1996 to 2025
Inland Flooding0.643event-days per yearabout 0.643 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 13 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (43.3%)181996 to 2023 (28 years)see B1-f
Landslide0.357events per year (modeled)about 1 in 3 yearsLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shownmodeledsee B1-f
Lightning72.8days per year with a strikeabout 72.8 days per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1995 to 2023 (29 years; CONUS)countywide
Strong Wind1.81events per yearabout 1.81 per yearHighly likelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)691986 to 2023 (38 years)countywide
Tornado0.613events per yearabout 0.61 per yearLikelyFEMA annualized frequency (modeled)not shown1950 to 2023 (EF2+); 1986 to 2023 (EF0-1)see B1-f
Wildfire0.000367annual probability at a locationchance a given location in the county burns in a year: 0.0367%Storm Events records in 0 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (0%)not shownmodeledsee B1-fNo descriptor: no Storm Events record 1996 to 2025
Winter Weather0.474event-days per yearabout 0.474 days per yearLikelyStorm Events event-days in 4 of 30 years, 1996 to 2025 (13.3%)92005-11-12 to 2024-11-12 (19 years)countywide

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) is the National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025) estimate of how often a hazard affects this county in a year; it is not recorded events divided by years, and its unit differs by hazard (events, event-days, or days with a lightning strike per year). For earthquake, wildfire, coastal flooding and tsunami the value is the chance (or number of events) at a location in the county, not across the county, so no "1 in N years" is given and the descriptor comes from Storm Events where it has a record (none for earthquake). The Methods page gives each hazard's method, from FEMA's National Risk Index Technical Documentation v1.20.

Where NRI gives event-days, the descriptor comes from the share of years with a Storm Events record; NRI's source records more events, so the two differ.

Descriptor scale used in this packet (defined per unit)

Sources: 5, 6

UnitDescriptorDefinition
events per yearHighly likely1 or more per year
events per yearLikelyabout once in 1 to 10 years
events per yearPossibleabout once in 10 to 100 years
events per yearUnlikelyless than once in 100 years
annual probabilityLikely10% to under 100% chance in a given year
annual probabilityPossible1% to under 10% chance in a given year
annual probabilityUnlikelyunder 1% chance in a given year
event-days (share of years)Highly likelyevent-days recorded in 90% or more of years
event-days (share of years)Likelyevent-days recorded in 10% to under 90% of years
event-days (share of years)Possibleevent-days recorded in some years but under 10% of years
lightning strike-daysHighly likelycloud-to-ground strikes on 1 or more days per year

Intensity bands: historical frequency (Storm Events)

Source: 6

HazardBandYearsEventscounty-coded recordsYears in periodEvents per yearevents / years
Hail1.00-1.99 in1996 to 202518300.6
Hail2.00 in+1996 to 20252300.0667
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)50-64 kt1996 to 20253483011.6
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)65 kt+1996 to 20259300.3
Thunderstorm Wind (counted as NRI Strong Wind)unmeasured or below 50 kt1996 to 202522300.733
TornadoEF0-11996 to 202518300.6
TornadoEF2-31996 to 20250300
TornadoEF4-51996 to 20251300.0333
Tornadounrated (EFU)1996 to 20250300

The bands show how often events of each severity were recorded in this county, to profile how severe events have been (FEMA's probability item asks for the range of intensities).

Hail smaller than 1 inch is not counted: on 2010-01-05 the National Weather Service raised its severe-hail threshold from 3/4 inch to 1 inch, so smaller reports became less common after 2009 (NWS Service Change Notice 09-52). NRI hail frequency uses a 0.75 inch threshold.

Optional: future conditions. Not a required item in the 2025 FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide; some states ask for it. The federal Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation (CMRA) site gives county exposure to future climate conditions (https://resilience.climate.gov/).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f: hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk within the county

Source: 5

HazardTractsrated of allNRI risk score, 0 to 100Tracts by rating
MinMedianMax
Cold Wave16 of 1637.361.984.0Relatively High 2, Relatively Moderate 12, Relatively Low 2
Drought16 of 1668.286.094.4Relatively Moderate 2, Relatively Low 10, Very Low 4
Earthquake16 of 1631.344.667.5Relatively Low 11, Very Low 5
Hail16 of 1640.048.061.9Relatively Low 16
Heat Wave16 of 1632.051.574.2Relatively Moderate 5, Relatively Low 11
Hurricane16 of 1688.992.696.9Relatively High 14, Relatively Moderate 2
Ice Storm16 of 1644.258.276.6Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 13
Inland Flooding16 of 1655.985.699.7Very High 1, Relatively High 13, Relatively Moderate 2
Landslide16 of 1656.481.195.3Relatively Low 8, Very Low 8
Lightning16 of 1680.693.398.4Very High 3, Relatively High 13
Strong Wind16 of 1667.181.592.4Relatively High 6, Relatively Moderate 10
Tornado16 of 1681.892.199.1Very High 6, Relatively High 10
Wildfire16 of 1646.075.485.3Relatively Low 13, Very Low 3
Winter Weather16 of 1633.843.060.0Relatively Moderate 3, Relatively Low 13

Drought: Agriculture is all of NRI's expected annual loss for this hazard in the county, so the tract range mostly reflects where crop and livestock value is.

Rated tracts only: No Rating (score 0.0), Not Applicable and Insufficient Data tracts are counted but not used for the minimum, median and maximum.

The score ranks a tract against all U.S. tracts (100 = highest). The rating is FEMA's category for the tract's risk value, computed differently, so the two can disagree.

Frequency data for cold wave, drought, hail, heat wave, ice storm, lightning, strong wind and winter weather are county-wide or coarse (49 km grid or NWS zone), the same for every jurisdiction; the tract range mostly reflects where buildings and people are (crop and livestock value where a line above names agriculture).

Each jurisdiction (starting figures from federal data)

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 6

JurisdictionTypePlan statusRepetitive lossFMA RL and SRL (44 CFR 77.2); repeat-flood, any definitionPublic Assistance to this jurisdictionFEMA records matched by applicant name; federal share obligated, nominal dollarsEvent records naming this placeall years; since its plan
Coffee County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2026-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 2$2,870,082.750 total; 0 since its plan
Elba cityCityApproved, expires 2026-11-09FMA RL 4, SRL 4; any 41$1,326,078.9046 total; 6 since its plan
Enterprise cityCityApproved, expires 2026-11-09FMA RL 1, SRL 2; any 6$1,861,080.6574 total; 8 since its plan
Kinston townTownApproved, expires 2026-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$35,147.0220 total; 4 since its plan
New Brockton townTownApproved, expires 2026-11-09FMA RL 0, SRL 0; any 0$66,816.6518 total; 2 since its plan

Repetitive-loss counts are for whole NFIP communities, which can extend beyond this county (see the note in B2-c).

School districts and special districts get a plan clock row only.

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b: vulnerability and potential impacts

Local data needed

The table below gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

County-level starter: exposure, expected annual loss and damage since the plan

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

HazardBuilding exposuremodeled dollarsAgriculture exposuremodeled dollarsPopulation exposedpeopleEAL buildingsmodeled dollars per yearEAL agriculturemodeled dollars per yearCost of expected deaths and injuriesFEMA's dollar value per year, not property damageEAL as % of exposurebuildings; agriculture where notedStorm Events damage since 2021-11-10county-coded records, property plus crops, nominal dollarsZone-level damage since planproperty plus crops, reported for the zonePublic Assistance since plannominal dollars; see noteNote
Cold Wave$25,043,706,792$256,916,00053,391$8,882$542,562$641,284under 0.0001%$0
Droughtn/a$18,196,920n/an/a$177,019n/a0.973% (agriculture)$0NRI has no building exposure for this hazard; agriculture shown
Earthquake$40,134,879,244n/a53,465$305,609n/a$53,3460.000761%
Hail$25,043,706,792$256,916,00053,391$47,569$12,572$37,4560.00019%$5,000
Heat Wave$25,043,706,792$256,916,00053,391$85$4,572$611,570under 0.0001%$0
Hurricane$25,043,103,911$256,916,00053,390$9,758,965$1,161,407$245,3880.039%$0no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Ice Storm$25,043,706,792n/a53,391$94,904n/a$3,9930.000379%
Inland Flooding$25,036,373,296$6,379,9691,035$20,852,515$44,884$342,740n/a (see note)$0NRI counts the full building value of any census block with some flood loss; this is not the value of buildings in the floodplain. Use local FIRM overlays for B2-a/B2-b.
Landslide$301,602,450n/a669$5,885n/a$640.00195%
Lightning$25,043,706,792n/a53,391$81,688n/a$733,9290.000326%$365,000
Strong Wind$25,043,706,792$256,916,00053,391$274,089$17,808$539,4560.00109%$106,000
Tornado$25,043,706,792$256,916,00053,391$3,568,649$2,804$2,752,2080.0142%$27,000no Public Assistance recorded (1 declaration)
Wildfire$5,747,384,024$58,963,12814,391$53,892$182$4,3460.000938%
Winter Weather$25,043,706,792$256,916,00053,391$13,987$303$13,689under 0.0001%$0

Totals since 2021-11-10 (Storm Events through 2026-06-30): 136 county-coded records, 135 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $503,000; 22 zone-level records, 10 with a damage value recorded (including $0), $0 reported for the zone; Public Assistance: none recorded on the 1 counted declaration.

FEMA does not split Public Assistance by hazard. A declaration mapped to several hazards is listed under each of them with its full amount, so the per-hazard column does not add up to the total; the unit total counts each declaration once.

NRI computes earthquake exposure on its own basis, so it exceeds the county building value in B2-a.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a: vulnerability (county context)

County context

Source: 5

MeasureValue
Population53,391
Building value (total, not at risk)$25,043,706,792
Agriculture value (total, not at risk)$256,916,000
NRI risk rating (all hazards)Relatively Moderate
Expected annual loss, buildings and agriculture, all hazards$37,030,832
Expected annual loss, population equivalence, all hazards (NRI values each statistical life at $13.7M; a modeled value of expected deaths and injuries, not property damage)$5,979,470
Social vulnerability ratingRelatively Moderate
Community resilience ratingRelatively Moderate
NRI versionDecember 2025

FEMA's all-hazard expected annual loss adds buildings, agriculture and population equivalence; this table gives the property part and the population-equivalence part as separate rows.

Social vulnerability: higher means people are more likely to be harmed and slower to recover. Community resilience: lower means the community is less able to recover. High social vulnerability and low resilience both raise the NRI risk rating.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c: repetitive loss properties

Repetitive loss in this county, both definitions

Sources: 1, 4

DefinitionPropertiesSevere repetitive lossProperties
Repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)5Severe repetitive loss, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2)6
Repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition47Severe repetitive loss, NFIP insurance definition4

The state NFIP coordinator's list, the source FEMA's Handbook names, often uses the NFIP insurance definition (second row).

Repeat-flood properties: county and state-level rows

Sources: 1, 4

ScopeRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
County total5647449010
of which: Enterprise city1261604
of which: Coffee County (unincorporated area)0020201
of which: Elba city443934105
Statewide, no county in FEMA's file0030300

The statewide row counts properties FEMA's file gives with no county in this state; they are listed for reference and are not in this county's counts.

Repeat-flood properties by jurisdiction in the plan (NFIP community)

Sources: 1, 4

JurisdictionNFIP community IDRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
Coffee County (unincorporated area)0102390020201
Elba city015004443934105
Enterprise city0100451261604
Kinston town0102370000000
New Brockton town0102380000000

Counts by occupancy group for each jurisdiction are in the Excel file, sheet "B2-c Jurisdictions".

Jurisdiction rows are whole NFIP communities and need not add up to the county total: a community that extends into another county is counted in full on each jurisdiction row, while the county table counts only its part in this county.

County repeat-flood properties by occupancy group

Sources: 1, 4

Occupancy groupRL, FMApropertiesSRL, FMApropertiesRL, NFIPpropertiesSRL, NFIPpropertiesAny categorypropertiesMitigatedpropertiesCurrently insuredproperties
single-family residential5644446010
2 to 4 unit residential0000000
other residential0000000
non-residential0030300
not reported0000000

FEMA's occupancy groups have no institutional class; institutional properties are counted in non-residential or other residential in the table by occupancy group.

FMA RL and FMA SRL are the Flood Mitigation Assistance definitions (44 CFR 77.2), the ones the FEMA Local Mitigation Planning Policy Guide cites. NFIP repetitive loss (the FEMA insurance definition) is 2 or more claims over $1,000 in 10 years, and a property can leave that group once it is mitigated. Also shown: NFIP severe repetitive loss, any category, mitigated and currently insured. The Methods page gives the OpenFEMA field details.

Counts are aggregates of FEMA's public NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (FEMA's data date 2026-08-02; file version 2026-08-04). No property is identified. County assignment is FEMA's geocode.

In this county 1 property is FMA repetitive loss but not NFIP repetitive loss, and 43 properties are NFIP repetitive loss but not FMA repetitive loss.

Exact counts; no count suppression.

Sources

Tables cite these sources by number. The full list, for the plan's bibliography (FEMA review item A4-a):

  1. FEMA, OpenFEMA HazardMitigationPlanStatuses v1, version 2026-09-29T134039Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/HazardMitigationPlanStatuses (API)
  2. FEMA, OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, version 2026-09-29T162832Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries (API)
  3. FEMA, OpenFEMA PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries v1, version 2026-09-29T150754Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/PublicAssistanceFundedProjectsSummaries (API)
  4. FEMA, OpenFEMA NfipMultipleLossProperties v1, version 2026-08-04T164045Z, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v1/NfipMultipleLossProperties (API)
  5. FEMA, FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (December 2025), county and census tract tables, version 1.20.0, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_Counties.zip (download, 25 MB), https://www.fema.gov/about/reports-and-data/openfema/nri/v120/NRI_Table_CensusTracts.zip (download, 635 MB)
  6. NOAA NCEI, NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files (csvfiles v1.0), version c20260918, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/swdi/stormevents/csvfiles/
  7. NOAA National Weather Service, NWS county-public forecast zones correlation file, version bp03mr20 to bp16ap26 (11 files; newest bp16ap26), pulled 2026-09-30, https://www.weather.gov/gis/ZoneCounty
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2024 Gazetteer, 2020 place by county, CT county-to-cousub crosswalk, version 2024-gazetteer, pulled 2026-09-30, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_counties_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_cousubs_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_place_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_unsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_elsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2024_Gazetteer/2024_Gaz_scsd_national.zip, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/codes2020/national_place_by_county2020.txt, https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/reference/ct_change/ct_cou_to_cousub_crosswalk.xlsx (used to match place names and codes; no table prints its values)

What this packet is and what the plan adds

This packet is the federal data for the plan's risk assessment (the summary on page 1 says how it is organized); the plan and FEMA's review decide whether each item is met.

The plan adds what only the community has: local data on assets, critical facilities, development and each jurisdiction's impacts; local hazard history, including state-declared emergencies; the mitigation strategy; and adoption.

How the federal data are built: National Risk Index values are FEMA's model, not counts of events. Storm Events is more complete from 1996; zone-level records are placed by forecast zone, not by location in the county. Public Assistance for a jurisdiction is matched by applicant name. The Methods page gives every rule and the known edge cases.

OpenFEMA disclaimer

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Reuse, citation and corrections

Reuse and citation: Hazard Plain text and tables are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); credit Hazard Plain and the release. The underlying federal data are public domain; OpenFEMA data are also subject to the OpenFEMA terms and conditions.

Cite this: Hazard Plain (2026). Coffee County, AL: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 01031). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/al/01031/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Corrections: to report an error, name the packet, the table and what your records show. Contact: [email protected]